Rational decision making:
Gespeichert in:
Hauptverfasser: | , , |
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Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Berlin
Springer
[2010]
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Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Beschreibung: | XIII, 447 Seiten Diagramme |
ISBN: | 9783642028502 |
Internformat
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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adam_text | IMAGE 1
TABLE OF CONTENTS
CHAPTER 1: WHAT DECISION ANALYSIS IS ABOUT 1
1.0 SUMMARY 1
1.1 WHY IS DECISION MAKING DIFFICULT? 1
1.2 BASIC PRINCIPLES OF DECISION ANALYSIS 3
1.2.1 STRIVING FOR RATIONALITY 3
1.2.2 PROCEDURAL RATIONALITY 5
1.2.3 CONSISTENCY OF THE DECISION FOUNDATION 6
1.2.4 DECOMPOSITION 9
1.2.5 SUBJECTIVITY 10
1.2.6 INCOMPLETE KNOWLEDGE AND THE CONCEPT OF DOMINANCE 12 1.3
APPLICATIONS AND PRACTICAL RELEVANCE OF DECISION ANALYSIS 13 CASE STUDY:
NEW BUSINESS APPRAISAL 16
CHAPTER 2: STRUCTURING THE DECISION PROBLEM 19
2.0 SUMMARY 19
2.1 THE BASIC STRUCTURE 20
2.2 THE MODELING OF ALTERNATIVES 20
2.2.1 THE PROBLEM OF FINDING ALTERNATIVES 20
2.2.2 THE SET OF ALTERNATIVES 21
2.2.3 ONE-LEVEL AND MULTI-LEVEL ALTERNATIVES 22
2.3 MODELING THE STATES OF THE WORLD 23
2.3.1 UNCERTAINTY AND PROBABILITY 23
2.3.2 COMBINED EVENTS OR STATES (SCENARIOS) 24
2.3.3 THE MULTIPLICATION RULE 25
2.3.4 EVENT TREES 27
2.3.5 THE ADDITION RULE 30
2.3.6 THE CAUSE TREE 30
2.3.7 THE DEPENDENCE OF THE UNCERTAINTY MODEL ON THE OBJECTIVES 32 2.4
THE MODELING OF CONSEQUENCES 33
2.5 THE MODELING OF PREFERENCES 33
2.5.1 OBJECTIVES AND PREFERENCES 33
2.5.2 CONFLICT OF OBJECTIVES 34
2.5.3 RISK PREFERENCES 35
2.5.4 TIME PREFERENCES 35
2.5.5 MODELING PREFERENCES BY FUNCTIONS 35
2.6 RECURSIVE MODELING 36
2.7 VISUALIZATION OF DECISION SITUATIONS UNDER UNCERTAINTY 38
2.7.1 BENEFITS OF GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATIONS 38
2.7.2 THE INFLUENCE DIAGRAM 39
2.7.3 THE DECISION MATRIX 44
2.7.4 THE DECISION TREE 45
2.7.5 CONNECTION BETWEEN DECISION MATRIX AND DECISION TREE 50
IMAGE 2
VIII TABLE OF CONTENTS
QUESTIONS AND EXERCISES 51
CASE STUDY 1: BIDDING FOR THE KUNIANG 55
CASE STUDY 2: A SCENARIO ANALYSIS ABOUT THE DEVELOPMENT OF GLOBAL ENERGY
CONSUMPTION AND METHODS OF POWER GENERATION IN THE NEAR FUTURE 57
CHAPTER 3: GENERATING OBJECTIVES AND HIERARCHIES 59
3.0 SUMMARY 59
3.1 THE RELEVANCE OF OBJECTIVES 59
3.2 THE GENERATION OF OBJECTIVES 60
3.3 FUNDAMENTAL OBJECTIVES AND MEANS OBJECTIVES 61
3.3.1 ELIMINATION OF MEANS-ENDS RELATIONS 61
3.3.2 CONTEXT-DEPENDENCE OF FUNDAMENTAL OBJECTIVES 63
3.4 REQUIREMENTS FORA SYSTEM OF OBJECTIVES 65
3.5 HIERARCHIES OF OBJECTIVES 67
3.5.1 HIGHER-LEVEL OBJECTIVES AND LOWER-LEVEL OBJECTIVES 67 3.5.2
TOP-DOWN- AND BOTTOM-UP-PROCEDURE 68
3.5.3 DEVELOPMENT OF A SYSTEM OF OBJECTIVES 69
3.6 ATTRIBUTES 72
3.6.1 TYPES OF ATTRIBUTES 72
3.6.2 DESIRABLE PROPERTIES OF ATTRIBUTES 74
3.6.3 DETERMINING SUITABLE ATTRIBUTES 76
QUESTIONS AND EXERCISES 77
CASE STUDY: CAREER PLANNING SUPPORT AT ICI 79
CHAPTER 4: GENERATING AND PRESELECTING ALTERNATIVES 81
4.0 SUMMARY 81
4.1 THE GENERATION OF PROMISING ALTERNATIVES 81
4.2 CAUSE-EFFECT ANALYSES 82
4.2.1 CREATING ALTERNATIVES BY MEANS OF A QUANTITATIVE IMPACT MODEL
....82 4.2.2 ALTERNATIVES AS A COMBINATION OF MEASURES 85
4.3 IDEAL ALTERNATIVES 87
4.4 CONTEXT ENLARGEMENT 88
4.5 DECOMPOSITION OF TASKS 88
4.6 MULTI-LEVEL ALTERNATIVES 90
4.7 CREATIVITY TECHNIQUES FOR GROUPS 92
4.7.1 BRAINSTORMING 92
4.7.2 NOMINAL GROUP TECHNIQUE 93
4.8 PRESELECTION OF ALTERNATIVES 93
4.8.1 THE NEED FOR PRESELECTION 93
4.8.2 RESTRICTIONS AND ASPIRATION LEVELS 94
4.8.3 DOMINANCE 95
CASE STUDY: MEXICO CITY AIRPORT 101
IMAGE 3
TABLE OF CONTENTS IX
CHAPTER 5: DECISION MAKING UNDER CERTAINTY WITH ONE OBJECTIVE 107 5.0
SUMMARY 107
5.1 VALUE FUNCTION AND PREFERENCE 107
5.2 METHODS FOR DETERMINING VALUE FUNCTIONS 113
5.2.1 INTRODUCTION 113
5.2.2 THE DIRECT-RATING METHOD 115
5.2.3 THE DIFFERENCE STANDARD SEQUENCE TECHNIQUE 117
5.2.4 THE BISECTION METHOD 119
5.2.5 COMPARISON OF METHODS, CONSISTENCY CHECKS AND NON-MONOTONIC VALUE
FUNCTIONS 120
5.3 INCOMPLETE INFORMATION 122
QUESTIONS AND EXERCISES 123
CHAPTER 6: DECISION MAKING UNDER CERTAINTY AND WITH MULTIPLE OBJECTIVES:
MULTIATTRIBUTE VALUE FUNCTIONS 125
6.0 SUMMARY 125
6.1 VALUE FUNCTIONS FOR MULTIPLE ATTRIBUTES 125
6.2 THE ADDITIVE MODEL 126
6.3 REQUIREMENTS FOR THE APPLICABILITY OF THE ADDITIVE MODEL 129 6.4
DETERMINATION OF THE WEIGHTS 134
6.4.1 THE ATTRIBUTE VALUE FUNCTIONS IN THE EXAMPLE CHOOSING A JOB ..
134 6.4.2 DETERMINATION OF THE WEIGHTS BY USE OF THE TRADE-OFF METHOD
135 6.4.3 DETERMINATION OF THE WEIGHTS BY USE OF THE SWING METHOD 139
6.4.4 DETERMINATION OF THE WEIGHTS BY USE OF THE DIRECT-RATIO METHOD..
140 6.4.5 APPLICATION OF MULTIPLE METHODS AND ALTERNATIVE PROCEDURES 141
6.5 INCOMPLETE INFORMATION ABOUT THE WEIGHTS 142
6.5.1 HANDLING OF INCONSISTENT OR INCOMPLETE INFORMATION 142 6.5.2 ERROR
MINIMIZATION 143
6.5.3 DOMINANCE TEST 144
6.5.4 SENSITIVITY ANALYSES OF THE WEIGHTS 149
6.6 THE DEPENDENCE OF THE WEIGHTS ON THE ATTRIBUTE RANGE 151
6.7 COGNITIVE BIASES IN THE DETERMINATION OF THE WEIGHTS 154
6.7.1 THE RANGE EFFECT 154
6.7.2 THE SPLITTING EFFECT 155
QUESTIONS AND EXERCISES 155
CASY STUDY 1: SAFETY STANDARDS FOR OIL TANKERS 162
CASE STUDY 2: CHOOSING AND OFFICE LOCATION THROUGH EVEN SWAPS 165
CHAPTER 7: THE GENERATION OF PROBABILITIES 169
7.0 SUMMARY 169
7.1 INTERPRETING PROBABILITIES 169
7.1.1 THE SUBJECTIVISTIC INTERPRETATION 169
7.1.2 THE FREQUENTIST INTERPRETATION 170
7.1.3 THE UNIFORM PRIOR INTERPRETATION 171
7.1.4 SUBJECTIVE AND OBJECTIVE PROBABILITIES 172
IMAGE 4
X TABLE OF CONTENTS
7.2 THE NEED TO QUANTITY PROBABILITIES 173
7.3 THE MEASUREMENT OF SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITIES 177
7.3.1 PROBABILITY AND DISTRIBUTION FUNCTIONS 177
7.3.2 MEASUREMENT METHODS 180
7.3.3 CONSISTENCY CHECKS AND THE REDUCTION OF ERROR 186
7.3.4 THE CALCULATION OF PROBABILITIES 187
7.4 BAYES THEOREM 187
7.5 BIASES IN THE GENERATION OF SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITIES 193
7.5.1 INTRODUCTION 193
7.5.2 INCOMPLETE OR INAPPROPRIATE DATA BASE 194
7.5.3 INAPPROPRIATE PROCESSING OF PROBABILITIES 195
7.5.4 INSUFFICIENT CRITIQUE OF ONE S OWN JUDGMENT 197
QUESTIONS AND EXERCISES 199
CASE STUDY: IMMEDIATE APPENDIX SURGERY? 203
CHAPTER 8: SIMULATION OF AN OBJECTIVE VARIABLE S PROBABILITY
DISTRIBUTION ..205 8.0 SUMMARY 205
8.1 BASIC PRINCIPLES OF SIMULATION 205
8.2 INTERPRETATION OF THE SIMULATION RESULTS 209
8.2.1 ECONOMIC INTERPRETATION 209
8.2.2 METHODOLOGICAL INTERPRETATION 212
8.3 CONDUCTING A SIMULATION 215
8.3.1 TRANSFORMATION OF A RANDOM NUMBER INTO A REALIZATION OF THE CAUSAL
VARIABLE 215
8.3.2 FLOWCHART 217
8.3.3 THE BOOMERANG EXAMPLE IN THE CONTINUOUS CASE 217
8.4 MODELING INTERDEPENDENCIES BETWEEN CAUSAL VARIABLES 221 8.4.1
CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS 221
8.4.2 ACCESSING CAUSING VARIABLES 221
8.4.3 MODELING INTERDEPENDENCIES USING CORRELATION MATRICES 222
QUESTIONS AND EXCERCISES 226
CASE STUDY 1: BIDDING FOR BUTTER 230
CASE STUDY 2: PORTFOLIO CHOICE 232
CHAPTER 9: DECISIONS UNDER RISK AND ONE OBJECTIVE 235
9.0 SUMMARY 235
9.1 EVALUATION OF RISKY ALTERNATIVES 235
9.2 THE THEORY OF EXPECTED UTILITY 238
9.2.1 EXPECTED UTILITY 238
9.2.2 AXIOMATIC FOUNDATION OF UTILITY THEORY 240
9.2.3 THE THREE-OUTCOME-DIAGRAM 245
9.2.4 SUBJECTIVE EXPECTED UTILITY THEORY 250
9.3 BASIC CONCEPTS OF UTILITY THEORY 251
9.3.1 CERTAINTY EQUIVALENT 251
9.3.2 THE RISK ATTITUDE 252
IMAGE 5
TABLE OF CONTENTS XI
9.3.3 THE ARROW/PRATT MEASURE OF RISK AVERSION 255
9.3.4 RISK ATTITUDES OF SELECTED UTILITY FUNCTIONS 256
9.4 THE DETERMINATION OF THE UTILITY FUNCTION 259
9.4.1 THE BASIC-REFERENCE-LOTTERY 259
9.4.2 BISECTION VERSION OF THE VARIABLE CERTAINTY EQUIVALENT
METHOD....261 9.4.3 QUANTILE VERSION OF THE VARIABLE CERTAINTY
EQUIVALENT METHOD 263 9.4.4 VARIABLE PROBABILITY METHOD 264
9.4.5 METHOD OF EQUAL UTILITY DIFFERENCES 266
9.4.6 TRADE-OFF METHOD FOR UTILITY FUNCTIONS 266
9.4.7 CONSISTENCY CHECK 269
9.4.8 DETERMINATION OF THE UTILITY FUNCTION ON THE BASIS OF THE DECISION
MAKER S RISK ATTITUDE 270
9.5 COMPUTATION OF THE OPTIMAL ALTERNATIVE 273
9.6 UTILITY THEORY AND RISK 277
9.6.1 CONNECTION BETWEEN VALUE AND UTILITY FUNCTION 277
9.6.2 RISK DEFINITION FOR EQUAL EXPECTED VALUE OF LOTTERIES 278 9.6.3
UTILITY - A FUNCTION OF VALUE AND RISK? 279
QUESTIONS AND EXERCISES 282
CASE STUDY: PETROLEUM AND NATURAL GAS EXPLORATION AT THE PHILLIPS
PETROLEUM COMPANY 288
CHAPTER 10: DECISION UNDER RISK: INCOMPLETE INFORMATION AND MULTIPLE
OBJECTIVES 291
10.0 SUMMARY 291
10.1 MODEL FOR DECISION UNDER RISK AND INCOMPLETE INFORMATION AS WELL AS
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS 291
10.2 INCOMPLETE INFORMATION CONCERNING THE PROBABILITIES P(I) OR UTILITY
FUNCTION /(/) 293
10.2.1 INCOMPLETE INFORMATION CONCERNING THE PROBABILITIES: P(I) 293
10.2.2 INCOMPLETE INFORMATION CONCERNING THE UTILITY FUNCTION U(I).. 296
10.3 SENSITIVITY ANALYSES 303
10.4 DECISION MAKING UNDER MULTIPLE OBJECTIVES 305
10.4.1 THE ADDITIVE MODEL 305
10.4.2 CONDITION FOR THE ADDITIVE MODEL: ADDITIVE UTILITY INDEPENDENCE
306
10.4.3 THE MULTIPLICATIVE MODEL 308
10.4.4 CONDITION FOR THE MULTIPLICATIVE MODEL: MUTUAL UTILITY
INDEPENDENCE 310
QUESTIONS AND EXERCISES 311
CASE STUDY 1: NINE-DIGIT ZIP CODES 318
CASE STUDY 2: STOCKPILING OF A BLOOD BANK 321
IMAGE 6
XII TABLE OF CONTENTS
CHAPTER 11: TIME PREFERENCES UNDER CERTAIN EXPECTATIONS 323 11.0 SUMMARY
323
11.1 THE PROBLEM OF TIME PREFERENCE 323
11.2 THE ADDITIVE INTERTEMPORAL VALUE FUNCTION 324
11.2.1 DERIVATION OF THE INTERTEMPORAL VALUE FUNCTION 324
11.2.2 DISCUSSION OF ASSUMPTIONS FOR THE ADDITIVE INTERTEMPORAL VALUE
FUNCTIONS 327
11.3 SPECIAL TYPES OF THE ADDITIVE INTERTEMPORAL VALUE FUNCTION 328
11.3.1 IDENTICAL VALUE FUNCTIONS FOR EACH PERIOD 328
11.3.2 THE DISCOUNTING MODEL 330
11.3.3 THE HARVEY MODEL 333
11.3.4 A COMPARISON OF THE TWO AXIOM SYSTEMS AND AN ALTERNATIVE MODEL
335
11.4 EVALUATION OF PAYMENT SEQUENCES 339
QUESTIONS AND EXERCISES 341
CHAPTER 12: GROUP DECISIONS 345
12.0 SUMMARY 345
12.1 BENEFITS AND PROBLEMS OF GROUP DECISIONS 345
12.1.1 ADVERSE GROUP EFFECTS 346
12.1.2 POTENTIAL REMEDIES 347
12.2 JOINT STRUCTURING OF THE DECISION PROBLEM 348
12.3 GENERATION OF ACOMMON SYSTEM OF OBJECTIVES 350
12.4 GENERATION OF GROUP VALUE FUNCTIONS 351
12.4.1 AGGREGATING INDIVIDUAL SINGLE VALUE FUNCTIONS 351
12.4.2 GENERATING COMMON ATTRIBUTE WEIGHTS 355
12.5 DOMINANCE TESTS 356
12.5.1 CONSIDERING THE COMPLETE RANGE OF EVALUATIONS 358
12.5.2 REDUCING THE RANGE OF EVALUATION INTERVALS 359
12.5.3 EXAMPLE 359
12.6 GENERATINGJOINT PROBABILITY EVALUATIONS 361
12.6.1 SIMPLE AGGREGATION OF INDIVIDUAL ESTIMATIONS 362
12.6.2 AGGREGATION OF INDIVIDUAL ESTIMATIONS USING PREDICTION MARKETS
365
12.7 MAKING A GROUP DECISION 367
QUESTIONS AND EXERCISES 367
CHAPTER 13: DESCRIPTIVE ASPECTS OF DECISION MAKING 371
13.0 SUMMARY 371
13.1 DESCRIPTIVE PREFERENCE THEORIES AND RATIONAL BEHAVIOR 371 13.2
EXAMPLES OF INTUITIVE BEHAVIOR NOT IN LINE WITH UTILITY THEORY 373
13.2.1 BIAS IN PROBABILITY ESTIMATES 374
13.2.2 THE ELLSBERG PARADOX 375
13.2.3 REFERENCE POINT EFFECTS 377
13.2.4 THE ALLAIS PARADOX AND CERTAINTY EFFECTS 379
IMAGE 7
TABLE OF CONTENTS XIII
13.2.5 OVERVIEW OF DECISION BEHAVIOR PHENOMENA 381
13.2.6 IMPORTANCE OF PREFERENCES DEVIATING SYSTEMATICALLY FROM UTILITY
THEORY 387
13.3 DESCRIPTIVE THEORIES 390
13.3.1 SUPPORT THEORY 390
13.3.2 RANK-DEPENDENT UTILITY THEORIES 392
13.3.3 CUMULATIVE PROSPECT THEORY 397
13.3.4 FURTHER THEORIES - DISAPPOINTMENT AND REGRET 416
13.3.5 CURRENT DEVELOPMENTS IN THE AREA OF DESCRIPTIVE DECISION THEORY
421
13.4 CONCLUSION 422
QUESTIONS AND EXERCISES 423
REFERENCES 429
INDEX 445
|
any_adam_object | 1 |
author | Eisenführ, Franz 1936- Weber, Martin 1952- Langer, Thomas 1966- |
author_GND | (DE-588)121098346 (DE-588)121098389 (DE-588)142236276 |
author_facet | Eisenführ, Franz 1936- Weber, Martin 1952- Langer, Thomas 1966- |
author_role | aut aut aut |
author_sort | Eisenführ, Franz 1936- |
author_variant | f e fe m w mw t l tl |
building | Verbundindex |
bvnumber | BV035738077 |
classification_rvk | QC 020 QP 327 |
ctrlnum | (OCoLC)428029146 (DE-599)DNB994587910 |
dewey-full | 658.40301 153.83 |
dewey-hundreds | 600 - Technology (Applied sciences) 100 - Philosophy & psychology |
dewey-ones | 658 - General management 153 - Conscious mental processes & intelligence |
dewey-raw | 658.40301 153.83 |
dewey-search | 658.40301 153.83 |
dewey-sort | 3658.40301 |
dewey-tens | 650 - Management and auxiliary services 150 - Psychology |
discipline | Psychologie Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
format | Book |
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genre | 1\p (DE-588)4123623-3 Lehrbuch gnd-content |
genre_facet | Lehrbuch |
id | DE-604.BV035738077 |
illustrated | Not Illustrated |
indexdate | 2024-07-09T21:53:22Z |
institution | BVB |
isbn | 9783642028502 |
language | English |
oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-018014540 |
oclc_num | 428029146 |
open_access_boolean | |
owner | DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-945 DE-12 DE-188 DE-M347 DE-1049 DE-20 DE-384 DE-739 DE-634 DE-521 DE-706 |
owner_facet | DE-355 DE-BY-UBR DE-945 DE-12 DE-188 DE-M347 DE-1049 DE-20 DE-384 DE-739 DE-634 DE-521 DE-706 |
physical | XIII, 447 Seiten Diagramme |
publishDate | 2010 |
publishDateSearch | 2010 |
publishDateSort | 2010 |
publisher | Springer |
record_format | marc |
spelling | Eisenführ, Franz 1936- Verfasser (DE-588)121098346 aut Rational decision making Franz Eisenführ, Martin Weber, Thomas Langer Berlin Springer [2010] © 2010 XIII, 447 Seiten Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Entscheidung bei mehrfacher Zielsetzung (DE-588)4113444-8 gnd rswk-swf Unternehmen (DE-588)4061963-1 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit (DE-588)4070864-0 gnd rswk-swf Rationalprinzip (DE-588)4203096-1 gnd rswk-swf 1\p (DE-588)4123623-3 Lehrbuch gnd-content Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 s Rationalprinzip (DE-588)4203096-1 s Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit (DE-588)4070864-0 s Entscheidung bei mehrfacher Zielsetzung (DE-588)4113444-8 s DE-604 Unternehmen (DE-588)4061963-1 s 2\p DE-604 3\p DE-604 Weber, Martin 1952- Verfasser (DE-588)121098389 aut Langer, Thomas 1966- Verfasser (DE-588)142236276 aut Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe 978-3-642-02851-9 SWB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=018014540&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk 2\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk 3\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
spellingShingle | Eisenführ, Franz 1936- Weber, Martin 1952- Langer, Thomas 1966- Rational decision making Entscheidung bei mehrfacher Zielsetzung (DE-588)4113444-8 gnd Unternehmen (DE-588)4061963-1 gnd Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 gnd Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit (DE-588)4070864-0 gnd Rationalprinzip (DE-588)4203096-1 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4113444-8 (DE-588)4061963-1 (DE-588)4138606-1 (DE-588)4070864-0 (DE-588)4203096-1 (DE-588)4123623-3 |
title | Rational decision making |
title_auth | Rational decision making |
title_exact_search | Rational decision making |
title_full | Rational decision making Franz Eisenführ, Martin Weber, Thomas Langer |
title_fullStr | Rational decision making Franz Eisenführ, Martin Weber, Thomas Langer |
title_full_unstemmed | Rational decision making Franz Eisenführ, Martin Weber, Thomas Langer |
title_short | Rational decision making |
title_sort | rational decision making |
topic | Entscheidung bei mehrfacher Zielsetzung (DE-588)4113444-8 gnd Unternehmen (DE-588)4061963-1 gnd Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 gnd Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit (DE-588)4070864-0 gnd Rationalprinzip (DE-588)4203096-1 gnd |
topic_facet | Entscheidung bei mehrfacher Zielsetzung Unternehmen Entscheidungstheorie Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit Rationalprinzip Lehrbuch |
url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=018014540&sequence=000003&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
work_keys_str_mv | AT eisenfuhrfranz rationaldecisionmaking AT webermartin rationaldecisionmaking AT langerthomas rationaldecisionmaking |