Estimating terrorism risk:
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Santa Monica, CA
RAND
2005
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Rand Corporation monograph series
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | FAW01 FAW02 Volltext |
| Beschreibung: | "MG-388-RC"--Page 4 of cover Includes bibliographical references (pages 63-66) Introduction -- Terrorism risk and its components -- Accounting for uncertainty and values in terrorism risk assessment -- Two approaches to estimating terrorism risk in urban areas -- Evaluating the performance of different estimates of terrorism risk -- Conclusions and recommendations The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) is responsible for protecting the United States from terrorism. It achieves this goal partly through the Urban Areas Security Initiative, which allocates resources to states and urban areas. Until DHS can know the effectiveness of available risk-reduction alternatives or determine reasonable minimum standards for community preparedness, allocating homeland security resources based on risk is the next best approach; areas at higher risk are likely to have more and larger opportunities for risk reduction than areas at lower risk. This monograph offers a method for constructing an estimate of city risk shares, designed to perform well across a wide range of threat scenarios and risk types. It also proposes and demonstrates a framework for comparing the performance of alternative risk estimates given uncertainty in measuring the elements of risk. Finally, it makes five recommendations for improving the allocation of homeland security resources: DHS should consistently define terrorism risk in terms of expected annual consequences; DHS should seek robust risk estimators that account for uncertainty about terrorism risk and variance in citizen values; DHS should develop event-based models of terrorism risk; until reliable event-based models are constructed, DHS should use density-weighted population rather than population as a simple risk indicator; and DHS should fund research to bridge the gap between terrorism risk assessment and resource allocation policies that are cost-effective |
| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (xxiii, 66 pages) |
| ISBN: | 083304088X 0833040936 9780833038340 9780833040886 9780833040930 |
Internformat
MARC
| LEADER | 00000nmm a2200000zc 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | BV043087790 | ||
| 003 | DE-604 | ||
| 005 | 00000000000000.0 | ||
| 007 | cr|uuu---uuuuu | ||
| 008 | 151126s2005 |||| o||u| ||||||eng d | ||
| 020 | |a 083304088X |c electronic bk. |9 0-8330-4088-X | ||
| 020 | |a 0833040936 |c electronic bk. |9 0-8330-4093-6 | ||
| 020 | |a 9780833038340 |9 978-0-8330-3834-0 | ||
| 020 | |a 9780833040886 |c electronic bk. |9 978-0-8330-4088-6 | ||
| 020 | |a 9780833040930 |c electronic bk. |9 978-0-8330-4093-0 | ||
| 035 | |a (OCoLC)154316147 | ||
| 035 | |a (DE-599)BVBBV043087790 | ||
| 040 | |a DE-604 |b ger |e aacr | ||
| 041 | 0 | |a eng | |
| 049 | |a DE-1046 |a DE-1047 | ||
| 082 | 0 | |a 363.32 |2 22 | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Estimating terrorism risk |c Henry H. Willis [and others] |
| 264 | 1 | |a Santa Monica, CA |b RAND |c 2005 | |
| 300 | |a 1 Online-Ressource (xxiii, 66 pages) | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b c |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b cr |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 490 | 0 | |a Rand Corporation monograph series | |
| 500 | |a "MG-388-RC"--Page 4 of cover | ||
| 500 | |a Includes bibliographical references (pages 63-66) | ||
| 500 | |a Introduction -- Terrorism risk and its components -- Accounting for uncertainty and values in terrorism risk assessment -- Two approaches to estimating terrorism risk in urban areas -- Evaluating the performance of different estimates of terrorism risk -- Conclusions and recommendations | ||
| 500 | |a The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) is responsible for protecting the United States from terrorism. It achieves this goal partly through the Urban Areas Security Initiative, which allocates resources to states and urban areas. Until DHS can know the effectiveness of available risk-reduction alternatives or determine reasonable minimum standards for community preparedness, allocating homeland security resources based on risk is the next best approach; areas at higher risk are likely to have more and larger opportunities for risk reduction than areas at lower risk. This monograph offers a method for constructing an estimate of city risk shares, designed to perform well across a wide range of threat scenarios and risk types. It also proposes and demonstrates a framework for comparing the performance of alternative risk estimates given uncertainty in measuring the elements of risk. Finally, it makes five recommendations for improving the allocation of homeland security resources: DHS should consistently define terrorism risk in terms of expected annual consequences; DHS should seek robust risk estimators that account for uncertainty about terrorism risk and variance in citizen values; DHS should develop event-based models of terrorism risk; until reliable event-based models are constructed, DHS should use density-weighted population rather than population as a simple risk indicator; and DHS should fund research to bridge the gap between terrorism risk assessment and resource allocation policies that are cost-effective | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Decision support systems | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Military planning / United States / Decision making / Data processing | |
| 650 | 4 | |a United States. Air Force / Research | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Military Science | |
| 650 | 7 | |a POLITICAL SCIENCE / Political Freedom & Security / Law Enforcement |2 bisacsh | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Datenverarbeitung | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Terrorismus | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Terrorism |z United States |x Prevention | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Terrorism |x Risk assessment |z United States | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Federal aid to terrorism prevention |z United States |x Planning | |
| 651 | 4 | |a USA | |
| 700 | 1 | |a Willis, Henry H. |e Sonstige |4 oth | |
| 710 | 2 | |a Rand Corporation |e Sonstige |4 oth | |
| 776 | 0 | 8 | |i Erscheint auch als |n Druck-Ausgabe, Paperback |z 0-8330-3834-6 |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&db=nlabk&AN=197639 |x Aggregator |3 Volltext |
| 912 | |a ZDB-4-EBA | ||
| 999 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-028511982 | ||
| 966 | e | |u http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&db=nlabk&AN=197639 |l FAW01 |p ZDB-4-EBA |q FAW_PDA_EBA |x Aggregator |3 Volltext | |
| 966 | e | |u http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&db=nlabk&AN=197639 |l FAW02 |p ZDB-4-EBA |q FAW_PDA_EBA |x Aggregator |3 Volltext | |
Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804175485863723008 |
|---|---|
| any_adam_object | |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV043087790 |
| collection | ZDB-4-EBA |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)154316147 (DE-599)BVBBV043087790 |
| dewey-full | 363.32 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 363 - Other social problems and services |
| dewey-raw | 363.32 |
| dewey-search | 363.32 |
| dewey-sort | 3363.32 |
| dewey-tens | 360 - Social problems and services; associations |
| discipline | Soziologie |
| format | Electronic eBook |
| fullrecord | <?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>04218nmm a2200577zc 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">BV043087790</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-604</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">00000000000000.0</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">cr|uuu---uuuuu</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">151126s2005 |||| o||u| ||||||eng d</controlfield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">083304088X</subfield><subfield code="c">electronic bk.</subfield><subfield code="9">0-8330-4088-X</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">0833040936</subfield><subfield code="c">electronic bk.</subfield><subfield code="9">0-8330-4093-6</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">9780833038340</subfield><subfield code="9">978-0-8330-3834-0</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">9780833040886</subfield><subfield code="c">electronic bk.</subfield><subfield code="9">978-0-8330-4088-6</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">9780833040930</subfield><subfield code="c">electronic bk.</subfield><subfield code="9">978-0-8330-4093-0</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(OCoLC)154316147</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)BVBBV043087790</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-604</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="e">aacr</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="049" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-1046</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-1047</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">363.32</subfield><subfield code="2">22</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Estimating terrorism risk</subfield><subfield code="c">Henry H. Willis [and others]</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="a">Santa Monica, CA</subfield><subfield code="b">RAND</subfield><subfield code="c">2005</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">1 Online-Ressource (xxiii, 66 pages)</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">c</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">cr</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="490" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Rand Corporation monograph series</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">"MG-388-RC"--Page 4 of cover</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Includes bibliographical references (pages 63-66)</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Introduction -- Terrorism risk and its components -- Accounting for uncertainty and values in terrorism risk assessment -- Two approaches to estimating terrorism risk in urban areas -- Evaluating the performance of different estimates of terrorism risk -- Conclusions and recommendations</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="500" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) is responsible for protecting the United States from terrorism. It achieves this goal partly through the Urban Areas Security Initiative, which allocates resources to states and urban areas. Until DHS can know the effectiveness of available risk-reduction alternatives or determine reasonable minimum standards for community preparedness, allocating homeland security resources based on risk is the next best approach; areas at higher risk are likely to have more and larger opportunities for risk reduction than areas at lower risk. This monograph offers a method for constructing an estimate of city risk shares, designed to perform well across a wide range of threat scenarios and risk types. It also proposes and demonstrates a framework for comparing the performance of alternative risk estimates given uncertainty in measuring the elements of risk. Finally, it makes five recommendations for improving the allocation of homeland security resources: DHS should consistently define terrorism risk in terms of expected annual consequences; DHS should seek robust risk estimators that account for uncertainty about terrorism risk and variance in citizen values; DHS should develop event-based models of terrorism risk; until reliable event-based models are constructed, DHS should use density-weighted population rather than population as a simple risk indicator; and DHS should fund research to bridge the gap between terrorism risk assessment and resource allocation policies that are cost-effective</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Decision support systems</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Military planning / United States / Decision making / Data processing</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">United States. Air Force / Research</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Military Science</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="7"><subfield code="a">POLITICAL SCIENCE / Political Freedom & Security / Law Enforcement</subfield><subfield code="2">bisacsh</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Datenverarbeitung</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Terrorismus</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Terrorism</subfield><subfield code="z">United States</subfield><subfield code="x">Prevention</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Terrorism</subfield><subfield code="x">Risk assessment</subfield><subfield code="z">United States</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">Federal aid to terrorism prevention</subfield><subfield code="z">United States</subfield><subfield code="x">Planning</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="651" ind1=" " ind2="4"><subfield code="a">USA</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="700" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Willis, Henry H.</subfield><subfield code="e">Sonstige</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="710" ind1="2" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Rand Corporation</subfield><subfield code="e">Sonstige</subfield><subfield code="4">oth</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="776" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Erscheint auch als</subfield><subfield code="n">Druck-Ausgabe, Paperback</subfield><subfield code="z">0-8330-3834-6</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="0"><subfield code="u">http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&db=nlabk&AN=197639</subfield><subfield code="x">Aggregator</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="912" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">ZDB-4-EBA</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="999" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-028511982</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&db=nlabk&AN=197639</subfield><subfield code="l">FAW01</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-4-EBA</subfield><subfield code="q">FAW_PDA_EBA</subfield><subfield code="x">Aggregator</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="966" ind1="e" ind2=" "><subfield code="u">http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&db=nlabk&AN=197639</subfield><subfield code="l">FAW02</subfield><subfield code="p">ZDB-4-EBA</subfield><subfield code="q">FAW_PDA_EBA</subfield><subfield code="x">Aggregator</subfield><subfield code="3">Volltext</subfield></datafield></record></collection> |
| geographic | USA |
| geographic_facet | USA |
| id | DE-604.BV043087790 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T07:17:03Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 083304088X 0833040936 9780833038340 9780833040886 9780833040930 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-028511982 |
| oclc_num | 154316147 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-1046 DE-1047 |
| owner_facet | DE-1046 DE-1047 |
| physical | 1 Online-Ressource (xxiii, 66 pages) |
| psigel | ZDB-4-EBA ZDB-4-EBA FAW_PDA_EBA |
| publishDate | 2005 |
| publishDateSearch | 2005 |
| publishDateSort | 2005 |
| publisher | RAND |
| record_format | marc |
| series2 | Rand Corporation monograph series |
| spelling | Estimating terrorism risk Henry H. Willis [and others] Santa Monica, CA RAND 2005 1 Online-Ressource (xxiii, 66 pages) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier Rand Corporation monograph series "MG-388-RC"--Page 4 of cover Includes bibliographical references (pages 63-66) Introduction -- Terrorism risk and its components -- Accounting for uncertainty and values in terrorism risk assessment -- Two approaches to estimating terrorism risk in urban areas -- Evaluating the performance of different estimates of terrorism risk -- Conclusions and recommendations The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) is responsible for protecting the United States from terrorism. It achieves this goal partly through the Urban Areas Security Initiative, which allocates resources to states and urban areas. Until DHS can know the effectiveness of available risk-reduction alternatives or determine reasonable minimum standards for community preparedness, allocating homeland security resources based on risk is the next best approach; areas at higher risk are likely to have more and larger opportunities for risk reduction than areas at lower risk. This monograph offers a method for constructing an estimate of city risk shares, designed to perform well across a wide range of threat scenarios and risk types. It also proposes and demonstrates a framework for comparing the performance of alternative risk estimates given uncertainty in measuring the elements of risk. Finally, it makes five recommendations for improving the allocation of homeland security resources: DHS should consistently define terrorism risk in terms of expected annual consequences; DHS should seek robust risk estimators that account for uncertainty about terrorism risk and variance in citizen values; DHS should develop event-based models of terrorism risk; until reliable event-based models are constructed, DHS should use density-weighted population rather than population as a simple risk indicator; and DHS should fund research to bridge the gap between terrorism risk assessment and resource allocation policies that are cost-effective Decision support systems Military planning / United States / Decision making / Data processing United States. Air Force / Research Military Science POLITICAL SCIENCE / Political Freedom & Security / Law Enforcement bisacsh Datenverarbeitung Terrorismus Terrorism United States Prevention Terrorism Risk assessment United States Federal aid to terrorism prevention United States Planning USA Willis, Henry H. Sonstige oth Rand Corporation Sonstige oth Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe, Paperback 0-8330-3834-6 http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&db=nlabk&AN=197639 Aggregator Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Estimating terrorism risk Decision support systems Military planning / United States / Decision making / Data processing United States. Air Force / Research Military Science POLITICAL SCIENCE / Political Freedom & Security / Law Enforcement bisacsh Datenverarbeitung Terrorismus Terrorism United States Prevention Terrorism Risk assessment United States Federal aid to terrorism prevention United States Planning |
| title | Estimating terrorism risk |
| title_auth | Estimating terrorism risk |
| title_exact_search | Estimating terrorism risk |
| title_full | Estimating terrorism risk Henry H. Willis [and others] |
| title_fullStr | Estimating terrorism risk Henry H. Willis [and others] |
| title_full_unstemmed | Estimating terrorism risk Henry H. Willis [and others] |
| title_short | Estimating terrorism risk |
| title_sort | estimating terrorism risk |
| topic | Decision support systems Military planning / United States / Decision making / Data processing United States. Air Force / Research Military Science POLITICAL SCIENCE / Political Freedom & Security / Law Enforcement bisacsh Datenverarbeitung Terrorismus Terrorism United States Prevention Terrorism Risk assessment United States Federal aid to terrorism prevention United States Planning |
| topic_facet | Decision support systems Military planning / United States / Decision making / Data processing United States. Air Force / Research Military Science POLITICAL SCIENCE / Political Freedom & Security / Law Enforcement Datenverarbeitung Terrorismus Terrorism United States Prevention Terrorism Risk assessment United States Federal aid to terrorism prevention United States Planning USA |
| url | http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&db=nlabk&AN=197639 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT willishenryh estimatingterrorismrisk AT randcorporation estimatingterrorismrisk |