Applied drought modeling, prediction, and mitigation:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Amsterdam [u.a.]
Elsevier
2015
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XI, 472 Seiten Diagramme |
| ISBN: | 9780128021767 |
Internformat
MARC
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Titel: Applied drought modeling, prediction, and mitigation
Autor: Şen, Zekâi
Jahr: 2015
Table of Contents
Dedication......................................................................................................viii
Preface..............................................................................................................ix
1 Introduction...........................................................................................1
1.1 General..................................................................................................1
1.2 Historical View.....................................................................................5
1.3 Atmospheric Composition and Drought..............................................6
1.4 Drought Definitions............................................................................13
1.5 Droughts, Aridity, and Desertification...............................................15
1.6 Drought Impacts.................................................................................18
1.7 Drought Regions.................................................................................20
1.8 Drought Types and Their Impacts.....................................................21
1.9 Significant Drought Mitigation Points...............................................37
References....................................................................................................39
2 Basic Drought Indicators....................................................................43
2.1 General................................................................................................43
2.2 Simple Drought Indicators.................................................................45
2.3 Palmer Drought Indicators.................................................................50
2.4 Surface Water Supply Index..............................................................60
2.5 Percent of Normal Indicator...............................................................62
2.6 Decile Indicator..................................................................................66
2.7 Crop Moisture Index...........................................................................68
2.8 Ering Drought Indicator......................................................................69
2.9 Water Balance Indicators...................................................................69
2.10 Koppen Drought Indicator and Modifications...................................70
2.11 Martonne Drought Indicator...............................................................71
2.12 Budyko-Lettau Drought Ratio Indicator...........................................73
2.13 Aridity Index (AI)...............................................................................74
2.14 Standardized Precipitation Index.......................................................76
2.15 Typical Problems with Indicators and Triggers.................................86
2.16 Percentiles for Drought Indicators and Triggers...............................88
2.17 Triple Drought Indicator....................................................................90
2.18 Fuzzy Logic Approach.......................................................................96
2.19 Continuity Curve..............................................................................100
References..................................................................................................102
vi Table of Contents
3 Temporal Drought Analysis and Modeling....................................107
3.1 General..............................................................................................108
3.2 Numerical Definition of Droughts...................................................110
3.3 The Threshold Level Method...........................................................115
3.4 Drought Forecasting.........................................................................119
3.5 Drought Features..............................................................................129
3.6 Temporal Drought Modeling Methodologies..................................129
3.7 Critical Drought Duration................................................................154
3.8 Analytical Derivation of Longest Run-Length................................174
3.9 Crossing Probabilities.......................................................................179
3.10 Annual Flow Totals..........................................................................185
Appendix 3.1 Drought Features Software................................................195
Appendix 3.2 Independent Bernoulli Trials Software.............................197
Appendix 3.3 Dependent Bernoulli Trials Software................................198
Appendix 3.4 Identically and Independently Distributed
Variable Software..............................................................199
Appendix 3.5 Un-Identically and Independently Distributed
Variable Software..............................................................200
References.:................................................................................................201
4 Regional Drought Analysis and Modeling......................................205
4.1 General..............................................................................................206
4.2 Regional Numerical Definition of Droughts....................................207
4.3 Techniques to Predict Regional Droughts.......................................208
4.4 Regional Drought Features...............................................................210
4.5 Random Drought Coverage Areas...................................................212
4.6 Analytical Formulation.....................................................................215
4.7 Total Areal Deficit (D).....................................................................222
4.8 Maximum Deficit Intensity (7d).......................................................223
4.9 Areal Joint Drought PDF..................................................................224
4.10 Rainy and Nonrainy Days................................................................227
4.11 Double-Logarithmic Method for Determination of
Monthly Wet and Dry Periods.........................................................246
4.12 Power Law in Describing Temporal and Spatial
Precipitation Pattern.........................................................................255
Appendix 4.1 Areal Maximum Probability Coverages............................271
Appendix 4.2 Total Areal Deficit.............................................................271
References..................................................................................................272
5 Spatiotemporal Drought Analysis and Modeling..........................275
5.1 General..............................................................................................275
5.2 Spatiotemporal Drought Models......................................................277
5.3 Drought Spatiotemporal Modeling...................................................285
5.4 Regional Wet and Dry Spell Analysis With Heterogeneous
Probability Occurrences...................................................................295
Table of Contents vii
5.5 Areal Precipitation Coverage Probability From a Set of
Heterogeneous Point Probability......................................................311
Appendix 5.1 Heterogeneous Regional Binomial PDF
Calculation Software.......................................................318
References................................................................................................319
6 Climate Change, Droughts, and Water Resources........................321
6.1 General..............................................................................................322
6.2 Basic Definitions and Concepts.......................................................325
6.3 Atmospheric Composition and Pollution.........................................328
6.4 Climate Belt Shifts Simple Model...................................................334
6.5 Adapting to Climate Change............................................................338
6.6 Drought Disasters.............................................................................340
6.7 Desertification and Climate Change................................................343
6.8 Climate Models.................................................................................348
6.9 Climate Change and Major Cities....................................................362
6.10 Climate Change and Water Resources.............................................369
6.11 Global Warming Threat on Water Resources..................................373
6.12 Some Recommendations..................................................................385
References..................................................................................................388
7 Drought Hazard Mitigation and Risk.............................................393
7.1 General..............................................................................................393
7.2 Basic Definitions..............................................................................396
7.3 Goals and Objectives........................................................................399
7.4 Drought Watches Systems and Relief..............................................402
7.5 Drought Mitigation Planning History and Objectives.....................406
7.6 Vulnerability Management...............................................................414
7.7 Risk Analysis Management..............................................................423
7.8 Disaster Management.......................................................................429
7.9 Droughts Risk Calculation Methodology.........................................436
7.10 Drought Duration-Safety Curves.....................................................443
7.11 Weather Modification.......................................................................447
References..................................................................................................456
Index..............................................................................................................461
|
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| spelling | Şen, Zekâi 1947- (DE-588)140990100 aut Applied drought modeling, prediction, and mitigation by Zekâi Şen Amsterdam [u.a.] Elsevier 2015 XI, 472 Seiten Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Droughts Drought forecasting SCIENCE / Earth Sciences / Geography bisacsh SCIENCE / Earth Sciences / Geology bisacsh Geografie Geologie Geowissenschaften Trockenheit (DE-588)4186270-3 gnd rswk-swf Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd rswk-swf Trockenheit (DE-588)4186270-3 s Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 s DE-604 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028206036&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Şen, Zekâi 1947- Applied drought modeling, prediction, and mitigation Droughts Drought forecasting SCIENCE / Earth Sciences / Geography bisacsh SCIENCE / Earth Sciences / Geology bisacsh Geografie Geologie Geowissenschaften Trockenheit (DE-588)4186270-3 gnd Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4186270-3 (DE-588)4114528-8 |
| title | Applied drought modeling, prediction, and mitigation |
| title_auth | Applied drought modeling, prediction, and mitigation |
| title_exact_search | Applied drought modeling, prediction, and mitigation |
| title_full | Applied drought modeling, prediction, and mitigation by Zekâi Şen |
| title_fullStr | Applied drought modeling, prediction, and mitigation by Zekâi Şen |
| title_full_unstemmed | Applied drought modeling, prediction, and mitigation by Zekâi Şen |
| title_short | Applied drought modeling, prediction, and mitigation |
| title_sort | applied drought modeling prediction and mitigation |
| topic | Droughts Drought forecasting SCIENCE / Earth Sciences / Geography bisacsh SCIENCE / Earth Sciences / Geology bisacsh Geografie Geologie Geowissenschaften Trockenheit (DE-588)4186270-3 gnd Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd |
| topic_facet | Droughts Drought forecasting SCIENCE / Earth Sciences / Geography SCIENCE / Earth Sciences / Geology Geografie Geologie Geowissenschaften Trockenheit Mathematisches Modell |
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