Why Stock Markets Crash: Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Princeton, N.J.
Princeton University Press
2004
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | FAB01 FAW01 FCO01 FHA01 FKE01 FLA01 UBG01 UPA01 Volltext Volltext |
| Beschreibung: | Main description: The scientific study of complex systems has transformed a wide range of disciplines in recent years, enabling researchers in both the natural and social sciences to model and predict phenomena as diverse as earthquakes, global warming, demographic patterns, financial crises, and the failure of materials. In this book, Didier Sornette boldly applies his varied experience in these areas to propose a simple, powerful, and general theory of how, why, and when stock markets crash. Most attempts to explain market failures seek to pinpoint triggering mechanisms that occur hours, days, or weeks before the collapse. Sornette proposes a radically different view: the underlying cause can be sought months and even years before the abrupt, catastrophic event in the build-up of cooperative speculation, which often translates into an accelerating rise of the market price, otherwise known as a "bubble." Anchoring his sophisticated, step-by-step analysis in leading-edge physical and statistical modeling techniques, he unearths remarkable insights and some predictions--among them, that the "end of the growth era" will occur around 2050. Sornette probes major historical precedents, from the decades-long "tulip mania" in the Netherlands that wilted suddenly in 1637 to the South Sea Bubble that ended with the first huge market crash in England in 1720, to the Great Crash of October 1929 and Black Monday in 1987, to cite just a few. He concludes that most explanations other than cooperative self-organization fail to account for the subtle bubbles by which the markets lay the groundwork for catastrophe. Any investor or investment professional who seeks a genuine understanding of looming financial disasters should read this book. Physicists, geologists, biologists, economists, and others will welcome Why Stock Markets Crash as a highly original "scientific tale," as Sornette aptly puts it, of the exciting and sometimes fearsome--but no longer quite so unfathomable--world of stock markets |
| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (448 S.) |
| ISBN: | 9781400829552 |
| DOI: | 10.1515/9781400829552 |
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| 500 | |a Sornette proposes a radically different view: the underlying cause can be sought months and even years before the abrupt, catastrophic event in the build-up of cooperative speculation, which often translates into an accelerating rise of the market price, otherwise known as a "bubble." Anchoring his sophisticated, step-by-step analysis in leading-edge physical and statistical modeling techniques, he unearths remarkable insights and some predictions--among them, that the "end of the growth era" will occur around 2050. Sornette probes major historical precedents, from the decades-long "tulip mania" in the Netherlands that wilted suddenly in 1637 to the South Sea Bubble that ended with the first huge market crash in England in 1720, to the Great Crash of October 1929 and Black Monday in 1987, to cite just a few. He concludes that most explanations other than cooperative self-organization fail to account for the subtle bubbles by which the markets lay the groundwork for catastrophe. | ||
| 500 | |a Any investor or investment professional who seeks a genuine understanding of looming financial disasters should read this book. Physicists, geologists, biologists, economists, and others will welcome Why Stock Markets Crash as a highly original "scientific tale," as Sornette aptly puts it, of the exciting and sometimes fearsome--but no longer quite so unfathomable--world of stock markets | ||
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| spelling | Sornette, Didier Verfasser aut Why Stock Markets Crash Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems Princeton, N.J. Princeton University Press 2004 1 Online-Ressource (448 S.) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier Main description: The scientific study of complex systems has transformed a wide range of disciplines in recent years, enabling researchers in both the natural and social sciences to model and predict phenomena as diverse as earthquakes, global warming, demographic patterns, financial crises, and the failure of materials. In this book, Didier Sornette boldly applies his varied experience in these areas to propose a simple, powerful, and general theory of how, why, and when stock markets crash. Most attempts to explain market failures seek to pinpoint triggering mechanisms that occur hours, days, or weeks before the collapse. Sornette proposes a radically different view: the underlying cause can be sought months and even years before the abrupt, catastrophic event in the build-up of cooperative speculation, which often translates into an accelerating rise of the market price, otherwise known as a "bubble." Anchoring his sophisticated, step-by-step analysis in leading-edge physical and statistical modeling techniques, he unearths remarkable insights and some predictions--among them, that the "end of the growth era" will occur around 2050. Sornette probes major historical precedents, from the decades-long "tulip mania" in the Netherlands that wilted suddenly in 1637 to the South Sea Bubble that ended with the first huge market crash in England in 1720, to the Great Crash of October 1929 and Black Monday in 1987, to cite just a few. He concludes that most explanations other than cooperative self-organization fail to account for the subtle bubbles by which the markets lay the groundwork for catastrophe. Any investor or investment professional who seeks a genuine understanding of looming financial disasters should read this book. Physicists, geologists, biologists, economists, and others will welcome Why Stock Markets Crash as a highly original "scientific tale," as Sornette aptly puts it, of the exciting and sometimes fearsome--but no longer quite so unfathomable--world of stock markets Geschichte gnd rswk-swf Währungskrise (DE-588)4396352-3 gnd rswk-swf Krise (DE-588)4033203-2 gnd rswk-swf Finanzwirtschaft (DE-588)4017214-4 gnd rswk-swf Börse (DE-588)4007502-3 gnd rswk-swf USA (DE-588)4078704-7 gnd rswk-swf Börse (DE-588)4007502-3 s Finanzwirtschaft (DE-588)4017214-4 s Krise (DE-588)4033203-2 s 1\p DE-604 USA (DE-588)4078704-7 g Währungskrise (DE-588)4396352-3 s Geschichte z 2\p DE-604 https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400829552 Verlag Volltext http://www.degruyter.com/search?f_0=isbnissn&q_0=9781400829552&searchTitles=true Verlag Volltext 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk 2\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Sornette, Didier Why Stock Markets Crash Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems Währungskrise (DE-588)4396352-3 gnd Krise (DE-588)4033203-2 gnd Finanzwirtschaft (DE-588)4017214-4 gnd Börse (DE-588)4007502-3 gnd |
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| title | Why Stock Markets Crash Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems |
| title_auth | Why Stock Markets Crash Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems |
| title_exact_search | Why Stock Markets Crash Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems |
| title_full | Why Stock Markets Crash Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems |
| title_fullStr | Why Stock Markets Crash Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems |
| title_full_unstemmed | Why Stock Markets Crash Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems |
| title_short | Why Stock Markets Crash |
| title_sort | why stock markets crash critical events in complex financial systems |
| title_sub | Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems |
| topic | Währungskrise (DE-588)4396352-3 gnd Krise (DE-588)4033203-2 gnd Finanzwirtschaft (DE-588)4017214-4 gnd Börse (DE-588)4007502-3 gnd |
| topic_facet | Währungskrise Krise Finanzwirtschaft Börse USA |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400829552 http://www.degruyter.com/search?f_0=isbnissn&q_0=9781400829552&searchTitles=true |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT sornettedidier whystockmarketscrashcriticaleventsincomplexfinancialsystems |