Mjerenje javnosti: metodologijski i analitički pristupi istraživanju javnoga mnijenja
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | Croatian |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Zagreb
Institut društvenih znanosti Ivo Pilar
2015
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Biblioteka Studije / Institut društvenih znanosti Ivo Pilar
knjiga 21 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis Abstract |
| Beschreibung: | Englische Zusammenfassung |
| Beschreibung: | 337 Seiten |
| ISBN: | 9789537964122 |
Internformat
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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|---|---|
| adam_text | SADRZAJ
Predgovor.............................................................7
1. METODOLOGIJA ISTRAZIVANJA JAVNOGA MNIJENJA
Mogucnosti validacije predizbornih istrazivanja javnoga mnijenja 13
Odbijanje ankete u istrazivanjima javnoga mnijenja 33
Problem neizjasnjavanja o namjerama glasovanja 59
Pokusaji identificiranja „vjerojatnih glasaca ........................73
Pogreska pokrivenosti u istrazivanjima putem telefona 103
Primjena tehnike telefonskog anketiranja u predizbornom
istrazivanju: studija slucaja........................................119
Istrazivanje javnoga mnijenja putem interneta........................147
Izlazne ankete u svijetu i u Hrvatskoj...............................173
2. JAVNO MNIJENJE I IZBORNO PON ASAN JE:
NEKA OD MOGUCIH EMPIRIJSKIH OBJASNJENJA
Pokusaj objasnjenja izbornih rezultata temeljem longitudinalnog
istrazivanja javnoga mnijenja: studija slucaja 205
Motivacijska struktura glasovanja: primjer predsjednickih izbora
2000. godine 243
Izborna apstinencija: tko i zasto se ne odaziva izborima? 259
Nacionalni ponos i otvorenost prema europskim integracijama 279
Utjecu li rezultati predizbornih anketa na izborno ponasanje biraca? 289
Literatura 315
Biljeske o izvorima 331
Summary 335
O autorici 337
SUMMARY
The book Mjerenje javnosti. Metodologpski i analiticki pristupi istra^ivanju javnoga mnijenja
(MeasuringPublic. Methodological and Analytical Approaches to Public Opinion Research) is divided
into two main sections. The first covers some of the most important methodological
issues in the study of public opinion, while the second presents empirical data that
shed light on several aspects of shaping public opinion and voter behavior.
The methodological section is focused on determining the validity of pre-election
and other public opinion polls, and finding the most suitable options for controlling
potential sources of error and bias. In this context, the first chapter provides descriptions
of the procedure for the validation analysis of pre-election polls, possible criteria and
statistical procedures for determining the validity of individual studies and difficulties
encountered in validation analysis. Based on international and Croatian research
experiences, in the second and third chapters problems concerning voters’ refusal to
cooperate with pollsters or declare their voting intentions when queried are discussed
as the chief potential sources of bias, even in optimally planned and conducted
pre-election and other political opinion surveys. The fourth chapter presents an
extensive study of the possibilities for identifying likely voters, an important prerequisite
for the accurate prediction of election results, with assessments of the empirical validity
of Perry’s model in several different electoral situations in Croatia. In the next section,
coverage error in telephone polls conducted in Croatia is analyzed and possibilities are
considered for applying such polling techniques in pre-election public opinion polls,
followed by a review of current scientific literature and technical information on the
possibilities for using the Internet as a polling medium. At the end of the methodolog-
ical section, world and Croatian experiences are presented in the conducting of exit
polls, procedures are described and specifics regarding pre-election polls are analyzed.
The second thematic unit contains several case studies in various election situations
for the purpose of investigating possible backgrounds for voting behavior. Among
them is an extensive analysis of the results of a longitudinal public opinion poll in
order to attempt to explain the outcomes of the Croatian parliamentary elections
of 2000 and provide insight into die dominant values and evaluation systems of the
electorate, which could have important roles in future election situations. The next two
chapters present the results of a study on the motivational determinants of voting and
reasons for voter abstention, which provide the basis for an attempt to explain political
preferences and voter behavior from a socio-psychological viewpoint. This is followed
by an analysis of public receptiveness to the inclusion of Croatia in the European
335
MJERENJE JAVNOSTf. Metodoiogi/sfci i analiticki pristupi istrozivanju javnoga mnijenja
integration processes from the standpoint of national identification and evaluation
of important social achievements as constituent elements of general national pride.
The last chapter deals with one of the possibly most controversial topics related to
public opinion polls: the impact of publishing the results of pre-election polls on the
outcomes of political elections. Based on originally designed models to assess such
impact, significantly different answers are offered than those usually heard from the
general public and even some professionals.
336
|
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| id | DE-604.BV043513295 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T07:27:41Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9789537964122 |
| language | Croatian |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-028929426 |
| oclc_num | 951034307 |
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| physical | 337 Seiten |
| publishDate | 2015 |
| publishDateSearch | 2015 |
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| publisher | Institut društvenih znanosti Ivo Pilar |
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| spelling | Lamza Posavec, Vesna Verfasser aut Mjerenje javnosti metodologijski i analitički pristupi istraživanju javnoga mnijenja Vesna Lamza Posavec Zagreb Institut društvenih znanosti Ivo Pilar 2015 337 Seiten txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Biblioteka Studije / Institut društvenih znanosti Ivo Pilar knjiga 21 Englische Zusammenfassung Datenanalyse (DE-588)4123037-1 gnd rswk-swf Öffentliche Meinung (DE-588)4043152-6 gnd rswk-swf Methode (DE-588)4038971-6 gnd rswk-swf Datenaufbereitung (DE-588)4148865-9 gnd rswk-swf Demoskopie (DE-588)4011425-9 gnd rswk-swf Öffentliche Meinung (DE-588)4043152-6 s Demoskopie (DE-588)4011425-9 s Methode (DE-588)4038971-6 s Datenanalyse (DE-588)4123037-1 s Datenaufbereitung (DE-588)4148865-9 s DE-604 Institut društvenih znanosti Ivo Pilar Biblioteka Studije knjiga 21 (DE-604)BV017001014 21 Digitalisierung BSB Muenchen 19 - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028929426&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis Digitalisierung BSB Muenchen 19 - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028929426&sequence=000004&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Abstract |
| spellingShingle | Lamza Posavec, Vesna Mjerenje javnosti metodologijski i analitički pristupi istraživanju javnoga mnijenja Datenanalyse (DE-588)4123037-1 gnd Öffentliche Meinung (DE-588)4043152-6 gnd Methode (DE-588)4038971-6 gnd Datenaufbereitung (DE-588)4148865-9 gnd Demoskopie (DE-588)4011425-9 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4123037-1 (DE-588)4043152-6 (DE-588)4038971-6 (DE-588)4148865-9 (DE-588)4011425-9 |
| title | Mjerenje javnosti metodologijski i analitički pristupi istraživanju javnoga mnijenja |
| title_auth | Mjerenje javnosti metodologijski i analitički pristupi istraživanju javnoga mnijenja |
| title_exact_search | Mjerenje javnosti metodologijski i analitički pristupi istraživanju javnoga mnijenja |
| title_full | Mjerenje javnosti metodologijski i analitički pristupi istraživanju javnoga mnijenja Vesna Lamza Posavec |
| title_fullStr | Mjerenje javnosti metodologijski i analitički pristupi istraživanju javnoga mnijenja Vesna Lamza Posavec |
| title_full_unstemmed | Mjerenje javnosti metodologijski i analitički pristupi istraživanju javnoga mnijenja Vesna Lamza Posavec |
| title_short | Mjerenje javnosti |
| title_sort | mjerenje javnosti metodologijski i analiticki pristupi istrazivanju javnoga mnijenja |
| title_sub | metodologijski i analitički pristupi istraživanju javnoga mnijenja |
| topic | Datenanalyse (DE-588)4123037-1 gnd Öffentliche Meinung (DE-588)4043152-6 gnd Methode (DE-588)4038971-6 gnd Datenaufbereitung (DE-588)4148865-9 gnd Demoskopie (DE-588)4011425-9 gnd |
| topic_facet | Datenanalyse Öffentliche Meinung Methode Datenaufbereitung Demoskopie |
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| volume_link | (DE-604)BV017001014 |
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