Evaluating The Trade Effect of Developing Regional Trade Agreements: A Semi-Parametric Approach
Many recent papers have pointed to ambiguous trade effects of developing regional trade agreements (RTAs), calling for a reassessment of their economic merits. The author focuses on seven such agreements currently in force in Sub-Saharan Africa (ECOWAS and SADC), Asia (AFTA and SAPTA) and Latin Amer...
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Format: | Elektronisch E-Book |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, D.C
The World Bank
2007
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Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | Many recent papers have pointed to ambiguous trade effects of developing regional trade agreements (RTAs), calling for a reassessment of their economic merits. The author focuses on seven such agreements currently in force in Sub-Saharan Africa (ECOWAS and SADC), Asia (AFTA and SAPTA) and Latin America (CACM, CAN, and MERCOSUR), estimating their impacts on their members' trade flows. Instead of the usual dummy variables for RTAs, he proposes a variable taking into account the number of years of membership. He then combines a gravity model with kernel estimation techniques to capture the non-monotonic trade effects while imposing minimal structure on the model. The results indicate that except for SAPTA, these RTAs have had a positive impact on their members' intra-trade over the estimation period (1960-99). AFTA seems to be the most successful among them, with an estimated positive impact on its members' imports from the rest of the world (hence no trade diversion), but its impact on their exports to the rest of the world is rather limited. During its first 10 years of existence, ECOWAS appears to have had a positive impact on its members' imports from the rest of the world (hence no trade diversion), but this positive impact vanished over time. SAPTA's negative impact on its members' intra-trade is probably an implicit effect of the India-Pakistan tensions over the estimation period |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (23 Seiten) |
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100 | 1 | |a Coulibaly, Souleymane |d 1975- |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)107972821X |4 aut | |
245 | 1 | 0 | |a Evaluating The Trade Effect of Developing Regional Trade Agreements |b A Semi-Parametric Approach |c Coulibaly, Souleymane |
264 | 1 | |a Washington, D.C |b The World Bank |c 2007 | |
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520 | 1 | |a Many recent papers have pointed to ambiguous trade effects of developing regional trade agreements (RTAs), calling for a reassessment of their economic merits. The author focuses on seven such agreements currently in force in Sub-Saharan Africa (ECOWAS and SADC), Asia (AFTA and SAPTA) and Latin America (CACM, CAN, and MERCOSUR), estimating their impacts on their members' trade flows. Instead of the usual dummy variables for RTAs, he proposes a variable taking into account the number of years of membership. He then combines a gravity model with kernel estimation techniques to capture the non-monotonic trade effects while imposing minimal structure on the model. The results indicate that except for SAPTA, these RTAs have had a positive impact on their members' intra-trade over the estimation period (1960-99). AFTA seems to be the most successful among them, with an estimated positive impact on its members' imports from the rest of the world (hence no trade diversion), but its impact on their exports to the rest of the world is rather limited. During its first 10 years of existence, ECOWAS appears to have had a positive impact on its members' imports from the rest of the world (hence no trade diversion), but this positive impact vanished over time. SAPTA's negative impact on its members' intra-trade is probably an implicit effect of the India-Pakistan tensions over the estimation period | |
534 | |c 2007 | ||
653 | |a Currencies and Exchange Rates | ||
653 | |a Economic Theory and Research | ||
653 | |a Exports | ||
653 | |a Finance and Financial Sector Development | ||
653 | |a Free Trade | ||
653 | |a Gravity model | ||
653 | |a International Economics & Trade | ||
653 | |a Law and Development | ||
653 | |a Macroeconomics and Economic Growth | ||
653 | |a Public Sector Development | ||
653 | |a Regional Trade | ||
653 | |a Regional Trade Agreements | ||
653 | |a Rules of origin | ||
653 | |a Trade Effect | ||
653 | |a Trade Law | ||
653 | |a Trade Policy | ||
653 | |a Trade agreement | ||
653 | |a Trade creation | ||
653 | |a Trade effects | ||
653 | |a Trade flows | ||
776 | 0 | 8 | |i Reproduktion von |a Coulibaly, Souleymane |t Evaluating The Trade Effect of Developing Regional Trade Agreements |d 2007 |
856 | 4 | 0 | |u http://elibrary.worldbank.org/content/workingpaper/10.1596/1813-9450-4220 |x Verlag |z URL des Erstveröffentlichers |3 Volltext |
912 | |a ZDB-1-WBA | ||
943 | 1 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-025446324 |
Datensatz im Suchindex
DE-BY-FWS_katkey | 461534 |
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any_adam_object | |
author | Coulibaly, Souleymane 1975- |
author_GND | (DE-588)107972821X |
author_facet | Coulibaly, Souleymane 1975- |
author_role | aut |
author_sort | Coulibaly, Souleymane 1975- |
author_variant | s c sc |
building | Verbundindex |
bvnumber | BV040618825 |
collection | ZDB-1-WBA |
ctrlnum | (ZDB-1-WBA)093227728 (OCoLC)874236032 (DE-599)GBVNLM005463874 |
discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
format | Electronic eBook |
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physical | 1 Online-Ressource (23 Seiten) |
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publishDate | 2007 |
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spellingShingle | Coulibaly, Souleymane 1975- Evaluating The Trade Effect of Developing Regional Trade Agreements A Semi-Parametric Approach |
title | Evaluating The Trade Effect of Developing Regional Trade Agreements A Semi-Parametric Approach |
title_auth | Evaluating The Trade Effect of Developing Regional Trade Agreements A Semi-Parametric Approach |
title_exact_search | Evaluating The Trade Effect of Developing Regional Trade Agreements A Semi-Parametric Approach |
title_full | Evaluating The Trade Effect of Developing Regional Trade Agreements A Semi-Parametric Approach Coulibaly, Souleymane |
title_fullStr | Evaluating The Trade Effect of Developing Regional Trade Agreements A Semi-Parametric Approach Coulibaly, Souleymane |
title_full_unstemmed | Evaluating The Trade Effect of Developing Regional Trade Agreements A Semi-Parametric Approach Coulibaly, Souleymane |
title_short | Evaluating The Trade Effect of Developing Regional Trade Agreements |
title_sort | evaluating the trade effect of developing regional trade agreements a semi parametric approach |
title_sub | A Semi-Parametric Approach |
url | http://elibrary.worldbank.org/content/workingpaper/10.1596/1813-9450-4220 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT coulibalysouleymane evaluatingthetradeeffectofdevelopingregionaltradeagreementsasemiparametricapproach |