Earthquakes: models, statistics, testable forecasts
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Chichester, West Sussex, UK
Wiley
2014
[Washington, DC] American Geophysical Union |
| Ausgabe: | 1. publ. |
| Schriftenreihe: | Statistical physics of fracture and breakdown series
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | FRO01 UBT01 UEI01 URL des Erstveröffentlichers |
| Beschreibung: | "The proposed book is the first comprehensive and methodologically rigorous analysis of earthquake occurrence. Models based on the theory of the stochastic multidimensional point processes are employed to approximate the earthquake occurrence pattern and evaluate its parameters. The Author shows that most of these parameters have universal values. These results help explain the classical earthquake distributions: Omori's law and the Gutenberg-Richter relation. The Author derives a new negative-binomial distribution for earthquake numbers, instead of the Poisson distribution, and then determines a fractal correlation dimension for spatial distributions of earthquake hypocenters. The book also investigates the disorientation of earthquake focal mechanisms and shows that it follows the rotational Cauchy distribution. These statistical and mathematical advances make it possible to produce quantitative forecasts of earthquake occurrence. In these forecasts earthquake rate in time, space, and focal mechanism orientation is evaluated"-- "Our purpose is to analyze the causes of recent failures in earthquake forecasting, as well as the difficulties in earthquake investigation"-- |
| Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (XVIII, 283 S.) |
| ISBN: | 9781118637883 9781118637890 9781118637913 |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Earthquakes |b models, statistics, testable forecasts |c Yan Y. Kagan |
| 250 | |a 1. publ. | ||
| 264 | 1 | |a Chichester, West Sussex, UK |b Wiley |c 2014 | |
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| 490 | 0 | |a Statistical physics of fracture and breakdown series | |
| 500 | |a "The proposed book is the first comprehensive and methodologically rigorous analysis of earthquake occurrence. Models based on the theory of the stochastic multidimensional point processes are employed to approximate the earthquake occurrence pattern and evaluate its parameters. The Author shows that most of these parameters have universal values. These results help explain the classical earthquake distributions: Omori's law and the Gutenberg-Richter relation. The Author derives a new negative-binomial distribution for earthquake numbers, instead of the Poisson distribution, and then determines a fractal correlation dimension for spatial distributions of earthquake hypocenters. The book also investigates the disorientation of earthquake focal mechanisms and shows that it follows the rotational Cauchy distribution. These statistical and mathematical advances make it possible to produce quantitative forecasts of earthquake occurrence. In these forecasts earthquake rate in time, space, and focal mechanism orientation is evaluated"-- | ||
| 500 | |a "Our purpose is to analyze the causes of recent failures in earthquake forecasting, as well as the difficulties in earthquake investigation"-- | ||
| 650 | 7 | |a SCIENCE / Geophysics |2 bisacsh | |
| 650 | 7 | |a SCIENCE / Earth Sciences / Geography |2 bisacsh | |
| 650 | 7 | |a SCIENCE / Earth Sciences / Geology |2 bisacsh | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Geografie | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Geologie | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Geowissenschaften | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Earthquake prediction | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Earthquake hazard analysis | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804152164487004160 |
|---|---|
| any_adam_object | |
| author | Kagan, Yan Y. 1935- |
| author_GND | (DE-588)1050204565 |
| author_facet | Kagan, Yan Y. 1935- |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Kagan, Yan Y. 1935- |
| author_variant | y y k yy yyk |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV041829209 |
| classification_rvk | UT 1800 |
| collection | ZDB-35-WIC |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)862929275 (DE-599)BVBBV041829209 |
| dewey-full | 551.2201/12 |
| dewey-hundreds | 500 - Natural sciences and mathematics |
| dewey-ones | 551 - Geology, hydrology, meteorology |
| dewey-raw | 551.2201/12 |
| dewey-search | 551.2201/12 |
| dewey-sort | 3551.2201 212 |
| dewey-tens | 550 - Earth sciences |
| discipline | Geologie / Paläontologie Physik |
| edition | 1. publ. |
| format | Electronic eBook |
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| id | DE-604.BV041829209 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T01:06:22Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9781118637883 9781118637890 9781118637913 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-027274128 |
| oclc_num | 862929275 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-703 DE-861 DE-824 |
| owner_facet | DE-703 DE-861 DE-824 |
| physical | 1 Online-Ressource (XVIII, 283 S.) |
| psigel | ZDB-35-WIC FHR_PDA_WIC UBG_PDA_WIC ZDB-35-WIC FRO_PDA_WIC ZDB-35-WIC UBT_Wiley_EK_2014 ZDB-35-WIC UEI_PDA_WIC_Kauf |
| publishDate | 2014 |
| publishDateSearch | 2014 |
| publishDateSort | 2014 |
| publisher | Wiley American Geophysical Union |
| record_format | marc |
| series2 | Statistical physics of fracture and breakdown series |
| spelling | Kagan, Yan Y. 1935- Verfasser (DE-588)1050204565 aut Earthquakes models, statistics, testable forecasts Yan Y. Kagan 1. publ. Chichester, West Sussex, UK Wiley 2014 [Washington, DC] American Geophysical Union 1 Online-Ressource (XVIII, 283 S.) txt rdacontent c rdamedia cr rdacarrier Statistical physics of fracture and breakdown series "The proposed book is the first comprehensive and methodologically rigorous analysis of earthquake occurrence. Models based on the theory of the stochastic multidimensional point processes are employed to approximate the earthquake occurrence pattern and evaluate its parameters. The Author shows that most of these parameters have universal values. These results help explain the classical earthquake distributions: Omori's law and the Gutenberg-Richter relation. The Author derives a new negative-binomial distribution for earthquake numbers, instead of the Poisson distribution, and then determines a fractal correlation dimension for spatial distributions of earthquake hypocenters. The book also investigates the disorientation of earthquake focal mechanisms and shows that it follows the rotational Cauchy distribution. These statistical and mathematical advances make it possible to produce quantitative forecasts of earthquake occurrence. In these forecasts earthquake rate in time, space, and focal mechanism orientation is evaluated"-- "Our purpose is to analyze the causes of recent failures in earthquake forecasting, as well as the difficulties in earthquake investigation"-- SCIENCE / Geophysics bisacsh SCIENCE / Earth Sciences / Geography bisacsh SCIENCE / Earth Sciences / Geology bisacsh Geografie Geologie Geowissenschaften Earthquake prediction Earthquake hazard analysis Seismometrie (DE-588)4116468-4 gnd rswk-swf Erdbeben (DE-588)4015134-7 gnd rswk-swf Erdbebenvorhersage (DE-588)4124846-6 gnd rswk-swf Analyse (DE-588)4122795-5 gnd rswk-swf Erdbeben (DE-588)4015134-7 s Erdbebenvorhersage (DE-588)4124846-6 s Seismometrie (DE-588)4116468-4 s Analyse (DE-588)4122795-5 s DE-604 Erscheint auch als Druckausgabe 978-1-118-63792-0 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/book/10.1002/9781118637913 Verlag URL des Erstveröffentlichers Volltext |
| spellingShingle | Kagan, Yan Y. 1935- Earthquakes models, statistics, testable forecasts SCIENCE / Geophysics bisacsh SCIENCE / Earth Sciences / Geography bisacsh SCIENCE / Earth Sciences / Geology bisacsh Geografie Geologie Geowissenschaften Earthquake prediction Earthquake hazard analysis Seismometrie (DE-588)4116468-4 gnd Erdbeben (DE-588)4015134-7 gnd Erdbebenvorhersage (DE-588)4124846-6 gnd Analyse (DE-588)4122795-5 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4116468-4 (DE-588)4015134-7 (DE-588)4124846-6 (DE-588)4122795-5 |
| title | Earthquakes models, statistics, testable forecasts |
| title_auth | Earthquakes models, statistics, testable forecasts |
| title_exact_search | Earthquakes models, statistics, testable forecasts |
| title_full | Earthquakes models, statistics, testable forecasts Yan Y. Kagan |
| title_fullStr | Earthquakes models, statistics, testable forecasts Yan Y. Kagan |
| title_full_unstemmed | Earthquakes models, statistics, testable forecasts Yan Y. Kagan |
| title_short | Earthquakes |
| title_sort | earthquakes models statistics testable forecasts |
| title_sub | models, statistics, testable forecasts |
| topic | SCIENCE / Geophysics bisacsh SCIENCE / Earth Sciences / Geography bisacsh SCIENCE / Earth Sciences / Geology bisacsh Geografie Geologie Geowissenschaften Earthquake prediction Earthquake hazard analysis Seismometrie (DE-588)4116468-4 gnd Erdbeben (DE-588)4015134-7 gnd Erdbebenvorhersage (DE-588)4124846-6 gnd Analyse (DE-588)4122795-5 gnd |
| topic_facet | SCIENCE / Geophysics SCIENCE / Earth Sciences / Geography SCIENCE / Earth Sciences / Geology Geografie Geologie Geowissenschaften Earthquake prediction Earthquake hazard analysis Seismometrie Erdbeben Erdbebenvorhersage Analyse |
| url | https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/book/10.1002/9781118637913 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT kaganyany earthquakesmodelsstatisticstestableforecasts |