Essential demographic methods:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
2014
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| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Includes bibliographical references and index |
| Beschreibung: | XVI, 288 S. |
| ISBN: | 9780674045576 |
Internformat
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| 650 | 4 | |a Demography |x Statistical methods | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Demography |x Mathematical models | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Population |x Statistical methods | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Population |x Mathematical models | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Population forecasting |x Statistical methods | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Titel: Essential demographic methods
Autor: Wachter, Kenneth W
Jahr: 2014
Contents List of Figures and Tables.................... xi Preface............................xv Introduction: Why Study Demography? 1 1 Exponential Growth 5 1.1 The Balancing Equation....................5 1.2 The Growth Rate R ......................9 1.3 The Exponential Curve...................14 1.4 Models and Parameters...................16 * 1.5 Taylor Series........................19 * 1.6 Logistic Growth......................22 1.7 Doubling Times......................24 2 Periods and Cohorts 30 2.1 Lexis Diagrams.......................30 2.2 Period Person-Years Lived..................33 2.3 The Crude Rate Model...................35 2.4 The Infant Mortality Rate..................37 * 2.5 Person-Years and Areas...................39 2.6 Cohort Person-Years Lived..................41 2.7 The Stationary Population Identity..............44
Contents viii 3 Cohort Mortality 48 3.1 Cohort Survival by Analogy .................48 3.2 Probabilities of Dying....................52 3.3 Columns of the Cohort Life Table...............54 3.3.1 King Edward’s Children.................54 3.3.2 From n L x to e x ....................59 3.3.3 The Radix ......................61 * 3.4 Plazards and Survivors....................63 * 3.5 Gompertz Hazards.....................65 3.6 Annuities and Insurance...................71 3.7 iVlortality of the 1300s and 2000s...............74 4 Cohort Fertility 79 4.1 Generational Renewal....................79 4.2 Age-Specific Fertility....................83 4.3 ASFRs and the NRR....................84 4.4 Cohort Parity.......................86 4.5 Natural Fertility......................89 5 Population Projection 98 5.1 Transition Matrices.....................98 5.2 Structural Zeros......................101 5.3 The Leslie Matrix Subdiagonal................103 * 5.4 The Leslie Matrix First Row.................106 5.5 Projecting Fillies, Mares, Seniors...............110 * 5.6 Multi-State Tables.....................114 * 5.7 Population Renewal.....................116 * 5.8 Variable r and the Lexis Surface................119 6 Period Fertility 125 6.1 Period .Measures......................125 6.2 Period Age-Specific Fertility.................128 6.3 Period NRR, GRR, and 7TR .................130 * 6.4 Log(GRR) Plots ......................133 6.5 Age-Standardized Rates...................136 * 6.6 Ifempo and Quantum....................138 6.7 Princeton Indices......................141 6.8 Coale and Trussell’s M and m .................145 7 Period Mortality 153 7.1 Period Lifetables......................153
Lontents 7.2 Gaps and Lags.......................157 7.3 The 1660s and Laws of Mortality...............159 7.4 Graunt’s Model Lifetable ..................162 7.5 Coale-Demeny Model Lifetables...............164 7.6 Brass Relational Logit Models ................165 * 7.7 Lee-Carter Models.....................169 8 Heterogeneous Risks 174 8.1 Heterogeneity.......................174 8.2 Multiple Decrements....................175 * 8.3 Competing Risks......................179 * 8.4 Calculations with Hazards..................181 * 8.5 Lifeluck, Risk, and Frailty..................185 * 8.6 Proportional Hazards....................187 * 8.7 Cox Regression Estimation..................191 * 8.8 Frailty Models.......................194 9 Marriage and Family 201 9.1 The Complexity of Marriage.................201 9.2 First Marriage by Analogy..................203 9.3 The SMAFM .......................206 * 9.4 The Singulate Mean Formula.................209 9.5 Marity..........................212 10 Stable Age Structures 218 10.1 Age Pyramids.......................218 10.2 Stationary F.quivalent Populations..............221 10.3 Consequences of Unchanging Rates .............224 10.4 Stable Age Pyramids....................229 10.5 The Many Faces of Lotka’s r ................233 * 10.6 The Euler-Lotka Equation.................235 * 10.7 Life Left in Stable Populations................241 10.8 Population /Momentum...................243 11 Migration and Location 250 11.1 Spatial Demography....................250 11.2 Flows of People......................251 11.3 Concentrations......................256 * 11.4 Random Walks......................262 11.5 GIS and Cartograms....................265
x Contents Conclusion 271 Appendix A: Sources and Notes..................273 Appendix B: Useful Formulas ..................275 Bibliography .........................279 Index.............................285
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| isbn | 9780674045576 |
| language | English |
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| physical | XVI, 288 S. |
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| spelling | Wachter, Kenneth W. Verfasser aut Essential demographic methods Kenneth W. Wachter 2014 XVI, 288 S. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Includes bibliographical references and index Mathematisches Modell Demography Statistical methods Demography Mathematical models Population Statistical methods Population Mathematical models Population forecasting Statistical methods Population forecasting Mathematical models Demographie (DE-588)4011412-0 gnd rswk-swf Statistik (DE-588)4056995-0 gnd rswk-swf Demographie (DE-588)4011412-0 s Statistik (DE-588)4056995-0 s 1\p DE-604 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=027377574&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Wachter, Kenneth W. Essential demographic methods Mathematisches Modell Demography Statistical methods Demography Mathematical models Population Statistical methods Population Mathematical models Population forecasting Statistical methods Population forecasting Mathematical models Demographie (DE-588)4011412-0 gnd Statistik (DE-588)4056995-0 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4011412-0 (DE-588)4056995-0 |
| title | Essential demographic methods |
| title_auth | Essential demographic methods |
| title_exact_search | Essential demographic methods |
| title_full | Essential demographic methods Kenneth W. Wachter |
| title_fullStr | Essential demographic methods Kenneth W. Wachter |
| title_full_unstemmed | Essential demographic methods Kenneth W. Wachter |
| title_short | Essential demographic methods |
| title_sort | essential demographic methods |
| topic | Mathematisches Modell Demography Statistical methods Demography Mathematical models Population Statistical methods Population Mathematical models Population forecasting Statistical methods Population forecasting Mathematical models Demographie (DE-588)4011412-0 gnd Statistik (DE-588)4056995-0 gnd |
| topic_facet | Mathematisches Modell Demography Statistical methods Demography Mathematical models Population Statistical methods Population Mathematical models Population forecasting Statistical methods Population forecasting Mathematical models Demographie Statistik |
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