Verfügbarkeit: Judgment under uncertainty

Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases

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Bibliographische Detailangaben
Weitere Verfasser:	Kahneman, Daniel 1934-2024 (HerausgeberIn)
Format:	Buch
Sprache:	English
Veröffentlicht:	Cambridge [u.a.] Cambridge Univ. Press 2007
Ausgabe:	23. printing
Schlagworte:	Psychologie Kognitiver Prozess Urteilen Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit Unsicherheit Entscheidungsverhalten Entscheidungsfindung Kognition Heuristik Philosophie Aufsatzsammlung
Online-Zugang:	Inhaltsverzeichnis
Beschreibung:	Hier auch später erschienene, unveränderte Nachdrucke
Beschreibung:	XIII, 555 S. Ill., graph. Darst.
ISBN:	9780521240642 9780521284141

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Datensatz im Suchindex

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adam_text	Contents List of contributors Pa8e viii Preface xi Part I: Introduction 1 Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases 3 Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman Part II: Representativeness 2 Belief in the law of small numbers 23 Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman 3 Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness 32 Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky 4 On the psychology of prediction 48 Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky 5 Studies of representativeness 69 Maya Bar-Hillel 6 Judgments of and by representativeness 84 Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman Part III: Causality and attribution 7 Popular induction: Information is not necessarily informative 101 Richard E. Nisbett, Eugene Borgida, Rick Crandall, and Harvey Reed 8 Causal schemas in judgments under uncertainty 117 Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman vi Contents 9 Shortcomings in the attribution process: On the origins and maintenance of erroneous social assessments 129 Lee Ross and Craig A. Anderson 10 Evidential impact of base rates 153 Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman Part IV: Availability 11 Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability 163 Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman 12 Egocentric biases in availability and attribution 179 Michael Ross and Fiore Sicoly 13 The availability bias in social perception and interaction 190 Shelley E. Taylor 14 The simulation heuristic 201 Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky Part V: Covariation and control 15 Informal covariation assessment: Data-based versus theory-based judgments 211 Dennis L. ]ennings, Teresa M. Amabile, and Lee Ross 16 The illusion of control 231 Ellen }. Langer 17 Test results are what you think they are 239 Loren f. Chapman and Jean Chapman 18 Probabilistic reasoning in clinical medicine: Problems and opportunities 249 David M. Eddy 19 Learning from experience and suboptimal rules in decision making 268 Hillel J. Einhorn Part VI: Overconfidence 20 Overconfidence in case-study judgments 287 Stuart Oskamp 21 A progress report on the training of probability assessors 294 Marc Alpert and Howard Raiffa 22 Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art to 1980 306 Sarah Lichtenstein, Baruch Fischhoff, and Lawrence D. Phillips 23 For those condemned to study the past: Heuristics and biases in hindsight 335 Baruch Fischhoff Contents vii Part VII: Multistage evaluation 24 Evaluation of compound probabilities in sequential choice 355 John Cohen, E. I. Chesnick, and D. Haran 25 Conservatism in human information processing 359 Ward Edwards 26 The best-guess hypothesis in multistage inference 370 Charles F. Gettys, Clinton Kelly HI, and Cameron R. Peterson 27 Inferences of personal characteristics on the basis of information retrieved from one's memory 378 Yaacov Trope Part VIII: Corrective procedures 28 The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making 391 Robyn M. Dawes 29 The vitality of mythical numbers 408 Max Singer 30 Intuitive prediction: Biases and corrective procedures 414 Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky 31 Debiasing 422 Baruch Fischhoff 32 Improving inductive inference 445 Richard E. Nisbett, David H. Krantz, Christopher ]epson, and Geoffrey T. Fong Part IX: Risk perception 33 Facts versus fears: Understanding perceived risk 463 Paul Slovic, Baruch Fischhoff, and Sarah Lichtenstein Part X: Postscript 34 On the study of statistical intuitions 493 Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky 35 Variants of uncertainty 509 Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky References 521 Index 553
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genre	1\p (DE-588)4143413-4 Aufsatzsammlung gnd-content
genre_facet	Aufsatzsammlung
id	DE-604.BV035504818
illustrated	Illustrated
indexdate	2025-01-10T19:02:03Z
institution	BVB
isbn	9780521240642 9780521284141
language	English
oai_aleph_id	oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-017560986
oclc_num	263441408
open_access_boolean
owner	DE-703 DE-92 DE-91 DE-BY-TUM
owner_facet	DE-703 DE-92 DE-91 DE-BY-TUM
physical	XIII, 555 S. Ill., graph. Darst.
publishDate	2007
publishDateSearch	2007
publishDateSort	2007
publisher	Cambridge Univ. Press
record_format	marc
spelling	Judgment under uncertainty heuristics and biases ed. by Daniel Kahneman ... Judgement under uncertainty 23. printing Cambridge [u.a.] Cambridge Univ. Press 2007 XIII, 555 S. Ill., graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Hier auch später erschienene, unveränderte Nachdrucke Psychologie (DE-588)4047704-6 gnd rswk-swf Kognitiver Prozess (DE-588)4140177-3 gnd rswk-swf Urteilen (DE-588)4078671-7 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit (DE-588)4070864-0 gnd rswk-swf Unsicherheit (DE-588)4186957-6 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidungsverhalten (DE-588)4113448-5 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd rswk-swf Kognition (DE-588)4031630-0 gnd rswk-swf Heuristik (DE-588)4024772-7 gnd rswk-swf Philosophie (DE-588)4045791-6 gnd rswk-swf 1\p (DE-588)4143413-4 Aufsatzsammlung gnd-content Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit (DE-588)4070864-0 s Urteilen (DE-588)4078671-7 s DE-604 Entscheidungsverhalten (DE-588)4113448-5 s Philosophie (DE-588)4045791-6 s Psychologie (DE-588)4047704-6 s Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 s Kognition (DE-588)4031630-0 s 2\p DE-604 3\p DE-604 4\p DE-604 Unsicherheit (DE-588)4186957-6 s 5\p DE-604 Kognitiver Prozess (DE-588)4140177-3 s 6\p DE-604 Heuristik (DE-588)4024772-7 s 7\p DE-604 8\p DE-604 Kahneman, Daniel 1934-2024 (DE-588)124127487 edt Digitalisierung UB Bayreuth application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=017560986&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk 2\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk 3\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk 4\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk 5\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk 6\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk 7\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk 8\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk
spellingShingle	Judgment under uncertainty heuristics and biases Psychologie (DE-588)4047704-6 gnd Kognitiver Prozess (DE-588)4140177-3 gnd Urteilen (DE-588)4078671-7 gnd Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit (DE-588)4070864-0 gnd Unsicherheit (DE-588)4186957-6 gnd Entscheidungsverhalten (DE-588)4113448-5 gnd Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd Kognition (DE-588)4031630-0 gnd Heuristik (DE-588)4024772-7 gnd Philosophie (DE-588)4045791-6 gnd
subject_GND	(DE-588)4047704-6 (DE-588)4140177-3 (DE-588)4078671-7 (DE-588)4070864-0 (DE-588)4186957-6 (DE-588)4113448-5 (DE-588)4113446-1 (DE-588)4031630-0 (DE-588)4024772-7 (DE-588)4045791-6 (DE-588)4143413-4
title	Judgment under uncertainty heuristics and biases
title_alt	Judgement under uncertainty
title_auth	Judgment under uncertainty heuristics and biases
title_exact_search	Judgment under uncertainty heuristics and biases
title_full	Judgment under uncertainty heuristics and biases ed. by Daniel Kahneman ...
title_fullStr	Judgment under uncertainty heuristics and biases ed. by Daniel Kahneman ...
title_full_unstemmed	Judgment under uncertainty heuristics and biases ed. by Daniel Kahneman ...
title_short	Judgment under uncertainty
title_sort	judgment under uncertainty heuristics and biases
title_sub	heuristics and biases
topic	Psychologie (DE-588)4047704-6 gnd Kognitiver Prozess (DE-588)4140177-3 gnd Urteilen (DE-588)4078671-7 gnd Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit (DE-588)4070864-0 gnd Unsicherheit (DE-588)4186957-6 gnd Entscheidungsverhalten (DE-588)4113448-5 gnd Entscheidungsfindung (DE-588)4113446-1 gnd Kognition (DE-588)4031630-0 gnd Heuristik (DE-588)4024772-7 gnd Philosophie (DE-588)4045791-6 gnd
topic_facet	Psychologie Kognitiver Prozess Urteilen Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit Unsicherheit Entscheidungsverhalten Entscheidungsfindung Kognition Heuristik Philosophie Aufsatzsammlung
url	http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=017560986&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA
work_keys_str_mv	AT kahnemandaniel judgmentunderuncertaintyheuristicsandbiases AT kahnemandaniel judgementunderuncertainty

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