Superforecasting: the art and science of prediction
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
New York
Crown Publishers
[2015]
|
| Ausgabe: | First Edition |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | 340 Seiten Diagramme |
| ISBN: | 9780804136716 9780804136693 |
Internformat
MARC
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| 999 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-028762826 | ||
Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804175894521053184 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
1. An Optimistic Skeptic 1
2. Illusions of Knowledge 24
3. Keeping Score 46
4. Superforecasters 81
3. Supersmart? 105
6. Superquants? 128
7. Supernewsjunkies? 153
8. Perpetual Beta 174
9. Superteams 193
10. The Leaders Dilemma 212
11. Are They Really So Super? 231
12. What’s Next? 250
Epilogue 271
An Invitation 275
Appendix: Ten Commandments for Aspiring Superforecasters 277
Acknowledgments 287
Notes 291
Index 329
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Tetlock, Philip E. 1954- Gardner, Dan 1968- |
| author_GND | (DE-588)134174186 (DE-588)1079037500 |
| author_facet | Tetlock, Philip E. 1954- Gardner, Dan 1968- |
| author_role | aut aut |
| author_sort | Tetlock, Philip E. 1954- |
| author_variant | p e t pe pet d g dg |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV043342976 |
| classification_rvk | QC 020 ST 302 MR 2950 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)927834323 (DE-599)BSZ446356611 |
| dewey-full | 303.49 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 303 - Social processes |
| dewey-raw | 303.49 |
| dewey-search | 303.49 |
| dewey-sort | 3303.49 |
| dewey-tens | 300 - Social sciences |
| discipline | Informatik Soziologie Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| edition | First Edition |
| format | Book |
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| id | DE-604.BV043342976 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T07:23:32Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9780804136716 9780804136693 |
| language | English |
| lccn | 2015007310 |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-028762826 |
| oclc_num | 927834323 |
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| physical | 340 Seiten Diagramme |
| publishDate | 2015 |
| publishDateSearch | 2015 |
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| publisher | Crown Publishers |
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| spelling | Tetlock, Philip E. 1954- Verfasser (DE-588)134174186 aut Superforecasting the art and science of prediction Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner First Edition New York Crown Publishers [2015] 340 Seiten Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Entscheidungsunterstützung (DE-588)4202171-6 gnd rswk-swf Sozialer Wandel (DE-588)4077587-2 gnd rswk-swf Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd rswk-swf Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 s Entscheidungsunterstützung (DE-588)4202171-6 s DE-604 Sozialer Wandel (DE-588)4077587-2 s Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 s Gardner, Dan 1968- Verfasser (DE-588)1079037500 aut Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe 978-0-8041-3670-9 Digitalisierung UB Bamberg - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028762826&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Tetlock, Philip E. 1954- Gardner, Dan 1968- Superforecasting the art and science of prediction Entscheidungsunterstützung (DE-588)4202171-6 gnd Sozialer Wandel (DE-588)4077587-2 gnd Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4202171-6 (DE-588)4077587-2 (DE-588)4047390-9 (DE-588)4066438-7 |
| title | Superforecasting the art and science of prediction |
| title_auth | Superforecasting the art and science of prediction |
| title_exact_search | Superforecasting the art and science of prediction |
| title_full | Superforecasting the art and science of prediction Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner |
| title_fullStr | Superforecasting the art and science of prediction Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner |
| title_full_unstemmed | Superforecasting the art and science of prediction Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner |
| title_short | Superforecasting |
| title_sort | superforecasting the art and science of prediction |
| title_sub | the art and science of prediction |
| topic | Entscheidungsunterstützung (DE-588)4202171-6 gnd Sozialer Wandel (DE-588)4077587-2 gnd Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd |
| topic_facet | Entscheidungsunterstützung Sozialer Wandel Prognose Wirtschaftsentwicklung |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028762826&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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