Hydrometeorological hazards: interfacing science and policy
Gespeichert in:
| Weitere Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Chichester [u.a.]
Wiley Blackwell
2015
|
| Ausgabe: | 1. publ. |
| Schriftenreihe: | Hydrometeorological extreme events
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | http://swb.eblib.com/patron/FullRecord.aspx?p=1824306 Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XX, 328 S. Ill., graph. Darst., Kt. |
| ISBN: | 9781118629574 |
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| 250 | |a 1. publ. | ||
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804152949864136704 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
Series
Foreword
xi
Preface
xiii
The Series Editor
-
Philippe Quevauviller
xv
Ust
of Contributors
xvii
PART ONE: SETTING THE SCENE
1
1.1
Strengthened Resilience from Historic Experience. European Societies
Confronted with Hydrometeors in the Sixteenth to Twentieth Centuries
3
Emmanuel Garnier
1.1.1
Introduction
3
1.1.2
Five centuries of droughts
4
1.1.2.1
Historic material and methods of evaluation
4
1.1.2.2
A comparative approach to historic European droughts
7
1.1.3
The European coast confronted with surges: A first ever?
12
1.1.3.1
The French coasts
13
1.1.3.2
European comparison
13
1.1.3.3
Memory of the big floods in Northern Europe
15
1.1.4
A memory of risk or a culture of survival?
17
1.1.4.1
Living with droughts in the Cyclades: The
Syros
island
17
1.1.4.2
The Atlantic flood of
1937
as a revelation of coastal weaknesses
19
1.1.4.3
The lessons of history regarding impact strength
22
1.1.5
Conclusion
24
References
24
1.2
Current Understanding of Climate Change Impacts on Extreme Events
27
Richard Harding, Nick Reynard and Alison Kay
1.2.1
Introduction
27
vi
CONTENTS
1.2.2 Global water
balance,
past and future
28
1.2.2.1
Humidity and evaporation
28
1.2.2.2
Precipitation
29
1.2.2.3
River run-off
29
1.2.3
Global extremes
-
Rainfall, floods and droughts
30
1.2.3.1
Precipitation
30
1.2.3.2
Storminess
30
1.2.3.3
Droughts
31
1.2.3.4
Floods
32
1.2.4
Future global predictions
33
1.2.5
Regional drought and water resources
35
1.2.5.1
Drought in the twentieth century
35
1.2.5.2
Twenty-first century drought
37
1.2.6
Case study: Science to support policy for flood management under
climate change
39
1.2.7
Adaptation planning
* 41
1.2.8
Concluding remarks
43
References
43
1.3
Features Common to Different Hydrometeorological Events
and Knowledge Integration
49
Barbara Zanuttigh
1.3.1
Introduction
49
1.3.2
Extreme hydrometeorological events and disasters: An increasing trend
50
1.3.3
Integrating disaster
risk
management and climate change adaptation
52
1.3.4
Predicting disasters: Dealing with uncertainties and scales
56
1.3.5
Better understanding system exposure at the hazard
58
1.3.6
Resilience: From concept to operation
61
1.3.7
Learning from experience
63
1.3.8
Risk governance: Responsibility and participation
67
1.3.9
Risk communication
70
1.3.10
A roadmap towards a sustainable future
72
References
75
1.4
Science and Policy Interfacing
83
Philippe Quevauviller
1.4.1
Introduction
83
1.4.2
Taking account of the knowledge base
83
1.4.3
Concept of science and policy interfacing
84
1.4.4
Matching research with policy needs
85
1.4.4.1
Type of research
85
1.4.4.2
Short analysis of drawbacks
86
1.4.5
Research-policy interactions
86
1.4.5.1
Interactions with the scientific community
86
1.4.5.2
Synthesis needs
87
1.4.5.3
Exchange platforms
88
CONTENTS
vii
1.4.6
Conclusions
88
References
90
PART
TWO: POLICY SETTINGS
91
2.1
When Science Meets Policy: Enhancing Governance and Management
of Disaster Risks
93
Demetrio
Innocenti
2.1.1
Science
and disaster risk management
93
2.1.2
KnowLedge-based policy
95
2.1.3
The science-policy interface in practice
96
2.1.4
Evidence-based disaster risk policies
99
2.1.5
Climate research and disaster economics: Two scientific pillars of governance
of disaster risks
102
2.1.6
Conclusions
· 104
References
106
2.2
Hydrometeorological Extremes and the Science-policy Interface: IPCC
109
Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz
2.2.1
Introduction
109
2.2.2
IPCC at the interface of science and policy
110
2.2.3
Evolution of IPCC over
25
years
112
2.2.4
IPCC SREX messages in a nutshell
114
2.2.4.1
Observations
117
2.2.4.2
Projections
118
2.2.4.3
Managing the risk of hydro
mete o rolo
gica
t
extremes
120
2.2.5
Final remarks
-
AR5 is there
120
Acknowledgements
121
References
121
2.3
A Snapshot of
EU
and International Policies Relevant
to Hydrometeorological Events
123
Philippe Quevauviiler
2.3.1
Introduction
-
A complex policy framework
123
2.3.2
Climate change impacts on water
124
2.3.3
Policy background
125
2.3.4
International policies
126
2.3.5
EU
water policies
129
2.3.5.1
The water framework directive
129
2.3.5.2
WFD and climate change
130
2.3.5.3
The flood directive
132
2.3.5.4
The communication on drought
132
2.3.6
Climate adaptation strategy
133
2.3.7
Conclusions
134
References
135
viii CONTENTS
PART THREE: OUTLINE OF SCIENTIFIC FEATURES
137
3.1
Hydroinformatics and Its Role in Flood Management
139
Philippe Gourbesville
3.1.1
Background
139
3.1.2
FLood management in water-related activities
139
3.1.3
Why hydroinformatics?
142
3.1.4
Towards integrated flood management
144
3.1.5
Hydroinformatics and floods
146
3.1.6
Flood maps production
148
3.1.6.1
Producing the hydrograph
149
3.1.6.2
Hydraulic models
150
3.1.6.3
Parameter estimation in one-dimensional flow models
152
3.1.6.4
Parameter estimation in two-dimensional flow models
153
3.1.6.5
Validation of results
■
ISA
3.1.7
Real-time systems for decisions support
156
3.1.8
Emerging trends for higher efficiency
159
3.1.9
High resolution data and high resolution hydraulic modelling
159
3.1.10
From centralised to distributed and ubiquitous architecture
163
3.1.11
Perspectives in conclusion
167
Acknowledgement
167
References
167
3.2
Drought: How to be Prepared for the Hazard?
171
Henny
A.J. Van
Lanen
3.2.1
Introduction
171
3.2.2
Drought: Generating processes and identification
173
3.2.3
Trends in drought
177
3.2.3.1
Trends in observed drought
177
3.2.3.2
Trends in simulated historic drought
178
3.2.3.3
Future drought
181
3.2.4
Monitoring, management and early warning
189
3.2.5
Drought impacts and policy
191
Acknowledgements
196
References
196
3.3
Drought in the Light of Climate Change in the Mediterranean Area
203
Ana Iglesias
and
Luis Garrote
3.3.1
Introduction
203
3.3.2
The limits of rainfall
204
3.3.2.1
Drought and water scarcity: Overlapping challenges in the region
204
3.3.3
Estimating drought vulnerability
208
3.3.3.1
Underlying causes of drought risk
208
3.3.3.2
A drought vulnerability index
211
3.3.4
From drought vulnerability to drought management
213
3.3.4.1
Policies, actions and examples
213
3.3.4.2
Linking indicators to drought management actions
214
CONTENTS ix
3.3.5
Looking into the
future
216
3.3.5.1
Climate change scenarios
216
3.3.5.2
Higher drought risk
217
3.3.5.3
Changes in water availability
218
3.3.5.4
Climate change as an opportunity to revise drought management
218
3.3.5.5
Conservation-oriented policies
220
3.3.6
Conclusions
222
Acknowledgements
223
References
223
3.4
Prediction of Storm Impacts on Beach and Dune Systems
227
Paolo
Ciavola, Oscar
Ferreira,
Ар
Van
Dongeren,
Jaap
Van
Thiel de
Vries,
Clara Armaroli and Mitchell Harley
ЗЛА
Introduction
227
3.4.2
Coastal storm definitions
228
3.4.2.1
Meteorological approaches to assessing coastal storm severity
229
3.4.2.2
Engineering approaches to assessing coastal storm severity
231
3.4.3
The storm impact scale
231
3.4.3.1
Swash regime
232
3.4.3.2
Collision regime
233
3.4.3.3
Overwash regime
233
3.4.3.4
Inundation regime
234
3.4.4
Analytical methods of hazard definition
234
3.4.5
Modelling of storm impacts
237
3.4.5.1
Models based on the equilibrium profile theory
238
3.4.5.2
Process-based models
239
3.4.6
Storm impact indicators, early warning systems and disaster risk reduction
242
3.4.7
Conclusions
245
Acknowledgements
246
References
246
PART FOUR: SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS
253
4.1
Assessing the Costs of Natural Hazards
-
State of the Art and the
Way Forward
255
Volker
Meyer, Reimund
Schwarze,
Nina Becker, Vasileios Markantonis,
Jeroen C.J.M. van den Bergh,
Laurens
M.
Bouwer,
Philip
Bubeck,
Paolo Ciavola,
E lisa betta Genovese,
Colin Green,
Stephane Hallegatte,
Heidi Kreibich,
Quentin
Lequeux,
Ivana
Logar,
Elissaios
Papyrakis, Clemens Pfurtscheller, Jennifer
Poussin,
Valentin Przyluski,
Annegret
H.
Thieken and
Christophe Viavattene
АЛЛ
Introduction
256
4.1.2
State of the art of cost assessment for natural hazards
-
An overview
260
4.1.2.1
Direct costs
261
4.1.2.2
Business interruption costs
265
4.1.2.3
Indirect costs
267
4.1.2.4
Intangible (non-market) costs
270
4.1.2.5
Risk mitigation costs
273
4.1.3
Conclusions and the way forward
277
References
282
CONTENTS
4.2
Resilience and Adaptation to Hydrometeorologkal Hazards
291
Hugh Deeming, Maureen Fordham and
Åsa
Gerger Swartling
4.2.1
Introduction
291
4.2.2
Resilience
292
4.2.2.1
Psychological approaches to resilience
292
4.2.2.2
Social-ecological systems
(SES)
293
4.2.2.3
Organisations and infrastructure
295
4.2.3
Discussion
297
4.2.3.1
Community
301
4.2.3.2
Adaptation
303
4.2.3.3
Resilience to hydrometeorological extremes
305
4.2.3.4
The sustainable livelihoods approach (SLA)
305
4.2.3.5
Pilot study location and event: Cockermouth, Cumbria, UK
307
4.2.3.6
Comparison of two small businesses in Cockermouth, Cumbria
307
4.2.4
Conclusions
309
Acknowledgements
*, 309
References
309
PART FIVE: CONCLUSIONS
317
5
Conclusions, Outlook
319
Phiiippe QuevauviUer
5.1
Contextual developments
319
5.2
Scientific developments
320
5.3
Outlook
320
5.3.1
Strengths
320
5.3.2
Weaknesses
320
5.3.3
Threats
321
5.3.4
Opportunities
321
Index
323
|
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| id | DE-604.BV042339675 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T01:18:51Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9781118629574 |
| language | English |
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| record_format | marc |
| series2 | Hydrometeorological extreme events |
| spelling | Hydrometeorological hazards interfacing science and policy ed. by Philippe Quevauviller 1. publ. Chichester [u.a.] Wiley Blackwell 2015 XX, 328 S. Ill., graph. Darst., Kt. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Hydrometeorological extreme events Hydrometeorologie (DE-588)4113981-1 gnd rswk-swf Naturereignis (DE-588)4427668-0 gnd rswk-swf Naturkatastrophe (DE-588)4041387-1 gnd rswk-swf Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 gnd rswk-swf Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 s Naturkatastrophe (DE-588)4041387-1 s DE-604 Hydrometeorologie (DE-588)4113981-1 s Naturereignis (DE-588)4427668-0 s Quevauviller, Philippe (DE-588)1055781323 edt http://swb.eblib.com/patron/FullRecord.aspx?p=1824306 Verlag Digitalisierung UB Augsburg - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=027776233&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Hydrometeorological hazards interfacing science and policy Hydrometeorologie (DE-588)4113981-1 gnd Naturereignis (DE-588)4427668-0 gnd Naturkatastrophe (DE-588)4041387-1 gnd Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4113981-1 (DE-588)4427668-0 (DE-588)4041387-1 (DE-588)4031170-3 |
| title | Hydrometeorological hazards interfacing science and policy |
| title_auth | Hydrometeorological hazards interfacing science and policy |
| title_exact_search | Hydrometeorological hazards interfacing science and policy |
| title_full | Hydrometeorological hazards interfacing science and policy ed. by Philippe Quevauviller |
| title_fullStr | Hydrometeorological hazards interfacing science and policy ed. by Philippe Quevauviller |
| title_full_unstemmed | Hydrometeorological hazards interfacing science and policy ed. by Philippe Quevauviller |
| title_short | Hydrometeorological hazards |
| title_sort | hydrometeorological hazards interfacing science and policy |
| title_sub | interfacing science and policy |
| topic | Hydrometeorologie (DE-588)4113981-1 gnd Naturereignis (DE-588)4427668-0 gnd Naturkatastrophe (DE-588)4041387-1 gnd Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 gnd |
| topic_facet | Hydrometeorologie Naturereignis Naturkatastrophe Klima |
| url | http://swb.eblib.com/patron/FullRecord.aspx?p=1824306 http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=027776233&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT quevauvillerphilippe hydrometeorologicalhazardsinterfacingscienceandpolicy |