Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting:
Gespeichert in:
1. Verfasser: | |
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
New York, NY
Springer New York
1996
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Schriftenreihe: | Springer Texts in Statistics
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Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
Beschreibung: | Some of the key mathematical results are stated without proof in order to make the underlying theory acccessible to a wider audience. The book assumes a knowledge only of basic calculus, matrix algebra, and elementary statistics. The emphasis is on methods and the analysis of data sets. The logic and tools of model-building for stationary and non-stationary time series are developed in detail and numerous exercises, many of which make use of the included computer package, provide the reader with ample opportunity to develop skills in this area. The core of the book covers stationary processes, ARMA and ARIMA processes, multivariate time series and state-space models, with an optional chapter on spectral analysis. Additional topics include harmonic regression, the Burg and Hannan-Rissanen algorithms, unit roots, regression with ARMA errors, structural models, the EM algorithm, generalized state-space models with applications to time series of count data, exponential smoothing, the Holt-Winters and ARAR forecasting algorithms, transfer function models and intervention analysis. Brief introducitons are also given to cointegration and to non-linear, continuous-time and long-memory models. The time series package included in the back of the book is a slightly modified version of the package ITSM, published separately as ITSM for Windows, by Springer-Verlag, 1994. It does not handle such large data sets as ITSM for Windows, but like the latter, runs on IBM-PC compatible computers under either DOS or Windows (version 3.1 or later). The programs are all menu-driven so that the reader can immediately apply the techniques in the book to time series data, with a minimal investment of time in the computational and algorithmic aspects of the analysis |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (XIII, 422 p) |
ISBN: | 9781475725261 9781475725285 |
ISSN: | 1431-875X |
DOI: | 10.1007/978-1-4757-2526-1 |
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500 | |a Some of the key mathematical results are stated without proof in order to make the underlying theory acccessible to a wider audience. The book assumes a knowledge only of basic calculus, matrix algebra, and elementary statistics. The emphasis is on methods and the analysis of data sets. The logic and tools of model-building for stationary and non-stationary time series are developed in detail and numerous exercises, many of which make use of the included computer package, provide the reader with ample opportunity to develop skills in this area. The core of the book covers stationary processes, ARMA and ARIMA processes, multivariate time series and state-space models, with an optional chapter on spectral analysis. Additional topics include harmonic regression, the Burg and Hannan-Rissanen algorithms, unit roots, regression with ARMA errors, structural models, the EM algorithm, generalized state-space models with applications to time series of count data, exponential smoothing, the Holt-Winters and ARAR forecasting algorithms, transfer function models and intervention analysis. Brief introducitons are also given to cointegration and to non-linear, continuous-time and long-memory models. The time series package included in the back of the book is a slightly modified version of the package ITSM, published separately as ITSM for Windows, by Springer-Verlag, 1994. It does not handle such large data sets as ITSM for Windows, but like the latter, runs on IBM-PC compatible computers under either DOS or Windows (version 3.1 or later). The programs are all menu-driven so that the reader can immediately apply the techniques in the book to time series data, with a minimal investment of time in the computational and algorithmic aspects of the analysis | ||
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650 | 4 | |a Distribution (Probability theory) | |
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author | Brockwell, Peter J. |
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author_sort | Brockwell, Peter J. |
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dewey-raw | 519.5 |
dewey-search | 519.5 |
dewey-sort | 3519.5 |
dewey-tens | 510 - Mathematics |
discipline | Mathematik |
doi_str_mv | 10.1007/978-1-4757-2526-1 |
format | Electronic eBook |
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spelling | Brockwell, Peter J. Verfasser aut Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting by Peter J. Brockwell, Richard A. Davis Student/Windows Version New York, NY Springer New York 1996 1 Online-Ressource (XIII, 422 p) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier Springer Texts in Statistics 1431-875X Some of the key mathematical results are stated without proof in order to make the underlying theory acccessible to a wider audience. The book assumes a knowledge only of basic calculus, matrix algebra, and elementary statistics. The emphasis is on methods and the analysis of data sets. The logic and tools of model-building for stationary and non-stationary time series are developed in detail and numerous exercises, many of which make use of the included computer package, provide the reader with ample opportunity to develop skills in this area. The core of the book covers stationary processes, ARMA and ARIMA processes, multivariate time series and state-space models, with an optional chapter on spectral analysis. Additional topics include harmonic regression, the Burg and Hannan-Rissanen algorithms, unit roots, regression with ARMA errors, structural models, the EM algorithm, generalized state-space models with applications to time series of count data, exponential smoothing, the Holt-Winters and ARAR forecasting algorithms, transfer function models and intervention analysis. Brief introducitons are also given to cointegration and to non-linear, continuous-time and long-memory models. The time series package included in the back of the book is a slightly modified version of the package ITSM, published separately as ITSM for Windows, by Springer-Verlag, 1994. It does not handle such large data sets as ITSM for Windows, but like the latter, runs on IBM-PC compatible computers under either DOS or Windows (version 3.1 or later). The programs are all menu-driven so that the reader can immediately apply the techniques in the book to time series data, with a minimal investment of time in the computational and algorithmic aspects of the analysis Statistics Distribution (Probability theory) Mathematical statistics Statistical Theory and Methods Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes Statistik Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd rswk-swf Zeitreihenanalyse (DE-588)4067486-1 gnd rswk-swf 1\p (DE-588)4123623-3 Lehrbuch gnd-content Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 s Zeitreihenanalyse (DE-588)4067486-1 s 2\p DE-604 Davis, Richard A. Sonstige oth https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-2526-1 Verlag Volltext 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk 2\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
spellingShingle | Brockwell, Peter J. Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting Statistics Distribution (Probability theory) Mathematical statistics Statistical Theory and Methods Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes Statistik Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd Zeitreihenanalyse (DE-588)4067486-1 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4047390-9 (DE-588)4067486-1 (DE-588)4123623-3 |
title | Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting |
title_alt | Student/Windows Version |
title_auth | Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting |
title_exact_search | Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting |
title_full | Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting by Peter J. Brockwell, Richard A. Davis |
title_fullStr | Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting by Peter J. Brockwell, Richard A. Davis |
title_full_unstemmed | Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting by Peter J. Brockwell, Richard A. Davis |
title_short | Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting |
title_sort | introduction to time series and forecasting |
topic | Statistics Distribution (Probability theory) Mathematical statistics Statistical Theory and Methods Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes Statistik Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd Zeitreihenanalyse (DE-588)4067486-1 gnd |
topic_facet | Statistics Distribution (Probability theory) Mathematical statistics Statistical Theory and Methods Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes Statistik Prognose Zeitreihenanalyse Lehrbuch |
url | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-2526-1 |
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