Global food futures: feeding the world in 2050
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
London [u.a.]
Bloomsbury
2013
|
| Ausgabe: | 1. publ. |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XI, 242 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9780857851543 9780857851550 9780857851574 |
Internformat
MARC
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| 650 | 4 | |a Food security | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Food supply | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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|---|---|
| adam_text | Titel: Global food futures
Autor: Gardner, Brian
Jahr: 2013
contents
illustrations
tables
1 introduction: does the world face a continuous food
crisis ? 1
main points 1
the geopolitics of food 3
two views of the future 4
access to food 7
climate change and future food production s
increasing food security? 8
limitations on increasing production 9
the problem of rising energy cost 10
consumer concerns 11
new science and new methods 11
trade policies and food supply 11
the role of financial markets 12
the price of failure 13
main factors affecting food supply and demand 13
improving supplies to the hungry 14
a long-term rise in prices? 15
questions to be answered 17
vi
contents
2 famine or plenty? 20
main points 20
the neo-malthusian argument 20
a broken world food system? 21
water shortage a major problem 22
climate change will make things worse 22
the optimistic view 23
hunger reduced 24
trade necessary for food security 25
vital increased yields 27
better functioning markets needed 28
summary 29
3 world agricultural trade 31
main points 31
summary of global pattern of food trade 34
trade in primary commodities 36
trade in basic foods: grains 37
food trade in the emerging economies 40
importance of china in the world s agriculture economy 42
the structure of world food trade 44
multinational retailers and the developing world 52
supermarkets in east asia 53
summary 54
4 speculation and food prices 57
main points 57
speculation s impact on food prices 58
contents vii
is speculation not a major cause of food price rises? 58
excessive speculation? 6o
relationship between stocks and prices 6o
hedging is important for efficient commodity markets 62
alternative view: role of the speculative bubble 62
summary 63
5 the pattern of food consumption 65
main points 65
urbanization and food consumption patterns 66
relationship between income and dietary change 69
two stages of dietary change 70
meat consumption to increase 70
the impact of food price increases on poorer consumers 73
summary 75
6 population growth and the demand for food 77
main points 77
not a matter of mere arithmetic 11
reliable population estimates vital for food demand
projections 78
factors affecting population levels and changes 79
peak in 2070? 85
summary and conclusion 87
7 the production response 89
main points 89
low productivity growth in africa 90
the problem of falling yield growth rates 91
viii
contents
in land-scarce regions growth has to come from greater
intensity 91
availability of land 92
more marginal land needs to be cultivated 92
climate change will affect production 93
land use expansion will be significant 94
problem of soil degradation in developed countries 95
regional productivity trends 96
possible productivity scenarios 97
prerequisites for production increase in LDCs 99
the biofuel / food supply conflict 100
biofuels and the indirect land use change (ILUC) issue 101
summary and conclusion—achieving the 70 percent
production increase 103
8 impact of energy supply on food production
and food prices 105
main points 105
power for agriculture 106
high energy prices will stimulate technology
improvements 109
fertilizers 109
transport and handling needs for energy 111
the energy cost and food price relationship 112
oil prices and the cost of food production 113
oil quan tity and price—future scenarios 115
prices 116
summary and conclusion 11 s
contents
ix
9 climate change and world food supply 120
main points 120
likely timescaie of global warming 120
major impact of global warming likely to be serious
after 2050 121
serious impact on tropical agriculture 122
scenarios differ on timing and scale 123
warming will change cropping patterns 125
regional impacts of climate change 126
summary and conclusions 134
10 the world economy and the demand for food 137
main points 137
economic factors that affect the demand for food 138
economic growth and food consumption in the
emerging economies 139
the food price crisis 141
the 2008 financial crisis and the world food economy 141
summary and conclusions 146
11 the increasing demand for food 148
main points us
increasing demand for basic food commodities in the
least developed countries 148
the changing pattern of world food demand 149
a model of the world food economy 152
a realistic assessment of the future development of the
world food system 154
summary and conclusion 161
X
contents
12 access to food ies
main points 165
definition of hunger 166
the 2008-2011 food crisis and hunger 167
heavy import dependence of poorest countries 168
poverty and the supply of food 169
barriers to market access 172
political interference and access to food—the example
of Zimbabwe 173
improvement in food security 175
summary and conclusion 177
13 food supply policies 179
main points 179
farmers without support—the example of new Zealand 182
confusion of food security with food self-sufficiency 184
developed country agriculture policies and
the agricultural trade of developing countries iss
policies in LDCs 188
land grabs—threat or boon ? 189
summary and conclusions 191
14 sustainability of the world food production system 193
main points 193
agriculture s role in greenhouse gas generation 195
is organic farming the answer? 200
is food trade sustainable? 204
reducing the intensity of farming—an environmental
improvement? 207
contents
xi
a role for genetically modified crops 208
agriculture s water needs—sustainable or not? 211
summary and conclusions 214
15 conclusion 218
bibliography 227
index 235
|
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| discipline | Agrarwissenschaft Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| edition | 1. publ. |
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| id | DE-604.BV041097106 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T00:39:31Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9780857851543 9780857851550 9780857851574 |
| language | English |
| lccn | 2013005984 |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-026073585 |
| oclc_num | 856805958 |
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| owner | DE-M49 DE-BY-TUM DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-188 |
| owner_facet | DE-M49 DE-BY-TUM DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-188 |
| physical | XI, 242 S. graph. Darst. |
| psigel | UBM-RCC |
| publishDate | 2013 |
| publishDateSearch | 2013 |
| publishDateSort | 2013 |
| publisher | Bloomsbury |
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| spelling | Gardner, Brian 1938- Verfasser (DE-588)170443981 aut Global food futures feeding the world in 2050 Brian Gardner 1. publ. London [u.a.] Bloomsbury 2013 XI, 242 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Food security Food supply Famines Prevention Ernährungssicherstellung (DE-588)4124849-1 gnd rswk-swf Welternährung (DE-588)4117626-1 gnd rswk-swf Welternährung (DE-588)4117626-1 s Ernährungssicherstellung (DE-588)4124849-1 s b DE-604 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=026073585&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Gardner, Brian 1938- Global food futures feeding the world in 2050 Food security Food supply Famines Prevention Ernährungssicherstellung (DE-588)4124849-1 gnd Welternährung (DE-588)4117626-1 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4124849-1 (DE-588)4117626-1 |
| title | Global food futures feeding the world in 2050 |
| title_auth | Global food futures feeding the world in 2050 |
| title_exact_search | Global food futures feeding the world in 2050 |
| title_full | Global food futures feeding the world in 2050 Brian Gardner |
| title_fullStr | Global food futures feeding the world in 2050 Brian Gardner |
| title_full_unstemmed | Global food futures feeding the world in 2050 Brian Gardner |
| title_short | Global food futures |
| title_sort | global food futures feeding the world in 2050 |
| title_sub | feeding the world in 2050 |
| topic | Food security Food supply Famines Prevention Ernährungssicherstellung (DE-588)4124849-1 gnd Welternährung (DE-588)4117626-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | Food security Food supply Famines Prevention Ernährungssicherstellung Welternährung |
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