Germany's future electors: developments of the German electorate in times of demographic change
Gespeichert in:
1. Verfasser: | |
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Format: | Abschlussarbeit Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Wiesbaden
Springer VS
2015
|
Schriftenreihe: | Research
|
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Inhaltstext Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Beschreibung: | 404 S. graph. Darst. 235 mm x 155 mm |
ISBN: | 9783658069414 |
Internformat
MARC
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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adam_text |
TABLE OF CONTENTS
FOREWORD V
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS VIJ
TABLE OF CONTENTS IX
LIST OF TABLES XIV
LIST OF FIGURES XV
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS XXI
CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION 1
1.1. ELECTORAL LAW, DEMOGRAPHY AND MEMBERSHIP IN DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATES
1
1.2. AIM OF THE STUDY 4
1.3. SPATIAL AND THEMATIC SCOPE 11
1.4. METHODS AND DATA 15
1.5. STRUCTURE OF THE STUDY 18
PART 1: CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK 21
CHAPTER 2. THE INFLUENCE OF LEGAL CHANGES ON THE DEVELOPMENT
OF THE ELECTORATE 23
2.1. RESTRICTIONS TO THE RIGHT TO VOTE ACROSS SPACE AND TIME 23
2.1.1. ELECTORALLAW 23
2.1.2. DEMOCRATIC THEORY 32
2.1.3. INTERNATIONAL LAW 36
2.2. INFLUENCE OF CHANGING RESTRICTIONS ON ELECTORATES ACROSS SPACE AND
TIME 39
2.3. RESTRICTIONS TO THE RIGHT TO VOTE IN GERMANY, 1949-2010 42
2.3.1. THE BASIC LAW 42
2.3.2. THE FEDERAL ELECTION ACTS 47
HTTP://D-NB.INFO/1054226008
X
TABLE OF CONTENTS
2.3.3. THE CITIZENSHIP ACT 58
2.4. INFLUENCE OF CHANGING RESTRICTIONS ON THE GERMAN ELECTORATE, 1949-
2010 67
CHAPTER 3. THE INFLUENCE OF DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES ON THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THE
ELECTORATE 79
3.1. DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS ACROSS SPACE AND TIME 79
3.2. INFLUENCE OF DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS ON ELECTORATES ACROSS SPACE AND
TIME .82
3.3. DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS IN GERMANY, 1949-2010 94
3.3.1. FERTILITY DEVELOPMENTS 96
3.3.1.1. GERMAN CITIZENS 96
3.3.1.2. FOREIGN RESIDENTS 101
3.3.2. MORTALITY DEVELOPMENTS 105
3.3.2.1. GERMAN CITIZENS 105
3.3.2.2. FOREIGN RESIDENTS 108
3.3.3. MIGRATION DEVELOPMENTS 111
3.3.3.1. GERMAN CITIZENS ILL
3.3.3.2. FOREIGN RESIDENTS 1 ]5
3.3.4. CITIZENSHIP ACQUISITION AT BIRTH 120
3.3.4.1. CHILDREN BORN TO GERMAN CITIZENS 120
3.3.4.2. CHILDREN BORN TO FOREIGN RESIDENTS 120
3.3.5. CHANGES OF CITIZENSHIP DURING THE LIFE COURSE 122
3.3.5.1. GERMAN CITIZENS (MAJORITY POPULATION) 1
22
3.3.5.2. IUS SOLI-CITIZENS 123
3.3.5.3. FOREIGN RESIDENTS 124
3.4. INFLUENCE OF DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS ON THE GERMAN ELECTORATE, 1949-
2010 129
TABLE OF CONTENTS XI
PART 2: ESTIMATING THE GERMAN ELECTORATE, 2010-2030 137
CHAPTER 4. METHODS, DATA AND SOFTWARE 139
4.1. DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS 139
4.1.1. METHOD 139
4.1.2. UNCERTAINTY 144
4.1.3. DATA 149
4.1.3.1. DATA FOR THE BASE-YEAR 2010 149
4.1.3.2. ASSUMPTIONS FOR THE YEARS 2011
-2030 159
4.2. POLICY SCENARIOS 161
4.2.1. METHOD 161
4.2.2. UNCERTAINTY 164
4.2.3. DATA 165
4.3. SOFTWARE AND INDICATORS 166
CHAPTER 5. BASE-YEAR DATA PROJECTION 169
5.1. BASE-YEAR DEMOGRAPHIC DATA 169
5.2. BASE-YEAR PROJECTION RESULTS 175
CHAPTER 6. DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTIONS: THE INFLUENCE OF
DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE
ELECTORATE 181
6.1. DEMOGRAPHIC ASSUMPTIONS 181
6.1.1. FERTILITY ASSUMPTIONS 182
6.1.1.1. GERMAN CITIZENS 182
6.1.1.2. FOREIGN RESIDENTS 189
6.1.2. MORTALITY ASSUMPTIONS 191
6.1.2.1. GERMAN CITIZENS 191
6.1.2.2. FOREIGN RESIDENTS 196
XII
TABLE OF CONTENTS
6.1.3. MIGRATION ASSUMPTIONS 199
6.1.3.1. GERMAN CITIZENS 199
6.1.3.2. FOREIGN RESIDENTS 206
6.1.4. ASSUMPTIONS ON CITIZENSHIP ACQUISITION AT BIRTH 218
6.1.4.1. CHILDREN BORN TO GERMAN CITIZENS (MAJORITY
POPULATION) 218
6.1.4.2. CHILDREN BORN TO IUS SOLI-CITIZENS 218
6.1.4.3. CHILDREN BORN TO FOREIGN RESIDENTS 218
6.1.5. ASSUMPTIONS ON CITIZENSHIP CHANGES DURING THE LIFE COURSE 221
6.1.5.1. GERMAN CITIZENS (MAJORITY POPULATION) 221
6.1.5.2. IUS SOLI-CITIZENS 222
6.1.5.3. FOREIGN RESIDENTS 226
6.2. OVERVIEW OF SCENARIOS 231
6.3. PROJECTION RESULTS 235
6.3.1. THE TOTAL RESIDENT POPULATION OF GERMANY 235
6.3.2. THE POPULATION OF UNDERAGE GERMAN CITIZENS 239
6.3.3. THE FOREIGN POPULATION 242
6.3.4. THE ELECTORATE 244
6.3.5. SUMMARY OF MAIN FMDINGS 248
CHAPTER 7. POLICY SCENARIOS: THE INFLUENCE OF LEGAL CHANGES ON
THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE ELECTORATE 251
7.1. POLICY ASSUMPTIONS 252
7.1.1. THE AGE CRITERION 252
7.1.1.1. ACADEMIC DEBATES 252
7.1.1.2. POLITICAL DEBATES 262
7.1.2. THE CITIZENSHIP CRITERION 268
7.1.2.1. ACADEMIC DEBATES 269
7.1.2.2. POLITICAL DEBATES 282
TABLE OF CONTENTS
XIII
7.2. OVERVIEW OF SCENARIOS 298
7.3. PROJECTION RESULTS 300
7.3.1. SINGLE ASSUMPTION SCENARIOS 300
7.3.2. MIXED ASSUMPTION SCENARIOS 317
7.3.3. SUMMARY OF MAIN FINDINGS 321
CHAPTER 8. THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE GERMAN ELECTORATE: TRENDS
AND CONSEQUENCES 325
8.1. STUDYING DEVELOPMENTS OF THE GERMAN ELECTORATE FROM AN
INTERDISCIPLINARY PERSPECTIVE 325
8.2. THE INFLUENCE OF DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE
ELECTORATE 327
8.3. THE INFLUENCE OF LEGAL CHANGES ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE ELECTORATE
330
8.4. FUTURE CHANGES IN THE SIZE AND AGE STRUCTURE OF THE ELECTORATE AND
THEIR
CONSEQUENCES 336
ANNEX 1: CONSTITUTIONS AND ELECTORAL LAWS WHICH REGULATE THE RIGHT TO
VOTE IN EUROPEAN COUNTRIES (FOR TABLE 1) 341
ANNEX 2: THE FEDERAL ELECTION ACTS AND LEGAL REFORMS THAT HAVE
REGULATED THE RIGHT TO VOTE IN GERMANY, 1949-2010 (FOR
TABLE 2) 345
ANNEX 3: INTERNATIONAL TREATIES, LEGAL ACTS AND PARLIAMENTAIY DOCUMENTS
REFERRED TO IN THE DISSERTATION 347
BIBLIOGRAPHY ! 361 |
any_adam_object | 1 |
author | Sánchez Gassen, Nora E. |
author_GND | (DE-588)1060505436 |
author_facet | Sánchez Gassen, Nora E. |
author_role | aut |
author_sort | Sánchez Gassen, Nora E. |
author_variant | g n e s gne gnes |
building | Verbundindex |
bvnumber | BV042170499 |
classification_rvk | MG 15400 MS 4200 |
ctrlnum | (OCoLC)885038546 (DE-599)DNB1054226008 |
dewey-full | 324.943 |
dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
dewey-ones | 324 - The political process |
dewey-raw | 324.943 |
dewey-search | 324.943 |
dewey-sort | 3324.943 |
dewey-tens | 320 - Political science (Politics and government) |
discipline | Politologie Soziologie |
era | Prognose 2010-2030 gnd |
era_facet | Prognose 2010-2030 |
format | Thesis Book |
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spelling | Sánchez Gassen, Nora E. Verfasser (DE-588)1060505436 aut Germany's future electors developments of the German electorate in times of demographic change Nora E. Sánchez Gassen Wiesbaden Springer VS 2015 404 S. graph. Darst. 235 mm x 155 mm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Research Zugl.: München, Univ. der Bundeswehr, Diss., 2013 Prognose 2010-2030 gnd rswk-swf Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd rswk-swf Bundestagswahl (DE-588)4009016-4 gnd rswk-swf Wähler (DE-588)4064144-2 gnd rswk-swf Wahlrecht (DE-588)4064302-5 gnd rswk-swf Deutschland (DE-588)4011882-4 gnd rswk-swf Demographischer Wandel Wahlrecht Bundestagswahlen Bevölkerungsprognose Zukünftige Generationen (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Deutschland (DE-588)4011882-4 g Bundestagswahl (DE-588)4009016-4 s Wähler (DE-588)4064144-2 s Wahlrecht (DE-588)4064302-5 s Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 s Prognose 2010-2030 z DE-604 Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe 978-3-658-06942-1 X:MVB text/html http://deposit.dnb.de/cgi-bin/dokserv?id=4727251&prov=M&dok_var=1&dok_ext=htm Inhaltstext DNB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=027609979&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Sánchez Gassen, Nora E. Germany's future electors developments of the German electorate in times of demographic change Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd Bundestagswahl (DE-588)4009016-4 gnd Wähler (DE-588)4064144-2 gnd Wahlrecht (DE-588)4064302-5 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4006292-2 (DE-588)4009016-4 (DE-588)4064144-2 (DE-588)4064302-5 (DE-588)4011882-4 (DE-588)4113937-9 |
title | Germany's future electors developments of the German electorate in times of demographic change |
title_auth | Germany's future electors developments of the German electorate in times of demographic change |
title_exact_search | Germany's future electors developments of the German electorate in times of demographic change |
title_full | Germany's future electors developments of the German electorate in times of demographic change Nora E. Sánchez Gassen |
title_fullStr | Germany's future electors developments of the German electorate in times of demographic change Nora E. Sánchez Gassen |
title_full_unstemmed | Germany's future electors developments of the German electorate in times of demographic change Nora E. Sánchez Gassen |
title_short | Germany's future electors |
title_sort | germany s future electors developments of the german electorate in times of demographic change |
title_sub | developments of the German electorate in times of demographic change |
topic | Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd Bundestagswahl (DE-588)4009016-4 gnd Wähler (DE-588)4064144-2 gnd Wahlrecht (DE-588)4064302-5 gnd |
topic_facet | Bevölkerungsentwicklung Bundestagswahl Wähler Wahlrecht Deutschland Hochschulschrift |
url | http://deposit.dnb.de/cgi-bin/dokserv?id=4727251&prov=M&dok_var=1&dok_ext=htm http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=027609979&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
work_keys_str_mv | AT sanchezgassennorae germanysfutureelectorsdevelopmentsofthegermanelectorateintimesofdemographicchange |