How risky is college investment?:

This paper is motivated by the fact that nearly half of US college students drop out without earning a bachelor's degree. Its objective is to quantify how much uncertainty college entrants face about their graduation outcomes. To do so, we develop a quantitative model of college choice. The inn...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Hendricks, Lutz (Author), Leukhina, Oksana (Author)
Format: Electronic eBook
Language:English
Published: München CESifo 2015
Series:CESifo working paper 5203 : Category 5, Economics of education
Online Access:Volltext
Summary:This paper is motivated by the fact that nearly half of US college students drop out without earning a bachelor's degree. Its objective is to quantify how much uncertainty college entrants face about their graduation outcomes. To do so, we develop a quantitative model of college choice. The innovation is to model in detail how students progress towards a college degree. The model is calibrated using transcript and financial data. We find that more than half of college entrants can predict whether they will graduate with at least 80% probability. As a result, stylized policies that insure students against the financial risks associated with uncertain graduation have little value for the majority of college entrants.
Physical Description:1 Online-Ressource (66 S.) graph. Darst.
Format:. - Acrobat Reader

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