Operational poverty targeting by proxy means tests: models and policy simulations for Malawi
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Abschlussarbeit Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Frankfurt am Main [u.a.]
PL Acad. Research
2013
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Development economics and policy
67 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltstext Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | 136 S. graph. Darst., Kt. |
| ISBN: | 9783631625705 3631625707 |
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IMAGE 1
TABLE OF CONTENTS
LIST O F TABLES 13
ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS 15
CHAPTER 1 17
1. INTRODUCTION 17
1.1 BACKGROUND TO THE RESEARCH 17
1.2 PROBLEM STATEMENT 19
1.3 RESEARCH OBJECTIVES A N D ORGANIZATION O F T H E B O O K 2 1
1.4 TARGETING IN THE LITERATURE 2 3
1.4.1 T H E CONCEPT O F POVERTY: THEORETICAL CONSIDERATIONS 2 4
1.4.2 TARGETING THE POOR: EMPIRICAL METHODS 2 5
1.4.3 PROXY M E A N S TESTS IN THE LITERATURE 2 9
REFERENCES 3 5
CHAPTER II: TARGETING THE POOR AND SMALLHOLDER FARMERS: EMPIRICAL
EVIDENCE FROM MALAWI 3 9
1. INTRODUCTION 3 9
2. DATA AND METHODOLOGY 4 1
2.1 DATA AND THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK 41
2.2 MODEL ESTIMATION METHODS 4 2
2.2.1 VARIABLE SELECTION 4 2
2.2.2 ESTIMATING T H E P R O X Y MEANS TESTS 4 2
2.3 ACCURACY MEASURES AND ROBUSTNESS TESTS 4 5
2.3.1 ACCURACY MEASURES 4 5
2.3.2 ASSESSING THE PREDICTIVE P O W E R O F THE MODELS 4 6
3. TARGETING ACCURACY O F THE PROXY MEANS TESTS: EMPIRICAL RESULTS 4 7
3.1 MODEL PREDICTIVE PERFORMANCES 4 7
3.2 TARGETING POVERTY USING R O C CURVES: EXAMPLES FROM MALAWI 4 9
3.3 H O W SENSITIVE ARE THE MODELS T O THE POVERTY LINE? 5 0
3.4 SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION O F TARGETING ERRORS 52
4. CONCLUSIONS 5 3
REFERENCES 5 3
9
HTTP://D-NB.INFO/1037264169
IMAGE 2
ANNEXES 5 6
ANNEX 1. M A L A W I ' S POVERTY RATES B Y REGION AND POVERTY LINE 5 6
ANNEX 2. RESULTS O F THE M A X I M U M LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATES (RURAL
MODEL) 5 7 ANNEX 3. MALAWI'S RURAL POVERTY MODEL CALIBRATED TO THE
NATIONAL POVERTY LINE 5 8
CHAPTER 111: OPERATIONAL MODELS FOR IMPROVING THE TARGETING EFFICIENCY O
F DEVELOPMENT POLICIES: A SYSTEMATIC COMPARISON O F DIFFERENT ESTIMATION
METHODS USING OUT-OF-SAMPLE TESTS 5 9
1. INTRODUCTION 5 9
2. DATA AND ESTIMATION METHODS 61
2.1 DATA 61
2.2 MODEL ESTIMATION METHODS 6 2
2.2.1 POVERTY PREDICTORS AND SAMPLE SELECTIONS 6 2
2.2.2 ESTIMATION METHODS 6 4
2.2.3 PREDICTING THE HOUSEHOLD POVERTY STATUS 6 8
2.3 TARGETING RATIOS AND ROBUSTNESS TESTS 7 0
2.3.1 TARGETING RATIOS 7 0
2.3.2 MODEL VALIDATIONS 71
3. RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS 7 3
3.1 MODELLING THE HOUSEHOLD POVERTY STATUS: EMPIRICAL RESULTS 7 3
3.2 AGGREGATE PERFORMANCES O F THE ESTIMATION METHODS 7 7
3.3 ASSESSING MODEL SENSITIVITY TO THE POVERTY LINE 8 0
3.4 COMPARING MODEL TARGETING ERRORS ACROSS WELFARE DECILES 8 2
4. CONCLUDING REMARKS 8 4
REFERENCES 8 5
ANNEXES 8 8
ANNEX 1. SAMPLE SIZE B Y MODEL TYPE 8 8
ANNEX 2. WEIGHTED LEAST SQUARE ESTIMATES (RURAL MODEL) 8 9
ANNEX 3. WEIGHTED LOGIT ESTIMATES (RURAL MODEL) 9 0
ANNEX 4. WEIGHTED LEAST SQUARE ESTIMATES (URBAN MODEL) 9 1
ANNEX 5. WEIGHTED LOGIT ESTIMATES (URBAN MODEL) 9 2
CHAPTER IV: T O TARGET O R N O T TO TARGET: T H E COSTS, BENEFITS, AND
IMPACTS O F INDICATOR-BASED TARGETING 9 3
1. INTRODUCTION 9 3
2. TARGETED DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMS: T H E MALAWIAN CONTEXT 9 5
3. THE PRINCIPLES O F TARGETING: A THEORETICAL PERSPECTIVE 9 7
4. DATA AND METHODOLOGY 100
4.1 DATA 100
10
IMAGE 3
4.2 ESTIMATING THE MODELS 101
4.2.1 ESTIMATION METHOD 101
4.2.2 OUT-OF-SAMPLE TESTS 102
4.2.3 MEASURING MODEL TARGETING PERFORMANCES 103
4.3 POLICY SIMULATIONS 104
5. EMPIRICAL RESULTS 110
5.1 HOW WELL D O THE MODELS IDENTIFY THE POOR? 110
5.2 TARGETING PERFORMANCES O F DEVELOPMENT POLICIES 111
5.3 EVALUATING THE COST-EFFECTIVENESS A N D IMPACTS O F TARGETING THE
POOR: POLICY SIMULATIONS 112
5.3.2 COST-EFFICIENCY, BENEFITS, AND IMPACTS O F TARGETING 112
5.4 COST EFFICIENCY O F TARGETED AGRICULTURAL INPUT SUPPORT PROGRAMS
VERSUS THE N E W SYSTEM 115
6. CONCLUSIONS A N D POLICY IMPLICATIONS 117
REFERENCES 118
ANNEXES 121
ANNEX 1. QUANTILE REGRESSION RESULTS (RURAL MODEL) 121
ANNEX 2. QUANTILE REGRESSION RESULTS (URBAN MODEL) 122
ANNEX 3. COSTS O F TARGETING 123
CHAPTER V: GENERAL CONCLUSIONS 125
GENERAL APPENDICES 129
APPENDIX 1: M A P O F MALAWI 129
APPENDIX 2. SAMPLE SIZE A N D N U M B E R O F POTENTIAL INDICATORS B Y
MODEL TYPE AND ESTIMATION METHOD 130
APPENDIX 3. DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS O F VARIABLES USED IN THE RURAL MODEL
(FULL SAMPLE) 131
APPENDIX 4. DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS O F VARIABLES USED IN THE RURAL MODEL
(CALIBRATION SAMPLE) 132
APPENDIX 5. DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS O F VARIABLES USED IN THE RURAL MODEL
(VALIDATION SAMPLE) 133
APPENDIX 6. DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS O F VARIABLES USED IN THE URBAN MODEL
(FULL SAMPLE) 134
APPENDIX 7. DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS O F VARIABLES USED IN THE URBAN MODEL
(CALIBRATION SAMPLE) 135
APPENDIX 8. DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS O F VARIABLES USED IN THE URBAN MODEL
(VALIDATION SAMPLE) 136
11 |
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| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
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| id | DE-604.BV041203672 |
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| spelling | Houssou, Nazaire 1976- Verfasser (DE-588)142711500 aut Operational poverty targeting by proxy means tests models and policy simulations for Malawi S. Idriss Nazaire Houssou Frankfurt am Main [u.a.] PL Acad. Research 2013 136 S. graph. Darst., Kt. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Development economics and policy 67 Zugl.: Hohenheim, Univ., Diss., 2010 Armut (DE-588)4002963-3 gnd rswk-swf Effizienz (DE-588)4013585-8 gnd rswk-swf Modell (DE-588)4039798-1 gnd rswk-swf Zielgruppe (DE-588)4117714-9 gnd rswk-swf Entwicklungspolitik (DE-588)4014957-2 gnd rswk-swf Malawi (DE-588)4074495-4 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Malawi (DE-588)4074495-4 g Armut (DE-588)4002963-3 s Entwicklungspolitik (DE-588)4014957-2 s Zielgruppe (DE-588)4117714-9 s Effizienz (DE-588)4013585-8 s Modell (DE-588)4039798-1 s DE-604 Development economics and policy 67 (DE-604)BV010533560 67 X:MVB text/html http://deposit.dnb.de/cgi-bin/dokserv?id=4384363&prov=M&dok_var=1&dok_ext=htm Inhaltstext DNB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=026178503&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Houssou, Nazaire 1976- Operational poverty targeting by proxy means tests models and policy simulations for Malawi Development economics and policy Armut (DE-588)4002963-3 gnd Effizienz (DE-588)4013585-8 gnd Modell (DE-588)4039798-1 gnd Zielgruppe (DE-588)4117714-9 gnd Entwicklungspolitik (DE-588)4014957-2 gnd |
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| title | Operational poverty targeting by proxy means tests models and policy simulations for Malawi |
| title_auth | Operational poverty targeting by proxy means tests models and policy simulations for Malawi |
| title_exact_search | Operational poverty targeting by proxy means tests models and policy simulations for Malawi |
| title_full | Operational poverty targeting by proxy means tests models and policy simulations for Malawi S. Idriss Nazaire Houssou |
| title_fullStr | Operational poverty targeting by proxy means tests models and policy simulations for Malawi S. Idriss Nazaire Houssou |
| title_full_unstemmed | Operational poverty targeting by proxy means tests models and policy simulations for Malawi S. Idriss Nazaire Houssou |
| title_short | Operational poverty targeting by proxy means tests |
| title_sort | operational poverty targeting by proxy means tests models and policy simulations for malawi |
| title_sub | models and policy simulations for Malawi |
| topic | Armut (DE-588)4002963-3 gnd Effizienz (DE-588)4013585-8 gnd Modell (DE-588)4039798-1 gnd Zielgruppe (DE-588)4117714-9 gnd Entwicklungspolitik (DE-588)4014957-2 gnd |
| topic_facet | Armut Effizienz Modell Zielgruppe Entwicklungspolitik Malawi Hochschulschrift |
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