Youth Bulges, Insurrections, and Politico-Economic Institutions: Theory and Empirical Evidence
We develop a model of insurrection markets and integrate the youth bulge as measured by the relative youth cohort size. Apart from certain spontaneous outbreaks of violence or riots we find youth bulges alone to be no proper predictor for political violence. However, deliberate insurrection activiti...
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Münster
CIW
2015
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| Schriftenreihe: | Diskussionspapier / Centrum für Interdisziplinäre Wirtschaftsforschung
2015,3 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Zusammenfassung: | We develop a model of insurrection markets and integrate the youth bulge as measured by the relative youth cohort size. Apart from certain spontaneous outbreaks of violence or riots we find youth bulges alone to be no proper predictor for political violence. However, deliberate insurrection activities that aim at changing political and economic power positions are nevertheless affected by youth bulges, but only when interacted with characteristics of the respective underlying set of politico-economic institutions. We test these implications of our theory in an empirical model based on cross-country panel data and find the effect of the relative youth cohort size on insurrection outbreaks to be moderated by changes in the underlying institutional setting, particularly changes in the labor-market conditions as approximated by unemployment rates. |
| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource |
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| spelling | Apolte, Thomas 1960- Verfasser (DE-588)120912236 aut Youth Bulges, Insurrections, and Politico-Economic Institutions Theory and Empirical Evidence Thomas Apolte ; Lena Gerling Münster CIW 2015 1 Online-Ressource txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier Diskussionspapier / Centrum für Interdisziplinäre Wirtschaftsforschung 2015,3 We develop a model of insurrection markets and integrate the youth bulge as measured by the relative youth cohort size. Apart from certain spontaneous outbreaks of violence or riots we find youth bulges alone to be no proper predictor for political violence. However, deliberate insurrection activities that aim at changing political and economic power positions are nevertheless affected by youth bulges, but only when interacted with characteristics of the respective underlying set of politico-economic institutions. We test these implications of our theory in an empirical model based on cross-country panel data and find the effect of the relative youth cohort size on insurrection outbreaks to be moderated by changes in the underlying institutional setting, particularly changes in the labor-market conditions as approximated by unemployment rates. Aufstand (DE-588)4003554-2 gnd rswk-swf Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd rswk-swf Sozialer Konflikt (DE-588)4055747-9 gnd rswk-swf Jugend (DE-588)4028859-6 gnd rswk-swf Jugend (DE-588)4028859-6 s Aufstand (DE-588)4003554-2 s Sozialer Konflikt (DE-588)4055747-9 s Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 s DE-604 Gerling, Lena 1987- Verfasser (DE-588)1072856026 aut Centrum für Interdisziplinäre Wirtschaftsforschung Diskussionspapier 2015,3 (DE-604)BV037441536 2015,3 https://www.wiwi.uni-muenster.de/ciw/sites/ciw/files/dp_ciw_03_2015.pdf Verlag kostenfrei Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Apolte, Thomas 1960- Gerling, Lena 1987- Youth Bulges, Insurrections, and Politico-Economic Institutions Theory and Empirical Evidence Aufstand (DE-588)4003554-2 gnd Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd Sozialer Konflikt (DE-588)4055747-9 gnd Jugend (DE-588)4028859-6 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4003554-2 (DE-588)4006292-2 (DE-588)4055747-9 (DE-588)4028859-6 |
| title | Youth Bulges, Insurrections, and Politico-Economic Institutions Theory and Empirical Evidence |
| title_auth | Youth Bulges, Insurrections, and Politico-Economic Institutions Theory and Empirical Evidence |
| title_exact_search | Youth Bulges, Insurrections, and Politico-Economic Institutions Theory and Empirical Evidence |
| title_full | Youth Bulges, Insurrections, and Politico-Economic Institutions Theory and Empirical Evidence Thomas Apolte ; Lena Gerling |
| title_fullStr | Youth Bulges, Insurrections, and Politico-Economic Institutions Theory and Empirical Evidence Thomas Apolte ; Lena Gerling |
| title_full_unstemmed | Youth Bulges, Insurrections, and Politico-Economic Institutions Theory and Empirical Evidence Thomas Apolte ; Lena Gerling |
| title_short | Youth Bulges, Insurrections, and Politico-Economic Institutions |
| title_sort | youth bulges insurrections and politico economic institutions theory and empirical evidence |
| title_sub | Theory and Empirical Evidence |
| topic | Aufstand (DE-588)4003554-2 gnd Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd Sozialer Konflikt (DE-588)4055747-9 gnd Jugend (DE-588)4028859-6 gnd |
| topic_facet | Aufstand Bevölkerungsentwicklung Sozialer Konflikt Jugend |
| url | https://www.wiwi.uni-muenster.de/ciw/sites/ciw/files/dp_ciw_03_2015.pdf |
| volume_link | (DE-604)BV037441536 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT apoltethomas youthbulgesinsurrectionsandpoliticoeconomicinstitutionstheoryandempiricalevidence AT gerlinglena youthbulgesinsurrectionsandpoliticoeconomicinstitutionstheoryandempiricalevidence |