European integration and trade liberalization: modeling approaches for Eastern European countries
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| Format: | Abschlussarbeit Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
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2015
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| Beschreibung: | ix, 177 Blätter Illustrationen 30 cm |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a European integration and trade liberalization |b modeling approaches for Eastern European countries |c vorgelegt von Zoryana Olekseyuk |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | CONTENTS
1. MOTIVATION 1
2. A GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM EVALUATION OF THE FISCAL COSTS OF TRADE
LIBERALIZATION IN UKRAINE 7
2.1. INTRODUCTION 8
2.2. LITERATURE OVERVIEW 9
2.3. MODEL DESCRIPTION 10
2.4. DATA AND POLICY EXPERIMENTS 14
2.5. SIMULATION RESULTS 18
2.5.1. AGGREGATE EFFECTS 18
2.5.2. DISAGGREGATE RESULTS 22
2.5.3. ROBUSTNESS AND SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS 25
2.6. SUMMARY AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS 28
A. APPENDIX 29
3. ARE ARMINGTON ELASTICITIES DIFFERENT ACROSS COUNTRIES AND SECTORS? A
EUROPEAN STUDY 36
3.1. INTRODUCTION 37
3.2. LITERATURE REVIEW 38
3.3. THEORETICAL BACKGROUND 41
3.4. DATA AND ECONOMETRIC SPECIFICATION 42
3.4.1. DATA SOURCES AND LIMITATIONS 42
3.4.2. DATA TRANSFORMATION 43
3.4.3. TIME SERIES PROPERTIES 44
3.4.4. ECONOMETRIC PROCEDURE 45
3.5. RESULTS 45
3.5.1. SINGLE-SECTOR COINTEGRATION ANALYSIS 45
3.5.2. PANEL FIXED EFFECTS ANALYSIS 49
3.5.3. LIMITATIONS 53
3.6. EXAMPLE APPLICATION 54
3.7. CONCLUSION AND OUTLOOK 56
B. APPENDIX 57
4. TRADE LIBERALIZATION GAINS UNDER DIFFERENT TRADE THEORIES: A CASE
STUDY FOR UKRAINE 61
4.1. INTRODUCTION 62
4.2. LITERATURE REVIEW 63
4.3. THEORETICAL BACKGROUND 65
4.4. MODEL DESCRIPTION 66
M
HTTP://D-NB.INFO/1079940685
CONTENTS
4.5. DATA SOURCES AND SCENARIOS 71
4.6. RESULTS 73
4.7. ROBUSTNESS 79
4.8. CONCLUSIONS 81
C. APPENDIX 82
5. MODELING OF FDI IN BUSINESS SERVICES: ADDITIONAL EFFECTS IN CASE OF
UKRAINE S EUROPEAN
INTEGRATION 91
5.1. INTRODUCTION 92
5.2. LITERATURE REVIEW 93
5.3. MODEL DESCRIPTION 96
5.4. DATA SOURCES AND SIMULATION SCENARIOS 98
5.5. RESULTS 99
5.6. SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS 105
5.7. CONCLUSIONS 105
D. APPENDIX 108
6. THE IMPACT OF WTO ACCESSION AND COMPLEMENTARY STRUCTURAL REFORMS ON
THE ECONOMY
OF BELARUS: A QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION 118
6.1. INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY OF KEY RESULTS 119
6.2. OVERVIEW OF THE MODEL 121
6.2.1. LITERATURE REVIEW AND GENERAL MODEL FEATURES 121
6.2.2. PERFECTLY COMPETITIVE GOODS AND SERVICES SECTORS 123
6.2.3. GOODS PRODUCED SUBJECT TO INCREASING RETURNS TO SCALE 123
6.2.4. SERVICE SECTORS PRODUCED UNDER IRTS AND IMPERFECT COMPETITION 124
6.2.5. PRODUCTIVITY INCREASE FROM PRIVATIZATION 125
6.3. KEY DATA 125
6.3.1. SOCIAL ACCOUNTING MATRIX 125
6.3.2. DIXIT-STIGLITZ ELASTICITIES 127
6.3.3. AD VALOREM EQUIVALENCE OF BARRIERS TO FDI IN SERVICES SECTORS 127
6.3.4. SHARE OF THE SECTOR OUTPUT PRODUCED BY MULTINATIONAL SERVICE
PROVIDERS . . 129
6.3.5. NON-TARIFF MEASURES AND THEIR AVES 130
6.3.6. ANTIDUMPING ACTIONS AGAINST BELARUS AND EXPORT PRICE INCREASE 132
6.3.7. LABOR PRODUCTIVITY BY TYPE OF OWNERSHIP AND PRODUCTIVITY
INCREASES .... 132
6.3.8. TARIFF CHANGES IN BELARUS AS A RESULT OF RUSSIA S WTO COMMITMENTS
. . . 133
6.4. RESULTS OF WTO ACCESSION 133
6.4.1. AGGREGATE IMPACTS - MEDIUM TERM 134
6.4.2. SECTOR RESULTS 136
6.5. IMPACT OF REDUCTIONS IN THE COMMON EXTERNAL TARIFF OF THE CU 138
6.5.1. DEFINING THE SCENARIO: INCREASED COMPETITION FROM IMPORTS IN
BELARUS AND
PREFERENCE EROSION IN THE RUSSIA-KAZAKHSTAN MARKETS 138
6.5.2. RESULTS OF REDUCTIONS IN THE TARIFFS OF THE CU 139
6.6. IMPACT OF REDUCTION OF NON-DISCRIMINATORY SERVICES BARRIERS 139
CONTENTS
6.7. IMPACT OF INCREASE IN THE PRIVATE SECTOR SHARE 140
6.7.1. IMPACT OF PRIVATIZATION: VERY LARGE GAINS IN OUR CENTRAL SCENARIO
140
6.7.2. IMPACT OF ALTERNATE MODELING ASSUMPTIONS ON THE IMPACT OF
PRIVATIZATION . 141
6.8. IMPACTS OF BUSINESS SERVICES REFORMS IN INDIVIDUAL SECTORS 142
6.9. SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS 143
6.9.1. MODEL ASSUMPTIONS 143
6.9.2. PIECEMEAL SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS 144
6.10. CONCLUSIONS 145
7. CONCLUDING REMARKS 159
Titel: European integration and trade liberalization
Autor: Olekseyuk, Zoryana
Jahr: 2015
Contents
1. Motivation 1
2. A general equilibrium evaluation of the fiscal costs of trade liberalization in Ukraine 7
2.1. Introduction..............................................................................8
2.2. Literature overview......................................................................9
2.3. Model description........................................................................10
2.4. Data and policy experiments ..........................................................14
2.5. Simulation results........................................................................18
2.5.1. Aggregate effects................................................................18
2.5.2. Disaggregate results ............................................................22
2.5.3. Robustness and sensitivity analysis............................................25
2.6. Summary and policy implications......................................................28
A. Appendix................................................................................29
3. Are Armington elasticities different across countries and sectors? A European study 36
3.1. Introduction..............................................................................37
3.2. Literature review........................................................................38
3.3. Theoretical background ................................................................41
3.4. Data and econometric specification....................................................42
3.4.1. Data sources and limitations ..................................................42
3.4.2. Data transformation . .........................................................43
3.4.3. Time series properties..........................................................44
3.4.4. Econometric procedure..........................................................45
3.5. Results....................................................................................45
3.5.1. Single-sector cointegration analysis............................................45
3.5.2. Panel fixed effects analysis......................................................49
3.5.3. Limitations......................................................................53
3.6. Example application....................................................................54
3.7. Conclusion and outlook ................................................................56
B. Appendix................................................................................57
4. Trade liberalization gains under different trade theories: A case study for Ukraine 61
4.1. Introduction..............................................................................62
4.2. Literature review........................................................................63
4.3. Theoretical background ................................................................65
4.4. Model description........................................................................66
4.5. Data sources and scenarios..............................................................71
4.6. Results....................................................................................73
4.7. Robustness ..............................................................................79
4.8. Conclusions..............................................................................81
C. Appendix................................................................................82
5. Modeling of FDI in business services: Additional effects in case of Ukraine s European
integration gi
5.1. Introduction..............................................................................92
5.2. Literature review........................................................................93
5.3. Model description........................................................................96
5.4. Data sources and simulation scenarios................................................98
5.5. Results....................................................................................99
5.6. Sensitivity analysis.................................. . 105
5.7. Conclusions.......................................105
D. Appendix........................................108
6. The impact of WTO accession and complementary structural reforms on the economy
of Belarus: A quantitative evaluation 118
6.1. Introduction and summary of key results.......................119
6.2. Overview of the model.................................121
6.2.1. Literature review and general model features ................121
6.2.2. Perfectly competitive goods and services sectors...............123
6.2.3. Goods produced subject to increasing returns to scale...........123
6.2.4. Service sectors produced under IRTS and imperfect competition......124
6.2.5. Productivity increase from privatization...................125
6.3. Key data ........................................125
6.3.1. Social accounting matrix............................125
6.3.2. Dixit-Stiglitz elasticities............................127
6.3.3. Ad valorem equivalence of barriers to FDI in services sectors........127
6.3.4. Share of the sector output produced by multinational service providers . . 129
6.3.5. Non-tariff measures and their AVEs .....................130
6.3.6. Antidumping actions against Belarus and export price increase......132
6.3.7. Labor productivity by type of ownership and productivity increases .... 132
6.3.8. Tariff changes in Belarus as a result of Russia s WTO commitments . . . 133
6.4. Results of WTO accession...............................133
6.4.1. Aggregate impacts - medium term......................134
6.4.2. Sector results..................................136
6.5. Impact of reductions in the common external tariff of the CU...........138
6.5.1. Defining the scenario: increased competition from imports in Belarus and
preference erosion in the Russia-Kazakhstan markets............138
6.5.2. Results of reductions in the tariffs of the CU ................139
6.6. Impact of reduction of non-discriminatory services barriers.............139
6.7. Impact of increase in the private sector share....................140
6.7.1. Impact of privatization: very large gains in our central scenario......140
6.7.2. Impact of alternate modeling assumptions on the impact of privatization . 141
6.8. Impacts of business services reforms in individual sectors..............142
6.9. Sensitivity analysis...................................143
6.9.1. Model assumptions...............................143
6.9.2. Piecemeal sensitivity analysis.........................144
6.10. Conclusions.......................................145
7. Concluding remarks 159
|
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| title | European integration and trade liberalization modeling approaches for Eastern European countries |
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| title_full | European integration and trade liberalization modeling approaches for Eastern European countries vorgelegt von Zoryana Olekseyuk |
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| title_full_unstemmed | European integration and trade liberalization modeling approaches for Eastern European countries vorgelegt von Zoryana Olekseyuk |
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