Earthquake prediction by seismic electric signals: the success of the VAN method over thirty years
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Berlin [u.a.]
Springer
2013
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Springer-Praxis books in geophysical sciences
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltstext Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XVIII, 251 S. Ill., graph. Darst., Kt. |
| ISBN: | 364224405X 9783642244056 |
Internformat
MARC
| LEADER | 00000nam a2200000 c 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | BV040415665 | ||
| 003 | DE-604 | ||
| 005 | 20130806 | ||
| 007 | t | ||
| 008 | 120912s2013 abd| |||| 00||| eng d | ||
| 015 | |a 11N36 |2 dnb | ||
| 016 | 7 | |a 1014764203 |2 DE-101 | |
| 020 | |a 364224405X |c Gb. : EUR 139.05 |9 3-642-24405-X | ||
| 020 | |a 9783642244056 |c Gb. : EUR 139.05 |9 978-3-642-24405-6 | ||
| 035 | |a (OCoLC)812376373 | ||
| 035 | |a (DE-599)DNB1014764203 | ||
| 040 | |a DE-604 |b ger |e rakddb | ||
| 041 | 0 | |a eng | |
| 049 | |a DE-11 |a DE-83 | ||
| 082 | 0 | |a 551.220112 |2 22/ger | |
| 084 | |a UT 1800 |0 (DE-625)146775: |2 rvk | ||
| 084 | |a 550 |2 sdnb | ||
| 100 | 1 | |a Lazaridou-Varotsos, Mary S. |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Earthquake prediction by seismic electric signals |b the success of the VAN method over thirty years |c Mary S. Lazaridou-Varotsos |
| 264 | 1 | |a Berlin [u.a.] |b Springer |c 2013 | |
| 300 | |a XVIII, 251 S. |b Ill., graph. Darst., Kt. | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 490 | 0 | |a Springer-Praxis books in geophysical sciences | |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Erdbebenvorhersage |0 (DE-588)4124846-6 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
| 689 | 0 | 0 | |a Erdbebenvorhersage |0 (DE-588)4124846-6 |D s |
| 689 | 0 | |5 DE-604 | |
| 776 | 0 | 8 | |i Erscheint auch als |n Online-Ausgabe |z 978-3-642-24406-3 |
| 856 | 4 | |q text/html |u http://deposit.dnb.de/cgi-bin/dokserv?id=3873355&prov=M&dok_var=1&dok_ext=htm |3 Inhaltstext | |
| 856 | 4 | 2 | |m DNB Datenaustausch |q application/pdf |u http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=025268532&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |3 Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| 943 | 1 | |a oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-025268532 | |
Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1807953677213761536 |
|---|---|
| adam_text |
IMAGE 1
CONTENTS
LIST O F FIGURES IX
LIST O F ACRONYMS XIII
LIST O F SYMBOLS XIV
PREFACE XV
1 EARTHQUAKES, SEISMOLOGY AND THE VAN EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION METHOD 1 1.1
EARTHQUAKES: GENERAL BACKGROUND AND HISTORY 1
1.2 SEISMOLOGY IN GENERAL: THE THEORY O F PLATE TECTONICS 3
1.2.1 SEIYA UYEDA 4
1.2.2 SEIYA UYEDA AND THE VAN METHOD 6
1.3 EARTHQUAKE FORECAST: THE VAN METHOD 6
2 THE DEVELOPMENT O F THE VAN RESEARCH ON EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION 9
2.1 HOW AND WHY THE VAN RESEARCH STARTED 9
2.2 THE FIRST EXPERIMENTAL VAN NETWORK 18
3 THE PROCEDURE FOR THE MEASUREMENTS: THE TELEMETRIC VAN NETWORK AND HOW
THE EPICENTER AND MAGNITUDE ARE PREDICTED 21
3.1 THE METHODOLOGY O F MEASUREMENTS 21
3.2 THE INSTALLATION AND OPERATION O F THE TELEMETRIC NETWORK 22
3.3 SENSITIVE AND NONSENSITIVE SITES 2 4
3.4 THE SELECTIVITY O F A SENSITIVE STATION 27
3.5 HOW THE MAGNITUDE, EPICENTER AND TIME O F AN EXPECTED EARTHQUAKE IS
PREDICTED 29
3.6 THE DESIRED ACCURACY IN A PREDICTION 34
V
HTTP://D-NB.INFO/1014764203
IMAGE 2
VI C O N T E N T S
4 FIRST INTERNATIONAL EVALUATION O F VAN, 1984 37
4.1 THE FIRST UNSUCCESSFUL ATTEMPTS TO EVALUATE VAN (LATE 1983-EARLY
1984) .37 4.2 INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC MEETING, ATHENS, NOVEMBER 1984
38
4.3 THE IMPACT OF THE INTERNATIONAL MEETING, NOVEMBER 1984 4 2
5 TWO POWERFUL EARTHQUAKES, 1986 47
5.1 THE 6.1 EARTHQUAKE IN AN ASEISMIC REGION IN THE CENTRAL AEGEAN SEA
47
5.2 THE 6.2 EARTHQUAKE IN KALAMATA, 13 SEPTEMBER 1986 5 3
6 DISASTROUS EARTHQUAKES IN KILLINI-VARTHOLOMIO, 1988 5 9
6.1 INTRODUCTION 59
6.2 WHAT HAPPENED BEFORE THE EARTHQUAKES 60
6.3 AFTER THE 6.0 MAIN SHOCK 64
7 THE FRENCH INTEREST IN VAN 67
7.1 PROFESSOR HAROUN TAZIEFF AND THE FRENCH INTEREST IN VAN (1986-1989)
67 7.2 THE INTERRUPTION OF THE VAN NETWORK 74
8 SECOND INTERNATIONAL EVALUATION O F VAN, 1990 81
8.1 THE ORGANIZATION O F THE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE 81
8.2 THE CONCLUSION O F THE CONFERENCE 83
8.3 SCIENTISTS' RESPONSES TO QUESTIONS FROM THE PRESS 86
8.4 THE ELECTRIC POWER TO THE VAN NETWORK IS SWITCHED OFF 9 3
8.5 THE IMPACT O F THE CONFERENCE ABROAD 9 5
9 DISASTROUS EARTHQUAKES IN PIRGOS, 1993: THE PUBLIC WARNING 9 9
9.1 EVENTS PRIOR TO THE EARTHQUAKES 9 9
9.2 EVENTS ON THE EVE OF AND IMMEDIATELY AFTER THE PIRGOS MAIN SHOCK 104
10 THIRD INTERNATIONAL EVALUATION O F VAN, 1992,1995 107
11 THE UNITED NATIONS RECOMMENDATION ON VAN, 1994 113
12 VAN EVALUATIONS, 1995,1996 117
12.1 THE INTERNATIONAL MEETING AT THE ROYAL SOCIETY OF LONDON, 1995 117
12.2 SPECIAL ISSUE O F GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (AMERICAN
GEOPHYSICAL UNION) ENTITLED "DEBATE ON VAN", 1996 121
13 EARTHQUAKE AT CHALKIDIKI, 1995: THE SUCCESS O F THE PREDICTION 1 25
14 EARTHQUAKE IN GREVENA-KOZANI, 1995 129
14.1 WHAT HAPPENED BEFORE AND IMMEDIATELY AFTER THE EARTHQUAKE 129
14.2 WHAT THE INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC COMMUNITY SAID AFTER THE
EARTHQUAKE 132
IMAGE 3
C O N T E N T S VII
15 DISASTROUS EARTHQUAKE AT ERATINI-EGION, 1995 137
15.1 THE EARTHQUAKE AND ITS PREDICTION 137
15.2 WHAT COUNTERMEASURES DID THE STATE TAKE AFTER RECEIVING THE
PREDICTION?. 143
16 THE INTERNATIONAL PRIZE O F THE ONASSIS FOUNDATION, 1995 147
17 DISASTROUS ATHENS EARTHQUAKE, 1999 155
17.1 THE PRESEISMIC SIGNALS RECORDED 155
17.2 THE EARTHQUAKES THAT FOLLOWED THE PRESEISMIC SIGNALS 157
18 A NEW CONCEPT O F TIME AND ITS APPLICATIONS: NATURAL TIME 159
18.1 THE NEED FOR A DIFFERENT VIEW ON TIME 159
18.2 WHAT IS NATURAL TIME? 160
18.3 HOW TO DETERMINE THE TIME O F A FORTHCOMING EARTHQUAKE 162
18.4 USING NATURAL TIME TO ANALYZE ELECTROCARDIOGRAMS 164
19 EARTHQUAKE IN THE NORTHERN AEGEAN SEA, 2001 165
20 PUBLICIZING PREDICTIONS: CHANGES FROM 2006 169
21 EARTHQUAKE IN SOUTHWESTERN GREECE, 2008 173
21.1 WHAT HAPPENED BEFORE THIS EARTHQUAKE 173
21.2 THE PRESEISMIC SIGNALS AND HOW THEY WERE PUBLICIZED IN ADVANCE 174
21.3 THE TWO 5.5 EARTHQUAKES IN PREVIOUSLY INACTIVE FAULTS NEAR PATRAS
174 21.4 THE 6.9 AND 6.5 EARTHQUAKES IN SOUTHWESTERN GREECE 177
21.5 THE INTERNATIONAL IMPACT OF THE PREDICTION 178
22 EARTHQUAKE BETWEEN PATRAS AND PIRGOS, 2008 181
22.1 WHAT HAPPENED BEFORE THE EARTHQUAKE 181
22.2 WHAT HAPPENED AFTER THE EARTHQUAKE 186
22.3 THE IMPACT O F OUR PREDICTION ABROAD 187
22.4 THE EXTENT O F THE DESTRUCTION CAUSED BY THE EARTHQUAKE O F 8 JUNE
2008 188 22.5 HAS OUR DECISION TO PUBLICIZE FORECASTS CHANGED AFTER THE
EARTHQUAKE OF 8 JUNE 2008? 189
23 THE VAN EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION METHOD IN OTHER COUNTRIES: CURRENT
VIEWS. 191 23.1 JAPAN 191
23.2 THE USA 194
23.3 CHINA 196
23.4 RUSSIA 198
23.5 MEXICO 199
23.6 ITALY 200
23.6.1 COLLABORATION WITH MEXICO 201
23.7 FRANCE 201
23.8 CONCLUDING REMARK 202
IMAGE 4
VIII
C O N T E N T S
APPENDIX 203
QUANTITIES CALCULATED IN NATURAL TIME ANALYSIS. WHAT HAPPENED BEFORE THE
JAPANESE SUPER-GIANT 9.0 EARTHQUAKE IN 2011 203
A. 1 CALCULATION O F THE MEAN VALUE AND THE VARIANCE O F NATURAL TIME %
WEIGHTED BY NORMALIZED ENERGY RELEASE 203
A.2 USEFULNESS OF THE VARIANCE X O F NATURAL TIME TO IDENTIFY THE
OCCURRENCE TIME O F AN IMPENDING MAIN SHOCK 204
A.3 USING NATURAL TIME ANALYSIS TO IDENTIFY UPCOMING EARTHQUAKES IN THE
USA 205
A.4 WHAT HAPPENED BEFORE THE SUPER-GIANT 9.0 EARTHQUAKE IN JAPAN IN 2011
.207
REFERENCES 219
INDEX 241 |
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Lazaridou-Varotsos, Mary S. |
| author_facet | Lazaridou-Varotsos, Mary S. |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Lazaridou-Varotsos, Mary S. |
| author_variant | m s l v msl mslv |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV040415665 |
| classification_rvk | UT 1800 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)812376373 (DE-599)DNB1014764203 |
| dewey-full | 551.220112 |
| dewey-hundreds | 500 - Natural sciences and mathematics |
| dewey-ones | 551 - Geology, hydrology, meteorology |
| dewey-raw | 551.220112 |
| dewey-search | 551.220112 |
| dewey-sort | 3551.220112 |
| dewey-tens | 550 - Earth sciences |
| discipline | Geologie / Paläontologie Physik |
| format | Book |
| fullrecord | <?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><collection xmlns="http://www.loc.gov/MARC21/slim"><record><leader>00000nam a2200000 c 4500</leader><controlfield tag="001">BV040415665</controlfield><controlfield tag="003">DE-604</controlfield><controlfield tag="005">20130806</controlfield><controlfield tag="007">t</controlfield><controlfield tag="008">120912s2013 abd| |||| 00||| eng d</controlfield><datafield tag="015" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">11N36</subfield><subfield code="2">dnb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="016" ind1="7" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">1014764203</subfield><subfield code="2">DE-101</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">364224405X</subfield><subfield code="c">Gb. : EUR 139.05</subfield><subfield code="9">3-642-24405-X</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="020" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">9783642244056</subfield><subfield code="c">Gb. : EUR 139.05</subfield><subfield code="9">978-3-642-24405-6</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(OCoLC)812376373</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="035" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">(DE-599)DNB1014764203</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="040" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-604</subfield><subfield code="b">ger</subfield><subfield code="e">rakddb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="041" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">eng</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="049" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">DE-11</subfield><subfield code="a">DE-83</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="082" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">551.220112</subfield><subfield code="2">22/ger</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">UT 1800</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-625)146775:</subfield><subfield code="2">rvk</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="084" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">550</subfield><subfield code="2">sdnb</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="100" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Lazaridou-Varotsos, Mary S.</subfield><subfield code="e">Verfasser</subfield><subfield code="4">aut</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="245" ind1="1" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Earthquake prediction by seismic electric signals</subfield><subfield code="b">the success of the VAN method over thirty years</subfield><subfield code="c">Mary S. Lazaridou-Varotsos</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="264" ind1=" " ind2="1"><subfield code="a">Berlin [u.a.]</subfield><subfield code="b">Springer</subfield><subfield code="c">2013</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="300" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="a">XVIII, 251 S.</subfield><subfield code="b">Ill., graph. Darst., Kt.</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="336" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">txt</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacontent</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="337" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">n</subfield><subfield code="2">rdamedia</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="338" ind1=" " ind2=" "><subfield code="b">nc</subfield><subfield code="2">rdacarrier</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="490" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">Springer-Praxis books in geophysical sciences</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="650" ind1="0" ind2="7"><subfield code="a">Erdbebenvorhersage</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4124846-6</subfield><subfield code="2">gnd</subfield><subfield code="9">rswk-swf</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2="0"><subfield code="a">Erdbebenvorhersage</subfield><subfield code="0">(DE-588)4124846-6</subfield><subfield code="D">s</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="689" ind1="0" ind2=" "><subfield code="5">DE-604</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="776" ind1="0" ind2="8"><subfield code="i">Erscheint auch als</subfield><subfield code="n">Online-Ausgabe</subfield><subfield code="z">978-3-642-24406-3</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2=" "><subfield code="q">text/html</subfield><subfield code="u">http://deposit.dnb.de/cgi-bin/dokserv?id=3873355&prov=M&dok_var=1&dok_ext=htm</subfield><subfield code="3">Inhaltstext</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="856" ind1="4" ind2="2"><subfield code="m">DNB Datenaustausch</subfield><subfield code="q">application/pdf</subfield><subfield code="u">http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=025268532&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA</subfield><subfield code="3">Inhaltsverzeichnis</subfield></datafield><datafield tag="943" ind1="1" ind2=" "><subfield code="a">oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-025268532</subfield></datafield></record></collection> |
| id | DE-604.BV040415665 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-08-21T00:09:43Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 364224405X 9783642244056 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-025268532 |
| oclc_num | 812376373 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-11 DE-83 |
| owner_facet | DE-11 DE-83 |
| physical | XVIII, 251 S. Ill., graph. Darst., Kt. |
| publishDate | 2013 |
| publishDateSearch | 2013 |
| publishDateSort | 2013 |
| publisher | Springer |
| record_format | marc |
| series2 | Springer-Praxis books in geophysical sciences |
| spelling | Lazaridou-Varotsos, Mary S. Verfasser aut Earthquake prediction by seismic electric signals the success of the VAN method over thirty years Mary S. Lazaridou-Varotsos Berlin [u.a.] Springer 2013 XVIII, 251 S. Ill., graph. Darst., Kt. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Springer-Praxis books in geophysical sciences Erdbebenvorhersage (DE-588)4124846-6 gnd rswk-swf Erdbebenvorhersage (DE-588)4124846-6 s DE-604 Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe 978-3-642-24406-3 text/html http://deposit.dnb.de/cgi-bin/dokserv?id=3873355&prov=M&dok_var=1&dok_ext=htm Inhaltstext DNB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=025268532&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Lazaridou-Varotsos, Mary S. Earthquake prediction by seismic electric signals the success of the VAN method over thirty years Erdbebenvorhersage (DE-588)4124846-6 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4124846-6 |
| title | Earthquake prediction by seismic electric signals the success of the VAN method over thirty years |
| title_auth | Earthquake prediction by seismic electric signals the success of the VAN method over thirty years |
| title_exact_search | Earthquake prediction by seismic electric signals the success of the VAN method over thirty years |
| title_full | Earthquake prediction by seismic electric signals the success of the VAN method over thirty years Mary S. Lazaridou-Varotsos |
| title_fullStr | Earthquake prediction by seismic electric signals the success of the VAN method over thirty years Mary S. Lazaridou-Varotsos |
| title_full_unstemmed | Earthquake prediction by seismic electric signals the success of the VAN method over thirty years Mary S. Lazaridou-Varotsos |
| title_short | Earthquake prediction by seismic electric signals |
| title_sort | earthquake prediction by seismic electric signals the success of the van method over thirty years |
| title_sub | the success of the VAN method over thirty years |
| topic | Erdbebenvorhersage (DE-588)4124846-6 gnd |
| topic_facet | Erdbebenvorhersage |
| url | http://deposit.dnb.de/cgi-bin/dokserv?id=3873355&prov=M&dok_var=1&dok_ext=htm http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=025268532&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT lazaridouvarotsosmarys earthquakepredictionbyseismicelectricsignalsthesuccessofthevanmethodoverthirtyyears |