Tsunami hazard analysis in Central America with emphasis on uncertainties:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Abschlussarbeit Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Potsdam
June 2015
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| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | 184 Seiten Diagramme, Karten |
Internformat
MARC
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| 100 | 1 | |a Zamora Sauma, Natalia |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)1089081936 |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Tsunami hazard analysis in Central America with emphasis on uncertainties |c von Natalia Zamora Sauma |
| 264 | 1 | |a Potsdam |c June 2015 | |
| 300 | |a 184 Seiten |b Diagramme, Karten | ||
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| 502 | |b Dissertation |c Universität Potsdam |d 2015 | ||
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| 999 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-028867859 | ||
Datensatz im Suchindex
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|---|---|
| adam_text | C
ONTENTS
1 IN TRO D U CTIO N
........................................................................................................................................********1
1.1 STUDY AREA AND TECTONIC SETTIN
..................................................
1
1.2 TSUNAMIGENESIS IN CENTRAL AMERICA
*
COLOMBIA AND ECUADOR
........................................................
3
1.3 PREVIOUS TSUNAMI HAZARD STUDIES ALONG THE * 1 - * *
.......................................................................5
1.4 AIMS OF THIS S T U D Y 8
1.5 STRUCTURE OF THE
THESIS................................................................................................................................
8
2 B ACK GROU N D : T SU N A M I HAZARD AN D N U M ERICA L M OD ELIN
G........................................................10
2.1 APPROACHES TO HAZARD ASSESSM
ENT......................................... 10
2.2 ANALOGIES TO SEISMIC H A Z A D A
....................................................
11
2.3 TSUNAMI HAZARD ANALYSIS FRAM
EWORK...............................................................................................
13
2.3.1 SCENARIO-BASED
APPROACH.................................................................................................................
13
2.3.2 PROBABILISTIC TSUNAMI HAZARD
ANALYSIS..............................................................................................14
2.4 STATISTICAL BASIS OF THE SEISMIC INDUCED TSUNAM
IS...............................................................................15
2.4.1 TSUNAMI HAZARD
CURVES.....................................................................................................................17
2.5 TSUNAMI NUMERICAL M
ODELING................................................................................................................18
2.5.1 TSUNAMI
GENERATION.............................................................................................
18
2.5.2 TSUNAMI
PROPAGATION........................................................................................................................19
2.5.3 TSUNAMI
INUNDATION.........................................................................................................................
21
3 T SU N A M I P O TEN TIA L FROM L O C A L S
T REN CH : S CEN A RIO -B A SED AP P RO A CH
..................................................................................................................22
3.1
INTRODUCTION................................................................................................................................................22
3.2
* A
CHARACTERIZATION OF SOUTHERN CENTRAL A M
ERICA..................................................25
3.2.1 TECTONIC EVOLUTION AND
SEGMENTATION.............................................................................................
25
3.2.2 MAIN EARTHQUAKES ALONG STUDY REGION FROM
1900-2012..................................................................
28
3.3 METHODS AND DATA
...................................................
30
3.3.1 EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS AND SURFACE
DEFORMATION...........................................................................
31
3.3.2 TSUNAMI
PROPAGATION...................................................................................
32
3.4 SELECTED FA U LT
**
^ ****************** 33
3.4.1 SEISMIC SOURCES ALONG PAPAGAYO-MASACHAPA
SEGMENT..................................................................34
3.4.2 SEISMIC SOURCES ALONG NICOYA SEGMENT: UNIFORM SLIP AND SLIP
DEFICIT DISTRIBUTION MODELS 37
3.4.3 SEISMIC SOURCES ALONG CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COSTA RICAN PACIFIC
MARGIN ........ 40
3.4.4 SEISMIC SOURCES ALONG THE OUTER RISE
SEGMENTS...........................................................................
41
3.5 RESULTS: SURFACE DEFORMATION AND TSUNAMI
POTENTIAL.......................................................................42
3.5.1 TSUNAMI THREAT FROM PAPAGAYO-MASACHAPA SEGMENT IN TU IA TE
EARTHQUAKES.. ........ .. 42
3.5.2 TSUNAMI THREAT FROM OFFSHORE NICOYA PENINSULA INTE^LATE
EARTHQUAKES
......................................
43
3.5.3 TSUNAMI THREAT FROM THE COSTA RICAN CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SEGMENTS
.
.....................................
44
3.5.4 TSUNAMI THREAT FROM THE OUTER RISE
EARTHQUAKES.............................................................................
45
3.6 D
ISCUSSION...................................................................................................................................................47
3.7
CONCLUSIONS.................................................................................................................................................49
4 F IRST STEP TO TH E P TH A IN C ENTRAL A M ERICA: AN ALYSIS O F SEISM
IC P ARAM ETERS AND
SEISM O -TECTO N IC Z O N E S
............................................................................................................................................50
4.1
INTRODUCTION.................................................................................................................................................50
4.2 TECTONIC FRAMEWORK OF THE CENTRAL AMERICA TRENCH MAT
SEGMENTATION 52
4.3 M
ETHODS......................................................................................................................................................
56
4.3.1 SEISMIC SOURCE (SEGMENT)
DELIMITATION...........................................................................................56
4.3.2 MAXIMUM MAGNIMDE IN SEISMOGENIC
SEGMENTS....................................................................
56
4.3.3 THE FREQUENCY-MAGNITUDE
DISTRIBUTION...........................................................................................57
4.3.4 RECURRENCE PERIODS OF LARGE
EARTHQUAKES........................................................................................59
4.4 SEISMIC CATALOGS AND
DATASETS................................................................................................................
59
4.4.1 DESCRIPTION OF SEISMIC
DATASETS.......................................................................................................
59
4.4.2 MAGNITUDE OF
COMPLETENESS............................................... 63
4.5 CHARACTERIZATION OF THE SEISMIC SOURCE ZONES AND THEIR SEISMIC
PARAMETERS 66
4.5.1 OUTER RISE SEGMENTS ALONG THE M
AT...............................................................................................67
4.5.2 CRUSTAL SEGMENTS (CARIBBEAN
PLATE)................................................................................................68
4.5.3 INTERFACE
SEGMENTS...........................................................................................................................
70
4.5.4 INTRASLAB
SEGMENTS............................................................................................................................71
4.6 EARTHQUAKE RATES FOR INTERPLATE 72
4.7 DISCUSSION AND C O N C LU ^
.....................................................................................................................74
4.7.1 SEISMIC SOURCE
ZONES.......................................................................................................................75
4.7.2 MAXIMUM
MAGNITUDES.....................................................................................................................75
4.7.3 B-VALUE AND RECURRENCE
TIMES..........................................................................................................
76
4.8
CONCLUSIONS................................................................................................................................................
77
5 P ROB AB ILISTIC TSU N AM I H AZARD ASSESSM ENT IN C EN TRAL A M E R
IC A
............................................
79
5.1
INTRODUCTION...............................................................................................................................................79
5.2 STEPS IN PTHA AND INPUT ^
*
********************************* 81
5.2.1 SEISMO-TECTONIC
ZONATION..................................................................................................................81
5.2.2 SEISMIC
PARAMETERS..........................................................................................................................
82
5.2.3 SYNTHETIC CATALOG GENERATION
PROCEDURE..........................................................................................83
5.2.4 TSUNAMI
MODELING...........................................................................................................................
87
5.2.5 HAZARD CURVES AND MAPS
5.3 R
ESULTS............................................................... 88
5.3.1 ANNUAL RATE OF
EXCEEDANCE...............................................................................................................89
5.3.2 EXPECTED PCTA FOR SPECIFIC RETURN
PERIODS...................................................................................
90
5.3.3 PROBABILITY OF
EXCEEDANCE...............................................................................................................92
5.4 DISCUSSION
5.5 TESTING THE P T H A
.................................................................................................
*******************************94
5.6
CONCLUSIONS................................................................................................................................................
96
6 SENSITIVITY OF THE TSUNAMI HAZARD VALUES TO INPUT PARAMETERS AND
ASSUMPTIONS: A
CASE STUDY IN CENTRAL
AMERICA........................................................................................................
98
6.1 INTRODUCTION
.............................................
99
6.2 PARAMETERS: SOURCES OF UNCERTAINTIES IN THE HAZARD ANALYSIS
......................................................
100
6.3
**
* *
****************************
6.3.1 VALIDATION OF TSUNAMI GREEN*S FUNCTIONS (G F
)...........................................................................
106
6.4 ANALYSIS OF THE SENSITIVITY OF THE HAZARD VALUES
*****************107
6.4.1 ZONATION
................................................................................
107
6.4.2 MAXIMUM
MAGNITUDE.....................................................................................................................
110
6.4.3 MAGNITUDE-FREQUENCY
DISTRIBUTION.................................................................................................
I L L
6.4.4 RAKE
ANGLES.....................................................................................................................................112
6.4.5 SCALING
RELATIONS ............................................................................................................................114
6.4.6 EFFECTS OF RIGIDITY DEPTH VARIATIONS
.............................................................................................116
6.4.7 SELECTION OF POINTS OF INTEREST
(POIS)...........................................................................................117
6.5 DISCUSSION AND
CONCLUSIONS.............................................................................................................**.120
7 CONCLUSIONS AND
OUTLOOK........................................................................................
.
123
7.1
SYNTHESIS...........................................................................................................
****.******************************123
7.2 OUTLOOK FOR FUTURE
STUDIES..................................................................................................................
126
APPENDIX A
L......................................................................................................................................142
APPENDIX
*2......................................................................................................................................142
8. REFERENCES
.............................................
167
|
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| language | English |
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| spelling | Zamora Sauma, Natalia Verfasser (DE-588)1089081936 aut Tsunami hazard analysis in Central America with emphasis on uncertainties von Natalia Zamora Sauma Potsdam June 2015 184 Seiten Diagramme, Karten txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Dissertation Universität Potsdam 2015 Tsunami (DE-588)4261303-6 gnd rswk-swf Risiko (DE-588)4050129-2 gnd rswk-swf Mittelamerika (DE-588)4039660-5 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Mittelamerika (DE-588)4039660-5 g Tsunami (DE-588)4261303-6 s Risiko (DE-588)4050129-2 s DE-188 DNB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028867859&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Zamora Sauma, Natalia Tsunami hazard analysis in Central America with emphasis on uncertainties Tsunami (DE-588)4261303-6 gnd Risiko (DE-588)4050129-2 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4261303-6 (DE-588)4050129-2 (DE-588)4039660-5 (DE-588)4113937-9 |
| title | Tsunami hazard analysis in Central America with emphasis on uncertainties |
| title_auth | Tsunami hazard analysis in Central America with emphasis on uncertainties |
| title_exact_search | Tsunami hazard analysis in Central America with emphasis on uncertainties |
| title_full | Tsunami hazard analysis in Central America with emphasis on uncertainties von Natalia Zamora Sauma |
| title_fullStr | Tsunami hazard analysis in Central America with emphasis on uncertainties von Natalia Zamora Sauma |
| title_full_unstemmed | Tsunami hazard analysis in Central America with emphasis on uncertainties von Natalia Zamora Sauma |
| title_short | Tsunami hazard analysis in Central America with emphasis on uncertainties |
| title_sort | tsunami hazard analysis in central america with emphasis on uncertainties |
| topic | Tsunami (DE-588)4261303-6 gnd Risiko (DE-588)4050129-2 gnd |
| topic_facet | Tsunami Risiko Mittelamerika Hochschulschrift |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028867859&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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