Leadership or chaos: the heart and soul of politics
Gespeichert in:
Hauptverfasser: | , |
---|---|
Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Heidelberg [u.a.]
Springer
2011
|
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Beschreibung: | Literaturangaben |
Beschreibung: | XVI, 466 S. graph. Darst., Kt. 24 cm |
ISBN: | 3642195156 9783642195150 |
Internformat
MARC
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100 | 1 | |a Schofield, Norman |d 1944- |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)132509458 |4 aut | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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adam_text | IMAGE 1
CONTENTS
1 POLITICAL ECONOMY: RISK AND UNCERTAINTY 1
1 .1 DEMOCRACY AND AUTOCRACY 3
1.1.1 THE CONSTITUTION OF THE UNITED STATES 7
1.2 ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL CHANGE IN BRITAIN 11
1.2.1 SUMMARY OF CHANGES IN THE BRITISH POLITY 19
1.3 POLITICAL TRANSFORMATIONS IN THE UNITED STATES 19
1.3.1 SUMMARY OF CHANGES IN THE US POLITY 34
2 LIMITED ACCESS SOCIETY 39
2.1 ROME AND BYZANTIUM 43
2.1.1 COMPETITION BETWEEN FACTORS 48
2.2 STRUCTURAL STABILITY AND CHAOS 50
2.3 THE MALTHUSIAN CONSTRAINT AND POINTS OF INFLECTION 55
2.4 CULTURAL AND SCIENTIFIC CHANGE: EAST AND WEST 61
2.4.1 MONARCHS AND MERCHANTS 65
2.5 CONCLUDING REMARKS 68
3 SOCIALCHOICE 71
3.1 INTRODUCTION 71
3.2 THE POLITICAL ECONOMY 84
3.3 THE ARROVIAN RESEARCH PROGRAM 96
3.4 THE CONDORCETIAN RESEARCH PROGRAM 103
4 MODELS OF THE WORLD AND SOCIETY 107
4.1 CULTURAL AND LINGUISTIC EVOLUTION 107
4.2 CHAOS IN THE MARKET AND THE HEAVENS 110
4.2.1 THE MARKET 110
4.2.2 THEHEAVENS 117
4.3 CLIMATE AND EVOLUTION 120
4.4 QUANDARIES 125
BIBLIOGRAFISCHE INFORMATIONEN HTTP://D-NB.INFO/1009893114
DIGITALISIERT DURCH
IMAGE 2
XIV CONTENTS
5 ELECTIONS IN THE UNITED STATES 127
5.1 INTRODUCTION 127
5.2 ACTIVIST SUPPORT FOR THE PARTIES 135
5.2.1 THE LEAD-UP TO THE 2008 ELECTION 136
5.3 THE ELECTION OF 2008 IN THE UNITED STATES 142
5.3.1 EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS 142
5.3.2 ESTIMATION OF POLITICAL EQUILIBRIA 144
5.4 AFTER THE ELECTION: 2009-2011 150
5.4.1 THE 2010 ELECTION 154
5.5 CONCLUDING REMARKS 158
6 ELECTIONS IN THE UNITED KINGDOM 1 87
6.1 INTRODUCTION 187
6.1.1 ACTIVIST INFLUENCES 191
6.2 THE ELECTION IN 2005 193
6.2.1 PURE SPATIAL MODELS FOR GREAT BRITAIN IN 2005 197 6.2.2 THE
SPATIAL MODEL WITH TRAITS IN 2005 200
6.3 THE ELECTION OF 2010 202
6.3.1 MODELLING THE ELECTION OF 2010 202
6.3.2 PURE SPATIAL MODELS FOR GREAT BRITAIN AND THE REGIONS IN 2010 206
6.3.3 TRAITS MODELS FOR 2010 207
6.4 CONCLUSION 208
7 ELECTIONS IN CANADA, THE NETHERLANDS AND BELGIUM 225
7.1 INTRODUCTION 225
7.2 ELECTIONS IN CANADA 226
7.2.1 A BRIEF POLITICAL HISTORY 227
7.2.2 THE ELECTION OF 2004 232
7.2.3 ELECTIONS AFTER 2004 239
7.3 ELECTIONS IN THE NETHERLANDS IN 2003 AND 2006 241
7.4 ELECTIONS IN BELGIUM 243
7.5 CONCLUDING REMARKS 244
8 ELECTIONS IN POLAND 1997-2005 257
8.1 INTRODUCTION 257
8.2 THE ELECTORAL MODEL 258
8.3 MODELLING THE ELECTIONS 263
8.4 CONCLUDING REMARKS 266
9 ELECTIONS IN RUSSIA AND THE CAUCASUS 275
9. 1 THE ELECTION OF 2007 IN RUSSIA 275
9.1.1 EQUILIBRIUM UNDER THE LOGIT MODEL 279
9.1.2 DISCUSSION 283
9.1.3 CONCLUDING REMARKS ON THE RUSSIAN ELECTION 284
IMAGE 3
CONTENTS XV
9.2 GEORGIAN POLITICS AND THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION 2008 284 9.3 THE
ELECTION IN AZERBAIJAN IN 2010 292
10 ELECTIONS IN ISRAEL AND TURKEY 303
1 0. 1 ELECTIONS IN ISRAEL 303
10.1.1 LEGISLATIVE BARGAINING 303
10.1.2 THE ELECTION OF 1996 306
10.1.3 ELECTIONS IN 2003,2006 AND 2009 311
10.1.4 CONCLUDING REMARKS ABOUT THE ISRAEL ELECTIONS 314 10.2 ELECTIONS
IN TURKEY 1999-2007 315
10.2.1 THE SPATIAL MODEL FOR TURKEY 1999-2002 320
10.2.2 EXTENSION OF THE MODEL FOR TURKEY 325
10.2.3 GENERAL REMARKS ON TURKISH ELECTIONS 328
10.2.4 CONCLUDING REMARKS ON TURKISH ELECTIONS 329 10.3 CONVERGENCE AND
FRAGMENTATION 330
11 INSTITUTIONS AND DEVELOPMENT 339
11.1 INSTITUTIONS AND DEMOCRATIZATION 339
11.2 OLIGARCHIES AND AUTOCRACIES 342
11.3 TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT 353
11.4 ACTIVIST COALITIONS AND POLICY SWITCHES IN LATIN AMERICA 357 11.4.1
ARGENTINA 1989-1999: FROM POPULIST PROMISES TO NEOLIBERALISM 359
11.4.2 THE TWO PERIODS OF THE CONVERTIBILITY PLAN 360 11.4.3 LOSERS AND
WINNERS 361
11.4.4 THE ROLE OF THE IMF AND THE US GOVERNMENT 362 11.4.5 THE SWING TO
THE LEFT 365
11.4.6 INFERENCES FROM THE DISCUSSION OF TRADE POLICY 366
12 CHAOTIC LEADERSHIP TRANSITIONS 369
12.1 AN ECONOMIC THEORY OF LEADERSHIP TURNOVER 370
12.1.1 THEMODEL 371
12.1.2 EQUILIBRIUM 372
12.1.3 THE KINGMAKER S BEST RESPONSE FUNCTION 373 12.1.4 DICTATOR / S
BEST RESPONSE FUNCTION 375
12.1.5 THE EQUILIBRIUM PROBABILITY OF A COUP 376
12.1.6 COMPARATIVE STATICS 378
12.2 LEADERS, ELITES AND CITIZENS 379
12.3 EMPIRICAL STUDIES OF LEADERSHIP TRANSITIONS 381
12.3.1 ESTIMATING LEADERSHIP TRANSITION PROBABILITIES 382 12.3.2 THE
HAZARD OF OVERTHROW 387
12.3.3 CONSTITUTIONAL AND UNCONSTITUTIONAL TRANSITIONS 390 12.3.4
LEADER S SUPPORT GROUPS UNDER DIFFERENT REGIMES 392 12.3.5 LEADERSHIP
TRANSITIONS IN DIFFERENT POLITICAL SYSTEMS.... 395 12.3.6 TRANSITION
PROBABILITIES AND DURATION DEPENDENCE 398
IMAGE 4
XVI CONTENTS
12.3.7 NEGATIVE DURATION DEPENDENCE 402
12.3.8 DURATION MODELS WITH GROWTH COVARIATES 404
12.4 ANOCRACIES 406
12.5 CONCLUDING REMARKS 409
13 CONCLUDING REMARKS ON KNOWLEDGE OF SCIENCE AND SOCIETY 415 13.1 MORAL
SENTIMENTS 415
13.1.1 BELIEFS 417
13.2 UNCERTAINTY 421
REFERENCES 429
|
any_adam_object | 1 |
author | Schofield, Norman 1944- Gallego, Maria |
author_GND | (DE-588)132509458 |
author_facet | Schofield, Norman 1944- Gallego, Maria |
author_role | aut aut |
author_sort | Schofield, Norman 1944- |
author_variant | n s ns m g mg |
building | Verbundindex |
bvnumber | BV039624862 |
classification_rvk | MF 4800 |
ctrlnum | (OCoLC)756375684 (DE-599)DNB1009893114 |
dewey-full | 324 |
dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
dewey-ones | 324 - The political process |
dewey-raw | 324 |
dewey-search | 324 |
dewey-sort | 3324 |
dewey-tens | 320 - Political science (Politics and government) |
discipline | Politologie Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
format | Book |
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id | DE-604.BV039624862 |
illustrated | Illustrated |
indexdate | 2024-07-10T00:07:41Z |
institution | BVB |
isbn | 3642195156 9783642195150 |
language | English |
oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-024475170 |
oclc_num | 756375684 |
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owner_facet | DE-473 DE-BY-UBG DE-12 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM |
physical | XVI, 466 S. graph. Darst., Kt. 24 cm |
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spelling | Schofield, Norman 1944- Verfasser (DE-588)132509458 aut Leadership or chaos the heart and soul of politics Norman Schofield ; Maria Gallego Heidelberg [u.a.] Springer 2011 XVI, 466 S. graph. Darst., Kt. 24 cm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Literaturangaben Demokratie (DE-588)4011413-2 gnd rswk-swf Kollektiventscheidung (DE-588)4022393-0 gnd rswk-swf Gleichgewichtsmodell (DE-588)4125214-7 gnd rswk-swf Wahlverhalten (DE-588)4079009-5 gnd rswk-swf Politische Ökonomie (DE-588)4115586-5 gnd rswk-swf Demokratie (DE-588)4011413-2 s Wahlverhalten (DE-588)4079009-5 s Kollektiventscheidung (DE-588)4022393-0 s Gleichgewichtsmodell (DE-588)4125214-7 s Politische Ökonomie (DE-588)4115586-5 s DE-604 Gallego, Maria Verfasser aut Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe 978-3-642-19516-7 DNB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=024475170&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Schofield, Norman 1944- Gallego, Maria Leadership or chaos the heart and soul of politics Demokratie (DE-588)4011413-2 gnd Kollektiventscheidung (DE-588)4022393-0 gnd Gleichgewichtsmodell (DE-588)4125214-7 gnd Wahlverhalten (DE-588)4079009-5 gnd Politische Ökonomie (DE-588)4115586-5 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4011413-2 (DE-588)4022393-0 (DE-588)4125214-7 (DE-588)4079009-5 (DE-588)4115586-5 |
title | Leadership or chaos the heart and soul of politics |
title_auth | Leadership or chaos the heart and soul of politics |
title_exact_search | Leadership or chaos the heart and soul of politics |
title_full | Leadership or chaos the heart and soul of politics Norman Schofield ; Maria Gallego |
title_fullStr | Leadership or chaos the heart and soul of politics Norman Schofield ; Maria Gallego |
title_full_unstemmed | Leadership or chaos the heart and soul of politics Norman Schofield ; Maria Gallego |
title_short | Leadership or chaos |
title_sort | leadership or chaos the heart and soul of politics |
title_sub | the heart and soul of politics |
topic | Demokratie (DE-588)4011413-2 gnd Kollektiventscheidung (DE-588)4022393-0 gnd Gleichgewichtsmodell (DE-588)4125214-7 gnd Wahlverhalten (DE-588)4079009-5 gnd Politische Ökonomie (DE-588)4115586-5 gnd |
topic_facet | Demokratie Kollektiventscheidung Gleichgewichtsmodell Wahlverhalten Politische Ökonomie |
url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=024475170&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
work_keys_str_mv | AT schofieldnorman leadershiporchaostheheartandsoulofpolitics AT gallegomaria leadershiporchaostheheartandsoulofpolitics |