U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials
Gespeichert in:
Hauptverfasser: | , , |
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Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Frankfurt am Main
Dt. Bundesbank
2011
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Schriftenreihe: | Discussion paper / Deutsche Bundesbank : Series 1, Economic studies
2011,35 |
Online-Zugang: | Volltext Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Beschreibung: | Auch im Internet verfügbar. - Zsfassung in dt. Sprache |
Beschreibung: | 47 S. graph. Darst. |
ISBN: | 9783865587800 9783865587817 |
Internformat
MARC
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245 | 1 | 0 | |a U-MIDAS |b MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials |c Claudia Foroni ; Massimiliano Marcellino ; Christian Schumacher |
264 | 1 | |a Frankfurt am Main |b Dt. Bundesbank |c 2011 | |
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490 | 1 | |a Discussion paper / Deutsche Bundesbank : Series 1, Economic studies |v 2011,35 | |
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700 | 1 | |a Schumacher, Christian |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)171835085 |4 aut | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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adam_text | Titel: U-MIDAS
Autor: Foroni, Claudia
Jahr: 2011
Contents
1 Introduction 1
2 The rationale behind U-MIDAS and its use in forecasting 3
2.1 U-MIDAS regressions in dynamic linear models ............. 3
2.2 Forecasting with U-MIDAS ........................ 6
2.3 U-MIDAS and MIDAS with exponential Almon lags........... 8
3 Monte Carlo experiments 9
3.1 The simulation design ........................... 9
3.2 The models under comparison....................... 10
3.3 Monte Carlo in-sample comparison results................ 12
3.4 Monte Carlo forecast comparison results................. 12
3.5 The role of BIC for lag length selection.................. 15
3.6 An alternative DGP with non-recursive VAR structure......... 16
3.7 Using MIDAS as DGP........................... 18
3.8 Summary of the simulation results..................... 19
4 Empirical application to US GDP growth 19
5 An application to Euro area GDP growth 23
6 Conclusions 27
A Appendix 31
A.l Identification of the disaggregate process................. 31
A.2 Monthly US data.............................. 32
A.3 Monthly Euro area indicators....................... 33
A.4 Top performers monthly Euro area indicators .............. 36
|
any_adam_object | 1 |
author | Foroni, Claudia Marcellino, Massimiliano 1970- Schumacher, Christian |
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format | Book |
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id | DE-604.BV039969882 |
illustrated | Illustrated |
indexdate | 2024-07-10T00:15:14Z |
institution | BVB |
isbn | 9783865587800 9783865587817 |
language | English |
oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-024827448 |
oclc_num | 780323787 |
open_access_boolean | 1 |
owner | DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-12 DE-188 DE-945 |
owner_facet | DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-12 DE-188 DE-945 |
physical | 47 S. graph. Darst. |
psigel | ebook |
publishDate | 2011 |
publishDateSearch | 2011 |
publishDateSort | 2011 |
publisher | Dt. Bundesbank |
record_format | marc |
series2 | Discussion paper / Deutsche Bundesbank : Series 1, Economic studies |
spelling | Foroni, Claudia Verfasser aut U-MIDAS MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials Claudia Foroni ; Massimiliano Marcellino ; Christian Schumacher Frankfurt am Main Dt. Bundesbank 2011 47 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Discussion paper / Deutsche Bundesbank : Series 1, Economic studies 2011,35 Auch im Internet verfügbar. - Zsfassung in dt. Sprache Marcellino, Massimiliano 1970- Verfasser (DE-588)114655065 aut Schumacher, Christian Verfasser (DE-588)171835085 aut Deutsche Bundesbank Discussion paper Series 1, Economic studies ; 2011,35 (DE-604)BV017594637 2011,35 http://hdl.handle.net/10419/55529 Verlag kostenfrei Volltext HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=024827448&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Foroni, Claudia Marcellino, Massimiliano 1970- Schumacher, Christian U-MIDAS MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials |
title | U-MIDAS MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials |
title_auth | U-MIDAS MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials |
title_exact_search | U-MIDAS MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials |
title_full | U-MIDAS MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials Claudia Foroni ; Massimiliano Marcellino ; Christian Schumacher |
title_fullStr | U-MIDAS MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials Claudia Foroni ; Massimiliano Marcellino ; Christian Schumacher |
title_full_unstemmed | U-MIDAS MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials Claudia Foroni ; Massimiliano Marcellino ; Christian Schumacher |
title_short | U-MIDAS |
title_sort | u midas midas regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials |
title_sub | MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials |
url | http://hdl.handle.net/10419/55529 http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=024827448&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
volume_link | (DE-604)BV017594637 |
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