Thinking and reasoning: an introduction to the psychology of reason, judgment and decision making
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
London [u.a.]
Psychology Press
2012
|
| Ausgabe: | 1. publ. |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XIV, 314 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9781841697406 9781841697413 |
Internformat
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| 100 | 1 | |a Manktelow, Kenneth Ian |d 1952- |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)137532687 |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Thinking and reasoning |b an introduction to the psychology of reason, judgment and decision making |c Ken Manktelow |
| 250 | |a 1. publ. | ||
| 264 | 1 | |a London [u.a.] |b Psychology Press |c 2012 | |
| 300 | |a XIV, 314 S. |b graph. Darst. | ||
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804147964639182848 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
PREFACE
1
Judging and thinking about probability
1
DEFINING PROBABILITY
2
Logical possibility
3
Frequency
4
Propensity
5
Degree of belief
5
Belief revision:
Bayes
rule
7
JUOGING PLAIN
ИКЖАШПЕЅ
β
Logical possibilities
8
Frequencies
10
Taking samples: where our information comes from
11
KLIEF
UPDATING
14
Base rates: neglect or respect?
15
Belief revision by natural frequencies
18
Probability from the inside and the outside
25
The planning fallacy
26
Overconfidence
28
The conjunction fallacy
30
SUMMARY
3Ì
CONTENTS
2
The study of reasoning: classic research
33
THE CLASSICAL SYLLOGISM: REASONING WITH QUANTITIES
34
Validity
35
REASONING WITH SYLLOGISMS
36
PATTERNS IN HUMAN PERFORMANCE
38
Explaining the patterns of performance
41
Mental logic
43
Mental models
46
Probability heuristics
51
SUMMARY
56
3
Reasoning with propositions
57
IF: CONDITIONALS
58
Knowing p, knowing q: inferences and truth tables
58
Research results
61
The Wason selection task
63
REASONING WITH OR: DISJUNCTIVES
65
Research results
66
Wason s THOG problem
68
SUMMARY
70
4
Reasoning and meaning
73
FACILITATION: THE STUDY OF CONTENT EFFECTS
74
DEONTIC REASONING: THINKING ABOUT RULES
77
Pragmatic reasoning
schemas
78
Evolutionary approaches to deontic reasoning
80
Decision-theoretic approaches
85
CAUSAL REASONING: THINKING ABOUT HOW THE
WORLD WORKS
88
Causal reasoning about general events
89
The covariational approach to causal thinking
90
Prior knowledge and causal models
93
Causal models theory
95
vi
CONTENTS
SINGLE
CASES AND
COUNTERFACTUAL
THINKING
98
SUMMARY
102
Explaining reasoning: the classic
approaches
103
MENTAL LOGIC
104
Braine and O Brien s theory of If
105
Rips Psycop theory
107
THE THEORY OF MENTAL MODELS
110
Mental models and conditionals
111
The selection task
113
Content and context
114
Illusory inferences
11
ó
Causal and counterfactual reasoning
117
SUMMARY
123
Explaining reasoning: the new
paradigm
125
OAKSFORD AND CHAFER S BAYESIAN THEORY
126
Rational analysis
126
Matching bias
130
The deontic selection task
131
Conditional inference
132
EVANS AND OVER S SUPPOSITIONAL THEORY
134
THE DUAL PROCESS THEORY
140
Dual processes in the selection task
141
Belief bias in syllogistic reasoning
142
Heuristic and analytic processes
144
Dual processes and dual systems
146
Dual minds
148
SUMMARY
152
VII
CONTENTS
Hypothetical thinking: induction
and testing
155
INDUCTION
156
Induction and deduction
156
Category-based induction
158
Extensions and explanations
160
Category-based induction without categories
162
Abduction: finding explanations and causes
165
Induction and deduction revisited
167
HYPOTHESIS TESTING
173
Wason s
2 4 6
task and its descendants
174
Confirmation bias
177
Better hypothesis testing
179
Hypothesis testing in the wild
181
HYPOTHETICAL THINKING THEORY
184
SUMMARY
186
8
Decision making: preference
and prospects
187
SUBJECTIVE EXPECTED UTILITY
188
Principles and problems
190
COMPLEX DECISIONS
196
PREFERENCE
199
Different utilities
199
Competing options
202
Framing: the effects of description
205
PROSPECT THEORY: A DESCRIPTIVE THEORY OF DECISION MAKING
206
Mental accounting
210
SUMMARY
214
Decisions in context
215
PARADOXES OF CHOICE
216
Too much of a good thing?
216
VIII
CONTENTS
DECISION
DILEMMAS 221
Personal
dilemmas
222
Social dilemmas
225
DECIDING WITHOUT THINKING
229
Priming
230
Deciding through feeling
232
Fast and frugal decision processes
233
Intuition and expertise
239
SUMMARY
241
10
Thinking, reasoning and you
243
RATIONALITY
244
Bounded rationality
245
Satisficing
247
Dual rationality
249
Dual rationality and dilemmas
250
RATIONALITY AND PERSONALITY
254
Individual differences and their implications
254
Dysrationalia
257
Delusional thinking: extreme irrationality
259
THINKING, REASONING AND CULTURE
263
Western and Eastern thinking
264
The roots of cultural influence
267
Culture and thought and the dual process theory
270
SUMMARY
272
NOTES
273
REFERENCES
275
AUTHOR INDEX
303
SUBJECT INDEX
311
ix
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Manktelow, Kenneth Ian 1952- |
| author_GND | (DE-588)137532687 |
| author_facet | Manktelow, Kenneth Ian 1952- |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Manktelow, Kenneth Ian 1952- |
| author_variant | k i m ki kim |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV039129906 |
| classification_rvk | CP 4000 ST 670 |
| classification_tum | PSY 210f PSY 225f |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)745499673 (DE-599)BVBBV039129906 |
| discipline | Informatik Psychologie |
| edition | 1. publ. |
| format | Book |
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| id | DE-604.BV039129906 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T23:59:36Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9781841697406 9781841697413 |
| language | English |
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| spelling | Manktelow, Kenneth Ian 1952- Verfasser (DE-588)137532687 aut Thinking and reasoning an introduction to the psychology of reason, judgment and decision making Ken Manktelow 1. publ. London [u.a.] Psychology Press 2012 XIV, 314 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Psychologie (DE-588)4047704-6 gnd rswk-swf Denken (DE-588)4011450-8 gnd rswk-swf Problemlösen (DE-588)4076358-4 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidung (DE-588)4014904-3 gnd rswk-swf Denken (DE-588)4011450-8 s Problemlösen (DE-588)4076358-4 s Entscheidung (DE-588)4014904-3 s Psychologie (DE-588)4047704-6 s DE-604 Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe 978-0-203-11546-6 Digitalisierung UB Regensburg application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=024148278&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Manktelow, Kenneth Ian 1952- Thinking and reasoning an introduction to the psychology of reason, judgment and decision making Psychologie (DE-588)4047704-6 gnd Denken (DE-588)4011450-8 gnd Problemlösen (DE-588)4076358-4 gnd Entscheidung (DE-588)4014904-3 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4047704-6 (DE-588)4011450-8 (DE-588)4076358-4 (DE-588)4014904-3 |
| title | Thinking and reasoning an introduction to the psychology of reason, judgment and decision making |
| title_auth | Thinking and reasoning an introduction to the psychology of reason, judgment and decision making |
| title_exact_search | Thinking and reasoning an introduction to the psychology of reason, judgment and decision making |
| title_full | Thinking and reasoning an introduction to the psychology of reason, judgment and decision making Ken Manktelow |
| title_fullStr | Thinking and reasoning an introduction to the psychology of reason, judgment and decision making Ken Manktelow |
| title_full_unstemmed | Thinking and reasoning an introduction to the psychology of reason, judgment and decision making Ken Manktelow |
| title_short | Thinking and reasoning |
| title_sort | thinking and reasoning an introduction to the psychology of reason judgment and decision making |
| title_sub | an introduction to the psychology of reason, judgment and decision making |
| topic | Psychologie (DE-588)4047704-6 gnd Denken (DE-588)4011450-8 gnd Problemlösen (DE-588)4076358-4 gnd Entscheidung (DE-588)4014904-3 gnd |
| topic_facet | Psychologie Denken Problemlösen Entscheidung |
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