Superforecasting: the art and science of prediction
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Buch |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
London
Random House
2015
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis View cover art |
| Beschreibung: | 340 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | pbk. 9781847947147 |
Internformat
MARC
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Superforecasting |b the art and science of prediction |c Philip E. Tetlock ; Dan Gardner |
| 264 | 1 | |a London |b Random House |c 2015 | |
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| 700 | 1 | |a Gardner, Daniel |d 1945- |e Sonstige |0 (DE-588)172479673 |4 oth | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804175225129009152 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
1. An Optimistic Skeptic 1
2. Illusions of Knowledge 24
3. Keeping Score 46
4. Superforecasters 81
5. Supersmart? 105
6. Superquants ? 128
7. Supernewsjunkies? 153
8. Perpetual Beta 174
9. Superteams 193
10. The Leaders Dilemma 212
11. Are They Really So Super? 231
12. What’s Next? 250
Epilogue 271
An Invitation 275
Appendix: Ten Commandments for Aspiring Superforecasters 277
Acknowledgments 287
Notes 291
Index 329
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author_GND | (DE-588)134174186 (DE-588)172479673 |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV042922492 |
| classification_rvk | MR 2950 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)930479836 (DE-599)BVBBV042922492 |
| discipline | Soziologie |
| format | Book |
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| id | DE-604.BV042922492 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T07:12:54Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | pbk. 9781847947147 |
| language | English |
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| physical | 340 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 2015 |
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| publisher | Random House |
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| spelling | Superforecasting the art and science of prediction Philip E. Tetlock ; Dan Gardner London Random House 2015 340 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidungsunterstützung (DE-588)4202171-6 gnd rswk-swf Sozialer Wandel (DE-588)4077587-2 gnd rswk-swf Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd rswk-swf Sozialer Wandel (DE-588)4077587-2 s Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 s Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 s DE-604 Entscheidungsunterstützung (DE-588)4202171-6 s 1\p DE-604 Tetlock, Philip E. 1954- Sonstige (DE-588)134174186 oth Gardner, Daniel 1945- Sonstige (DE-588)172479673 oth Digitalisierung UB Bamberg - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028349898&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis http://midwesttapes.com/images/movies/000/000/000/011/244/000000000011244486.jpg http View cover art 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Superforecasting the art and science of prediction Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd Entscheidungsunterstützung (DE-588)4202171-6 gnd Sozialer Wandel (DE-588)4077587-2 gnd Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4066438-7 (DE-588)4202171-6 (DE-588)4077587-2 (DE-588)4047390-9 |
| title | Superforecasting the art and science of prediction |
| title_auth | Superforecasting the art and science of prediction |
| title_exact_search | Superforecasting the art and science of prediction |
| title_full | Superforecasting the art and science of prediction Philip E. Tetlock ; Dan Gardner |
| title_fullStr | Superforecasting the art and science of prediction Philip E. Tetlock ; Dan Gardner |
| title_full_unstemmed | Superforecasting the art and science of prediction Philip E. Tetlock ; Dan Gardner |
| title_short | Superforecasting |
| title_sort | superforecasting the art and science of prediction |
| title_sub | the art and science of prediction |
| topic | Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd Entscheidungsunterstützung (DE-588)4202171-6 gnd Sozialer Wandel (DE-588)4077587-2 gnd Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd |
| topic_facet | Wirtschaftsentwicklung Entscheidungsunterstützung Sozialer Wandel Prognose |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028349898&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://midwesttapes.com/images/movies/000/000/000/011/244/000000000011244486.jpg |
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