Macroeconomic consequences of demographic change: modeling issues and applications
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Abschlussarbeit Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Berlin [u.a.]
Springer
2009
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Lecture notes in economics and mathematical systems
621 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XIV, 135 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9783642001451 9783642001468 |
Internformat
MARC
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
1
Introduction
................................................... 1
1.1
Methodology
..............................................
З
1.2
Macroeconomic Consequences of Demographic Change: Focus
and New Aspects
........................................... 5
1.2.1
Global Demographic Change and International Trade
...... 7
1.2.2
Quantifying the Sectoral and Distributional Effects of
Population Aging in Germany
......................... 8
2
Computation of Equilibria in
OLG
Models with Many
Heterogeneous Households
...................................... 11
2.1
Introduction
............................................... 11
2.2
Calibration in CGE models
.................................. 15
2.2.1
CES
Preferences
..................................... 15
2.2.2
The Calibrated Share Form
............................ 16
2.3
CGE with Many Households: A Decomposition Approach
........ 17
2.3.1
A Static Economy
.................................... 17
2.3.2
A Decomposition Algorithm
........................... 18
2.4
Convergence Theory
....................................... 23
2.4.1
Local Convergence
................................... 23
2.4.2
Global Convergence
.................................. 26
2.5 OLG
Models with Many Households
.......................... 28
2.5.1
A Prototype
Auerbach-Kotlikoff OLG
Model
............. 28
2.5.2
A Decomposition Algorithm for
OLG
Models
............ 31
2.5.3
Algorithmic Performance
............................. 37
2.6
Concluding Remarks
........................................ 41
3
Trade Liberalization and Global Demographic Change: A
Quantitative Assessment
........................................ 43
3.1
Introduction
............................................... 43
3.2
Model Formulation
......................................... 47
3.2.1
Heterogeneous Households
............................ 48
Contents
3.2.2
Firms and Production Structure
........................ 50
3.2.3
Feasibility Conditions and Model Closure
................ 51
3.2.4
Equilibrium
......................................... 52
3.3
Calibration and the Nature of Demographic Shocks
.............. 53
3.3.1
Calibration Strategy
.................................. 53
3.3.2
Region-specific Population Dynamics
................... 56
3.4
Model Results and Discussion
................................ 57
3.4.1
Demographic Change in a Two-Sector Economy Under
Autarky
............................................ 57
3.4.2
Globally Unsynchronized Aging Patterns and International
Trade
.............................................. 59
3.4.3
Welfare Effects of Trade Liberalization Under Global
Demographic Change
................................. 61
3.4.4
Aggregate Social Welfare
............................. 66
3.4.5
Sensitivity Analysis
.................................. 67
3.5
Concluding Remarks
........................................ 70
Appendix
...................................................... 73
3.5.1
Steady State Calibration
.............................. 73
3.5.2
Solution Algorithm
................................... 75
Quantifying the Sectoral and Distributional Effects of Demographic
Change in Germany
............................................ 81
4.1
Introduction
............................................... 81
4.2
Model Description
.......................................... 85
4.2.1
Firms
.............................................. 86
4.2.2
Foreign Trade
....................................... 88
4.2.3
Households
......................................... 89
4.2.4
Government
......................................... 93
4.2.5
Market Clearing Conditions and Model Closure
........... 94
4.2.6
Equilibrium
......................................... 96
4.3
Calibration and Data
........................................ 96
4.3.1
Numerical Implementation
............................ 97
4.3.2
Thought Experiment and Calibration of the Model
........ 98
4.3.3
Input-Output Data
................................... 99
4.3.4
Representation of the Household Sector
.................100
4.3.5
Demographic Projections
.............................102
4.3.6
Calibration of Free Parameters
.........................102
4.3.7
Government
.........................................104
4.4
Results of the Benchmark Model
..............................104
4.4.)
Macroeconomic Effects of Population Aging
.............104
4.4.2
Sectoral Change During the Demographic Transition
......106
4.4.3
Distributional and Welfare Consequences of the
Demographic Transition
..............................109
4.5
Sensitivity Analysis
.........................................113
Contents xi
4.5.1
Age-specific Preferences: How Important Are Structural
Changes in Final Consumption Demand
?................114
4.5.2
Piecemeal Sensitivity Analysis
.........................117
4.6
Concluding Remarks
........................................118
Appendix
1 ....................................................121
Appendix
2....................................................121
5
Concluding Remarks
...........................................125
References
.........................................................129
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Rausch, Sebastian |
| author_facet | Rausch, Sebastian |
| author_role | aut |
| author_sort | Rausch, Sebastian |
| author_variant | s r sr |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV035344881 |
| classification_rvk | QU 000 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)434510210 (DE-599)DNB992155932 |
| dewey-full | 339.5 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 339 - Macroeconomics and related topics |
| dewey-raw | 339.5 |
| dewey-search | 339.5 |
| dewey-sort | 3339.5 |
| dewey-tens | 330 - Economics |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| format | Thesis Book |
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| spelling | Rausch, Sebastian Verfasser aut Macroeconomic consequences of demographic change modeling issues and applications Sebastian Rausch Berlin [u.a.] Springer 2009 XIV, 135 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Lecture notes in economics and mathematical systems 621 Teilw. zugl.: Duisburg-Essen, Univ., Diss., 2008 Makroökonomisches Modell (DE-588)4074486-3 gnd rswk-swf Allgemeines Gleichgewicht (DE-588)4129904-8 gnd rswk-swf Bevölkerungsrückgang (DE-588)4194892-0 gnd rswk-swf Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd rswk-swf Mehrgenerationenmodell (DE-588)4215762-6 gnd rswk-swf Deutschland (DE-588)4011882-4 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 s Mehrgenerationenmodell (DE-588)4215762-6 s Allgemeines Gleichgewicht (DE-588)4129904-8 s Makroökonomisches Modell (DE-588)4074486-3 s DE-604 Deutschland (DE-588)4011882-4 g Bevölkerungsrückgang (DE-588)4194892-0 s 1\p DE-604 Lecture notes in economics and mathematical systems 621 (DE-604)BV000000036 621 Digitalisierung UB Regensburg application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=017149122&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Rausch, Sebastian Macroeconomic consequences of demographic change modeling issues and applications Lecture notes in economics and mathematical systems Makroökonomisches Modell (DE-588)4074486-3 gnd Allgemeines Gleichgewicht (DE-588)4129904-8 gnd Bevölkerungsrückgang (DE-588)4194892-0 gnd Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd Mehrgenerationenmodell (DE-588)4215762-6 gnd |
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| title | Macroeconomic consequences of demographic change modeling issues and applications |
| title_auth | Macroeconomic consequences of demographic change modeling issues and applications |
| title_exact_search | Macroeconomic consequences of demographic change modeling issues and applications |
| title_full | Macroeconomic consequences of demographic change modeling issues and applications Sebastian Rausch |
| title_fullStr | Macroeconomic consequences of demographic change modeling issues and applications Sebastian Rausch |
| title_full_unstemmed | Macroeconomic consequences of demographic change modeling issues and applications Sebastian Rausch |
| title_short | Macroeconomic consequences of demographic change |
| title_sort | macroeconomic consequences of demographic change modeling issues and applications |
| title_sub | modeling issues and applications |
| topic | Makroökonomisches Modell (DE-588)4074486-3 gnd Allgemeines Gleichgewicht (DE-588)4129904-8 gnd Bevölkerungsrückgang (DE-588)4194892-0 gnd Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd Mehrgenerationenmodell (DE-588)4215762-6 gnd |
| topic_facet | Makroökonomisches Modell Allgemeines Gleichgewicht Bevölkerungsrückgang Bevölkerungsentwicklung Mehrgenerationenmodell Deutschland Hochschulschrift |
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| volume_link | (DE-604)BV000000036 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT rauschsebastian macroeconomicconsequencesofdemographicchangemodelingissuesandapplications |