Adapting to Climate change in Eastern Europe and Central Asia:
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Washington DC
World Bank
2010
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| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XXI, 180 S. graph. Darst., Kt. |
| ISBN: | 9780821381311 |
Internformat
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Adapting to Climate change in Eastern Europe and Central Asia |c Marianne Fay ... eds. |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804141012908507136 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Titel: Adapting to climate change in Eastern Europe and Central Asia
Autor: Fay, Marianne
Jahr: 2010
Contents
About the Editors and Authors xi
Acknowledgments xv
ECA Countries and Subregions xvii
Executive Summary xix
Abbreviations xxi
Overview 1
Climate Change-A Major Threat to Eastern Europe
and Central Asia 3
Vulnerability Will Be Dominated by Socioeconomic
Factors and Legacy Issues 6
Even Countries and Sectors that Could Benefit from
Climate Change Are Poorly Positioned To Do So 8
The Next Decade Offers a Window of Opportunity
for ECA Countries 9
Notes 11
1. A Framework for Developing Adaptation Plans 13
Vulnerability as a Function of Exposure, Sensitivity,
and Adaptive Capacity 15
From Vulnerability to Action: Tackling the Challenge
of Adaptation 22
Effective Adaptation Requires the Right
Decision-Making Tools 28
Notes 34
2. How ECA s Climate Has Changed and Is Likely
to Change Further 37
Eastern Europe and Central Asia s Climate Is
Already Changing 38
More Change Is Certain-the Question Is Where
and How 39
Climate Projections: How Is Eastern Europe and
Central Asia Likely To Be Affected? 40
Notes 51
3. Human Health: The Most Basic Vulnerability 53
Warmer and More Extreme Weather Brings New
Threats and Exacerbates Others 54
Vulnerability from Climate-Driven Migration:
The Health Perspective 60
Assessing Vulnerability and Prioritizing Protections 64
4. Climate Change Will Make Water and Land Management
More Complex 69
More Difficult Water Resource Management-
Too Much or Too Little of a Good Thing? 70
More Stress on Already Stressed Coastal Areas 74
Declining Arctic Ice, Tundra, and Permafrost 80
Threats to Biodiversity Are Significant 80
Notes 88
5. The Unbuilt Environment: Agriculture and Forestry 91
Climate Impacts Will Exacerbate ECA s Persistent
Problem of Rural Poverty 93
Models Predict There Will Be Winners and Losers
in ECA 95
The State and Sensitivities of ECA s Agriculture Today 108
Potential Climate Change Winners Face Their
Own Challenges 113
Adaptation in the Productive Environment 115
Notes 116
6. The Built Environment: Cities, Water Systems, Energy,
and Transport 121
Urban Challenges: Making Cities Livable and Viable
in a Warmer Century 123
Water: Supplying All Human Activity Essential for
Facing Multiple Pressures 127
Energy-Sector Vulnerabilities: New Pressure to
Overcome a Legacy of Inefficiency 130
Transport: Taking On Another Increment of Challenge 135
Notes 137
7. Protection and Preparation: Disaster Risk Management
and Weather Forecasting 139
Softening the Blow When Disaster Strikes 140
Understanding When Extreme Weather Is Coming 146
Conclusion 150
Notes 151
References 153
Index 167
Boxes
1.1 Standard Approaches for Understanding Risk
and Developing an Adaptation Strategy 25
1.2 Lessons on the Engagement of Stakeholders
in Adaptation Plans-Urban Experiences 27
1.3 Is Adaptation any Different from Development? 29
1.4 The World Bank s Climate Portal 33
1.5 Tools to Help You: Tools Portfolio of the UK
Climate Impact Program 34
2.1 General Circulation Models and Climate
Downscaling 41
2.2 The Skill of Models in Simulating Present
Climate in Eastern Europe and Central Asia 43
3.1 With Every Flood, a Risk of Disease 57
3.2 Adaptation Strategies for Floods and Heat Waves 66
4.1 Placing More Emphasis on River Basin
Management 75
4.2 Bioclimatic Models 84
5.1 Estimated Agronomie Impacts of Climate
Change in ECA to 2050: A Summary 97
5.2 Economic Agricultural Impact Models and
Their Limitations 106
6.1 Roma, Already Marginalized, Are Particularly
Vulnerable 123
6.2 Green Roofs to Manage Stormwater and
Heat Waves 126
6.3 ECA s Energy Sector in Need of Investments
and Improved Management 131
7.1 Poland s Flood Disaster Leads to Stepped-Up
Preparation 149
Figures
1 ECA Countries Likely to Experience the
Greatest Increases in Climate Extremes by
the End of the 2Ist Century: Russia, Albania,
and Turkey 5
1.1 Conceptual Framework for Defining
Vulnerability 15
1.2 An Index of Exposure to Climate Change 18
1.3 An Index of Sensitivity to Climate Change 19
1.4 An Index of Adaptive Capacity to Climate Change 19
1.5 An Index of Vulnerability to Climate Change 21
1.6 Impact of Natural Disasters in Eastern Europe
and Central Asia, 1990-2008 23
1.7 Global Warming: How Serious a Problem? 23
Box 1.3 Adaptation in the Context of Development 29
2.1 Natural Disasters in Eastern Europe and
Central Asia 38
3.1 How Migration Affects Health and Health
Systems 63
Box 6.3 ECA Has the World s Highest Carbon
Intensity 131
7.1 Economic Loss Potential of Catastrophic
Events for ECA Countries 143
Maps
2.1 Eastern Europe and Central Asia Subregions 42
2.2 Projected Changes in Annual and Seasonal
Temperature by Mid-Century 44
2.3 Projected Changes in Annual and Seasonal
Rainfall by Mid-Century 46
2.4 Projected Changes in Consecutive Dry Days,
Runoff, and Rainfall Intensity 48
4.1 Changes in Annual River Runoff by 2041-60
Relative to 1900-70 71
4.2 Shifting Boundaries and Degradation of
Permafrost by Mid-Century 81
4.3 Major Biomes and Ecoregions in ECA 82
4.4 WWF Global 200 Priority Areas 83
5.1 Current Agricultural and Other Land Use
in ECA 108
Tables
1.1 Applying the Vulnerability Framework to the
Australian Cropping Industry 17
1.2 Typology of Possible Adaptation Strategies 30
Annex Table 2.1 General Climate Trends in the
Eastern Europe and Central Asia Subregions 50
3.1 A Rising Tide of Flooding Episodes 55
3.2 Heat Waves Add to Illnesses 58
3.3 Health Consequences of a Changing Climate:
Direct and Indirect 61
4.1 Water Resources of Central Asia: Suppliers of
the Main Rivers 73
4.2 Share of the Population Living in
Low-Elevation Coastal Zoncs 76
4.3 Categories of Adaptation Options 85
4.4 Biomes, Areas of High Conservation Interest,
and Adaptation Measures 87
5.1 Agriculture Matters: Poverty and the Rural
Economy in ECA 93
5.2 Crop Potential in the ECA Region Today and
Possible Shiftsby 2100 96
5.3 ECA s Potential Winners and Losers in
Agriculture irom Climate Change 107
5.4 Characteristics of Current Agricultural
Production in ECA 109
Annex Table 5.1 Technological Adaptation Practices
and Investments for Various Climate, Weather,
and Agricultural Phenomena 117
Annex Table 5.2 Institutions Critical for Adaptation 118
Annex Table 5.3 Policies Critical for Adaptation 120
6.1 Projected Refurbishment Needs Relative to
Support Programs 125
7.1 Reported Increased Incidence of
Weather-Induced Disasters in ECA 142
|
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| spelling | Fay, Marianne Verfasser aut Adapting to Climate change in Eastern Europe and Central Asia Marianne Fay ... eds. Washington DC World Bank 2010 XXI, 180 S. graph. Darst., Kt. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Climatic changes / Government policy / Europe, Eastern Climatic changes / Government policy / Russia (Federation.) Environmental policy / Europe, Eastern Environmental policy / Russia (Federation) Klimaänderung Politik Umweltpolitik Umweltpolitik (DE-588)4078523-3 gnd rswk-swf Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 gnd rswk-swf Osteuropa (DE-588)4075739-0 gnd rswk-swf Mittelasien (DE-588)4039661-7 gnd rswk-swf Osteuropa (DE-588)4075739-0 g Mittelasien (DE-588)4039661-7 g Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 s Umweltpolitik (DE-588)4078523-3 s DE-604 Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe 978-0-8213-8132-8 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=018882137&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Fay, Marianne Adapting to Climate change in Eastern Europe and Central Asia Climatic changes / Government policy / Europe, Eastern Climatic changes / Government policy / Russia (Federation.) Environmental policy / Europe, Eastern Environmental policy / Russia (Federation) Klimaänderung Politik Umweltpolitik Umweltpolitik (DE-588)4078523-3 gnd Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4078523-3 (DE-588)4164199-1 (DE-588)4075739-0 (DE-588)4039661-7 |
| title | Adapting to Climate change in Eastern Europe and Central Asia |
| title_auth | Adapting to Climate change in Eastern Europe and Central Asia |
| title_exact_search | Adapting to Climate change in Eastern Europe and Central Asia |
| title_full | Adapting to Climate change in Eastern Europe and Central Asia Marianne Fay ... eds. |
| title_fullStr | Adapting to Climate change in Eastern Europe and Central Asia Marianne Fay ... eds. |
| title_full_unstemmed | Adapting to Climate change in Eastern Europe and Central Asia Marianne Fay ... eds. |
| title_short | Adapting to Climate change in Eastern Europe and Central Asia |
| title_sort | adapting to climate change in eastern europe and central asia |
| topic | Climatic changes / Government policy / Europe, Eastern Climatic changes / Government policy / Russia (Federation.) Environmental policy / Europe, Eastern Environmental policy / Russia (Federation) Klimaänderung Politik Umweltpolitik Umweltpolitik (DE-588)4078523-3 gnd Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | Climatic changes / Government policy / Europe, Eastern Climatic changes / Government policy / Russia (Federation.) Environmental policy / Europe, Eastern Environmental policy / Russia (Federation) Klimaänderung Politik Umweltpolitik Osteuropa Mittelasien |
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