Meta-Regression analysis in economics:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
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| Format: | Abschlussarbeit Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
2013
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| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | 169 S. graph. Darst. |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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CONTENTS
DEUTSCHE ZUSAMMENFASSUNG I
LIST OF FIGURES VIII
LIST OF TABLES IX
1 INTRODUCTION 1
1.1 THE CREDIBILITY OF OBSERVATIONAL RESEARCH IN ECONOMICS 1
1.2 INCENTIVES IN ACADEMIC PUBLISHING 4
1.3 THE SEARCH FOR POSITIVE AND SIGNIFICANT RESULTS 5
1.4 HOW CAN WE IMPROVE CREDIBILITY? 7
1.5 RESEARCH QUESTIONS AND STRUCTURE OF THE THESIS 9
1.5.1 RESEARCH QUESTIONS 9
1.5.2 EXPLORING THE GRANGER CAUSALITY BETWEEN ENERGY USE
AND OUTPUT: A MOTIVATING EXAMPLE OF META-REGRESSION
ANALYSIS 11
1.5.3 META-GRANGER CAUSALITY 14
1.5.4 IDENTIFYING GENUINE EFFECTS IN OBSERVATIONAL RESEARCH . . 16
1.5.5 META-REGRESSION ANALYSIS AND DATA-MINING BIAS 17
2 EXPLORING THE GRANGER CAUSALITY BETWEEN ENERGY USE AND
OUTPUT: A MOTIVATING EXAMPLE OF META-REGRESSION ANALYSIS 21
2.1 INTRODUCTION 21
7
HTTP://D-NB.INFO/1048335399
2.2 METHODS 24
2.2.1 TESTING FOR GENUINE EFFECTS 24
2.2.2 CONTROLLING FOR OVERFITTING 27
2.3 CHOICE OF STUDIES 29
2.4 EXPLORATORY ANALYSIS OF THE DATA 32
2.4.1 DESCRIPTION OF THE DATA 32
2.4.2 CORRELATION ANALYSIS 34
2.4.3 BASIC META-REGRESION ANALYSIS 37
2.5 EXPLAINING THE NEGATIVE SLOPE 39
2.6 EFFECTS OF METHODOLOGY ON FINDING A GENUINE EFFECT 45
2.7 DISCUSSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS 50
2.8 APPENDIX 53
2.8.1 OVERVIEW OF SELECTED STUDIES ,53
2.8.2 DISTRIBUTION OF TEST STATISTICS 57
2.8.3 KEY TO VARIABLE DEFINITIONS IN TABLE 2.2 59
3 META-GRANGER CAUSALITY 61
3.1 INTRODUCTION 61
3.2 META-REGRESSION ANALYSIS OF GRANGER-CAUSALITY TESTS 63
3.2.1 TESTING FOR GRANGER CAUSALITY 63
3.2.2 SYSTEMATIC BIASES DUE TO COMMON LAG LENGTH SELECTION
PROCEDURES 65
3.2.3 IDENTIFICATION OF GENUINE EFFECTS 68
3.3 SIMULATION 71
3.3.1 DESIGN 71
3.3.2 RESULTS 73
3.4 DISCUSSION 80
3.5 CONCLUSIONS 81
3.6 APPENDIX * 82
4 IDENTIFYING GENUINE EFFECTS IN OBSERVATIONAL RESEARCH 85
4.1 INTRODUCTION 85
4.2 META-REGRESSION ANALYSIS OF REGRESSION COEFFICIENTS 88
4.2.1 GENUINE EMPIRICAL EFFECTS, DATA-MINING, AND PUBLICA
TION BIAS 88
4.2.2 FIXED-EFFECTS MODEL 92
4.2.3 PRECISION-EFFECT TESTS (PET AND PEESE) 94
4.2.4 META-SIGNIFICANCE TESTING (MST) 97
4.2.5
P-
VALUE TESTS (PVT-DF AND PVT-SE) 98
4.3 SIMULATION 99
4.3.1 DESIGN 99
4.3.2 RESULTS 102
4.4 IMPLICATIONS FOR META-REGRESSION ANALYSES 107
4.5 CONCLUSIONS ILL
4.6 APPENDIX 113
5 META-REGRESSION ANALYSIS AND DATA-MINING BIAS 115
5.1 INTRODUCTION 115
5.2 META-REGRESSION ANALYSIS 118
5.2.1 THE FLEXIBILITY OF OBSERVATIONAL RESEARCH DESIGNS AND
THE IMPORTANCE OF THEORY 118
5.2.2 FIXED-EFFECTS MODEL 122
5.2.3 PRECISION-EFFECT TESTS (PET AND PEESE) 123
5.2.4
P-
VALUE TESTS (PVT-CLF AND PVT-SE) 124
5.3 CONTROLLED SIMULATION 126
5.3.1 DESIGN 126
5.3.2 RESULTS 129
5.4 WORST-CASE SCENARIO: THEORY-CONFIRMATION BIAS 132
5.4.1 DESIGN 132
5.4.2 RESULTS 135
5.5 DISCUSSION 135
5.6 CONLCUSIONS 139
5.7 APPENDIX 140
5.7.1 DATA-MINING AND PUBLICATION BIAS 140
5.7.2 CONTROLLED SIMULATION 142
5.7.3 WEAK THEORY-CONFIRMATION BIAS 14-5
6 CONCLUSIONS 147
6.1 MAIN RESULTS AND CONTRIBUTIONS 147
6.2 LIMITATIONS AND FURTHER RESEARCH 149
BIBLIOGRAPHY 151
ERKLARUNG
169 |
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| spelling | Bruns, Stephan B. 1984- Verfasser (DE-588)1048335259 aut Meta-Regression analysis in economics von Stephan B. Bruns 2013 169 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Jena, Univ., Diss., 2013 Regressionsanalyse (DE-588)4129903-6 gnd rswk-swf Empirische Wirtschaftsforschung (DE-588)4014609-1 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Empirische Wirtschaftsforschung (DE-588)4014609-1 s Regressionsanalyse (DE-588)4129903-6 s DE-604 DNB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=027223338&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Bruns, Stephan B. 1984- Meta-Regression analysis in economics Regressionsanalyse (DE-588)4129903-6 gnd Empirische Wirtschaftsforschung (DE-588)4014609-1 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4129903-6 (DE-588)4014609-1 (DE-588)4113937-9 |
| title | Meta-Regression analysis in economics |
| title_auth | Meta-Regression analysis in economics |
| title_exact_search | Meta-Regression analysis in economics |
| title_full | Meta-Regression analysis in economics von Stephan B. Bruns |
| title_fullStr | Meta-Regression analysis in economics von Stephan B. Bruns |
| title_full_unstemmed | Meta-Regression analysis in economics von Stephan B. Bruns |
| title_short | Meta-Regression analysis in economics |
| title_sort | meta regression analysis in economics |
| topic | Regressionsanalyse (DE-588)4129903-6 gnd Empirische Wirtschaftsforschung (DE-588)4014609-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | Regressionsanalyse Empirische Wirtschaftsforschung Hochschulschrift |
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