Conflict analysis: understanding causes, unlocking solutions
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
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| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, DC
United States Inst. of Peace
2013
|
| Ausgabe: | 1. publ. |
| Schriftenreihe: | United States Institute of Peace Academy guides
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XIV, 265 S. Ill., graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9781601271433 |
Internformat
MARC
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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|---|---|
| adam_text | CONFLICT ANALYSIS
/ LEVINGER, MATTHEW BERNARD
: 2012
TABLE OF CONTENTS / INHALTSVERZEICHNIS
GLOBAL CONFLICT IN THE 21ST CENTURY
CAUSES OF CONFLICT AND PEACE
RISK ASSESSMENT AND EARLY WARNING
CONFLICT ASSESSMENT FRAMEWORKS
NARRATIVE ANALYSIS
CONFLICT MAPPING AND SYSTEMS MAPPING
SCENARIO ANALYSIS
NAVIGATING COGNITIVE MINEFIELDS.
DIESES SCHRIFTSTUECK WURDE MASCHINELL ERZEUGT.
CONTENTS
Foreword by Pamela Aall xi
Acknowledgments xiii
Introduction 1
part i Understanding Deadly Conflict
chapter 1 Global Conflict in the Twenty-First Century
Trends 12
Costs of Conflict 14
Perils of Prediction 17
Conflict Analysis and Adaptive Leadership 19
chapter 2 Causes of Conflict and Peace
The Curve of Conflict 30
The Strategic Dimension 35
The Political Dimension 38
The Socioeconomic Dimension 40
The Psychological Dimension 43
The Cultural Dimension 49
Violence as a Strategic Choice 52
viii
CONFLICT ANALYSIS
chapter 3 Risk Assessment and Early Warning 61
Early Warning Watchlists 62
Conflict Metrics Instruments 69
Environmental Degradation and Climate Change 73
Genocide and Mass Atrocities 77
Early Warning at the Local Level 80
part il Tools for the Trade
chapter 4 Conflict Assessment Frameworks
Self-Assessment 91
Gathering Information 93
Four-Step Assessment Process 95
Transition to Planning 106
chapter s Narrative Analysis 113
Listening as a Peacebuilding Technique 115
Who: Leaders and Constituents 116
What and Why: Positions Versus Interests and Needs 118
When: Mythic Histories 122
Where: Territorial Narratives 127
How: Strategy and Tactics 130
chapter 6 Conflict Mapping and Systems Mapping 135
Conflict Mapping 136
Systems Mapping 139
chapter 7 Scenario Analysis 147
Scenario-Building Techniques 148
Scenario Analysis in Conflict Management 153
Visualizing Scenarios 155
Selecting and Tracking Indicators 155
Linking Vision to Action 158
part ill From Analysis to Action
chapter 8 Navigating Cognitive Minefields
Groupthink 168
Black Swans 174
Psychic Numbing 181
165
167
85
87
CONTENTS ix
chapter 9 Conflict Analysis in the Planning Process 187
Framing the Problem 188
Defining Objectives 191
Situation Analysis 194
Designing a Plan of Action 200
Measuring Progress and Adapting to Change 204
conclusion: The Value of Collaborative Conflict Analysis 209
APPENDICES
1. Estimating Mortality from Violent Conflict 213
2. Early Warning Watchlists and Reports 217
3. Conflict Metrics 219
4. Private Strategic Forecasters 221
5. Conflict Assessment Frameworks 223
6. U.S. Institute of Peace Narrative Analysis Framework 225
7. Conflict Mapping Tools 227
8. Template for a Logical Framework Matrix (Logframe) 229
Glossary 231
Resources 237
Index 251
|
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| discipline | Soziologie Politologie |
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| title | Conflict analysis understanding causes, unlocking solutions |
| title_auth | Conflict analysis understanding causes, unlocking solutions |
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| title_sub | understanding causes, unlocking solutions |
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