Krizisy i uroki: ėkonomika Rossii v ėpochu turbulentnosti
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | Russian |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Moskva
Izdatelʹstvo Instituta Gajdara
2016
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| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis Abstract Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | 485 Seiten Diagramme |
| ISBN: | 9785932554364 |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Содержание
Предисловие * 11
Введение. Экономические кризисы
в новейшей истории России · 15
Типология кризисов-15
Кризисные 1990-е ՝ 18
Турбулентное десятилетие: 2008-?· 26
I. КРИЗИСЫ И РЕВОЛЮЦИИ
Глава 1. Разрыв непрерывности:
особенности революционной трансформации · 35
Революция и модернизация *39
Экономические проблемы революции ’49
Глава 2. Посткоммунистическая Россия:
специфика революционных преобразований ♦ 57
Слабое государство * 59
Отложенная стабилизация · 66
Конституционные проблемы российской трансформации ■ 74
Социально-политические аспекты приватизации -84
II. КРИЗИС 1998 ГОДА
Глава 3. Предпосылки финансового кризиса 1998 г.
в России * 93
Глава 4. Хроника финансового кризиса -99
Глава 5. Политическая природа финансового кризиса-114
Бюджетный дефицит как проблема политическая
и конституционная · 114
Консолидация власти и политические конфликты
в условиях финансового кризиса-119
Финансовый кризис и правительство С. Кириенко · 124
5
Глава 6. Антикризисная политика *131
Первые шаги · 131
Экономико-политические альтернативы · 133
Разработка экономической программы *139
Контуры антикризисной экономической политики · 149
Глава 7. Результаты финансового кризиса 1998 г. -155
Экономические результаты * 155
Социально-политические результаты * 157
III. ВЫЗОВЫ ГЛОБАЛЬНОГО КРИЗИСА
Глава 8. Глобальный кризис: исторический контекст
и непосредственные истоки · 169
Глава 9. Антикризис: ярлыки, страхи, ловушки *176
Глава ю. В поисках новой экономической модели-і86
IV. ГЛОБАЛЬНЫЙ КРИЗИС
В РОССИЙСКОМ ИСПОЛНЕНИИ
Глава п. Драма 2008 г.: от экономического чуда
к экономическому кризису» 203
Особенности кризиса в России · 204
Борьба с кризисом в России · 208
Глава 12. Экономическая политика 2009 г.:
между кризисом и модернизацией * 214
Главный итог кризисного года: институциональная
устойчивость - 214
Контуры антикризисной политики · 216
Барьеры и риски - 221
Глава 13. Экономическая политика 2010 г.:
в поисках инноваций * 224
В центре экономической политики * 224
Новая модель роста · 238
Структурная модернизация в условиях рентной
экономики * 244
Глава 14. Экономическая политика 2011 г,:
глобальный кризис и поиск новой модели роста * 246
Экономическая динамика - 246
Исчерпание старой модели роста - 251
6
Глава 15. Экономическая политика 2012 г.:
между модернизацией и застоем-262
Восстановление роста в условиях кризиса· 262
Сденарии и ловушки · 267
Приоритеты экономической политики-271
Глава іб. Экономическая политика 2013 г.:
перестройка или ускорение?· 277
Особенности социально-экономического развития России
в 2013 г. · 278
Проблемы экономического роста-289
Социально-экономические риски кратко- и среднесрочного
периодов · 293
Глава 17. Экономическая политика 2014 г.:
новые рубежи и старые вызовы-302
Наложение кризисов-302
Экономические особенности 2014 г. -304
Дискуссии об экономической политике-311
Глава 18. Глобальный кризис в условиях
геополитического противостояния: 2015 г. -323
Особенности нового этапа *323
Каналы влияния санкций на российскую экономику-327
Среднесрочные ограничения экономического роста-332
V. КОНТУРЫ ПОСТКРИЗИСНОГО МИРА
Глава 19. Глобальный кризис и тенденции
экономического развития -341
Глобальные кризисы — общее и особенное-341
Экономический рост и его стимулирование *348
Новые контуры макроэкономической политики-354
Глобализация и глобальные дисбалансы-361
Тенденции реиндустриализации *368
Глава 20. Человеческий капитал:
вызовы для России · 370
Поиск национальных приоритетов *370
Современные особенности отраслей человеческого
капитала *374
Проблемы профессионального образования 378
Современное здравоохранение *387
Перспективы пенсионной системы-391
7
Заключение. Приоритеты экономической политики
на среднесрочную перспективу· 399
БИБЛИОГРАФИЯ *411
ПРИЛОЖЕНИЯ
ПРИЛОЖЕНИЕ А. Интервью
Качественный рост с опорой на институты · 4.21
Резервный фонд дестимулирует и ослабляет
экономику · 443
ПРИЛОЖЕНИЕ Б. Таблицы и графики *460
АННОТИРОВАННЫЙ УКАЗАТЕЛЬ ИМЕН-477
SUMMARY
This book deals with the modern global crisis and its evolution in
Russia. The analysis is being carried out in the context of the experi-
ence of large-scale global and structural crises of the twentieth century.
The specificity of the situation in Russia is determined by the over-
lapping and interaction of several crises, which, though complex, are
not unprecedented and can be observed in the world and in domes-
tic economic history of the twentieth century. The experience of the
two previous systems crises of the 1930s and 1970s appears to be rel-
evant, for these spawned new economic models and new approach-
es to theoretical research. It is also important to take into considera-
tion radical, indeed revolutionary transformations in Russia twice in
the 20th century.
However, experience of the past is only one side of the analysis of
the current global crisis. This crisis creates a new reality that demands
new approaches to its comprehension and resolution. Attempts to re-
peat the experience of economic policies from previous crises often
appear counterproductive and only aggravate the crisis phenomena.
In the course of this work, the author became determined to com-
bine the historical and the problem approaches within the structure
of this book, as follows.
In the Introduction, the author offers the general overview of the
crises which the Russian economy faced, starting from the dissolution
of the communist system.
Part I discusses the lessons of the revolutionary crises and transfor-
mations. Full-scale revolution is an exceptionally rare phenomenon;
however, for all their uniqueness, revolutionary transformations have
a range of common features. Russia’s post-communist transition was
this type of event.
Part II considers the financial crisis in Russia in 1998. It finalized
the post-communist transformation and determined to a large extent
the social and economic model of the country’s development for the
following fifteen years.
In Part III, the global crisis of 2008 is analyzed in the context of the
crises of the 1930s and 1970s.
Part IV deals with the special features of global crisis in Russia.
Finally, Part V discusses key problems of the post-crisis social and
economic development agenda in Russia and the world.
The Appendices contain two interviews of the author from 2014 and
2015 and some statistical data.
Научное издание
Владимир Мау
КРИЗИСЫ И УРОКИ
Экономика России
в эпоху турбулентности
Главный редактор издательства Валерий Анашвили
Научный редактор издательства Артем Смирнов
Выпускающий редактор Елена Попова
Корректор Ольга Соколова
Дизайн обложки Владимира Вертинского
Верстка Сергея Зиновьева
Издательство Института Гайдара
125009, Москва, Газетный пер., д. 3-5, стр. і
Подписано в печать 28.10.2015.
Тираж юоо экз. Формат 60x90/16.
Отпечатано в филиале «Чеховский Печатный Двор»
АО «Первая Образцовая типография»
www.chpd.ru. Тел. 8(499)270-73-59
142300, Московская обл., г. Чехов, ул. Полиграфистов, і
Vladimir Mau
CRISES AND LESSONS
Russia’s Economy in
an Epoch of Turbulence
CONTENTS
Foreword * li
Introduction Economic Crises in the Contemporary History of
Russia · 15
A typology of crises · 15
The transformational 90’s * 18
The turbulent decade: 2008—? * 26
I. CRISES AND REVOLUTIONS
Chapter 1. A Break in Continuity: A Revolutionary
Transformation * 35
Revolution and modernization · 39
Economic problems of revolution * 49
Chapter 2. Post-Communist Russia: Revolution and Economic
Transformation in Russia · 57
A weak state * 59
Suspended stabilization * 66
Constitution and post-communist transformation * 74
Social and political problems of privatization · 84
II. THE RUSSIAN CRISIS OF 1998
Chapter 3. Prerequisites of the Financial Crisis of 1998 * 93
Chapter 4. A Chronicle of the Financial Crisis in Russia * 99
Chapter 5. The Political Nature of the Financial Crisis * 114
Budget deficits as a political and constitutional problem · 114
Political consolidation and political conflicts amidst the financial
crisis · 119
Financial crisis and Sergey Kiriyenko’s government · 124
Chapter 6. The Anti-Crisis Policy · 131
First steps · 131
483
Economic and political alternatives · 133
The Anti-crisis program * 139
Anti-crisis economic policy · 149
Chapter 7. Results of the Financial Crisis of 1998 * 155
Economic results · 155
Social and political results * 157
III. THE CHALLENGES OF GLOBAL CRISIS
Chapter 8. Global Crisis: Historical Background and Genuine
Reasons · 169
Chapter 9. Anti-Crisis Policies: Labels, Fears, Traps · 176
Chapter 10. In Search of a New Economic Model · 186
IV. GLOBAL CRISIS IN RUSSIA
Chapter 11. The Drama of 2008: From Economic Miracle to
Economic Crisis · 203
Peculiarities of the crisis in Russia * 204
Russia’s struggle against the crisis * 208
Chapter 12. The Economic Policy of 2009: Between Crisis and
Modernization · 214
The main outcome of the crisis year: institutional sustainability · 214
The outlines of the anti-crisis policy · 216
Barriers and risks * 221
Chapter 13. The Economic Policy of 2010: In Search of
Innovations * 224
In the centre of economic policy ■ 224
A new model of economic growth · 238
Structural modernization in a rent-based economy on rents * 244
Chapter 14. The Economic Policy of 2011: Global Crisis and
Prospects of New Model of Economic Growth * 246
Economic dynamics · 246
Exhaustion of the old model * 251
Chapter 15. The Economic Policy of 2012: Between
Modernization and Stagnation * 262
Growth recovery during the crisis · 262
Scenarios and traps ■ 267
Priorities of economic policy · 271
Chapter 16. The Economic Policy of 2013: Restructuring or
Acceleration? · 277
Social and economic development in 2013 * 278
484
Challenges of economic growth · 289
Social and economic risks of short- and medium-terms - 293
Chapter 17. The Economic Policy of 2014: New Horizons and
Old Challenges · 302
The overlapping of crises · 302
The economic peculiarities of 2014 - 304
Discussions about economic policy - 311
Chapter 18. Global Crisis and Geopolitical Confrontation:
2015 * 323
Peculiarities of the new stage · 323
Channels of sanctions’ influence on the Russian economy · 327
Medium-term challenges of economic growth * 332
V. PROSPECTS OF THE POST-CRISIS WORLD
Chapter 19. Global Crisis and Economic Trends · 341
Global crises: common and peculiar ■ 341
Economic growth and its stimulation * 348
New challenges of macroeconomic policy · 354
Globalization and global imbalances · 361
Trends of reindustrialization · 368
Chapter 20. Human Capital: Challenges for Russia · 370
New national priorities - 370
Current trends of human capital * 374
Professional education · 378
Healthcare · 387
Prospects for the pension system -397
Conclusion. Priorities of Economic Policy in the Medium-Term
Prospect · 399
BIBLIOGRAPHY *411
APPENDICES
appendix a. Interviews * 421
Institution-driven growth · 421
Reserve Fund discourages and weakens the economy · 443
appendix B. Tables and graphs · 460
ANNOTATED LIST OF NAMES *477
485
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| geographic | Russland (DE-588)4076899-5 gnd |
| geographic_facet | Russland |
| id | DE-604.BV043335173 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T07:23:22Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9785932554364 |
| language | Russian |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-028755237 |
| oclc_num | 955394496 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-12 DE-Re13 DE-BY-UBR |
| owner_facet | DE-12 DE-Re13 DE-BY-UBR |
| physical | 485 Seiten Diagramme |
| publishDate | 2016 |
| publishDateSearch | 2016 |
| publishDateSort | 2016 |
| publisher | Izdatelʹstvo Instituta Gajdara |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Mau, Vladimir Aleksandrovič 1959- Verfasser (DE-588)135730201 aut Krizisy i uroki ėkonomika Rossii v ėpochu turbulentnosti Vladimir Mau Moskva Izdatelʹstvo Instituta Gajdara 2016 485 Seiten Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Text russisch, Zusammenfassung in englischer Sprache Kyrillische Schrift Geschichte 1991-1998 gnd rswk-swf Geschichte 2008-2015 gnd rswk-swf Weltwirtschaft (DE-588)4065468-0 gnd rswk-swf Finanzkrise (DE-588)7635855-0 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftskrise (DE-588)4066466-1 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftspolitik (DE-588)4066493-4 gnd rswk-swf Russland (DE-588)4076899-5 gnd rswk-swf Russland (DE-588)4076899-5 g Wirtschaftspolitik (DE-588)4066493-4 s Finanzkrise (DE-588)7635855-0 s Geschichte 1991-1998 z DE-604 Wirtschaftskrise (DE-588)4066466-1 s Weltwirtschaft (DE-588)4065468-0 s Geschichte 2008-2015 z Digitalisierung BSB Muenchen 19 - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028755237&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis Digitalisierung BSB Muenchen 19 - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028755237&sequence=000002&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Abstract Digitalisierung BSB Muenchen 19 - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028755237&sequence=000003&line_number=0003&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Mau, Vladimir Aleksandrovič 1959- Krizisy i uroki ėkonomika Rossii v ėpochu turbulentnosti Weltwirtschaft (DE-588)4065468-0 gnd Finanzkrise (DE-588)7635855-0 gnd Wirtschaftskrise (DE-588)4066466-1 gnd Wirtschaftspolitik (DE-588)4066493-4 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4065468-0 (DE-588)7635855-0 (DE-588)4066466-1 (DE-588)4066493-4 (DE-588)4076899-5 |
| title | Krizisy i uroki ėkonomika Rossii v ėpochu turbulentnosti |
| title_auth | Krizisy i uroki ėkonomika Rossii v ėpochu turbulentnosti |
| title_exact_search | Krizisy i uroki ėkonomika Rossii v ėpochu turbulentnosti |
| title_full | Krizisy i uroki ėkonomika Rossii v ėpochu turbulentnosti Vladimir Mau |
| title_fullStr | Krizisy i uroki ėkonomika Rossii v ėpochu turbulentnosti Vladimir Mau |
| title_full_unstemmed | Krizisy i uroki ėkonomika Rossii v ėpochu turbulentnosti Vladimir Mau |
| title_short | Krizisy i uroki |
| title_sort | krizisy i uroki ekonomika rossii v epochu turbulentnosti |
| title_sub | ėkonomika Rossii v ėpochu turbulentnosti |
| topic | Weltwirtschaft (DE-588)4065468-0 gnd Finanzkrise (DE-588)7635855-0 gnd Wirtschaftskrise (DE-588)4066466-1 gnd Wirtschaftspolitik (DE-588)4066493-4 gnd |
| topic_facet | Weltwirtschaft Finanzkrise Wirtschaftskrise Wirtschaftspolitik Russland |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028755237&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028755237&sequence=000002&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028755237&sequence=000003&line_number=0003&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT mauvladimiraleksandrovic krizisyiurokiekonomikarossiivepochuturbulentnosti |
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