Africa in the new world: how global and domestic developments will impact by 2025
Gespeichert in:
1. Verfasser: | |
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Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Tshwane (Pretoria), South Africa
Institute for Security Studies
2008
|
Schriftenreihe: | ISS monograph series
151 |
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Beschreibung: | "The research on which this paper is based was made possible by the generous support of the Royal Danish Government, through their embassy in Pretoria, South Africa." -- P. [iv] of cover. -- "The world is currently experiencing a massive change in the balance of power as influence and industry shift from the West to the East. Whilst African developments will not become a substantive driver and factor in global scenarios in the next two or three decades, the importance of the region will steadily increase. This monograph looks at key shifts that will determine the future of Africa in the world. The first four 'megatrends' constitute those external developments that will impact upon Africa and over which it has little control, namely the global shift of power from West to East, the impact of climate change, globalisation, and state power and interdependence and complexity. The second set of 'African variables' reflects domestic developments: Africa's population dynamics, trade, democratisation/ governance, and peace and stability. Collectively the two sets of factors provide a glimpse of the possible emerging futures for the continent. Africa's future will be determined by its leadership and the choices that are made by Africa's elected and unelected Big Men -- not by the size of their ideas, but in the example they set in the daily decisions about contacts, conflict of interest and democratic accountability." -- P. [iv] of cover. Includes bibliographical references (p. 132-150) |
Beschreibung: | VII, 150 S. col. ill., col. maps 21 cm |
ISBN: | 9781920114480 1920114483 |
Internformat
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adam_text | AFRICA IN THE NEW WORLD
/ CILLIERS, JAKKIE
: 2008
TABLE OF CONTENTS / INHALTSVERZEICHNIS
1. INTRODUCTION
2. MEGATREND ONE. THE GLOBAL SHIFT OF POWER FROM WEST TO EAST
THE (RELATIVE) DECLINE OF THE WEST
THE RISE OF THE REST.
3. MEGATREND TWO. THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE
THE LIMITS OF GROWTH
IMPACT ON AFRICA
INTERCONNECTED CHALLENGES.
4. MEGATREND THREE. GLOBALISATION AND STATE POWER
DISTRIBUTED POWER
A NEW GLOBAL POWER
A RETURN OF STATE POWER?
DEVELOPED VERSUS DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
IDEOLOGY AND AFRICA
CIVIL SOCIETY
GLOBALISATION AND GEOPOLITICS.
5. MEGATREND FOUR. INTERDEPENDENCE AND COMPLEXITY
AFRICAN CONNECTIONS
IMPLICATIONS FOR GOVERNANCE
A GLOBAL DEFICIT IN MANAGEMENT?
TOWARDS A GLOBAL ORDER
GLOBAL INEQUALITY ON THE DECLINE?
A CONCENTRATION OF RICHES.
6. AFRICAN VARIABLE ONE. A GROWING AND DYNAMIC POPULATION
AFRICA S DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION
AFRICA S YOUTH BULGE
HIV/AIDS
URBANISATION, POVERTY AND INSECURITY
SKILLS LOSS.
7. AFRICAN VARIABLE TWO. TRADE, AID AND GROWTH
COMMODITIES-BASED ECONOMIC GROWTH
OIL, ENERGY AND GROWTH
AID.
8. AFRICAN VARIABLE THREE. DEMOCRATISATION AND GOVERNANCE
PROGRESS OVER SEVERAL DECADES
DEMOCRATISATION FOR AFRICANS?
CORRUPTION.
9. AFRICAN VARIABLE FOUR. PEACE AND STABILITY
IMPACT OF DEMOCRACY AND EXTERNAL PEACEMAKING
AFRICAN LEADERSHIP
ALARMISM AND DESPONDENCY
POLICING AFRICA
GLOBAL INSECURITY ON THE RISE?
10. THE IMPORTANCE OF REGIONAL INTEGRATION FOR AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT.
POLITICAL SOLIDARITY VERSUS ECONOMIC REALITY
NORTH AFRICA AND THE HORN
A SUB-REGIONAL IMPERATIVE.
11. CONCLUSION.
BAD NEWS SELLS
KEY GLOBAL TRENDS
CHINA AND AFRICA
INDIA AND THE VISION OF A DEVELOPMENTAL STATE
GLOBAL THREATS TO PROSPERITY
IMPLICATIONS FOR AFRICA
THE US AND THE UN
FINALLY.
FULL TEXT ON THE ISS WEBSITE.
DIESES SCHRIFTSTUECK WURDE MASCHINELL ERZEUGT.
|
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geographic | Afrika Africa Foreign relations Africa Economic conditions 21st century Africa Politics and government 21st century Africa Social conditions 21st century Afrika (DE-588)4000695-5 gnd |
geographic_facet | Afrika Africa Foreign relations Africa Economic conditions 21st century Africa Politics and government 21st century Africa Social conditions 21st century |
id | DE-604.BV035492030 |
illustrated | Illustrated |
indexdate | 2024-07-09T21:38:49Z |
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language | English |
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physical | VII, 150 S. col. ill., col. maps 21 cm |
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spelling | Cilliers, Jakkie Verfasser aut Africa in the new world how global and domestic developments will impact by 2025 Jakkie Cilliers Tshwane (Pretoria), South Africa Institute for Security Studies 2008 VII, 150 S. col. ill., col. maps 21 cm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier ISS monograph series 151 "The research on which this paper is based was made possible by the generous support of the Royal Danish Government, through their embassy in Pretoria, South Africa." -- P. [iv] of cover. -- "The world is currently experiencing a massive change in the balance of power as influence and industry shift from the West to the East. Whilst African developments will not become a substantive driver and factor in global scenarios in the next two or three decades, the importance of the region will steadily increase. This monograph looks at key shifts that will determine the future of Africa in the world. The first four 'megatrends' constitute those external developments that will impact upon Africa and over which it has little control, namely the global shift of power from West to East, the impact of climate change, globalisation, and state power and interdependence and complexity. The second set of 'African variables' reflects domestic developments: Africa's population dynamics, trade, democratisation/ governance, and peace and stability. Collectively the two sets of factors provide a glimpse of the possible emerging futures for the continent. Africa's future will be determined by its leadership and the choices that are made by Africa's elected and unelected Big Men -- not by the size of their ideas, but in the example they set in the daily decisions about contacts, conflict of interest and democratic accountability." -- P. [iv] of cover. Includes bibliographical references (p. 132-150) Prognose gnd rswk-swf Außenpolitik Globalisierung Klimaänderung Nachhaltigkeit Politik Wirtschaft Balance of power Forecasting Climatic changes Africa Globalization Africa Sustainable development Africa Democracy Africa Sozialer Wandel (DE-588)4077587-2 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd rswk-swf Politischer Wandel (DE-588)4175047-0 gnd rswk-swf Afrika Africa Foreign relations Africa Economic conditions 21st century Africa Politics and government 21st century Africa Social conditions 21st century Afrika (DE-588)4000695-5 gnd rswk-swf Afrika (DE-588)4000695-5 g Politischer Wandel (DE-588)4175047-0 s Prognose z DE-604 Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 s Sozialer Wandel (DE-588)4077587-2 s ISS monograph series 151 (DE-604)BV013399717 151 LoC Fremddatenuebernahme application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=017548412&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Cilliers, Jakkie Africa in the new world how global and domestic developments will impact by 2025 ISS monograph series Außenpolitik Globalisierung Klimaänderung Nachhaltigkeit Politik Wirtschaft Balance of power Forecasting Climatic changes Africa Globalization Africa Sustainable development Africa Democracy Africa Sozialer Wandel (DE-588)4077587-2 gnd Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd Politischer Wandel (DE-588)4175047-0 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4077587-2 (DE-588)4066438-7 (DE-588)4175047-0 (DE-588)4000695-5 |
title | Africa in the new world how global and domestic developments will impact by 2025 |
title_auth | Africa in the new world how global and domestic developments will impact by 2025 |
title_exact_search | Africa in the new world how global and domestic developments will impact by 2025 |
title_full | Africa in the new world how global and domestic developments will impact by 2025 Jakkie Cilliers |
title_fullStr | Africa in the new world how global and domestic developments will impact by 2025 Jakkie Cilliers |
title_full_unstemmed | Africa in the new world how global and domestic developments will impact by 2025 Jakkie Cilliers |
title_short | Africa in the new world |
title_sort | africa in the new world how global and domestic developments will impact by 2025 |
title_sub | how global and domestic developments will impact by 2025 |
topic | Außenpolitik Globalisierung Klimaänderung Nachhaltigkeit Politik Wirtschaft Balance of power Forecasting Climatic changes Africa Globalization Africa Sustainable development Africa Democracy Africa Sozialer Wandel (DE-588)4077587-2 gnd Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd Politischer Wandel (DE-588)4175047-0 gnd |
topic_facet | Außenpolitik Globalisierung Klimaänderung Nachhaltigkeit Politik Wirtschaft Balance of power Forecasting Climatic changes Africa Globalization Africa Sustainable development Africa Democracy Africa Sozialer Wandel Wirtschaftsentwicklung Politischer Wandel Afrika Africa Foreign relations Africa Economic conditions 21st century Africa Politics and government 21st century Africa Social conditions 21st century |
url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=017548412&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
volume_link | (DE-604)BV013399717 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT cilliersjakkie africainthenewworldhowglobalanddomesticdevelopmentswillimpactby2025 |