Africa 2050: realizing the continent's full potential
Gespeichert in:
| Weitere Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
New Delhi [u.a.]
Oxford Univ. Press
2014
|
| Ausgabe: | 1. ed. |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Klappentext Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XXVII, 489 S. Ill., graph. Darst., Kt. |
| ISBN: | 9780199450404 0199450404 |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804152142240415744 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Table
of Contents
xi
List of Appendixes, Boxes, Figures, and Tables
xxi
List of Abbreviations
xxiii
Foreword
xxv
Preface
xxvii
Acknowledgments
1
Introduction
1
Background
2
Rising Aspirations
3
A Highly Diverse and Heterogeneous Region
4
What !s Unique about This Book?
5
Assumptions and Organization
9
Part
1:
Realizing the Continent s Full Potential
11
Chapter
1:
A
2050
Vision to Meet African Aspirations
11
The Big Picture
12
People, Economies, and the Continent
15
Alternative Scenarios: Enormous Cost of Failure
25
Chapter
2:
Historicai Perspectives and Drivers of Future Change
25
Past Performance
27
Lessons from Asia and Latin America
30
Drivers of Change: Global and Africa-Specific
VÍ
AFRICA
2050
41
Major Risks
—
Need to be Actively Managed
51
Chapter
3:
Action Agenda
—
Jobs for People, Economies, and the Continent
51
Prosperous People and Cohesive Societies
—
Jobs to Transform Lives
59
Diverse, Competitive Economies
—
Private Investment to Create Jobs
67
Integrated Africa
—
Bigger Markets to Foster Investment and Higher Productivity Jobs
73
Chapter
4:
Better Governance to Deliver Results
73
Capable States
77
Pragmatic Leadership
78
Concluding Note: Africa s Future Is in Its Own Hands
81
Part II: People, Economies, and the Continent
81
Section A: Prosperous People and Cohesive Societies
—
Jobs to Transform
Lives
83
Chapter
5:
Accelerating the Demographic Transition
85
Components of the Demographic Transition
94
Implications for the Future
99
Action Agenda
105
Chapter
6:
Eliminating Fragility and Conflict
105
Africa in
2013:
Success, Diversity, and Fragility
106
Fragile, Conflict-Affected, and Failed States
—
The Underlying Realities
117
Future Shocks May Either Destroy or Force Change on Fragile States
122
Action Agenda
137
Chapter
7:
Ensuring Equity and Inclusion
138
Evolution of Poverty and Inequality in Africa
143
Access to Education
144
Access to Health
147
Access to Water and Sanitation
150
Prospects for
2050
150
Action Agenda
TABLE
OF
CONTENTS
VI
І
159
Chapter
8:
Breaking the Human Capital Barrier
161
Key Drivers of Change in Education and Health
167
Key Messages
172
Action Agenda
193
Section B: Diverse, Competitive Economies
—
Private Investments to Create
Jobs
195
Chapter
9:
Maintaining
Macroeconomic
Stability and Increasing Resilience
196
Broad Trends in Africa s Economic Performance
(1960 - 2011 )
216
Investment and Savings Needs for Sustained High Growth
223
Action Agenda
233
Chapter
10:
Enhancing Growth, Competitiveness, and Job Creation
234
Current Status: Economic Structure. Employment, Competitiveness, and Productivity
240
Factors Underlying Africa s Competitiveness, Productivity, and Growth
256
Vision Africa
2050
258
Action Agenda
267
Chapter
11:
Transforming African Agriculture
267
The Challenges
268
Economic Growth and Agriculture
270
African Agriculture in
2010
273
Agriculture Paths to
2050
291
Action Agenda
309
Chapter
12:
Harnessing Natural Resources for Diversification
311
Historical Context
324
A Vision for Africa s Extractive Industries in
2050
324
Action Agenda
339
Chapter
13:
Managing Urbanization for Growth
34Q Urban Transition
3-Є
ürban
Policy Challenges
3-9
Vision for
2050
35C Action Agenda
VIII AFRICA
2050
359
Section
С:
Integrated Continent - Bigger Markets to Foster Investment and
Higher Productivity Jobs
361
Chapter
14:
Enhancing Regional Cooperation and Integration on the Continent
361
Why Africa Should Strive for Regional Cooperation and Integration
362
Economic Imperatives for Regional Cooperation
365
Past Efforts on Regional Cooperation and Integration
368
Status of Regional Trade and Investment Flows
369
Lessons from Other Regions
372
Action Agenda
379
Chapter
15:
Mitigating and Adapting to Climate Change
380
Dealing with Climate Change
381
Africa and Climate Change
384
Mitigation Measures
386
Adaptation Plans
390
Funding, Technology, and Market Mechanisms Associated with Climate Change Measures
392
Action Agenda
399
Chapter
16:
Repositioning Africa in the World
400
Evolution of Old and New Partnerships
410
The Trade Dimension
413
Investment in Africa: Growing Rapidly but Concentrated
414
Conflict and Climate Change Have Risen on the Agenda
416
What is Likely to Happen Next
420
Action Agenda
429
Annex
1:
Commodity Terms of Trade in Africa: A Fragile Blessing
453
Annex
2:
Model of Giobal Economy
459
References
475
About the Editors and Contributors
475
Editors
477
Contributors
TABLE
OF
CONTENTS
¡Χ
483
Index
489
Photo
Credits
Africa
is at a critical turning point—what it and its leaders
do today will determine where the continent will be
socially and economically in
2050
and whether the
fast-rising aspirations of Africans are met or crushed.
Africa
2050
otters a vision of what could be—an Africa
that meets the aspirations of its people and is catching
up with the rest of the world in living standards
and competitiveness.
In such a scenario, by
2050,
average per capita income
would increase six-fold to over
$17,000,
moving from
one-quarter of the global average to half. An additional
1.4
billion Africans would join the middle class. The
number of poor would be reduced ten-fold to fewer
than
50
million. Africa s share of global GDP would triple
to
9
percent. These improvements will be formidable
compared to the continent s progress in the past
40
years. But Africa cannot afford to do less.
For people of the continent, the biggest change between
now and
2050
would be better, less vulnerable jobs with
higher productivity. For African economies, the biggest
change would be dramatic productivity improvements
driven by private sector investment, diversification, and
more competition. For the continent, the biggest change
would be much better integrated subregions where
goods and services flow unhindered, and relations with
the world based on trade and investment rather than aid.
This vision is possible but certainly not guaranteed—it
is just one of several possible scenarios. The vision is
ambitious but plausible. Complacency and inadequate
political
résolve
are the biggest threats to realizing it.
Africa
2050
offers a strategic framework for realizing the
bold vision. The framework comprises three dimensions:
prosperous people and cohesive societies, competitive
economies, and an integrated Africa. Jobs and sustained
growth lie at the core of the framework and are the
vehicle to realize Africa
2050.
While the specific action
agenda has to be, of course, country-specific, this book
identifies ten common priority issues that cut across
the continent.
Better governance is fundamental to delivering results.
The biggest challenge ¡s developing and sustaining a
do whatever it takes mentality to get results. Pragmatic
leadership focused on results and capable states with
functioning public institutions will be essential. Hence,
whether the
2050
vision is realized or not will depend
ultimately on the quality of governance and how
institutions work.
|
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| spelling | Africa 2050 realizing the continent's full potential ed. by Theodore Ahlers ... Africa two thousand fifty Two thousand fifty 1. ed. New Delhi [u.a.] Oxford Univ. Press 2014 XXVII, 489 S. Ill., graph. Darst., Kt. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Wirtschaftspolitik (DE-588)4066493-4 gnd rswk-swf Soziale Situation (DE-588)4077575-6 gnd rswk-swf Sozialpolitik (DE-588)4055879-4 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftliche Lage (DE-588)4248362-1 gnd rswk-swf Afrika (DE-588)4000695-5 gnd rswk-swf Afrika (DE-588)4000695-5 g Wirtschaftliche Lage (DE-588)4248362-1 s Wirtschaftspolitik (DE-588)4066493-4 s DE-604 Soziale Situation (DE-588)4077575-6 s Sozialpolitik (DE-588)4055879-4 s Ahlers, Theodore edt Digitalisierung UB Bayreuth - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=027260059&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Klappentext Digitalisierung UB Bayreuth - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=027260059&sequence=000004&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Africa 2050 realizing the continent's full potential Wirtschaftspolitik (DE-588)4066493-4 gnd Soziale Situation (DE-588)4077575-6 gnd Sozialpolitik (DE-588)4055879-4 gnd Wirtschaftliche Lage (DE-588)4248362-1 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4066493-4 (DE-588)4077575-6 (DE-588)4055879-4 (DE-588)4248362-1 (DE-588)4000695-5 |
| title | Africa 2050 realizing the continent's full potential |
| title_alt | Africa two thousand fifty Two thousand fifty |
| title_auth | Africa 2050 realizing the continent's full potential |
| title_exact_search | Africa 2050 realizing the continent's full potential |
| title_full | Africa 2050 realizing the continent's full potential ed. by Theodore Ahlers ... |
| title_fullStr | Africa 2050 realizing the continent's full potential ed. by Theodore Ahlers ... |
| title_full_unstemmed | Africa 2050 realizing the continent's full potential ed. by Theodore Ahlers ... |
| title_short | Africa 2050 |
| title_sort | africa 2050 realizing the continent s full potential |
| title_sub | realizing the continent's full potential |
| topic | Wirtschaftspolitik (DE-588)4066493-4 gnd Soziale Situation (DE-588)4077575-6 gnd Sozialpolitik (DE-588)4055879-4 gnd Wirtschaftliche Lage (DE-588)4248362-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | Wirtschaftspolitik Soziale Situation Sozialpolitik Wirtschaftliche Lage Afrika |
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