Business cycles, indicators, and forecasting:
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Chicago
University of Chicago Press
c1993
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Studies in business cycles
no. 28 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Beschreibung: | Includes bibliographical references and indexes Business Cycles, Indicators and Forecasting; Contents; Acknowledgments; Introduction; 1.Twenty-two Years of the NBER-ASA Quarterly Economic Outlook Surveys: Aspects and Comparisons of Forecasting Performance; 2. A Procedure for Predicting Recessions with Leading Indicators: Econometric Issues and Recent Experience; 3. Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconometric Models Using Stochastic Simulation; 4. A Nine-Variable Probabilistic Macroeconomic Forecasting Model; 5. Why Does the Paper-Bill Spread Predict Real Economic Activity?; 6. Further Evidence on Business-Cycle Duration Dependence The inability of forecasters to predict accurately the 1990-1991 recession emphasizes the need for better ways for charting the course of the economy. In this volume, leading economists examine forecasting techniques developed over the past ten years, compare their performance to traditional econometric models, and discuss new methods for forecasting and time series analysis |
| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (viii, 337 p.) |
| ISBN: | 0226774740 9780226774749 9780226774886 |
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| spelling | Business cycles, indicators, and forecasting edited by James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson Chicago University of Chicago Press c1993 1 Online-Ressource (viii, 337 p.) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier Studies in business cycles no. 28 Includes bibliographical references and indexes Business Cycles, Indicators and Forecasting; Contents; Acknowledgments; Introduction; 1.Twenty-two Years of the NBER-ASA Quarterly Economic Outlook Surveys: Aspects and Comparisons of Forecasting Performance; 2. A Procedure for Predicting Recessions with Leading Indicators: Econometric Issues and Recent Experience; 3. Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconometric Models Using Stochastic Simulation; 4. A Nine-Variable Probabilistic Macroeconomic Forecasting Model; 5. Why Does the Paper-Bill Spread Predict Real Economic Activity?; 6. Further Evidence on Business-Cycle Duration Dependence The inability of forecasters to predict accurately the 1990-1991 recession emphasizes the need for better ways for charting the course of the economy. In this volume, leading economists examine forecasting techniques developed over the past ten years, compare their performance to traditional econometric models, and discuss new methods for forecasting and time series analysis BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Economics / Microeconomics bisacsh Business cycles gtt Indicatoren gtt Prognoses gtt Business cycles fast Economic forecasting fast Economic history fast Economic indicators fast Wirtschaft Wirtschaft. Geschichte Economic forecasting Congresses Economic indicators Congresses Business cycles Congresses Economic forecasting United States Congresses Economic indicators United States Congresses Business cycles United States Congresses Wirtschaftsindikator (DE-588)4249243-9 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaft (DE-588)4066399-1 gnd rswk-swf Konjunkturzyklus (DE-588)4032134-4 gnd rswk-swf Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd rswk-swf Konjunkturprognose (DE-588)4139119-6 gnd rswk-swf USA (DE-588)1071861417 Konferenzschrift gnd-content Konjunkturzyklus (DE-588)4032134-4 s Wirtschaft (DE-588)4066399-1 s Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 s 1\p DE-604 Konjunkturprognose (DE-588)4139119-6 s 2\p DE-604 Wirtschaftsindikator (DE-588)4249243-9 s 3\p DE-604 Stock, James H. Sonstige oth Watson, Mark W. Sonstige oth Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe, Hardcover 0-226-77488-0 http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&db=nlabk&AN=228248 Aggregator Volltext 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk 2\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk 3\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Business cycles, indicators, and forecasting BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Economics / Microeconomics bisacsh Business cycles gtt Indicatoren gtt Prognoses gtt Business cycles fast Economic forecasting fast Economic history fast Economic indicators fast Wirtschaft Wirtschaft. Geschichte Economic forecasting Congresses Economic indicators Congresses Business cycles Congresses Economic forecasting United States Congresses Economic indicators United States Congresses Business cycles United States Congresses Wirtschaftsindikator (DE-588)4249243-9 gnd Wirtschaft (DE-588)4066399-1 gnd Konjunkturzyklus (DE-588)4032134-4 gnd Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd Konjunkturprognose (DE-588)4139119-6 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4249243-9 (DE-588)4066399-1 (DE-588)4032134-4 (DE-588)4047390-9 (DE-588)4139119-6 (DE-588)1071861417 |
| title | Business cycles, indicators, and forecasting |
| title_auth | Business cycles, indicators, and forecasting |
| title_exact_search | Business cycles, indicators, and forecasting |
| title_full | Business cycles, indicators, and forecasting edited by James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson |
| title_fullStr | Business cycles, indicators, and forecasting edited by James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson |
| title_full_unstemmed | Business cycles, indicators, and forecasting edited by James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson |
| title_short | Business cycles, indicators, and forecasting |
| title_sort | business cycles indicators and forecasting |
| topic | BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Economics / Microeconomics bisacsh Business cycles gtt Indicatoren gtt Prognoses gtt Business cycles fast Economic forecasting fast Economic history fast Economic indicators fast Wirtschaft Wirtschaft. Geschichte Economic forecasting Congresses Economic indicators Congresses Business cycles Congresses Economic forecasting United States Congresses Economic indicators United States Congresses Business cycles United States Congresses Wirtschaftsindikator (DE-588)4249243-9 gnd Wirtschaft (DE-588)4066399-1 gnd Konjunkturzyklus (DE-588)4032134-4 gnd Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd Konjunkturprognose (DE-588)4139119-6 gnd |
| topic_facet | BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Economics / Microeconomics Business cycles Indicatoren Prognoses Economic forecasting Economic history Economic indicators Wirtschaft Wirtschaft. Geschichte Economic forecasting Congresses Economic indicators Congresses Business cycles Congresses Economic forecasting United States Congresses Economic indicators United States Congresses Business cycles United States Congresses Wirtschaftsindikator Konjunkturzyklus Prognose Konjunkturprognose USA Konferenzschrift |
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| work_keys_str_mv | AT stockjamesh businesscyclesindicatorsandforecasting AT watsonmarkw businesscyclesindicatorsandforecasting |