Svetovnata ikonomičeska kriza i Bălgarija:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | Bulgarian |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Sofija
Akad. Izdat. "Prof. Marin Drinov"
2010
|
| Ausgabe: | 1. izd. |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis Abstract |
| Beschreibung: | PST: Global economic crisis and Bulgaria. - In kyrill. Schr., bulg. - Zsfassung in engl. Sprache u.d.T.: The global economic crisis and Bulgaria |
| Beschreibung: | 366 S. |
| ISBN: | 9789543223640 |
Internformat
MARC
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Svetovnata ikonomičeska kriza i Bălgarija |c Ivan Angelov |
| 250 | |a 1. izd. | ||
| 264 | 1 | |a Sofija |b Akad. Izdat. "Prof. Marin Drinov" |c 2010 | |
| 300 | |a 366 S. | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
| 500 | |a PST: Global economic crisis and Bulgaria. - In kyrill. Schr., bulg. - Zsfassung in engl. Sprache u.d.T.: The global economic crisis and Bulgaria | ||
| 648 | 7 | |a Geschichte 2007-2010 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf | |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Weltwirtschaftskrise |0 (DE-588)4065471-0 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1806960737336164352 |
|---|---|
| adam_text |
СЪДЪРЖАНИЕ
ВЪВЕДЕНИЕ
/ 9
Първа глава. ГЛАВНИ ПРИЧИНИ ЗА КРИЗАТА
/ 17
Втора глава. МЕРКИ НА ПРАВИТЕЛСТВАТА ЗА ИЗЛИЗАНЕ ОТ КРИЗАТА
/ 45
2.1.
Мерки на правителството на САЩ
/ 45
2.2.
Мерки на правителствата в развитите пазарни икономики
/ 94
2.3.
Мерки на правителството на Китай
/110
2.4.
Мерки на правителството на Русия
/ 122
2.5.
Мерки на правителствата на новите пазарни икономики и на развиващите се страни
/125
2.6.
Мерки на международната общност
/ 135
Трета глава. ВЛИЯНИЕ НА ГЛОБАЛНАТА КРИЗА ВЪРХУ БЪЛГАРИЯ
/ 173
3.1.
Къде сме ние сега?
/173
3.2.
Можем ли да останем в дъното на европейските класации?
/ 175
3.3.
Влияние на глобалната криза върху българската икономика
/ 177
3.4.
Необходима ли е антикризисна програма?
/ 194
3.5.
Какво трябва да съдържа антикризисната програма?
/195
3.5.1.
Основни принципи
/196
3.5.2.
Спешни мерки
/ 201
3.5.3.
Мерки от средносрочен характер
/ 208
3.5.4.
Мерки от дългосрочен характер
/ 209
Четвърта глава. БЮДЖЕТНА ПОЛИТИКА ПО СВЕТА И В БЪЛГАРИЯ
В УСЛОВИЯТА НА ИКОНОМИЧЕСКА КРИЗА
/ 212
4.1.
Теоретични основи на кейнсианската антикризисна бюджетна политика
/ 212
4.2.
Бюджетната политика на президента Обама
/ 218
4.3.
Какво правят другите страни по света?
/ 229
4.4.
Какво прави българското правителство?
/ 233
4.5.
Бюджетната политика на българското правителство и политиката на щатско рав¬
нище в САЩ
/ 242
Пета глава. ПОУКИ ОТ СВЕТОВНАТА ИКОНОМИЧЕСКА КРИЗА
/ 246
5.1.
Поуки за икономическата политика
/ 247
5.1.1.
Ролята на държавата
/ 247
.2.
Нов свят
—
нов капитализъм
/ 260
.3.
Нова архитектура на световната финансова система
/ 277
.4.
Потребност от нова световна резервна валута
/ 288
.5.
Запазване на свободната търговия
/ 291
.6.
Глобализацията и световната криза
/ 293
.7.
Избор на рационален модел на пазарна икономика в Европа
/ 303
5.1.8.
Нарастване на нерационалното набъбване и нестабилността на финансовата
система
/ 308
5.1.9.
Краткосрочни и дългосрочни резултати
/ 310
5.1.10.
Кризата и режимът на валутни съвети
/ 312
5.1.11.
Световна криза, инфлация и дефлация
/ 313
5.1.12.
Социална поляризация и отчуждение
/ 315
5.1.13.
Обобщени поуки на Джоузеф Стиглиц
/ 316
5.1.14.
Поуки от управлението на предишни кризи в контекста на сегашната криза
/ 321
5.1.15.
Моят кошмарен сценарий
/ 329
5.2.
Поуки за икономическата теория
/ 330
5.2.1.
Залез на неокласическата и възраждане на неокейнсианската теория
/ 330
5.2.2.
В търсене на нов теоретичен синтез за функциониране на икономиката
/ 350
ВМЕСТО ЗАКЛЮЧЕНИЕ
/ 361
РЕЗЮМЕ НА АНГЛИЙСКИ ЕЗИК
/ 365
CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION
/ 9
Chapter One. MAJOR REASONS FOR THE CRISIS
/ 17
Chapter Two. ANTICRISIS MEASURES OF THE GOVERNMENTS
/ 45
2.1.
Measures of the government of the United States
/ 45
2.2.
Measures of the governments of the advanced market economies
/ 94
2.3.
Measures of the government of China
/110
2.4.
Measures of the government of Russia
/122
2.5.
Measures of the governments of the emerging market economies and the developing
countries
/125
2.6.
Measures of the international community
/135
Chapter Three. IMPACT OF THE GLOBAL CRISIS ON BULGARIA
/ 173
3.1.
Where are we now?
/173
3.2.
Can we stay at the bottom of the European rankings?
/ 175
3.3.
Impact of the global crisis on the Bulgarian economy
/177
3.4.
Is an anticrisis programme indispensable?
/ 194
3.5.
The composition of the anticrisis programme
/195
3.5.1.
Major principles
/ 196
3.5.2.
Urgent measures
/ 201
3.5.3.
Medium-term measures
/ 208
3.5.4.
Long-term measures
/ 209
Chapter Four. BUDGET POLICY AROUND THE WORLD AND IN BULGARIA
/ 212
4.1.
Theoretical foundations of the Keynesian anticrisis budget policy
/ 212
4.2.
Budget policy of president
Obama
/ 218
4.3.
Budget policies in other developed countries
/ 229
4.4.
Budget policy of the Bulgarian government
/ 233
4.5.
Budget policy of the Bulgarian government and the policy at state level in USA
/ 242
Chapter Five. LESSONS FROM THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC CRISIS
/ 246
5.1.
Lessons for economic policy
/ 247
5.1.1.
The role of the state
/ 247
5.1.2.
New world
—
new capitalism
/ 260
5.1.3.
New architecture of the global financial system
/ 277
5.1.4.
The need of a new global reserve currency
/ 288
5.1.5.
Maintaining free trade
/ 291
5.1.6.
Globalisation and the world crisis
/ 293
5.1.7.
Identification of a rational model of market economy in Europe
/ 303
5.1.8.
Growing destabilization of the financial sector
/ 308
5.1.9.
Short-term and long-term results
/ 310
5.1.10.
The crisis and the currency board arrangements
/ 312
5.1.11.
Global crisis, inflation and deflation
/ 313
5.1.12.
Social polarization and alienation
/ 315
5.1.13.
Overall lessons of Joseph Stiglitz
/ 316
5.1.14.
Lessons from management of previous crises within the context of the ongoing
crisis
/ 321
5.1.15.
My nightmarish scenario
/ 329
5.2.
Lessons for economic theory
/ 330
5.2.1.
Waning of the neoclassical school and renaissance of the new Keynesian school
/ 330
5.2.2.
Looking for a new theoretical synthesis for functioning of the economy
/ 350
INSTEAD OF CONCLUSION
/ 361
SUMMARY IN ENGLISH
/ 365
THE GLOBAL ECONOMIC CRISIS
AND BULGARIA
Summary
Chapter one is devoted to analysis of the major reasons for the global finan¬
cial and economic crisis: the business cycles, the blind believe in market self-
regulation, elimination of the government from running the economy, over-
expansion of the financial sector to a degree of self-serving, fundamental glo¬
bal disequilibria, particularly between saving and consumption in different
parts of the globe, illogical sharp fluctuations of prices for very important
commodities, namely fuels and food, irresponsible financial and economic
managerial behavior of American government (twin deficits) and corpora¬
tions, American style globalization.
Chapter two provides a detailed review of the anticrisis measures of the
governments of various countries: USA, advanced market economies, China,
Russia, the emerging
CEE
market economies and some developing coun¬
tries, measures of the international community. Special attention is devoted
to the measures for stabilization of the financial system, and to the fiscal
packages for supporting production activities and related demand. Accord¬
ing to tentative estimates the global expenditures for stabilization of finan¬
cial institutions since the fall of
2008
are around
$ 10
trillion, and for fiscal
stimulus of the economies between
$3
and
$5
trillion. The need for coordi¬
nated measures among various developed countries is emphasized, as well as
between mature and emerging market economies. Attention is also focused
to coordination of the anticrisis programmes of the
EU
member countries,
as well as on global scale by IMF; The World Bank and other international
institutions. The growing role of the emerging market economies and of the
developing countries in the framework of the international financial institu¬
tions
(IMI;
World Bank, World Trade Organization and others), as well as in
the framework of G-20 is also reviewed. The decisions of the G-20 summits
in Washington on
15
November
2008
and in London on
2
April
2009
are also
surveyed. The positions of the governments of the advanced countries on
these subjects are outlined, the common positions and differences among
them, as well as the views of the most prominent American and other econo¬
mists and business personalities from the financial and real sectors.
In Chapter three the impact of the global economic crisis on the Bul¬
garian economy is investigated. The data confirm that Bulgaria is last or
365
among the last in Europe according to the most important economic, social,
environmental and other indicators. This makes her very vulnerable to exter¬
nal shocks
—
she is more sensitive to external financial, foreign exchange,
price fluctuations and production shocks. It is easier for such an economy to
fall into a crisis situation and more difficult to get out. The ongoing crisis
deteriorates even more the already difficult situation of Bulgaria and makes
more urgent undertaking measures for moving out of this unenviable posi¬
tion in the European rankings:
Т6Љ
on competitiveness in the ranking of the
World Economic Forum and 27th (the very last) among the
EU
member
countries on competitiveness in the framework of the Lisbon strategy for
economic development.
The impact of the global crisis over the Bulgarian economy is listed
along various channels: reduced exports, reduced inflow of foreign direct
investment, more difficult access to borrowing, smaller revenues from for¬
eign tourists, decline of revenues from internal and external transport ser¬
vices by Bulgarian carters, reduced transfers from Bulgarian gestworkers
abroad, and so on. Tentative quantitative projections are made for each of
these channels.
A conclusion is drawn on this basis that a comprehensive national
anticrisis
programme is indispensable. A proposal is made for such
programme comprising
65-70
items: major principles, urgent measures, me¬
dium-term measures and long-term measures. Taking into account that the
present turmoil is a crisis of short demand, in the framework of the urgent
measures a package of specific
35
proposals is put forward for promotion of
private (family) demand, government demand and development of infra¬
structure.
In Chapter four comparative analyses are made of the fiscal policy
around the world and in Bulgaria under conditions of crisis. The theoretical
foundations of the Keynesian
anticrisis
fiscal policy are outlined. The fiscal
policy of President
Obama
is presented in some details, as well as of other
advanced economies and of the Bulgarian government. A curios comparison
is made of the fiscal policy of the Bulgarian government and the fiscal policy
in America at state level.
In Chapter five important lessons are drawn from the global financial
and economic crisis. In the first section of the chapter
15
lessons are listed
for economic policy: the role of the state, new world new capitalism, social
polarization and alienation, globalization, renewed ambitions for protection,
identification of a rational market economy model in Europe, growing insta¬
bility of the financial sector, appraisal of manager's performance on the ba¬
sis of long-term results, the crisis and the currency board arrangements, in¬
flation and deflation under conditions of global crisis, the generalized les¬
sons of Joseph Stiglitz, management of previous crises within the context of
the current one, my own (of the author) nightmare scenario.
366
In the second section of the chapter lessons are drawn for economic
theory. Very important conclusion is made for the decay of the neoclassical
school and the renaissance of a modern Keynesian theory. Joseph Stiglitz is
cited saying: "For the neoclassical school the present crisis is what the fall of
the Berlin Wall was for the communism". Some reasoning is shared on look¬
ing for new theoretical synthesis on the functioning of the economy.
The analysis ends with conclusion. |
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| id | DE-604.BV036518732 |
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| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9789543223640 |
| language | Bulgarian |
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| spelling | Angelov, Ivan 1934- Verfasser (DE-588)141611464 aut Svetovnata ikonomičeska kriza i Bălgarija Ivan Angelov 1. izd. Sofija Akad. Izdat. "Prof. Marin Drinov" 2010 366 S. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier PST: Global economic crisis and Bulgaria. - In kyrill. Schr., bulg. - Zsfassung in engl. Sprache u.d.T.: The global economic crisis and Bulgaria Geschichte 2007-2010 gnd rswk-swf Weltwirtschaftskrise (DE-588)4065471-0 gnd rswk-swf Bulgarien (DE-588)4008866-2 gnd rswk-swf Bulgarien (DE-588)4008866-2 g Weltwirtschaftskrise (DE-588)4065471-0 s Geschichte 2007-2010 z DE-604 Digitalisierung BSBMuenchen application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=020440776&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis Digitalisierung BSB Muenchen application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=020440776&sequence=000004&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Abstract |
| spellingShingle | Angelov, Ivan 1934- Svetovnata ikonomičeska kriza i Bălgarija Weltwirtschaftskrise (DE-588)4065471-0 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4065471-0 (DE-588)4008866-2 |
| title | Svetovnata ikonomičeska kriza i Bălgarija |
| title_auth | Svetovnata ikonomičeska kriza i Bălgarija |
| title_exact_search | Svetovnata ikonomičeska kriza i Bălgarija |
| title_full | Svetovnata ikonomičeska kriza i Bălgarija Ivan Angelov |
| title_fullStr | Svetovnata ikonomičeska kriza i Bălgarija Ivan Angelov |
| title_full_unstemmed | Svetovnata ikonomičeska kriza i Bălgarija Ivan Angelov |
| title_short | Svetovnata ikonomičeska kriza i Bălgarija |
| title_sort | svetovnata ikonomiceska kriza i balgarija |
| topic | Weltwirtschaftskrise (DE-588)4065471-0 gnd |
| topic_facet | Weltwirtschaftskrise Bulgarien |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=020440776&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=020440776&sequence=000004&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT angelovivan svetovnataikonomiceskakrizaibalgarija |