Coping with uncertainty: robust solutions
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Buch |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Heidelberg [u.a.]
Springer
2010
|
| Ausgabe: | 1. Aufl. |
| Schriftenreihe: | Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems
633 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltstext Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XVI, 277 S. graph. Darst. 235 mm x 155 mm |
| ISBN: | 9783642037344 |
Internformat
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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3.2.1 NOTATIONS 40 CONTENTS 1 GENERAL REMARKS ON ROBUST SOLUTIONS . Y.
ERMOLIEV, M. MAKOWSKI, AND K. MARTI REFERENCES PART I MODELING OF
UNCERTAINTY AND PROBABILISTIC ISSUES 2 ON JOINT MODELLING OF RANDOM
UNCERTAINTY AND FUZZY IMPRECISION 11 OLGIERD HRYNIEWICZ 2.1 INTRODUCTION
II 2.2 GENERALIZATIONS OF CLASSICAL PROBABILITY AND THEIR APPLICATIONS
IN DECISION MAKING 13 2.2.1 MEASURES OF UNCERTAINTY AND CRITERIA OF
THEIR EVALUATION 13 2.2.2 PROBABILITY 15 2.2.3 DEMPSTER-SHAFER THEORY OF
EVIDENCE AND POSSIBILITY THEORY 17 2.2.4 IMPRECISE PROBABILITIES AND
THEIR GENERALIZATIONS 20 2.3 FUZZY RANDOM VARIABLES AND FUZZY STATISTICS
22 2.4 APPLICATIONS OF FUZZY STATISTICS IN SYSTEMS ANALYSIS 29 2.4.1
EXAMPLE 1 : VERIFICATION OF THE KYOTO PROTOCOL 29 2.4.2 EXAMPLE 2:
SEQUENTIAL TESTING OF A HYPOTHESIS ABOUT THE MEAN VALUE IN THE NORMAL
DISTRIBUTION 31 2.5 CONCLUSIONS 33 REFERENCES 35 3 ON THE APPROXIMATION
OF A DISCRETE MULTIVARIATE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION USING DIE NEW
CONCEPT OF F-CHERRY JUNCTION TREE 39 EDITH KOVACS AND TAMAS SZANTAI 3.1
INTRODUCTION 39 3.2 PRELIMINARIES 40 BIBLIOGRAFISCHE INFORMATIONEN
HTTP://D-NB.INFO/995338787 DIGITALISIERT DURCH * CONTENTS 3.2.2 CHERRY
TREE AND F-CHERRY TREE 41 3.2.3 JUNCTION TREE 42 3.3 /-CHERRY-JUNCTION
TREE 43 3.3.1 CONSTRUCTION OF AI-CHERRY-JUNCTION TREE 43 3.3.2 THE
APPROXIMATION OF THE JOINT DISTRIBUTION OVER X BY THE DISTRIBUTION
ASSOCIATED TO A F-CHERRY-JUNCTION TREE 44 3.3.3 THE RELATION BETWEEN THE
APPROXIMATIONS ASSOCIATED TO THE FIRST-ORDER DEPENDENCE TREE AND
I-CHERRY-JUNCTION TREE 47 3.4 SOME PRACTICAL RESULTS OF OUR
APPROXIMATION AND DISCUSSIONS 50 REFERENCES 56 PART II ROBUST SOLUTIONS
UNDER UNCERTAINTY 4 INDUCED DISCOUNTING AND RISK MANAGEMENT 59 T.
ERMOLIEVA, Y. ERMOLIEV, G. FISCHER, AND M. MAKOWSKI 4.1 INTRODUCTION 59
4.2 STANDARD AND STOPPING TIME INDUCED DISCOUNTING 62 4.3 TIME DECLINING
DISCOUNT RATES 65 4.4 ENDOGENOUS DISCOUNTING 68 4.5 DYNAMIC RISK
PROFILES AND CVAR RISK MEASURE 71 4.6 INTERTEMPORAL INCONSISTENCY 73 4.7
CONCLUDING REMARKS 75 REFERENCES 76 5 COST EFFECTIVE AND ENVIRONMENTALLY
SAFE EMISSION TRADING UNDER UNCERTAINTY 79 T. ERMOLIEVA, Y. ERMOLIEV, G.
FISCHER, M. JONAS, AND M. MAKOWSKI 5.1 INTRODUCTION 79 5.2 UNCERTAINTIES
AND TRENDS OF CARBON FLUXES 82 5.3 DETECTABILITY OF EMISSION CHANGES 84
5.4 TRADE EQUILIBRIUM UNDER UNCERTAINTY 86 5.5 DYNAMIC BILATERAL TRADING
PROCESSES 90 5. CONTENTS XI 6.3.2 PROFIT MODEL OF AN ACTOR 108 6.3.3
SERVICE PORTFOLIO: FINANCIAL PERSPECTIVE 110 6.4 MODELING OF
COLLABORATIVE SERVICE PROVISION 113 6.4.1 SERVICE PROVISION CAPACITIES
114 6.4.2 RISK/RETURN INDUSTRIAL EXPECTATIONS 115 6.4.3 PRICING 116
6.4.4 REVENUE SHARING SCHEMES 116 6.5 PROPERTIES OF THE MODELS AND
IMPLEMENTATION ISSUES 118 6.6 CASE STUDY 119 6.7 DYNAMICS OF ATTITUDES
122 6.7.1 SIMPLIFIED MODEL: DIRECT AND INDIRECT INTERDEPENDENCIES 123
6.7.2 MODEL FORMULATION 125 6.7.3 BAYESIAN NETWORKS AND MARKOV FIELDS
130 6.7.4 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS 131 6.7.5 GENERAL INTERDEPENDENCIES 133
6.8 CONCLUSION 136 REFERENCES 1 36 PART III ANALYSIS AND OPTIMIZATION OF
TECHNICAL SYSTEMS AND STRUCTURES UNDER UNCERTAINTY 7 OPTIMAL ELLIPSOIDAL
ESTIMATES OF UNCERTAIN SYSTEMS: AN OVERVIEW AND NEW RESULTS 141 F.L.
CHERNOUSKO 7.1 INTRODUCTION 141 7.2 REACHABLE SETS 142 7.3 ELLIPSOIDAL
BOUNDS 145 7.4 OPTIMALITY 146 7.5 EQUATIONS OF ELLIPSOIDS 148 7.6
TRANSFORMATION OF THE EQUATIONS 150 7.7 PROPERTIES OF OPTIMAL ELLIPSOIDS
152 7.8 GENERALIZATIONS 153 7.9 APPLICATIONS 154 7.9.1 TWO-SIDED
ESTIMATES IN OPTIMAL CONTROL 154 7.9.2 TWO-SIDED BOUNDS ON TIME FOR THE
TIME-OPTIMAL PROBLEM 155 7.9.3 SUBOPTIMAL CONTROL 155 7.9. XII CONTENTS
8 EXPECTED TOTAL COST MINIMUM DESIGN OF PLANE FRAMES BY MEANS OF
STOCHASTIC LINEAR PROGRAMMING METHODS 163 KURT MARTI 8.1 INTRODUCTION
164 8.1.1 PLASTIC ANALYSIS OF STRUCTURES 164 8.1.2 LIMIT (COLLAPSE) LOAD
ANALYSIS OF STRUCTURES AS A LINEAR PROGRAMMING PROBLEM 165 8.1.3 PLASTIC
AND ELASTIC DESIGN OF STRUCTURES 167 8.2 PLANE FRAMES 168 8.2.1 YIELD
CONDITION IN CASE OF M - N -INTERACTION 173 8.2.2 APPROXIMATION OF THE
YIELD CONDITION BY USING REFERENCE CAPACITIES 180 8.3 STOCHASTIC
OPTIMIZATION 183 8.3.1 VIOLATION OF THE YIELD CONDITION 184 8.3.2 COST
FUNCTION 185 8.3.3 CHOICE OF THE COST FACTORS 186 8.3.4 TOTAL COSTS 187
8.3.5 DISCRETIZATION METHODS 189 8.3.6 COMPLETE RECOURSE 190 REFERENCES
191 PART IV ANALYSIS AND OPTIMIZATION OF ECONOMIC AND ENGINEERING
SYSTEMS UNDER UNCERTAINTY 9 UNCERTAINTY IN THE FUTURE NITROGEN LOAD TO
THE BALTIC SEA DUE TO UNCERTAIN METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS 195 JERZY
BARTNICKI 9.1 INTRODUCTION 195 9.2 NITROGEN EMISSIONS 198 9.2.1 NATIONAL
EMISSION CEILINGS ACCORDING TO EU NEC DIRECTIVE 198 9.2.2 NATIONAL
EMISSION CEILINGS ACCORDING TO GOTHENBURG PROTOCOL. 199 9.2.3 NITROGEN
EMISSION PROJECTIONS USED IN THE MODEL RUNS 200 9.3 COMPUTED NITROGEN
DEPOSITIONS FOR 2010 201 9.3. CONTENTS XIII 10 PLANNING SUSTAINABLE
AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT UNDER RISKS 209 G. FISCHER, T. ERMOLIEVA, AND
L. SUN 10.1 INTRODUCTION 209 10.2 COOPERATION AND CO-EXISTENCE FOR RISK
SHARING 211 10.3 AGRICULTURAL PLANNING UNDER RISKS 214 10.3.1 A
SIMULATION MODEL 214 10.3.2 A SIMPLIFIED PRODUCTION MODEL 216 10.3.3 A
REBALANCING PRODUCTION-ALLOCATION ALGORITHM 217 10.4 STOCHASTIC
PRODUCTION ALLOCATION MODEL 218 10.5 NUMERICAL EXPERIMENTS 221 10.6
CONCLUSIONS 225 REFERENCES 226 11 DEALING WITH UNCERTAINTY IN GHG
INVENTORIES: HOW TO GO ABOUT IT? 229 MATTHIAS JONAS, THOMAS WHITE, GREGG
MARLAND, DANIEL LIEBERMAN, ZBIGNIEW NAHORSKI, AND STEN NILSSON 11.1
INTRODUCTION 230 11.2 DOES UNCERTAINTY MATTER? 232 11.3 STATE OF THE ART
OF ANALYZING UNCERTAIN EMISSION CHANGES 233 11.4 HOW TO DEAL WITH
UNCERTAINTY? 238 11.5 CONCLUSIONS 241 REFERENCES 242 12 UNCERTAINTY
ANALYSIS OF WEATHER CONTROLLED SYSTEMS 247 K.J. KEESMAN AND T. DOESWIJK
12.1 INTRODUCTION 247 12.2 PRELIMINARIES 249 12.2.1 BULK STORAGE MODEL
249 12.2.2 WEATHER FORECASTS 249 12.2.3 COST FUNCTION 250 12.2.4
RECEDING HORIZON OPTIMAL CONTROL 250 12.3 WEATHER FORECAST UNCERTAINTY
AND ERROR ANALYSIS 252 12.3.1 OPEN LOOP EVALUATION 252 12.3.2 CLOSED
LOOP EVALUATION 254 12. CONTENTS 13.2 TRACE GAS MEASUREMENT BY SATELLITE
REMOTE SENSING 261 13.2.1 OBSERVATIONS OF TRACE GASES WITH VARIOUS
SENSORS 261 13.2.2 GOSAT MISSION 262 13.2.3 PREVIOUS ERROR ANALYSIS 264
13.3 ERROR EVALUATION AND RESULTS 266 13.3.1 RETRIEVAL METHOD 266 13.3.2
ERROR EVALUATION 268 13.3.3 ERROR EVALUATION RESULTS 270 13.4
CONCLUSIONS 276 REFERENCES .276 |
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| spelling | Coping with uncertainty robust solutions Kurt Marti, ... (Eds.) 1. Aufl. Heidelberg [u.a.] Springer 2010 XVI, 277 S. graph. Darst. 235 mm x 155 mm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems 633 Decision support systems gtt Onderzoeksmethoden gtt Onzekerheid gtt Wiskundige modellen gtt Mathematisches Modell Uncertainty Uncertainty Mathematical models Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit (DE-588)4070864-0 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)1071861417 Konferenzschrift 2007 Laxenburg gnd-content Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 s Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit (DE-588)4070864-0 s DE-604 Marti, Kurt 1943- Sonstige (DE-588)115845690 oth Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe 978-3-642-03735-1 Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems 633 (DE-604)BV000000036 633 text/html http://deposit.dnb.de/cgi-bin/dokserv?id=3333210&prov=M&dok_var=1&dok_ext=htm Inhaltstext DNB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=017713845&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Coping with uncertainty robust solutions Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems Decision support systems gtt Onderzoeksmethoden gtt Onzekerheid gtt Wiskundige modellen gtt Mathematisches Modell Uncertainty Uncertainty Mathematical models Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit (DE-588)4070864-0 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4114528-8 (DE-588)4070864-0 (DE-588)1071861417 |
| title | Coping with uncertainty robust solutions |
| title_auth | Coping with uncertainty robust solutions |
| title_exact_search | Coping with uncertainty robust solutions |
| title_full | Coping with uncertainty robust solutions Kurt Marti, ... (Eds.) |
| title_fullStr | Coping with uncertainty robust solutions Kurt Marti, ... (Eds.) |
| title_full_unstemmed | Coping with uncertainty robust solutions Kurt Marti, ... (Eds.) |
| title_short | Coping with uncertainty |
| title_sort | coping with uncertainty robust solutions |
| title_sub | robust solutions |
| topic | Decision support systems gtt Onderzoeksmethoden gtt Onzekerheid gtt Wiskundige modellen gtt Mathematisches Modell Uncertainty Uncertainty Mathematical models Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit (DE-588)4070864-0 gnd |
| topic_facet | Decision support systems Onderzoeksmethoden Onzekerheid Wiskundige modellen Mathematisches Modell Uncertainty Uncertainty Mathematical models Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit Konferenzschrift 2007 Laxenburg |
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