Dangerous thresholds: managing escalation in the 21st century
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Santa Monica, CA
RAND Project Air Force
2008
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Rand Corporation monograph series
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | FAW01 FAW02 Volltext |
| Beschreibung: | "MG-614-AF"--P. [4] of cover. - "Prepared for the United States Air Force." Includes bibliographical references (p. 225-245) Ch. 1. Introduction -- - Ch. 2 - The nature of escalation -- - Ch. 3 - China's thinking on escalation: evidence from Chinese military writings -- - Ch. 4 - Regional nuclear powers -- - Ch. 5 - Escalation in irregular warfare -- - Ch. 6 - Managing escalation in a complex world -- - App. A. China, force, and escalation: continuities between historical behavior and contemporary writings -- - App. B. Case studies of escalation in stability operations -- - App. C. Modified method for Delphi analyses "Escalation is a natural tendency in any form of human competition. When such competition entails military confrontation or war, the pressure to escalate can become intense due to the potential cost of losing contests of deadly force. Cold War-era thinking about escalation focused on the dynamics of bipolar, superpower confrontation and strategies to control it. Today's security environment, however, demands that the United States be prepared for a host of escalatory threats involving not only longstanding nuclear powers, but also new, lesser nuclear powers and irregular adversaries, such as insurgent groups and terrorists. This examination of escalation dynamics and approaches to escalation management draws on historical examples from World War I to the struggle against global jihad. It reveals that, to manage the risks of escalatory chain reactions in future conflicts, military and political leaders will need to understand and dampen the mechanisms of deliberate, accidental, and inadvertent escalation. Informing the analysis are the results of two modified Delphi exercises, which focused on a potential conflict between China and the United States over Taiwan and a potential conflict between states and nonstate actors in the event of a collapse of Pakistan's government."--Jacket |
| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (xxvii, 245 p.) |
| ISBN: | 0833046365 9780833046369 |
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| geographic_facet | USA |
| id | DE-604.BV043101747 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T07:17:28Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 0833046365 9780833046369 |
| language | English |
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| physical | 1 Online-Ressource (xxvii, 245 p.) |
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| spelling | Dangerous thresholds managing escalation in the 21st century Forrest E. Morgan ... [et al.] Santa Monica, CA RAND Project Air Force 2008 1 Online-Ressource (xxvii, 245 p.) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier Rand Corporation monograph series "MG-614-AF"--P. [4] of cover. - "Prepared for the United States Air Force." Includes bibliographical references (p. 225-245) Ch. 1. Introduction -- - Ch. 2 - The nature of escalation -- - Ch. 3 - China's thinking on escalation: evidence from Chinese military writings -- - Ch. 4 - Regional nuclear powers -- - Ch. 5 - Escalation in irregular warfare -- - Ch. 6 - Managing escalation in a complex world -- - App. A. China, force, and escalation: continuities between historical behavior and contemporary writings -- - App. B. Case studies of escalation in stability operations -- - App. C. Modified method for Delphi analyses "Escalation is a natural tendency in any form of human competition. When such competition entails military confrontation or war, the pressure to escalate can become intense due to the potential cost of losing contests of deadly force. Cold War-era thinking about escalation focused on the dynamics of bipolar, superpower confrontation and strategies to control it. Today's security environment, however, demands that the United States be prepared for a host of escalatory threats involving not only longstanding nuclear powers, but also new, lesser nuclear powers and irregular adversaries, such as insurgent groups and terrorists. This examination of escalation dynamics and approaches to escalation management draws on historical examples from World War I to the struggle against global jihad. It reveals that, to manage the risks of escalatory chain reactions in future conflicts, military and political leaders will need to understand and dampen the mechanisms of deliberate, accidental, and inadvertent escalation. Informing the analysis are the results of two modified Delphi exercises, which focused on a potential conflict between China and the United States over Taiwan and a potential conflict between states and nonstate actors in the event of a collapse of Pakistan's government."--Jacket 2000 - 2099 fast TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING / Military Science bisacsh HISTORY / Military / Other bisacsh POLITICAL SCIENCE / Comparative Politics bisacsh Conflict management fast Escalation (Military science) fast Security, International fast World politics fast Escalation (Military science) Conflict management Security, International World politics 21st century Konfliktregelung (DE-588)4164958-8 gnd rswk-swf Sicherheitspolitik (DE-588)4116489-1 gnd rswk-swf USA (DE-588)4078704-7 gnd rswk-swf USA (DE-588)4078704-7 g Sicherheitspolitik (DE-588)4116489-1 s Konfliktregelung (DE-588)4164958-8 s 1\p DE-604 Morgan, Forrest E. Sonstige (DE-588)113795390X oth Project Air Force (U.S.) Sonstige oth United States Air Force Sonstige oth Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe, Paperback 0-8330-4213-0 Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe, Paperback 978-0-8330-4213-2 http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&db=nlabk&AN=268376 Aggregator Volltext 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Dangerous thresholds managing escalation in the 21st century TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING / Military Science bisacsh HISTORY / Military / Other bisacsh POLITICAL SCIENCE / Comparative Politics bisacsh Conflict management fast Escalation (Military science) fast Security, International fast World politics fast Escalation (Military science) Conflict management Security, International World politics 21st century Konfliktregelung (DE-588)4164958-8 gnd Sicherheitspolitik (DE-588)4116489-1 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4164958-8 (DE-588)4116489-1 (DE-588)4078704-7 |
| title | Dangerous thresholds managing escalation in the 21st century |
| title_auth | Dangerous thresholds managing escalation in the 21st century |
| title_exact_search | Dangerous thresholds managing escalation in the 21st century |
| title_full | Dangerous thresholds managing escalation in the 21st century Forrest E. Morgan ... [et al.] |
| title_fullStr | Dangerous thresholds managing escalation in the 21st century Forrest E. Morgan ... [et al.] |
| title_full_unstemmed | Dangerous thresholds managing escalation in the 21st century Forrest E. Morgan ... [et al.] |
| title_short | Dangerous thresholds |
| title_sort | dangerous thresholds managing escalation in the 21st century |
| title_sub | managing escalation in the 21st century |
| topic | TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING / Military Science bisacsh HISTORY / Military / Other bisacsh POLITICAL SCIENCE / Comparative Politics bisacsh Conflict management fast Escalation (Military science) fast Security, International fast World politics fast Escalation (Military science) Conflict management Security, International World politics 21st century Konfliktregelung (DE-588)4164958-8 gnd Sicherheitspolitik (DE-588)4116489-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING / Military Science HISTORY / Military / Other POLITICAL SCIENCE / Comparative Politics Conflict management Escalation (Military science) Security, International World politics World politics 21st century Konfliktregelung Sicherheitspolitik USA |
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