Characterizing the North Korean nuclear missile threat:
Gespeichert in:
Bibliographische Detailangaben
1. Verfasser: Schiller, Markus (VerfasserIn)
Format: Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Santa Monica, CA RAND 2012
Schriftenreihe:Technical report (Rand Corporation) TR-1268-TSF.
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:FAW01
FAW02
Volltext
Beschreibung:"Supported by the Stanton Foundation."
Includes bibliographical references (pages 109-113)
Introduction -- Missile basics -- The problem -- Defining five hypotheses about the North Korean program -- What we know -- Consistency check -- Discussion -- What we would like to know -- Conclusions
The security community generally believes that North Korea acquired Soviet guided ballistic missiles from Egypt in the 1980s, reverse engineered them, and has indigenously produced and deployed in North Korea perhaps 1,000 ballistic missiles of various types. This report questions this common view and seeks to better characterize the North Korean missile threat. The author compares the available data on the North Korean missile program against five hypotheses about the program's origins, sophistication, and scale, highlighting inconsistencies. The author finds that the most plausible characterization of the North Korean missile program is what he terms the "Bluff" hypothesis: The main purpose of the program is political -- to create the impression of a serious missile threat and thereby gain strategic leverage, fortify the North Korean regime's domestic power, and deter other countries, particularly the Republic of Korea and the United States, from military action. The author maintains that the North Korean missile program's operational readiness seems to be secondary, and that therefore the threat posed by it has been exaggerated
Beschreibung:1 Online-Ressource (xxi, 113 pages)
ISBN:0833076213
0833076477
0833076485
0833076493
9780833076472
9780833076489
9780833076496

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