Global imbalances, exchange rates and oil exporting countries:
Saved in:
| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Thesis Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Wien [u.a.]
LIT
2009
|
| Series: | Schriften zur internationalen Wirtschaftspolitik
6 |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltstext Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Physical Description: | XVI, 181 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9783825818951 9783037358801 |
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MARC
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Record in the Search Index
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| adam_text |
Titel: Global imbalances, exchange rates and oil exporting countries
Autor: Oberpriller, Christian M.
Jahr: 2009
Contents
1 Introduction 3
2 The Current Account, Global Imbalances and Oil 9
2.1 Introduction to the Current Account . 9
2.1.1 A Simple Model of the Current Account. 12
2.1.2 The Stages in the Balance of Payments Theory or Debt Cycle Theory 16
2.2 Global Imbalances . 19
2.2.1 The U.S. Current Account Deficit. 21
2.2.2 Asia's Current Account Surplus. 33
2.2.3 The Oil Exporters' Current Account Surplus and the Role of Oil in
Global Imbalances . 39
2.2.4 Europe and Global Imbalances. 45
2.3 Summary. 48
3 Model and Simulations 49
3.1 The Basic Model. 51
3.1.1 Setup . 51
3.1.2 Calibration . 61
3.1.3 Simulations and Results of the Basic Model . 64
3.2 Valuation Effects and Interest Rate Changes. 71
3.2.1 Extending the Model. 72
3.2.2 Simulation of the Extended Model . 77
3.3 More Scenarios of External Adjustment. 83
3.3.1 Asia: Pegging to the U.S. Dollar or Targeting the Current Account 83
3.3.2 Growth in Traded and Nontraded Goods Sectors and Changes in
Productivity. 86
3.3.3 Increasing Demand for Oil. 88
3.3.4 Effects of Varying Elasticities. 90
3.3.5 Results Summary. 94
3.4 Smooth Adjustment through Valuation Gains. 98
3.4.1 Extending the Model - Balance Sheet Dynamics. 98
3.4.2 Simulation of a Smooth Adjustment Process. 104
3.5 Supply-Side Effects. 108
3.5.1 Modeling the Supply Side. 109
3.5.2 Combining Supply and Demand. 112
3.5.3 Calibration. 113
3.5.4 Simulations. 114
xii Contents
3.5.5 Summary of the Results.118
3.6 Discussion of the Model .121
3.6.1 The Contributions of the Model Analysis.121
3.6.2 What the Model Does Not Do.121
3.6.3 The Model Assumptions.122
4 Principal Findings and Conclusions 127
4.1 Results of the Analysis.127
4.1.1 Evolvement of Global Imbalances.127
4.1.2 Implications of Adjustment .129
4.2 Strategies for Adjustment and Policy Implications.130
4.2.1 United States.131
4.2.2 Asia.131
4.2.3 Oil Exporters.132
4.2.4 Europe.133
4.3 Conclusions.133
Bibliography 135
Appendix 142
A Tables I45
B Simulation Results with Supply-Side Effects 149
C Basic Model Derivation 157
C.I Consumption Allocation.157
C.2 Equilibrium Prices in the Four-Regions Model.*"
C.3 Real Exchange Rates.159
C.4 Market clearing conditions.^9
C.4.1 Normalization.161
C.4.2 Nominal Exchange Rates.164
D Further Model Derivation 169
D.I Smooth Adjustment.169
D.I.I Dynamics of the Balance Sheet .169
D.1.2 Goods Market Clearing Conditions.171
D.2 The Supply Side of the Model.175
D.2.1 Relative Supply of Tradable Output.175
D.2.2 Relative Wages.175
D.2.3 Market Clearing Conditions.177 |
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Oberpriller, Christian M. |
| author_facet | Oberpriller, Christian M. |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Oberpriller, Christian M. |
| author_variant | c m o cm cmo |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV035403715 |
| classification_rvk | QM 330 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)317750825 (DE-599)DNB992849322 |
| dewey-full | 382.17 332.042 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 382 - International commerce (Foreign trade) 332 - Financial economics |
| dewey-raw | 382.17 332.042 |
| dewey-search | 382.17 332.042 |
| dewey-sort | 3382.17 |
| dewey-tens | 380 - Commerce, communications, transportation 330 - Economics |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| format | Thesis Book |
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| spelling | Oberpriller, Christian M. Verfasser aut Global imbalances, exchange rates and oil exporting countries Christian M. Oberpriller Wien [u.a.] LIT 2009 XVI, 181 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Schriften zur internationalen Wirtschaftspolitik 6 Zugl.: Neubiberg, Univ. der Bundeswehr München, Diss., 2008 OPEC (DE-588)75351-8 gnd rswk-swf Erdölförderung stw Kaufkraftparität stw Leistungsbilanz stw OPEC-Staaten stw US-Dollar stw Welt stw Zahlungsbilanzungleichgewicht stw Balance of trade Budget deficits United States Capital movements Leistungsbilanz (DE-588)4140510-9 gnd rswk-swf Weltwirtschaft (DE-588)4065468-0 gnd rswk-swf Realer Wechselkurs (DE-588)4129422-1 gnd rswk-swf Ungleichgewicht (DE-588)4121816-4 gnd rswk-swf USA - Weltwirtschaft - Leistungsbilanz - Ungleichgewicht - Realer Wechselkurs - OPEC USA USA (DE-588)4078704-7 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content USA (DE-588)4078704-7 g Weltwirtschaft (DE-588)4065468-0 s Leistungsbilanz (DE-588)4140510-9 s Ungleichgewicht (DE-588)4121816-4 s Realer Wechselkurs (DE-588)4129422-1 s OPEC (DE-588)75351-8 b DE-604 Schriften zur internationalen Wirtschaftspolitik 6 (DE-604)BV017806026 6 text/html http://deposit.dnb.de/cgi-bin/dokserv?id=3250316&prov=M&dok_var=1&dok_ext=htm Inhaltstext HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=017324322&sequence=000004&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Oberpriller, Christian M. Global imbalances, exchange rates and oil exporting countries Schriften zur internationalen Wirtschaftspolitik OPEC (DE-588)75351-8 gnd Erdölförderung stw Kaufkraftparität stw Leistungsbilanz stw OPEC-Staaten stw US-Dollar stw Welt stw Zahlungsbilanzungleichgewicht stw Balance of trade Budget deficits United States Capital movements Leistungsbilanz (DE-588)4140510-9 gnd Weltwirtschaft (DE-588)4065468-0 gnd Realer Wechselkurs (DE-588)4129422-1 gnd Ungleichgewicht (DE-588)4121816-4 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)75351-8 (DE-588)4140510-9 (DE-588)4065468-0 (DE-588)4129422-1 (DE-588)4121816-4 (DE-588)4078704-7 (DE-588)4113937-9 |
| title | Global imbalances, exchange rates and oil exporting countries |
| title_auth | Global imbalances, exchange rates and oil exporting countries |
| title_exact_search | Global imbalances, exchange rates and oil exporting countries |
| title_full | Global imbalances, exchange rates and oil exporting countries Christian M. Oberpriller |
| title_fullStr | Global imbalances, exchange rates and oil exporting countries Christian M. Oberpriller |
| title_full_unstemmed | Global imbalances, exchange rates and oil exporting countries Christian M. Oberpriller |
| title_short | Global imbalances, exchange rates and oil exporting countries |
| title_sort | global imbalances exchange rates and oil exporting countries |
| topic | OPEC (DE-588)75351-8 gnd Erdölförderung stw Kaufkraftparität stw Leistungsbilanz stw OPEC-Staaten stw US-Dollar stw Welt stw Zahlungsbilanzungleichgewicht stw Balance of trade Budget deficits United States Capital movements Leistungsbilanz (DE-588)4140510-9 gnd Weltwirtschaft (DE-588)4065468-0 gnd Realer Wechselkurs (DE-588)4129422-1 gnd Ungleichgewicht (DE-588)4121816-4 gnd |
| topic_facet | OPEC Erdölförderung Kaufkraftparität Leistungsbilanz OPEC-Staaten US-Dollar Welt Zahlungsbilanzungleichgewicht Balance of trade Budget deficits United States Capital movements Weltwirtschaft Realer Wechselkurs Ungleichgewicht USA - Weltwirtschaft - Leistungsbilanz - Ungleichgewicht - Realer Wechselkurs - OPEC USA Hochschulschrift |
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