Straight choices: the psychology of decision making
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
London ; New York
Psychology Press, Taylor & Francis Group
2015
|
| Ausgabe: | Second edition |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Literaturverzeichnis Seite [262] - 295 |
| Beschreibung: | xii, 306 Seiten Diagramme |
| ISBN: | 9781848722835 |
Internformat
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
Preface
A chu ot vie âge / neufs
1 Falling ofF the straight and narrow
Our approach a fid the plan of this hook 2
Occisions, decisions ... 3
Summary 13
2 Decision quality and a historical context
Intuitions about decision quality 15
A formal approach to decision quality 17
A brief history ofjudgment and decision-making research 20
Summary 24
3 Stages of judgment I: discovering, acquiring and
combining information
Conceptualizing judgment: the lens model 21
Discovering information 29
Acquiring information 3 1
Combining information 35
Summary 46
4 Stages of judgment II: feedback effects and
dynamic environments
Learning from feed b ack 5 0
Peed back or feed forward? 52
Decision making in dynamic environments 56
Summary 59
viii Contents
5 Appraising probability judgments
Correspondence versus coherence criteria 60
Bayesian model of probability updating 65
Updating beliefs with multiple variables 12
Summary 15
6 Judgmental heuristics and biases
Errors of coherence 16
Support theory 82
Errors of correspondence 84
Cascaded inference 88
The frequency effect 89
Summary 94
7 Associative thinking
Associative theories of probability judgment 91
Extending the associative model 98
Associative thinking and mental simulation 104
Summary 108
8 Analysing decisions I: a general framework
A framework for analysing decisions ItO
The axioms of expected utility theory 115
Summary 121
9 Analysing decisions II: prospect theory and
preference reversals
Reference-dependence 122
Tlie four fold pattern 121
Framing 130
Preference reversals 135
Compatibility and evaluability 136
Effect of experience on preference reversals 140
Summary 141
10 Decisions from experience
A description—experience gap? 143
Why under-weighting in repeated consequential decisions? 141
Beyond the description—experience gap 150
Summary 150
Contents ix
11 Decisions across time 152
Hindsight and other time-related biases 153
Predicting pleasure and pain 156
Direct effects of time 159
Discount rates 163
Anticipated emotions 165
Summary 169
12 Learning to choose, choosing to learn 171
Probability matching 174
The linear model 177
Choice rules 184
Summary 185
13 Optimality and expertise 186
How close can a decision maker get to optimality? 186
Can experts overcome decision biases? 189
Limitations of the linear model 191
Exemplar theories 193
Expertise 195
Naturalistic decision making 197
Summary 199
14 Two systems of judgment and decision making? 201
Characteristics of the two systems 202
Evidence for two systems or theoretical Stone soup’? 205
Awareness, insight and unconscious influences 207
Summary 215
15 Emotional influences on decision making 218
Affective forecasting 219
Decisions and emotions 221
The affect heuristic and risk as feelings 224
Imagery, affect and decisions 226
Summary 229
16 Group decision making 231
Intellective and judgment tasks 232
Achieving a consensus 234
Harnessing the wisdom of the crowd 238
Groupthink: model and evidence 239
Summary 242
X
Contents
17 Applying psychological insights to the world
outside the laboratory 243
Individual techniques for improving decision making 243
Cultural techniques for improving decision making 247
Tools for improving decision making 250
Choice architecture: the ultimate tool? 253
Summary 254
18 Learning to make good decisions: when, how
and why (not) ? 256
When does decision making improve? 256
How and why does decision making improve? 258
Concluding remarks 261
References 262
Index 297
|
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| id | DE-604.BV043332347 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T07:23:18Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9781848722835 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-028752493 |
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| physical | xii, 306 Seiten Diagramme |
| publishDate | 2015 |
| publishDateSearch | 2015 |
| publishDateSort | 2015 |
| publisher | Psychology Press, Taylor & Francis Group |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Newell, Benjamin R. 1972- Verfasser (DE-588)135713870 aut Straight choices the psychology of decision making Ben R. Newell, David A. Lagnado and David R. Shanks Second edition London ; New York Psychology Press, Taylor & Francis Group 2015 xii, 306 Seiten Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Literaturverzeichnis Seite [262] - 295 Lernpsychologie (DE-588)4074166-7 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 s Lernpsychologie (DE-588)4074166-7 s DE-604 Lagnado, David A. Verfasser aut Shanks, David R. 1960- Verfasser (DE-588)135713951 aut Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe 978-1-315-72708-0 Digitalisierung UB Regensburg - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028752493&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Newell, Benjamin R. 1972- Lagnado, David A. Shanks, David R. 1960- Straight choices the psychology of decision making Lernpsychologie (DE-588)4074166-7 gnd Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4074166-7 (DE-588)4113446-1 |
| title | Straight choices the psychology of decision making |
| title_auth | Straight choices the psychology of decision making |
| title_exact_search | Straight choices the psychology of decision making |
| title_full | Straight choices the psychology of decision making Ben R. Newell, David A. Lagnado and David R. Shanks |
| title_fullStr | Straight choices the psychology of decision making Ben R. Newell, David A. Lagnado and David R. Shanks |
| title_full_unstemmed | Straight choices the psychology of decision making Ben R. Newell, David A. Lagnado and David R. Shanks |
| title_short | Straight choices |
| title_sort | straight choices the psychology of decision making |
| title_sub | the psychology of decision making |
| topic | Lernpsychologie (DE-588)4074166-7 gnd Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | Lernpsychologie Entscheidungsfindung |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028752493&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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