Forecasting zero: U.S. nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament
A vigorous debate is occurring among American elites with respect to whether and when the United States should relinquish its nuclear weapons. Bolstering hopes for tangible results is that a U.S. President is again publicly and forcefully supporting disarmament. While this debate, which addresses bo...
Gespeichert in:
1. Verfasser: | |
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Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Carlisle, PA
Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College
2011
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Schlagworte: | |
Zusammenfassung: | A vigorous debate is occurring among American elites with respect to whether and when the United States should relinquish its nuclear weapons. Bolstering hopes for tangible results is that a U.S. President is again publicly and forcefully supporting disarmament. While this debate, which addresses both technical and political factors related to abolition, may be the most serious one of its kind since the dawn of the nuclear age, the future of U.S. nuclear weapons policy remains uncertain. The general approach advanced today in U.S. policy circles largely hews, after all, to the logic of the past 65 years: arms control and nonproliferation now, disarmament at an undetermined time in the future. Moreover, several conceptual and strategic barriers continue to block serious progress toward U.S. disarmament. By situating the current pro-disarmament rhetoric in this larger historical and strategic context, this monograph argues that there is reason to doubt whether the current push for disarmament will produce meaningful and lasting results |
Beschreibung: | "November 2011." Includes bibliographical references (p. 41-57) American abolitionism : new trick or old pony? (1945-91). Limited dissent for a wartime project -- Shaping the post-war world -- Three important shifts move the United States away from disarmament -- From Kennedy to Carter : the rise of arms control -- A Reagan-era rebirth for disarmament -- Shaping a new world order, or shaped by it? : from Reykjavik to rogue states. New risks and uncertain priorities in the post-Cold War world (1991-2001) -- Disarmament continues its retreat (2001-09) -- A new center or a return to normalcy? : the four horsemen ride to town -- Forecasting the U.S. nuclear future : yes we can (eventually?). The Obama administration : pledges and actions -- Continuity, not revolution -- Guarding your optimism : conceptual roadblocks to disarmament -- Guarding your optimism : structural roadblocks to disarmament -- Conclusion |
Beschreibung: | X, 57 S. Ill. |
ISBN: | 9781584875161 |
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520 | |a A vigorous debate is occurring among American elites with respect to whether and when the United States should relinquish its nuclear weapons. Bolstering hopes for tangible results is that a U.S. President is again publicly and forcefully supporting disarmament. While this debate, which addresses both technical and political factors related to abolition, may be the most serious one of its kind since the dawn of the nuclear age, the future of U.S. nuclear weapons policy remains uncertain. The general approach advanced today in U.S. policy circles largely hews, after all, to the logic of the past 65 years: arms control and nonproliferation now, disarmament at an undetermined time in the future. Moreover, several conceptual and strategic barriers continue to block serious progress toward U.S. disarmament. By situating the current pro-disarmament rhetoric in this larger historical and strategic context, this monograph argues that there is reason to doubt whether the current push for disarmament will produce meaningful and lasting results | ||
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spelling | Pearl, Jonathan Verfasser aut Forecasting zero U.S. nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament Jonathan Pearl United States nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament Carlisle, PA Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College 2011 X, 57 S. Ill. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier "November 2011." Includes bibliographical references (p. 41-57) American abolitionism : new trick or old pony? (1945-91). Limited dissent for a wartime project -- Shaping the post-war world -- Three important shifts move the United States away from disarmament -- From Kennedy to Carter : the rise of arms control -- A Reagan-era rebirth for disarmament -- Shaping a new world order, or shaped by it? : from Reykjavik to rogue states. New risks and uncertain priorities in the post-Cold War world (1991-2001) -- Disarmament continues its retreat (2001-09) -- A new center or a return to normalcy? : the four horsemen ride to town -- Forecasting the U.S. nuclear future : yes we can (eventually?). The Obama administration : pledges and actions -- Continuity, not revolution -- Guarding your optimism : conceptual roadblocks to disarmament -- Guarding your optimism : structural roadblocks to disarmament -- Conclusion A vigorous debate is occurring among American elites with respect to whether and when the United States should relinquish its nuclear weapons. Bolstering hopes for tangible results is that a U.S. President is again publicly and forcefully supporting disarmament. While this debate, which addresses both technical and political factors related to abolition, may be the most serious one of its kind since the dawn of the nuclear age, the future of U.S. nuclear weapons policy remains uncertain. The general approach advanced today in U.S. policy circles largely hews, after all, to the logic of the past 65 years: arms control and nonproliferation now, disarmament at an undetermined time in the future. Moreover, several conceptual and strategic barriers continue to block serious progress toward U.S. disarmament. By situating the current pro-disarmament rhetoric in this larger historical and strategic context, this monograph argues that there is reason to doubt whether the current push for disarmament will produce meaningful and lasting results Geschichte gnd rswk-swf Nuclear disarmament / United States / History Nuclear disarmament / International cooperation Nuclear weapons / United States / History Nuclear weapons / United States / Forecasting Nuclear nonproliferation / Government policy / United States Nuclear nonproliferation / International cooperation Abrüstung fes Atomwaffe fes Geschichte Politik Atomare Abrüstung (DE-588)4332988-3 gnd rswk-swf USA fes USA USA (DE-588)4078704-7 gnd rswk-swf USA (DE-588)4078704-7 g Atomare Abrüstung (DE-588)4332988-3 s Geschichte z DE-604 Strategic Studies Institute (Carlisle Barracks, Pa.) Sonstige (DE-588)1046371-9 oth |
spellingShingle | Pearl, Jonathan Forecasting zero U.S. nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament Nuclear disarmament / United States / History Nuclear disarmament / International cooperation Nuclear weapons / United States / History Nuclear weapons / United States / Forecasting Nuclear nonproliferation / Government policy / United States Nuclear nonproliferation / International cooperation Abrüstung fes Atomwaffe fes Geschichte Politik Atomare Abrüstung (DE-588)4332988-3 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4332988-3 (DE-588)4078704-7 |
title | Forecasting zero U.S. nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament |
title_alt | United States nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament |
title_auth | Forecasting zero U.S. nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament |
title_exact_search | Forecasting zero U.S. nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament |
title_full | Forecasting zero U.S. nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament Jonathan Pearl |
title_fullStr | Forecasting zero U.S. nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament Jonathan Pearl |
title_full_unstemmed | Forecasting zero U.S. nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament Jonathan Pearl |
title_short | Forecasting zero |
title_sort | forecasting zero u s nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament |
title_sub | U.S. nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament |
topic | Nuclear disarmament / United States / History Nuclear disarmament / International cooperation Nuclear weapons / United States / History Nuclear weapons / United States / Forecasting Nuclear nonproliferation / Government policy / United States Nuclear nonproliferation / International cooperation Abrüstung fes Atomwaffe fes Geschichte Politik Atomare Abrüstung (DE-588)4332988-3 gnd |
topic_facet | Nuclear disarmament / United States / History Nuclear disarmament / International cooperation Nuclear weapons / United States / History Nuclear weapons / United States / Forecasting Nuclear nonproliferation / Government policy / United States Nuclear nonproliferation / International cooperation Abrüstung Atomwaffe Geschichte Politik Atomare Abrüstung USA |
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