Adversarial risk analysis:
Gespeichert in:
Hauptverfasser: | , , |
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Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Boca Raton [u.a.]
CRC Press
2016
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Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Beschreibung: | "A CRC title.". - Includes bibliographical references and index |
Beschreibung: | X, 214 S. |
ISBN: | 9781498712392 |
Internformat
MARC
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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adam_text | Contents
Preface................................................................... ix
1 Games and Decisions................................................... 1
1.1 Game Theory: A Review............................................ 2
1.2 Decision Analysis: An Introduction.............................. 10
1.3 Influence Diagrams.............................................. 19
Exercises............................................................ 27
2 Simultaneous Games................................................... 31
2.1 Discrete Simultaneous Games: The Basics.......................... 32
2.2 Modeling Opponents............................................... 36
2.2.1 Non-Strategic Analysis................................... 36
2.2.2 Nash Equilibrium......................................... 39
2.2.3 Levels Thinking.......................................... 41
2.2.4 Mirror Equilibria........................................ 46
2.3 Comparison of ARA Models......................................... 56
Exercises............................................................ 63
3 Auctions.......................................*................... 67
3.1 Non-Strategic Play............................................... 68
3.2 Minimax Perspectives............................................. 71
3.3 Bayes Nash Equilibrium........................................... 73
3.4 Level-/: Thinking............................................. 77
3.5 Mirror Equilibria............................................... 81
3.6 Three Bidders ................................................... 81
3.6.1 LeveI-£ Thinking......................................... 82
3.6.2 Mirror Equilibrium..................................... 85
Exercises............................................................ 86
viii Contents
4 Sequential Games................................................... 89
4.1 Sequential Games: The Basics.................................. 89
4.2 ARA for Sequential Games...................................... 94
4.3 Case Study: Somali Pirates ................................... 97
4.4 Case Study: La Relance............................... 107
4.4.1 Continuous Bets......................................... H3
4.4.2 Generalizations of La Relance........................... 117
Exercises........................................................... 122
5 Variations on Sequential Defend-Attack Games....................... 123
5.1 The Sequential Defend-Attack Model............................ 123
5.2 Multiple Attackers............................................ 128
5.3 Multiple Defenders............................................ 133
5.4 Multiple Targets.............................................. 137
5.5 Defend-Attack-Defend Games.................................... 139
5.6 Learning...................................................... 150
6 A Security Case Study.............................................. 155
6.1 Casual Fare Evaders........................................... 157
6.2 Collusion..................................................... 161
6.3 Pickpockets................................................... 165
6.4 Evaders and Pickpockets....................................... 170
6.5 Multiple Stations............................................. 172
6.6 Terrorism..................................................... 176
7 Other Issues....................................................... 177
7.1 Complex Systems............................................... 177
7.2 Applications.................................................. 181
Solutions to Selected Exercises......................................... 185
References.............................................................. 199
Index...................................................................209
|
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author | Banks, David 1956- Rios, Jesus Ríos Insua, David 1964- |
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classification_rvk | QC 020 QH 430 |
ctrlnum | (OCoLC)920511587 (DE-599)BVBBV042745688 |
dewey-full | 519.3 |
dewey-hundreds | 500 - Natural sciences and mathematics |
dewey-ones | 519 - Probabilities and applied mathematics |
dewey-raw | 519.3 |
dewey-search | 519.3 |
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dewey-tens | 510 - Mathematics |
discipline | Mathematik Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
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indexdate | 2024-07-10T07:08:40Z |
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isbn | 9781498712392 |
language | English |
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spelling | Banks, David 1956- Verfasser (DE-588)171965051 aut Adversarial risk analysis David L. Banks, Jesus Rios, David Ríos Insua Boca Raton [u.a.] CRC Press 2016 X, 214 S. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier "A CRC title.". - Includes bibliographical references and index Game theory Risk assessment Risikoanalyse (DE-588)4137042-9 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 gnd rswk-swf Spieltheorie (DE-588)4056243-8 gnd rswk-swf Risikoanalyse (DE-588)4137042-9 s Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 s Spieltheorie (DE-588)4056243-8 s b DE-604 Rios, Jesus Verfasser aut Ríos Insua, David 1964- Verfasser (DE-588)170890228 aut Digitalisierung UB Regensburg - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028176548&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Banks, David 1956- Rios, Jesus Ríos Insua, David 1964- Adversarial risk analysis Game theory Risk assessment Risikoanalyse (DE-588)4137042-9 gnd Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 gnd Spieltheorie (DE-588)4056243-8 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4137042-9 (DE-588)4138606-1 (DE-588)4056243-8 |
title | Adversarial risk analysis |
title_auth | Adversarial risk analysis |
title_exact_search | Adversarial risk analysis |
title_full | Adversarial risk analysis David L. Banks, Jesus Rios, David Ríos Insua |
title_fullStr | Adversarial risk analysis David L. Banks, Jesus Rios, David Ríos Insua |
title_full_unstemmed | Adversarial risk analysis David L. Banks, Jesus Rios, David Ríos Insua |
title_short | Adversarial risk analysis |
title_sort | adversarial risk analysis |
topic | Game theory Risk assessment Risikoanalyse (DE-588)4137042-9 gnd Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 gnd Spieltheorie (DE-588)4056243-8 gnd |
topic_facet | Game theory Risk assessment Risikoanalyse Entscheidungstheorie Spieltheorie |
url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028176548&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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