China's Macroeconomic Outlook: Quarterly Forecast and Analysis Report, September 2012
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Berlin ; Heidelberg
Springer
2013
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Current Chinese Economic Report Series
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | BTU01 FHA01 FHM01 FHN01 FHO01 FHR01 FKE01 FNU01 FWS01 FWS02 HWR01 UBG01 UBM01 UBT01 UBY01 UPA01 Volltext Inhaltsverzeichnis Abstract |
| Beschreibung: | Online-Ressource (XIII, 40 p. 19 illus., 5 illus. in color) |
| ISBN: | 9783642369230 |
| DOI: | 10.1007/978-3-642-36923-0 |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | CHINA S MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK
/
: 2013
TABLE OF CONTENTS / INHALTSVERZEICHNIS
REVIEW OF MACROECONOMIC PERFORMANCE IN THE FIRST HALF OF 2012
FORECAST FOR 2012-2013
POLICY SIMULATION
POLICY IMPLICATION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
COMMENTS AND DISCUSSIONS
DIESES SCHRIFTSTUECK WURDE MASCHINELL ERZEUGT.
CHINA S MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK
/
: 2013
ABSTRACT / INHALTSTEXT
OWING TO THE DECLINE IN DOMESTIC INVESTMENT AND TRADE WITH THE REST OF
THE WORLD, CHINA’S REAL GDP IN THE FIRST HALF OF 2012 WAS LOWER THAN
EXPECTED. BASED ON FORECASTS FROM CHINA’S QUARTERLY MACROECONOMIC
MODEL (CQMM), THE SLOWDOWN OF THE GROWTH RATE IN 2013 WILL BE MODERATE
AS A RESULT OF MODESTLY PROACTIVE MACRO CONTROL POLICY. GDP WOULD GROW
AT 8.01 PERCENT IN 2012, AND THEN REBOUND TO 8.29 IN 2013; CPI WOULD
FALL TO A 2.9 PERCENT IN 2012, AND THEN WOULD PICK UP TO 3.27 PERCENT IN
2013. IN THE SCENARIO IN WHICH THE SOVEREIGN DEBT CRISIS IN THE EURO
AREA WORSENED IN THE SECOND HALF OF 2012, REAL GDP IS FORECAST AT 7.71
PERCENT FOR 2012 AND 7.5 PERCENT FOR 2013. EVEN IF THE EXTERNAL ECONOMIC
ENVIRONMENT BECOMES WORSE, CHINA’S GROWTH IS EXPECTED TO STAY AT ABOVE
7.5 PERCENT, WHICH MIGHT BE A STEADY GROWTH RATE FOR THE NEAR FUTURE. IF
CHINA PLANS TO ACHIEVE A HIGHER GROWTH RATE BY LAUNCHING THE “2
TRILLION MASSIVE INVESTMENT PACKAGE”, THE GROWTH RATE OF GDP COULD BE
INCREASED TO 8.25 AND 8.86 PERCENT IN 2012 AND 2013 WITH A RISK OF
INFLATION AND WORSENING ECONOMIC STRUCTURE. THE POLICY IMPLICATION FROM
CQMM: ON ONE HAND THE CHINESE GOVERNMENT SHOULD BE ABLE TO MAINTAIN THE
GROWTH RATE OF AROUND 8 PERCENT BY MEANS OF TIMELY FINE-TUNING OF
MONETARY POLICIES; ON THE OTHER HAND, THE EMPHASIS OF THE MICRO CONTROL
SHOULD BE PLACED ON STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENTS THROUGH FISCAL POLICIES. IN
THE LONG RUN, DEEPENING ECONOMIC, SOCIAL AND INSTITUTIONAL REFORM WILL
BE CRUCIAL TO REMOVE THE SIGNIFICANT STRUCTURAL IMBALANCE AND
INSTITUTIONAL BARRIERS TO MARKET COMPETITION, TO ACCELERATE THE
TRANSFORMATION OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT PATTERNS, AND FINALLY TO MAINTAIN
A SUSTAINABLE GROWTH RATE.
DIESES SCHRIFTSTUECK WURDE MASCHINELL ERZEUGT.
|
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| geographic | China (DE-588)4009937-4 gnd |
| geographic_facet | China |
| id | DE-604.BV040995271 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2025-02-20T06:50:19Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9783642369230 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-025972991 |
| oclc_num | 846969263 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-473 DE-BY-UBG DE-739 DE-92 DE-898 DE-BY-UBR DE-2070s DE-M347 DE-703 DE-634 DE-Aug4 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-1051 DE-1049 DE-859 DE-863 DE-BY-FWS DE-862 DE-BY-FWS DE-706 |
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| physical | Online-Ressource (XIII, 40 p. 19 illus., 5 illus. in color) |
| psigel | ZDB-2-SBE |
| publishDate | 2013 |
| publishDateSearch | 2013 |
| publishDateSort | 2013 |
| publisher | Springer |
| record_format | marc |
| series2 | Current Chinese Economic Report Series |
| spellingShingle | China's Macroeconomic Outlook Quarterly Forecast and Analysis Report, September 2012 Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4066438-7 (DE-588)4009937-4 |
| title | China's Macroeconomic Outlook Quarterly Forecast and Analysis Report, September 2012 |
| title_auth | China's Macroeconomic Outlook Quarterly Forecast and Analysis Report, September 2012 |
| title_exact_search | China's Macroeconomic Outlook Quarterly Forecast and Analysis Report, September 2012 |
| title_full | China's Macroeconomic Outlook Quarterly Forecast and Analysis Report, September 2012 |
| title_fullStr | China's Macroeconomic Outlook Quarterly Forecast and Analysis Report, September 2012 |
| title_full_unstemmed | China's Macroeconomic Outlook Quarterly Forecast and Analysis Report, September 2012 |
| title_short | China's Macroeconomic Outlook |
| title_sort | china s macroeconomic outlook quarterly forecast and analysis report september 2012 |
| title_sub | Quarterly Forecast and Analysis Report, September 2012 |
| topic | Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd |
| topic_facet | Wirtschaftsentwicklung China |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-36923-0 http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=025972991&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=025972991&sequence=000003&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT centerformacroeconomicresearchofxiamenuniversity chinasmacroeconomicoutlookquarterlyforecastandanalysisreportseptember2012 |