Breakthroughs in decision science and risk analysis:
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Buch |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Hoboken, NJ
Wiley
2015
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Wiley essentials in operations research and management science
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Klappentext Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Includes bibliographical references and index Weitere Ausgabe: Online version : Breakthroughs in decision science and risk analysis |
| Beschreibung: | XII, 316 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9781118217160 |
Internformat
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Discover recent powerful advances in
the theory, methods, and applications of
decision and risk analysis
Focusing on modern advances and innovations in the field of decision analysis (DA), Breakthroughs
in Decision Science and Risk Analysis presents theories and methods for making, improving, and
learning from significant practical decisions. The book explains these new methods and important
applications in an accessible and stimulating style for readers from multiple backgrounds,
including psychology, economics, statistics, engineering, risk analysis, operations research, and
management science.
Highlighting topics not conventionally found in DA textbooks, the book illustrates genuine advances
in practical decision science, including developments and trends that depart from, or break with,
the standard axiomatic DA paradigm in fundamental and useful ways. The book features methods
for coping with realistic decision-making challenges such as online adaptive learning algorithms,
innovations in robust decision-making, and the use of a variety of models to explain available data
and recommend actions. In addition, the book illustrates how these techniques can be applied to
dramatically improve risk management decisions. Breakthroughs in Decision Science and Risk
Analysis also includes:
• An emphasis on new approaches rather than only classical and traditional ideas
• Discussions of how decision and risk analysis can be applied to improve high-stakes
policy and management decisions
• Coverage of the potential value and realism of decision science within applications
in financial, health, safety, environmental, business, engineering, and security risk
management
• innovative methods for deciding what actions to take when decision problems are
not completely known or described or when useful probabilities cannot be specified
• Recent breakthroughs in the psychology and brain science of risky decisions,
mathematical foundations and techniques, and integration with learning and pattern
recognition methods from computational intelligence
Breakthroughs in Decision Science and Risk Analysis is an ideal reference for researchers,
consultants, and practitioners in the fields of decision science, operations research, business,
management science, engineering, statistics, and mathematics. The book is also an appropriate
guide for managers, analysts, and decision and policy makers in the areas of finance, health and
safety, environment, business, engineering, and security risk management.
LOUIS ANTHONY (TONY) COX, JR. PhD, is Chief Sciences Officer of NextHealth Technologies, a
Denver-based health care advanced analytics software company, and President of Cox Associates,
Inc., a Denver-based applied research company specializing in quantitative health risk assessment,
risk analysis, causal modeling, and operations research. Dr. Cox is also Clinical Professor of
Biostatistics and Informatics at the University of Colorado at Denver, a member of the National
Academy of Engineering, and Editor-in-Chief of Risk Analysis: An International Journal.
Subscribe to our free Mathematics eNewsletter at
wiley.com/enewsletters
www.wiley.com/mathematics
Wiley
Cover Image: ¡Stockphoto © Tashatuvango
e
Also available
as an e-book
Contents-
Foreword vii
Preface ix
Contributors xi
1. Introduction: Five Breakthroughs in Decision
and Risk Analysis 1
Louis Anthony (Tony) Cox, Jr.
2. The Ways We Decide: Reconciling Hearts
and Minds 19
Edward C. Rosenthal
3. Simulation Optimization: Improving Decisions
under Uncertainty 59
Marco Better, Fred Glover, and Gary Kochenberger
4. Optimal Learning in Business Decisions 83
Ilya O. Ryzhov
5. Using Preference Orderings to Make
Quantitative Trade-Offs 123
Chen Wang and Vicki M. Bier
6. Causal Analysis and Modeling for Decision
and Risk Analysis 149
Louis Anthony (Tony) Cox, Jr.
7. Making Decisions without Trustworthy
Risk Models 189
Louis Anthony (Tony) Cox, Jr.
v
VI Contents
8. Medical Decision-Making: An Application
to Sugar-Sweetened Beverages 235
Andrea C. Hupman and AH E. Abbas
9. Electric Power Vulnerability Models:
From Protection to Resilience 259
Sinan Tas and Vicki M. Bier
10. Outthinking the Terrorists 287
Jason Merrick, Philip Leclerc, Hristo Trenkov,
and Robert Olsen
Index 313
|
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| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| format | Book |
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| isbn | 9781118217160 |
| language | English |
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| spelling | Breakthroughs in decision science and risk analysis ed. by Louis Anthony Cox. [Contrib.: Ali E. Abbas ...] Hoboken, NJ Wiley 2015 XII, 316 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Wiley essentials in operations research and management science Includes bibliographical references and index Weitere Ausgabe: Online version : Breakthroughs in decision science and risk analysis Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit (DE-588)4070864-0 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 gnd rswk-swf Operations Research (DE-588)4043586-6 gnd rswk-swf Risikoanalyse (DE-588)4137042-9 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidungsmodell (DE-588)4121201-0 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4143413-4 Aufsatzsammlung gnd-content Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 s Entscheidungsmodell (DE-588)4121201-0 s Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit (DE-588)4070864-0 s Risikoanalyse (DE-588)4137042-9 s Operations Research (DE-588)4043586-6 s DE-604 Cox, Louis A. Sonstige (DE-588)138540365 oth Abbas, Ali E. ca. 20./21. Jh. Sonstige (DE-588)106956883X oth Digitalisierung UB Bayreuth - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=027581961&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Klappentext Digitalisierung UB Bayreuth - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=027581961&sequence=000004&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Breakthroughs in decision science and risk analysis Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit (DE-588)4070864-0 gnd Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 gnd Operations Research (DE-588)4043586-6 gnd Risikoanalyse (DE-588)4137042-9 gnd Entscheidungsmodell (DE-588)4121201-0 gnd |
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| title | Breakthroughs in decision science and risk analysis |
| title_auth | Breakthroughs in decision science and risk analysis |
| title_exact_search | Breakthroughs in decision science and risk analysis |
| title_full | Breakthroughs in decision science and risk analysis ed. by Louis Anthony Cox. [Contrib.: Ali E. Abbas ...] |
| title_fullStr | Breakthroughs in decision science and risk analysis ed. by Louis Anthony Cox. [Contrib.: Ali E. Abbas ...] |
| title_full_unstemmed | Breakthroughs in decision science and risk analysis ed. by Louis Anthony Cox. [Contrib.: Ali E. Abbas ...] |
| title_short | Breakthroughs in decision science and risk analysis |
| title_sort | breakthroughs in decision science and risk analysis |
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