Emerging markets and the global economy:
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Buch |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Amsterdam [u.a.]
Elsevier
2014
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XLIX, 875 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9780124115491 |
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| adam_text | Titel: Emerging markets and the global economy
Autor: Arouri, Mohamed El Hedi
Jahr: 2014
Mí!
Foreword xv
Acknowledgments xvii
About the Editors xix
List of contributors xxi
Author Biographies xxix
PART I - COUNTRY-SPECIFIC EXPERIENCES
1 Robust Measures of Hybrid Emerging Market Mutual Funds Performance 3
Mohamed A. Ayadi
1 Introduction 3
2 Stochastic Discount Factors and Benchmark Models 5
3 Performance Evaluation of Managed Portfolios 7
4 Econometric Methodology and Tests 9
5 Conclusion 13
Acknowledgment 14
References 14
2 Emerging Countries Sovereign Rating Adjustment using Market
Information: Impact on Financial Institutions Investment Decisions 17
Dominique Guégan, Bertrand K. Hassani, Xin Zhao
1 Introduction 17
2 The S-Rating Methodology 20
3 Rating Evaluation: Carrying Out the Methodology 24
4 Discussion and Conclusion 46
References 48
3 Emerging Markets Banks Performance Evidence from China s
Banks in Hong Kong 51
Xiaoxi Zhang, Kevin Daly
1 Introduction 51
2 Foreign Banks in Hong Kong 52
3 Hypothesis Testing 53
4 Data and Methodology 55
5 Empirical Results 58
6 Conclusion 64
References 65
CONTENTS
4 Determinants of the Real Rate of Return: Evidence from
Cross-Country Panel Data 67
Marcelo Sánchez
1 Introduction 67
2 The Data 69
3 The Methodology 71
4 Determinants of Asset Returns: Some Basic Results 76
5 Determinants of Asset Returns: Some Refinements 81
6 Conclusions 89
Appendix 92
References 97
5 Understanding the Relationship Between Liquidity and Inflation in
the Post Crisis Period in India: from Bank Dealers Perspectives 99
Rituparna Das, Michael CS. Wong
1 Introduction 99
2 The Scenario 100
3 The Existing Literature on Economic Games 101
4 Features of the Game in Decision Making of a Dealer in the Government Security Desk 101
5 Forecasting Liquidity 103
6 Decision Making of a Dealer in the Equity Desk 106
7 Conclusion 110
Appendix 111
References 111
6 Demographic Transition and Savings Behavior in Mauritius 115
Rafael Munozmoreno, Verena Tandrayen-Ragoobur,
Boopendra Seetanah, Raja Vinesh Sannassee
1 Introduction 115
2 Literature Survey 117
3 Savings Trends 121
4 Methodology 123
5 Findings-Macroeconomic Modeling 132
6 Findings-Microeconomic Modeling 135
7 Conclusion 136
References 139
7 An Investigation of the Deviation from the Market Efficiency and its
Implications for Capital Market Development: The DSE Evidence 143
A.S.M. Sohel Azad, Amirul Ahsan, Victor Fang
1 Introduction 143
2 Background of DSE 145
CONTENTS vii
3 Testing Methodologies 148
4 Data, Econometric Packages, and Descriptive Statistics 150
5 Results and Analysis 152
6 Conclusion and Policy Implications 156
Acknowledgments 158
References , 158
8 An Econometric Analysis of the Impact of Oil Prices on Stock
Markets in Gulf Cooperation Countries 161
Mohamed El Hedi Arouri, Christophe Rault
1 Introduction 161
2 GCC Stock Markets and Oil 163
3 Transmission Channels 165
4 Empirical Investigation 166
5 Policy Discussion 173
6 Conclusion 175
Appendix 175
Acknowledgment 177
References 177
9 Trading Intensity and Informed Trading in the Tunis
Stock Exchange 179
Rabaa Karaa, Skander Slim, Dorrà Mezzez Hmaied
1 Introduction 179
2 Institutional Features of the Tunis Stock Exchange 182
3 Econometric Models 183
4 Empirical Analysis 187
5 Conclusion 196
Acknowledgments 198
References 198
10 Energy Sector Companies of the BRICS: Systematic and Specific
Financial Risks and Value at Risk 201
Marcelo Bianconi, Joe A. Yoshino
1 Introduction 201
2 Literature Review 203
3 The Role of Gas and Oil in the BRICS 204
4 Data 207
5 Econometric Models 216
6 Empirical Results 220
7 Conclusions and Future Research 233
Appendix 238
viii CONTENTS
Acknowledgment 239
References 239
11 Developed and Emerging Equity Market Tail Risk: Is it Constant? 241
Stefan Straetmans, Bertrand Candelon
1 Introduction 241
2 Testing Structural Change in Tail Behavior: Theory 243
3 Monte Carlo Experiments 247
4 Empirical Application 260
5 Conclusions 263
Appendix A. Calibration of GARCHO ,1 ) Parameters 265
Appendix B. Derivations of Second Order Expansion Parameters 266
Acknowledgment 268
References 268
12 Measuring Systemic Risk in Emerging Markets Using CoVaR 271
Anastassios A. Drakos, Georgios P. Kouretas
1 Introduction 271
2 Review of the Literature 274
3 Econometric Methodology 277
4 Data and Empirical Results 280
5 Summary and Concluding Remarks 304
Acknowledgments 305
References 306
13 An Empirical Study on Mutual Funds Performance Persistence in China 309
Dawei Chen, Christopher Gan, Baiding Hu
1 Introduction 309
2 Literature Review 310
3 Methodology 314
4 Research Findings 318
5 Conclusions 323
References 324
14 Cultural Behavioral Finance in Emerging Markets 327
Brian M. Lucey, Michael Dowling
1 Introduction 327
2 Culture and Financial Decision Making 328
3 Behavioral Finance in Emerging Markets: A Cultural Perspective 331
CONTENTS
4 The Future of Cultural Behavioral Finance Research in Emerging Markets 341
References 342
15 Early Warning System for Financial Crisis: Statistical Classification Approach 347
Young Min Kim, Kyong Joo Oh, Tae Yoon Kim
1 Introduction 347
2 Procedure Description 348
3 Oracle Classifier 349
4 Lag-/ Forecasting Classifier 353
5 Linking Various Classifiers 355
6 Empirical Example and Experiment 357
7 Conclusion 368
Acknowledgments 368
References 368
16 Comovements and Volatility Spillovers Between Oil Prices and Stock Markets:
Further Evidence for Oil-Exporting and Oil-Importing Countries 371
KhaledGuesmi
1 Introduction 371
2 Data and Methodology 373
3 Empirical Results 378
4 Conclusion 381
References 381
17 Collateral in Emerging Economies 383
Elmas Yaldiz Hanedar, Eleonora Broccardo, Flavio Bazzana
1 Introduction 383
2 Literature on Collateral 384
3 Empirical Analysis 391
4 Robustness Checks 400
5 Policy Implication 408
6 Conclusions 409
References 409
18 Tactical Risk Analysis in Emerging Markets in the Wake of the
Credit Crunch and Ensuing Sub-prime Financial Crisis 413
Mazin A.M. AI Janabi
1 Introduction 413
2 Related Literature Review and Purpose of Present Study 416
CONTENTS
3 Methodology and Research Design 420
4 Results and Discussion of Findings 426
5 Discussion and Conclusion 439
Appendix A. Derivation of Liquidity-Adjusted Value-at-Risk (LVaR) Mathematical Structure
During the Close-Out (Unwinding) Period 442
Acknowledgment 445
References 445
PART II - DYNAMIC INTERACTIONS WITH THE GLOBAL ECONOMY
19 Volatility and Spillover Effects of Central and Eastern Europe:
Impact of EU Enlargement 449
A. Golab, D.E. Allen, R. Powell, G. Yap
1 Introduction 449
2 Literature Review 450
3 Data and Summary Statistics 452
4 Multivariate GARCH Models 458
5 Empirical Results 460
6 Conclusion 479
References 480
20 Price Jump Behavior During Financial Distress: Intuition,
Analysis, and a Regulatory Perspective 483
Jan Novotny, Jan Hanousek
1 Introduction 483
2 Price Jumps and Financial Crisis 485
3 Methodology 492
4 Data Description 494
5 Results 497
6 Regulatory Consequences 501
7 Conclusion 504
References 505
21 Are Emerging Markets Exposed to Contagion from the
United States: Evidence from Stock and Sovereign Bond Markets 509
Hakimzadi Wagan, Zulfiqar Ali
1 Introduction 509
2 Some Theoretical Underpinnings 511
3 Some Amplifications on Recent Crisis 514
4 Methodology 515
5 Data and Descriptive Statistics 517
CONTENTS xi
6 Empirical Results 521
7 Implications and Conclusion 533
References 535
22 Assessing the Effects of the Global Financial Crisis on
the East Asian Equity Markets 537
Tran Phuong Thao, Kevin Daly, Craig Ellis
1 Introduction 537
2 Literature Review 538
3 Data and Methodology 540
4 Empirical Results 546
5 Conclusion 551
References 552
23 Contagion versus Interdependence: The Case of the
BRIC Countries During the Subprime Crises 555
Mrabet Zouhair, Charfeddine Lanouar, Ahdi Noomen Ajmi
1 Introduction • - 555
2 BRIC Countries 557
3 A Brief Review of Literature 560
4 The Empirical Methodology 562
5 Emplricals Results 564
6 Interdependence versus Contagion 570
7 Summary and Implications 575
References 580
24 On the Importance of Trend Gaps in Assessing Equity Market Correlations 583
Jarkko Peltomäki, Michael Graham
1 Introduction 583
2 Measuring Market Correlation 585
3 Defining Stock Market Trends 588
4 Data and Descriptive Statistics 589
5 Results 590
6 Conclusion 598
References 599
25 Stock Market Co-movement in ASEAN and China 603
Hooi Hooi Lean, Russell Smyth
1 Introduction 603
2 Theoretical Underpinnings of Stock Market Linkages 605
3 Existing Literature on Stock Market Linkages . 605
Xii CONTENTS
4 Overview of the Markets and Bilateral Trade
and Investment 607
5 Data 609
6 Empirical Specification and Methodology 612
7 Results 614
8 Conclusion 617
References 620
26 Stock and Bond Markets Co-movements in Selected MENA
Countries: A Dynamic Coherence Function Approach 623
Jamel Boukhatem, Zied Ftiti
1 Introduction 623
2 Related Literature 625
3 Empirical Analysis and Data 630
4 Results and Discussions 635
5 Conclusion 638
Appendix 639
References 639
27 Equity Market Comovements Among Selected Emerging
Countries from Long- and Short-Run Perspectives 643
Jamel Jouini, Jihed Majdoub, Ines Ben Bouhouch
1 Introduction 643
2 Integration of Equity Markets 645
3 Empirical Methods 647
4 Data and Results 649
5 Conclusion 662
References 662
28 Stock Market Volatility and Contagion Effects in the
Financial Crisis: The Case of South-Eastern Europe 665
Theodore Syriopoulos
1 Introduction 665
2 Recent Economic Developments in the SEE Countries 666
3 SEE Stock Market Growth and Prospects 679
4 An Empirical Analysis of the SEE Stock Markets 690
5 Conclusions 696
Acknowledgment 697
References 697
CONTENTS Xiii
29 Emerging Market Stocks in Global Portfolios: A Hedging Approach 701
Imad Moosa, Vikash Ramiah
1 Introduction 701
2 The Available Evidence 702
3 Methodology 704
4 An Informal Examination of the Data 707
5 Empirical Results 712
6 Robustness Test 1: The Conventional Mean-Variance Approach 717
7 Robustness Test 2: Alternative Estimates of the Hedge Ratio 718
8 Conclusion 721
References 722
30 The Behavior of International Stock Market Excess
Returns in an Increasingly Integrated World 725
Michael Donadelli
1 Introduction 725
2 Summary Statistics and Preliminary Analysis 727
3 A Time-Varying Analysis v 737
4 Conclusion 746
References 747
31 Determinants of International Financial Integration of GCC Markets 749
Abdullah R. Alotaibi, Anil V. Mishra
1 Introduction 749
2 Literature Review of Financial Integration 751
3 Measures of International Financial Integration 753
4 Analysis of Determinants of International Financial Integration in GCC 757
5 Conclusions and Policy Implications 768
References 770
32 Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers Between Big
Commodity Producing Countries 773
Perry Sadorsky
1 Introduction 773
2 Selected Literature Review 775
3 The Econometric Model 777
4 Data 778
5 Empirical Results for Returns Spillovers 781
CONTENTS
6 Empirical Results for Volatility Spillovers 784
7 Conclusions 788
Acknowledgment 791
References 792
33 Correlation and Network Structure of International Financial
Markets in Times of Crisis 795
Leónidas Sandoval
1 Introduction 795
2 The Data 796
3 Random Matrix Theory 797
4 Correlation and Volatility of the Market 802
5 Network Structure 804
6 Conclusion 809
Acknowledgments 809
References 809
34 Financial Development and its Effects on Economic Growth:
A Dynamic Analysis 811
Christophe Rault, Anamaria Sova, Robert Sova, Guglielmo Maria Caporale
1 Introduction 811
2 Literature Review 812
3 Empirical Analysis of the Financial Development and Economic Growth Nexus 814
4 Conclusions 821
Appendix 822
Acknowledgment 823
References 823
35 Financial Market Integration of ASEAN-5 with China and India 825
Kee Tuan Teng, Siew Hwa Yen, Soo Y. Chua, Hooi Hooi Lean
1 Introduction 825
2 Literature review 828
3 Data and Methodology 829
4 Findings 835
5 Conclusion 852
Appendix 857
References 858
Index 861
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| title | Emerging markets and the global economy |
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