Verfügbarkeit: Emerging markets for dummies

Emerging markets for dummies:

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1. Verfasser:	Logue, Ann C. (VerfasserIn)
Format:	Buch
Sprache:	English
Veröffentlicht:	Hoboken, NJ Wiley 2011
Schriftenreihe:	For dummies
Schlagworte:	Markt Schwellenländer
Online-Zugang:	Inhaltsverzeichnis
Beschreibung:	XXII, 334 S. Ill.
ISBN:	9780470878934

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adam_text	Titel: Emerging markets for dummies Autor: Logue, Ann C. Jahr: 2011 Table of Contents íntroduction................................................................. 7 About This Book..............................................................................................1 Conventions Used in This Book.....................................................................2 What You re Not to Read................................................................................2 Foolish Assumptions.......................................................................................3 How This Book Is Organized..........................................................................3 Part I: The Basics of Emerging-Market Investing...............................4 Part II: The Geography of Emerging Markets: Regions and Regimes....4 Part III: For Better or for Worse: Factors Affecting Emerging-Market Investments..........................................................4 Part IV: Getting in the Game: Ways to Invest in Emerging Markets... 4 Part V: The Part of Tens........................................................................5 Icons Used inThis Book.................................................................................5 Where to Go from Here...................................................................................5 Part h The Basics of Emeraina-Market Intfestina............ 7 Chapter 1: An Overview of Emerging-Market Investing.............9 Defining Emerging Markets..........................................................................10 Appreciating What Emerging Markets Offer..............................................10 Great growth opportunities................................................................11 Uncorrelated returns...........................................................................11 New technologies.................................................................................12 Newmarkets.........................................................................................12 The Big Categories of Investment................................................................13 Securities..............................................................................................13 Foreign direct investment...................................................................14 Pairing Investing and Economic Development..........................................14 Starting new businesses......................................................................15 Engagingon aworld stage..................................................................15 Contributing to economic development versus direct aid............15 Risk Considerations for Emerging-Market Investors................................16 Political and social risk.......................................................................16 Corruption............................................................................................17 Currencyrisk........................................................................................17 Liquidity risk........................................................................................18 Chapter 2: Targeting the Unique Investment Potential of Emerging Markets.................................19 Examining Markets from an Investment Perspective...............................20 Developed markets..............................................................................20 Emerging markets................................................................................21 Frontier markets..................................................................................22 Alltherest............................................................................................23 Considering nations membership in the OECD and beyond.........24 Finding Key Opportunities for Investment in Emerging Markets............26 Leapfrogging technologies..................................................................26 Growing the middle class...................................................................29 Better trade opportunities..................................................................30 Chapter 3: Weighing Challenges, Risks, and Opportunities for Return in Emerging Markets................................33 The Basics of Riskand Return.....................................................................34 Asset Correlation and Diversification.........................................................34 Complications from contagion...........................................................35 Problems with prices..........................................................................35 The Potential Payoff in Emerging Markets.................................................36 Seeing rapid growth as the market emerges....................................37 Finding opportunities in new technology, new materials, and new ideas.........................................................37 Counting on currency..........................................................................38 Recognizing Special Risks in Emerging Markets........................................38 Political risk..........................................................................................39 Social risk..............................................................................................39 Information problems.........................................................................40 Liquidity................................................................................................41 Maximizing Opportunities and Managing Risks in Emerging Markets ...42 Doing your homework.........................................................................42 Using intermediaries or advisors.......................................................43 Diversifying your investments...........................................................43 Chapter 4: Understanding Accounting and Corporate Governance Abroad.............................45 Keeping Track of the Money........................................................................46 Transparency and fair valuation........................................................46 Taxation................................................................................................47 Choosing an Accounting Method................................................................48 Considering local laws........................................................................48 Selecting a stock market.....................................................................48 Making themselves lookgood............................................................49 Comparing Accounting Systems..................................................................50 U.S.GAAP..............................................................................................50 International Financial Reporting Standards...................................52 Regional conventions..........................................................................53 Factoring Corporate Structure into Your Assessment.............................54 Getting into Governance Issues...................................................................55 Investigating the board of directors..................................................55 Assessing executive compensation...................................................56 Corralling the controlling investors..................................................56 Identifying protections for minority investors................................57 Looking for corporate social responsibility.....................................57 Part 11: The Geographg of Emerging Markets: Regions and Regimes....................................59 Chapter 5: Non-BRIC Emerging Markets.........................61 Exploring Eastern and Southern Europe....................................................61 Czech Republic.....................................................................................62 Hungary.................................................................................................63 Poland....................................................................................................63 Turkey...................................................................................................64 Moving into the Middle East and North Africa..........................................65 Egypt......................................................................................................66 Morocco................................................................................................66 Navigating North and South America.........................................................67 Chile.......................................................................................................67 Colombia...............................................................................................68 Mexico...................................................................................................69 Peru........................................................................................................70 Stopping in South Africa...............................................................................70 Finding the Action in Asia.............................................................................72 Indonesia...............................................................................................72 Malaysia................................................................................................73 Philippines............................................................................................74 SouthKorea..........................................................................................75 Taiwan...................................................................................................76 Thailand................................................................................................76 Chapter 6: Building with the BRICs: Brazil, Russia, India, and China.. .79 What Makes the BRICs?................................................................................79 Burgeoning Brazil..........................................................................................81 Industries..............................................................................................81 Opportunities.......................................................................................82 Assessment of risks.............................................................................84 Runningwith Russia......................................................................................85 Industries..............................................................................................86 Opportunities.......................................................................................87 Assessment of risks.............................................................................88 Investing in India...........................................................................................89 Industries..............................................................................................90 Opportunities.......................................................................................91 Assessment of risks.............................................................................92 Checking Out China.......................................................................................93 Industries..............................................................................................94 Opportunities.......................................................................................95 Assessment of risks.............................................................................96 Chapter 7: Markets on the Economic Frontier....................99 Alighting in Africa........................................................................................100 Botswana.............................................................................................100 Ghana...................................................................................................101 Kenya...................................................................................................102 Mauritius.............................................................................................102 Nigeria.................................................................................................103 Seeking South America and the West Indies............................................104 Argentina.............................................................................................104 Jamaica................................................................................................105 Trinidad and Tobago.........................................................................105 Emerging Eastern and Southern Europe..................................................106 Bulgaria...............................................................................................106 Croatia.................................................................................................107 Estonia.................................................................................................108 Kazakhstan..........................................................................................108 Lithuania.............................................................................................109 Romania..............................................................................................110 Serbia...................................................................................................111 Slovenia...............................................................................................112 Ukraine................................................................................................112 Making It in the Middle East and North Africa.........................................113 Bahrain................................................................................................114 Jordan..................................................................................................114 Kuwait..................................................................................................115 Lebanon...............................................................................................115 Oman...................................................................................................116 Qatar....................................................................................................117 Saudi Arabia........................................................................................117 Tunisia.................................................................................................118 United Arab Emirates........................................................................119 Assessing Asia..............................................................................................119 Bangladesh.........................................................................................120 Pakistan...............................................................................................120 Sri Lanka..............................................................................................121 Vietnam...............................................................................................122 Part III: For Better or for Worse: Factors Affecting Emerging-Marketlntíestments..................... 123 Chapter 8: The Influence of Political Systems...................125 Identifying Major Political Systems of Emerging Markets......................126 Autocracy............................................................................................127 Democracy..........................................................................................127 Socialism.............................................................................................128 Communism........................................................................................128 Monarchy............................................................................................129 Theocracy...........................................................................................129 A Who s Who of Major Political Players...................................................129 Going with elected or appointed government officials.................130 Keeping it in the family or dynasty..................................................131 Recognizing the power of the people..............................................131 Factoring in the labor sector............................................................132 Considering the roles of NGOs.........................................................132 Acknowledging friends and enemies from other countries.........133 Determining diaspora dynamics......................................................135 Making the Most of the Market..................................................................135 Planning an economy s direction....................................................136 Collecting state revenues through taxes........................................137 Regulating for fun and profit............................................................137 Affecting the job market....................................................................137 Playing with Influential Pan-Governmental Organizations.....................138 Asian Development Bank..................................................................138 African Union......................................................................................138 Commonwealth of Nations...............................................................139 European Union.................................................................................140 International Monetary Fund............................................................141 WorldBank.........................................................................................141 World Trade Organization................................................................142 Going It Alone: The Role of the Entrepreneur..........................................142 Starting a business.............................................................................142 Recruiting the best staff available...................................................143 Sticking to the black market.............................................................144 Chapter 9: The Case of Corruption..............................145 Defining Corruption.....................................................................................146 Supply and demand...........................................................................147 Bribes versus facilitation payments................................................147 Good or bad? Big or little?................................................................148 Knowing What to Watch for: Creative Corruption..................................149 Blacklists.............................................................................................149 Blackmarkets.....................................................................................150 Campaign and charitable contributions.........................................150 Collusion.............................................................................................151 Overpriced goods..............................................................................151 Phantom jobs.....................................................................................152 Understanding the Risk to Businesses.....................................................152 Fighting the Good Fight..............................................................................153 OECD Anti-Bribery Convention........................................................154 Transparency International..............................................................154 U.S. Foreign Corrupt Practices Act..................................................155 WorldBank.........................................................................................155 Protecting Your Emerging-Market Investments......................................156 Chapter 10: Considering Natural Resources.....................157 Natural-Resource Economics 101..............................................................157 Which countries are cursed ?........................................................158 Who gets the profits?........................................................................159 Who does the work?..........................................................................160 Location, Location, Location.....................................................................161 Resources and global trade..............................................................161 lnfrastructure.....................................................................................162 Access to markets..............................................................................162 Ways to Invest in Natural Resources........................................................163 Buying stock in resource companies..............................................163 Trading derivatives............................................................................164 Amassing your own inventory.........................................................165 Putting Your Resources into Natural Resources.....................................165 Emerging markets, emerging energy...............................................165 Mineral resources..............................................................................167 Renewable resources: Trees and timber........................................168 Water, the emerging resource..........................................................169 Chapter 11: Meeting the Needs of New Consumers..............171 Digging into Demographics........................................................................172 Age distribution.................................................................................172 Gender ratios......................................................................................174 Migration, in and out.........................................................................174 HIV/AIDS..............................................................................................175 Education............................................................................................176 Finding the Gains from Trade....................................................................177 Internal markets.................................................................................177 Export markets...................................................................................178 Meeting Producer Demand, Inside and Outside the Country................178 Labor...................................................................................................179 Materials raw, materials cooked......................................................179 Technology.........................................................................................180 Business services...............................................................................180 Considering Consumer Demand at Home................................................180 Assessing people s product needs and wants...............................181 Picking the right price.......................................................................182 Making trade-offs between income and population......................183 The Wide World of Trade...........................................................................184 Low-end products for low-end markets..........................................184 Low-end products for high-end markets.........................................185 High-end products for high-end markets........................................185 Chapter 12: Laws Affecting Outside Investors...................187 Sorting out Property Protections in Emerging Markets.........................188 Ironing out ownership rights............................................................188 Separating possession from ownership..........................................189 Transferring property.......................................................................190 Considering Intellectual Property Rights.................................................191 Taking Stock of Trading Restrictions........................................................192 Restrictions on foreign ownership..................................................192 Restrictions on short selling............................................................193 Restrictions on leverage...................................................................193 Looking at Legal Structures in Emerging Markets...................................194 Statutorylaw......................................................................................194 Commonlaw.......................................................................................195 Regulation...........................................................................................196 Religious law.......................................................................................196 Concentrating on Contracts.......................................................................197 Writing a good contract....................................................................197 Understanding standards of fairness..............................................197 Obeying International Legal Standards....................................................198 What laws apply?...............................................................................198 Treaties fortrading............................................................................198 World Trade Organization................................................................199 International Court of Justice...........................................................200 Chapter 13: Currency and Exchange Rates......................201 Classifying Currency into Categories........................................................201 Hard currency....................................................................................202 Soft currency......................................................................................202 Dollarized currencies........................................................................203 Rating Regional Currencies........................................................................203 The world s regional currencies......................................................204 Trade-only currencies.......................................................................205 Managing Money the International Way...................................................206 Quoting exchange rates....................................................................206 Trading currencies............................................................................207 Getting to the Bottom of Exchange Rates.................................................207 Appreciation and depreciation........................................................208 Pegged versus freely floating exchange regimes...........................209 Imports and exports..........................................................................209 Interest rates......................................................................................210 Inflation rates.....................................................................................210 Capital controls..................................................................................210 Countingon Central Banks.........................................................................211 Fiscalpolicy........................................................................................211 Monetary policy.................................................................................212 Seeing How Currency Affects Investments...............................................212 Diversifying.........................................................................................213 Buying in your own currency...........................................................213 Using derivatives and forward contracts.......................................213 Part IV: Getting in the Game: Wags to IniJest in Emerging Markets................................... 215 Chapter 14: Picking Bonds and Stocks in Emerging Markets......217 Looking at Bonds and Stocks in Emerging Markets................................217 Boning up on risk and return...........................................................218 Using leverage and margin...............................................................218 Comparing bonds and stocks in both emerging and developed markets................................................219 Pursuing Emerging-Market Bonds.............................................................221 Sorting out key bond categories......................................................222 Matching bonds and currencies......................................................223 Noting the effects of inflation on bonds..........................................223 Dealing with default...........................................................................224 Buying Emerging-Market Stocks................................................................226 Calculating the float...........................................................................227 Trading depository receipts.............................................................227 Opting for tracking stocks................................................................228 Jumping on initial public offerings..................................................228 Navigating International Securities Exchanges.......................................229 Figuring out who s regulating whom...............................................229 Dealing with dual listings..................................................................230 Getting accurate price quotes..........................................................231 Considering Other Related Securities.......................................................231 Sharia-compliant contracts..............................................................232 Collateralized debt obligations........................................................232 Credit default swaps..........................................................................233 Chapter 15: Diversifying with Mutual Funds and Exchange-Traded Funds..................................235 Choosing Open-End Mutual Funds............................................................235 Investment style.................................................................................236 Research expertise............................................................................237 Fund family issues.............................................................................238 Figuring out fee structures...............................................................239 Shareclasses......................................................................................241 Mutual funds and taxes.....................................................................241 Exploring Closed-End Funds and Emerging Markets..............................242 Working with Exchange-Traded Funds.....................................................243 ETFs, both index and other..............................................................244 BuyingETFs........................................................................................244 ETFsandfees......................................................................................246 Drawbacks with ETFs in volatile markets.......................................246 Evaluating Funds of All Types....................................................................247 Chapter 16: Stashing Your Cash in Emerging-Market Banks.......249 Banking Basics.............................................................................................250 Seeing how banks make money.......................................................250 Exploring the emerging-market opportunity..................................251 Dropping banks into categories.......................................................252 Investing in Emerging-Market Banks.........................................................253 Opening a savings account...............................................................253 Purchasing currency mutual funds.................................................254 Buying equity in the bank.................................................................254 Using Offshore Banking Centers................................................................255 Defining Differences in Regulation............................................................256 Bank capital limits.............................................................................256 Deposit insurance..............................................................................257 Anti-money laundering.....................................................................258 Shining a Light on Sharia-Compliant Banking..........................................259 Financing purchases..........................................................................259 Deposit accounts...............................................................................259 Chapter 17: Real Estate around the World.......................261 The Urbanization of the World..................................................................261 Earning Real Returns in Real Estate..........................................................262 Capital gains and stores of value.....................................................263 Income through rent..........................................................................264 Defining Real-Estate Investments..............................................................264 Land.....................................................................................................264 Buildings.............................................................................................266 Infrastructure.....................................................................................268 How to Invest in Real Estate.......................................................................269 Land and buildings............................................................................269 REITs....................................................................................................269 Commercial and residential construction......................................270 Banking................................................................................................271 Chapter 18: High Finance: Hedge Funds, Venture Capital, and Private Equity............................273 Delving into the World of High Finance....................................................273 Comparing some common emerging-market partnership funds ...274 Figuring out funds of funds...............................................................276 Looking into limited partnerships...................................................276 Working with Local Partners......................................................................278 Governments......................................................................................278 Local investors...................................................................................279 Nongovernmental organizations......................................................280 Avoiding Potential Traps in High Finance Investing...............................281 Transparency issues.........................................................................281 Limits on liquidity..............................................................................282 Governance in a limited partnership structure.............................283 Chapter 19: Microfinance and Peer-to-Peer Lending.............285 How Microfinance Works...........................................................................286 Structuring small transactions.........................................................286 Using microcredit and banking services........................................287 Educating entrepreneurs for business success.............................288 Ways to Invest in Microfinance..................................................................289 Microfinance funds............................................................................289 Publicly traded microfinance institutions......................................290 Microfinance bonds...........................................................................291 Taking Heed of Some Concerns and Considerations for Microfinance Investors......................................................................292 Charging high interest rates and high expenses...........................292 Adding the burden of debt...............................................................293 Offering handouts versus investments...........................................294 Making a profit (or not).....................................................................294 Applying Microfinance Principles to Other Emerging-Market Investments................................................................295 PartV: The PartofTens............................................297 Chapter 20: Ten Up-and-Coming Emerging Markets..............299 Argentina......................................................................................................299 Egypt.............................................................................................................300 Ghana............................................................................................................300 Indonesia......................................................................................................300 Jordan...........................................................................................................301 Kazakhstan...................................................................................................301 Morocco........................................................................................................301 Nigeria...........................................................................................................302 Philippines....................................................................................................302 Vietnam.........................................................................................................302 Chapter 21: Ten Tips for Emerging-Market Investors.............303 Looking for Listed Securities.....................................................................303 Building Diversification across Markets...................................................304 Finding Diversification within Markets.....................................................304 Diversifying Currencies..............................................................................304 Doing Careful Company Research.............................................................305 Watching Suppliers and Customers..........................................................305 Paying Attention to Debt............................................................................306 Monitoring Country News..........................................................................307 Accepting Volatility.....................................................................................307 Taking a Long-Term View...........................................................................307 Chapter 22: Ten Traps to Avoid When Investing in Emerging Markets................................309 Expecting Outsized Profits.........................................................................309 Disregarding Politics...................................................................................310 Not Understanding How the Rules of the Game Differ...........................310 Taking a Flyer without Research...............................................................311 Ignoring Closed-End Funds.........................................................................311 Overlooking Home-Country Investments.................................................312 Getting Swept Up in Currency Headaches...............................................312 Focusing Only on the BRICs.......................................................................312 Falling Victim to Outright Scams...............................................................313 Losing It All to Nationalization...................................................................313 Appendix: Resources.................................................315 Books.............................................................................................................315 Magazines and Newspapers.......................................................................316 Blogs, Web Sites, and Other Resources....................................................317 Index.......................................................................321
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