Global demographic change and its implications for military power:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Santa Monica, CA
RAND
2011
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Rand Corporation monograph series
MG-1091-AF. |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | FAW01 FAW02 Volltext |
| Beschreibung: | Title from PDF title page (viewed on July 29, 2011). - "Prepared for the United States Air Force." What is the impact of demographics on the prospective production of military power and the causes of war? This monograph analyzes this issue by projecting working-age populations through 2050; assessing the influence of demographics on manpower, national income and expenditures, and human capital; and examining how changes in these factors may affect the ability of states to carry out military missions. It also looks at some implications of these changes for other aspects of international security. The authors find that the United States, alone of all the large affluent nations, will continue to see (modest) increases in its working-age population thanks to replacement-level fertility rates and a likely return to vigorous levels of immigration. Meanwhile, the working-age populations of Europe and Japan are slated to fall by as much as 10 to 15 percent by 2030 and as much as 30 to 40 percent by 2050. The United States will thus account for a larger percentage of the population of its Atlantic and Pacific alliances; in other words, the capacity of traditional alliances to multiply U.S. demographic power is likely to decline, perhaps sharply, through 2050. India's working-age population is likely to overtake China's by 2030. The United States, which has 4.7 percent of the world's working-age population, will still have 4.3 percent by 2050, and the current share of global gross domestic product accounted for by the U.S. economy is likely to stay quite high Includes bibliographical references (p. 131-141) Introduction -- Numbers -- Long-term trends in national GDP -- The economic burden of aging populations -- The influence of demographics on the causes of war -- The impact of demographic trends on military power projection -- Implications |
| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (xxviii, 141 p.) |
| ISBN: | 0833052454 0833052470 9780833052452 9780833052476 |
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| 500 | |a Title from PDF title page (viewed on July 29, 2011). - "Prepared for the United States Air Force." | ||
| 500 | |a What is the impact of demographics on the prospective production of military power and the causes of war? This monograph analyzes this issue by projecting working-age populations through 2050; assessing the influence of demographics on manpower, national income and expenditures, and human capital; and examining how changes in these factors may affect the ability of states to carry out military missions. It also looks at some implications of these changes for other aspects of international security. The authors find that the United States, alone of all the large affluent nations, will continue to see (modest) increases in its working-age population thanks to replacement-level fertility rates and a likely return to vigorous levels of immigration. Meanwhile, the working-age populations of Europe and Japan are slated to fall by as much as 10 to 15 percent by 2030 and as much as 30 to 40 percent by 2050. The United States will thus account for a larger percentage of the population of its Atlantic and Pacific alliances; in other words, the capacity of traditional alliances to multiply U.S. demographic power is likely to decline, perhaps sharply, through 2050. India's working-age population is likely to overtake China's by 2030. The United States, which has 4.7 percent of the world's working-age population, will still have 4.3 percent by 2050, and the current share of global gross domestic product accounted for by the U.S. economy is likely to stay quite high | ||
| 500 | |a Includes bibliographical references (p. 131-141) | ||
| 500 | |a Introduction -- Numbers -- Long-term trends in national GDP -- The economic burden of aging populations -- The influence of demographics on the causes of war -- The impact of demographic trends on military power projection -- Implications | ||
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804175648818724864 |
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| any_adam_object | |
| author | Libicki, Martin C. |
| author_GND | (DE-588)170830373 (DE-588)128513357 |
| author_facet | Libicki, Martin C. |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Libicki, Martin C. |
| author_variant | m c l mc mcl |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV043169799 |
| collection | ZDB-4-EBA |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)743306183 (DE-599)BVBBV043169799 |
| dewey-full | 355/.033073 |
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| dewey-ones | 355 - Military science |
| dewey-raw | 355/.033073 |
| dewey-search | 355/.033073 |
| dewey-sort | 3355 533073 |
| dewey-tens | 350 - Public administration and military science |
| discipline | Militärwissenschaft |
| format | Electronic eBook |
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| id | DE-604.BV043169799 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T07:19:38Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 0833052454 0833052470 9780833052452 9780833052476 |
| language | English |
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| spelling | Libicki, Martin C. Verfasser (DE-588)170830373 aut Global demographic change and its implications for military power Martin C. Libicki, Howard J. Shatz, Julie E. Taylor Santa Monica, CA RAND 2011 1 Online-Ressource (xxviii, 141 p.) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier Rand Corporation monograph series MG-1091-AF. Title from PDF title page (viewed on July 29, 2011). - "Prepared for the United States Air Force." What is the impact of demographics on the prospective production of military power and the causes of war? This monograph analyzes this issue by projecting working-age populations through 2050; assessing the influence of demographics on manpower, national income and expenditures, and human capital; and examining how changes in these factors may affect the ability of states to carry out military missions. It also looks at some implications of these changes for other aspects of international security. The authors find that the United States, alone of all the large affluent nations, will continue to see (modest) increases in its working-age population thanks to replacement-level fertility rates and a likely return to vigorous levels of immigration. Meanwhile, the working-age populations of Europe and Japan are slated to fall by as much as 10 to 15 percent by 2030 and as much as 30 to 40 percent by 2050. The United States will thus account for a larger percentage of the population of its Atlantic and Pacific alliances; in other words, the capacity of traditional alliances to multiply U.S. demographic power is likely to decline, perhaps sharply, through 2050. India's working-age population is likely to overtake China's by 2030. The United States, which has 4.7 percent of the world's working-age population, will still have 4.3 percent by 2050, and the current share of global gross domestic product accounted for by the U.S. economy is likely to stay quite high Includes bibliographical references (p. 131-141) Introduction -- Numbers -- Long-term trends in national GDP -- The economic burden of aging populations -- The influence of demographics on the causes of war -- The impact of demographic trends on military power projection -- Implications United States United States Armed Forces Manpower Forecasting HISTORY / Military / Other bisacsh TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING / Military Science bisacsh SOCIAL SCIENCE / Demography bisacsh Balance of power Forecasting Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd rswk-swf Militärische Macht (DE-588)4169950-6 gnd rswk-swf Alternde Bevölkerung (DE-588)4334479-3 gnd rswk-swf Sicherheitspolitik (DE-588)4116489-1 gnd rswk-swf USA Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 s Alternde Bevölkerung (DE-588)4334479-3 s Militärische Macht (DE-588)4169950-6 s Sicherheitspolitik (DE-588)4116489-1 s 1\p DE-604 Shatz, Howard J. 1960- Sonstige (DE-588)128513357 oth Taylor, Julie E. Sonstige oth Project Air Force (U.S.) Sonstige oth Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe, Paperback 0-8330-5177-6 Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe, Paperback 978-0-8330-5177-6 http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&db=nlabk&AN=391559 Aggregator Volltext 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Libicki, Martin C. Global demographic change and its implications for military power United States United States Armed Forces Manpower Forecasting HISTORY / Military / Other bisacsh TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING / Military Science bisacsh SOCIAL SCIENCE / Demography bisacsh Balance of power Forecasting Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd Militärische Macht (DE-588)4169950-6 gnd Alternde Bevölkerung (DE-588)4334479-3 gnd Sicherheitspolitik (DE-588)4116489-1 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4006292-2 (DE-588)4169950-6 (DE-588)4334479-3 (DE-588)4116489-1 |
| title | Global demographic change and its implications for military power |
| title_auth | Global demographic change and its implications for military power |
| title_exact_search | Global demographic change and its implications for military power |
| title_full | Global demographic change and its implications for military power Martin C. Libicki, Howard J. Shatz, Julie E. Taylor |
| title_fullStr | Global demographic change and its implications for military power Martin C. Libicki, Howard J. Shatz, Julie E. Taylor |
| title_full_unstemmed | Global demographic change and its implications for military power Martin C. Libicki, Howard J. Shatz, Julie E. Taylor |
| title_short | Global demographic change and its implications for military power |
| title_sort | global demographic change and its implications for military power |
| topic | United States United States Armed Forces Manpower Forecasting HISTORY / Military / Other bisacsh TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING / Military Science bisacsh SOCIAL SCIENCE / Demography bisacsh Balance of power Forecasting Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd Militärische Macht (DE-588)4169950-6 gnd Alternde Bevölkerung (DE-588)4334479-3 gnd Sicherheitspolitik (DE-588)4116489-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | United States United States Armed Forces Manpower Forecasting HISTORY / Military / Other TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING / Military Science SOCIAL SCIENCE / Demography Balance of power Forecasting Bevölkerungsentwicklung Militärische Macht Alternde Bevölkerung Sicherheitspolitik USA |
| url | http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&db=nlabk&AN=391559 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT libickimartinc globaldemographicchangeanditsimplicationsformilitarypower AT shatzhowardj globaldemographicchangeanditsimplicationsformilitarypower AT taylorjuliee globaldemographicchangeanditsimplicationsformilitarypower AT projectairforceus globaldemographicchangeanditsimplicationsformilitarypower |