Managing Fiscal Risk in Bulgaria
Managing Fiscal Risk in Bulgaria:

Governments need to manage their contingent liabilities and other off-budget sources of fiscal risk - through policy, the budgetary process, and an integrated asset and liability management strategy. - To understand the fiscal position of a country, contingent liabilities and other sources of fiscal...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

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Bibliographische Detailangaben
1. Verfasser: Brixi, Polackova Hana (VerfasserIn)
Format: Elektronisch E-Book
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Washington, D.C The World Bank 2000
Schlagworte:
Banks and Banking Reform
Budget
Budget Defic Budget Deficits
Contingent Liabilities
Currency
Debt Markets
Deficits
Emerging Markets
Finance and Financial Sector Development
Good
Government Debt
Interest
Interest Rate
Interest Rate Risks
Maturity
Pensions
Private Sector Development
Public Investment
Risk Management
Risk Management System
Security
Sovereign Debt
State Guarantees
Stock
Online-Zugang:DE-522
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DE-2070s
DE-M352
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Volltext
Zusammenfassung:Governments need to manage their contingent liabilities and other off-budget sources of fiscal risk - through policy, the budgetary process, and an integrated asset and liability management strategy. - To understand the fiscal position of a country, contingent liabilities and other sources of fiscal risk need to be considered. Brixi, Shatalov, and Zlaoui develop a framework to assess and manage fiscal risk in Bulgaria. Bulgaria's Currency Board Arrangement has effectively imposed fiscal discipline, but leaves only limited room to accommodate potential fiscal shocks. Through risks embedded in the portfolio of government contingent and direct liabilities, significant fiscal pressures could arise in the future. Major sources of risk include environmental liabilities and investment requirements, collection capacities of the social protection institutions, and further engagement in off-budget programs, such as government guarantees. To limit the government's exposure to risks, yet accommodate investment needs crucial to growth and development, Bulgaria must find an optimal strategy for liability management, fiscal reserves, and risk mitigation. Priorities for dealing with existing risks and limiting further accumulation of risks include: · Mitigating currency and interest rate risks in the government liability structure. · Implementing proposed institutional and finance reform of the country's pension and health care systems. · Building adequate contingency reserves. · Introducing risk-sharing arrangements. · Prioritizing and placing strict limits on the amounts of new guaranteed obligations. · Developing government capacity to analyze and manage risks. · Fully integrating fiscal risk management with other policy considerations in fiscal management, as part of an integrated asset and liability management strategy.
[Fortsetzung 1. Abstract] This paper - a product of the Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Sector Unit, Europe and Central Asia Region - is part of a larger effort in the Bank to study the quality of fiscal adjustment in its client countries. Copies of the paper are available free from the World Bank, 1818 H Street, NW, Washington, DC 20433. The authors may be contacted at lzlaoui@worldbank.org, hpolackova@worldbank.org, or sshatalov@worldbank.org
Beschreibung:1 Online-Ressource (1 online resource (50 p.))
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