The signal and the noise: why so many predictions fail - but some don't
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
New York
<<The>> Penguin Press
2012
|
| Ausgabe: | 1. publ. |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Includes bibliographical references and index |
| Beschreibung: | 534 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9781594204111 |
Internformat
MARC
| LEADER | 00000nam a2200000zc 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | BV040495378 | ||
| 003 | DE-604 | ||
| 005 | 20131121 | ||
| 007 | t | ||
| 008 | 121022s2012 xxud||| |||| 00||| eng d | ||
| 010 | |a 2012027308 | ||
| 020 | |a 9781594204111 |9 978-1-59420-411-1 | ||
| 035 | |a (OCoLC)816278250 | ||
| 035 | |a (DE-599)BVBBV040495378 | ||
| 040 | |a DE-604 |b ger |e aacr | ||
| 041 | 0 | |a eng | |
| 044 | |a xxu |c US | ||
| 049 | |a DE-473 |a DE-19 |a DE-706 |a DE-188 |a DE-83 |a DE-Aug4 |a DE-11 | ||
| 050 | 0 | |a CB158 | |
| 082 | 0 | |a 519.5/42 | |
| 084 | |a MR 2950 |0 (DE-625)123498: |2 rvk | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a Silver, Nate |d 1978- |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)104122964X |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a The signal and the noise |b why so many predictions fail - but some don't |c Nate Silver |
| 250 | |a 1. publ. | ||
| 264 | 1 | |a New York |b <<The>> Penguin Press |c 2012 | |
| 300 | |a 534 S. |b graph. Darst. | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 500 | |a Includes bibliographical references and index | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Geschichte | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Forecasting | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Forecasting |x Methodology | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Forecasting |x History | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Bayesian statistical decision theory | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Knowledge, Theory of | |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Prognose |0 (DE-588)4047390-9 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Bayes-Entscheidungstheorie |0 (DE-588)4144220-9 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
| 689 | 0 | 0 | |a Prognose |0 (DE-588)4047390-9 |D s |
| 689 | 0 | 1 | |a Bayes-Entscheidungstheorie |0 (DE-588)4144220-9 |D s |
| 689 | 0 | |5 DE-604 | |
| 856 | 4 | 2 | |m Digitalisierung UB Bamberg |q application/pdf |u http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=025342282&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |3 Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| 999 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-025342282 | ||
Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804149560582340609 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | CONTENTS
Introduction
1
1.
A CATASTROPHIC FAILURE OF PREDICTION J9
2.
ARE YOU SMARTER THAN A TELEVISION PUNDIT?
47
3.
ALL I CARE ABOUT IS W S AND L S
74
4.
FOR YEARS YOU VE BEEN TELLING US THAT RAIN IS GREEN
108
5.
DESPERATELY SEEKING SIGNAL
¡42
6.
HOWTO DROWN IN THREE FEET OF WATER
176
?.
ROLE MODELS
204
8.
LESS AND LESS AND LESS WRONG
232
9.
RAGE AGAINST THE MACHINES
262
10.
THE POKER BUBBLE
294
11.
IF YOU CAN T BEAT EM
. . . 329
12.
A CLIMATE OF HEALTHY SKEPTICISM
370
13.
WHAT YOU DON T KNOW CAN HURT YOU
412
Conclusion
446
Acknowledgments
455
Noies
459
Index 5J5
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Silver, Nate 1978- |
| author_GND | (DE-588)104122964X |
| author_facet | Silver, Nate 1978- |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Silver, Nate 1978- |
| author_variant | n s ns |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV040495378 |
| callnumber-first | C - Historical Sciences |
| callnumber-label | CB158 |
| callnumber-raw | CB158 |
| callnumber-search | CB158 |
| callnumber-sort | CB 3158 |
| callnumber-subject | CB - History of Civilization |
| classification_rvk | MR 2950 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)816278250 (DE-599)BVBBV040495378 |
| dewey-full | 519.5/42 |
| dewey-hundreds | 500 - Natural sciences and mathematics |
| dewey-ones | 519 - Probabilities and applied mathematics |
| dewey-raw | 519.5/42 |
| dewey-search | 519.5/42 |
| dewey-sort | 3519.5 242 |
| dewey-tens | 510 - Mathematics |
| discipline | Soziologie Mathematik |
| edition | 1. publ. |
| format | Book |
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| id | DE-604.BV040495378 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T00:24:58Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9781594204111 |
| language | English |
| lccn | 2012027308 |
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| physical | 534 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 2012 |
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| publisher | <<The>> Penguin Press |
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| spelling | Silver, Nate 1978- Verfasser (DE-588)104122964X aut The signal and the noise why so many predictions fail - but some don't Nate Silver 1. publ. New York <<The>> Penguin Press 2012 534 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Includes bibliographical references and index Geschichte Forecasting Forecasting Methodology Forecasting History Bayesian statistical decision theory Knowledge, Theory of Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd rswk-swf Bayes-Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4144220-9 gnd rswk-swf Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 s Bayes-Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4144220-9 s DE-604 Digitalisierung UB Bamberg application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=025342282&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Silver, Nate 1978- The signal and the noise why so many predictions fail - but some don't Geschichte Forecasting Forecasting Methodology Forecasting History Bayesian statistical decision theory Knowledge, Theory of Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd Bayes-Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4144220-9 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4047390-9 (DE-588)4144220-9 |
| title | The signal and the noise why so many predictions fail - but some don't |
| title_auth | The signal and the noise why so many predictions fail - but some don't |
| title_exact_search | The signal and the noise why so many predictions fail - but some don't |
| title_full | The signal and the noise why so many predictions fail - but some don't Nate Silver |
| title_fullStr | The signal and the noise why so many predictions fail - but some don't Nate Silver |
| title_full_unstemmed | The signal and the noise why so many predictions fail - but some don't Nate Silver |
| title_short | The signal and the noise |
| title_sort | the signal and the noise why so many predictions fail but some don t |
| title_sub | why so many predictions fail - but some don't |
| topic | Geschichte Forecasting Forecasting Methodology Forecasting History Bayesian statistical decision theory Knowledge, Theory of Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd Bayes-Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4144220-9 gnd |
| topic_facet | Geschichte Forecasting Forecasting Methodology Forecasting History Bayesian statistical decision theory Knowledge, Theory of Prognose Bayes-Entscheidungstheorie |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=025342282&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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