Economics and the future: time and discounting in private and public decision making
Gespeichert in:
| Weitere Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Cheltenham [u.a.]
Elgar
2006
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XIII, 182 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9781843767558 1843767554 |
Internformat
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Economics and the future |b time and discounting in private and public decision making |c ed. by David J. Pannell ... |
| 264 | 1 | |a Cheltenham [u.a.] |b Elgar |c 2006 | |
| 300 | |a XIII, 182 S. |b graph. Darst. | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
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| 650 | 4 | |a Entscheidungstheorie / Zeitpräferenz / Einnahmen / Kosten / Abzinsung / Nachhaltige Entwicklung / Wirtschaftsmodell | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804138002134335488 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
List of figures v
List of tables **
List of contributors xl
Preface xiii
1. Time and discounting in economic decision making 1
David J. Pannell and Steven G.M. Schilizzi
2. Investigating net benefits from alternative uses of resources 13
Bill Malcolm
3. Avoiding simplistic assumptions in discounting cash flows for
private decisions 25
David J. Pannell
4. Compounding and discounting under risk: Net present values
and real option values 37
Greg Hertzler
5. Risk, discounting and the public sector 57
John Quiggin
6. Reconsidering reconsidered: Why sustainable discounting need
not be inconsistent over time 9
John C.V. Pezzey
1. Discounting the distant future using short time horizons:
Investments with irreversible benefits
Steven G.M. Schilizzi
8. Discounting future prospects, and the quest for sustainability 97
Alan Randall
9. How should we discount the future? An environmental
121
perspective
Michael D. Young and Darla Hatton MacDonald
10. Discounting the future
Cedric Philibert
v
vi Economics and the Future
11. Discounting the distant future: Why so many voices and so
little consensus? 149
Steven G.M. Schilizzi
12. Time will tell: Pending questions on discounting 169
Steven G.M. Schilizzi and David J. Pannell
Index 177
List of figures
4.1 Compound factor and its inverse 40
4.2 Compound and discount factors without risk 41
4.3 Expected compound factor 42
4.4 Compound and discount factors with risk 43
4.5 Boundary condition for a net present value 46
4.6 Net present value as a real option 46
4.7 Marginal damage costs and a threshold of damage 48
4.8 The option value of emission abatement 49
6.1 Conventional and alternative approaches to discount factors
used to reconsider future plans 72
7.1 Value of as a function of /0, given m and n = 1, and
damage costs C, over time, given r = 1 per cent, /0= 0.85 and
= 0.62 85
7.2 The case of a short-term inverse U-shaped curve, with r = 3
per cent and 70 = 0.85, yielding = 0.62 per cent as per
equation (7.10a) 89
7.3 The case of a long-term inverse U-shaped curve, monotonic
in the short run, with r = 3 per cent and /0 = 0.10, yielding
§, = 0.10 per cent 89
7.4 The case of a monotonic falling risk curve, with r = 3 per
cent and /0 = 1.5, yielding £ = 0.92 per cent 90
7.5 The case of a monotonic rising risk curve, with r = 0.5 per
cent and Io = 0.10, yielding $ = 0.10 per cent 92
8.1 Welfare defined as a function of consumption over time may
be increasing (C,) or decreasing (C2), depending on initial
conditions, but in either case a policy of interest rate
suppression (from i i to i2) harms future prospects 103
8.2 Optimal time paths of consumption from a fixed endowment 105
8.3a Life cycle income (Y) and consumption (C): labour income
only 105
vii
viii Economics and the Future
8.3b Life cycle income (Y) and consumption (C): income from
labour and investment 106
8.4 A time-neutral consumer with wealth W is induced to save
(that is, consumption C2 Q) by a positive interest rate 107
8.5 The social discount rate r approaches MEC for small
investment projects, and converges toward g as the project
becomes large and/or the time horizon lengthens 110
8.6 Hyperbolic discounting 115
8.7 Time inconsistency 116
8.8 An individual with a time-inconsistency problem with
donuts is able to deal consistently with periodic replacement
of consumer durables 116
11.1 The trinity of time, uncertainty and equity 164
List of tables
3.1 Annual profit per unit area (A !) for the three farming
systems pre-tax, assuming no productivity growth and
constant real prices 32
3.2 Investment analysis results for usual simple assumptions
(A 1) 32
3.3 Investment analysis results for alternative assumptions about
the profit series (A 1) 33
7.1 Risk reduction ratio (RR) at t = 30 years with r = 4 and
initial R = 100 88
7.2 Risk outcomes as a function of short-term (f T)
optimization (all potential cases) 92
7.3 How T* decreases with r whereas I*(T*) varies little 93
ix
|
| adam_txt |
Contents
List of figures v"
List of tables **
List of contributors xl
Preface xiii
1. Time and discounting in economic decision making 1
David J. Pannell and Steven G.M. Schilizzi
2. Investigating net benefits from alternative uses of resources 13
Bill Malcolm
3. Avoiding simplistic assumptions in discounting cash flows for
private decisions 25
David J. Pannell
4. Compounding and discounting under risk: Net present values
and real option values 37
Greg Hertzler
5. Risk, discounting and the public sector 57
John Quiggin
6. Reconsidering reconsidered: Why sustainable discounting need
not be inconsistent over time "9
John C.V. Pezzey
1. Discounting the distant future using short time horizons:
Investments with irreversible benefits ''
Steven G.M. Schilizzi
8. Discounting future prospects, and the quest for sustainability 97
Alan Randall
9. How should we discount the future? An environmental
121
perspective
Michael D. Young and Darla Hatton MacDonald
10. Discounting the future
Cedric Philibert
v
vi Economics and the Future
11. Discounting the distant future: Why so many voices and so
little consensus? 149
Steven G.M. Schilizzi
12. Time will tell: Pending questions on discounting 169
Steven G.M. Schilizzi and David J. Pannell
Index 177
List of figures
4.1 Compound factor and its inverse 40
4.2 Compound and discount factors without risk 41
4.3 Expected compound factor 42
4.4 Compound and discount factors with risk 43
4.5 Boundary condition for a net present value 46
4.6 Net present value as a real option 46
4.7 Marginal damage costs and a threshold of damage 48
4.8 The option value of emission abatement 49
6.1 Conventional and alternative approaches to discount factors
used to reconsider future plans 72
7.1 Value of as a function of /0, given m and n = 1, and
damage costs C, over time, given r = 1 per cent, /0= 0.85 and
= 0.62 85
7.2 The case of a short-term inverse U-shaped curve, with r = 3
per cent and 70 = 0.85, yielding = 0.62 per cent as per
equation (7.10a) 89
7.3 The case of a long-term inverse U-shaped curve, monotonic
in the short run, with r = 3 per cent and /0 = 0.10, yielding
§, = 0.10 per cent 89
7.4 The case of a monotonic falling risk curve, with r = 3 per
cent and /0 = 1.5, yielding £ = 0.92 per cent 90
7.5 The case of a monotonic rising risk curve, with r = 0.5 per
cent and Io = 0.10, yielding \$ = 0.10 per cent 92
8.1 Welfare defined as a function of consumption over time may
be increasing (C,) or decreasing (C2), depending on initial
conditions, but in either case a policy of interest rate
suppression (from i'i to i2) harms future prospects 103
8.2 Optimal time paths of consumption from a fixed endowment 105
8.3a Life cycle income (Y) and consumption (C): labour income
only 105
vii
viii Economics and the Future
8.3b Life cycle income (Y) and consumption (C): income from
labour and investment 106
8.4 A time-neutral consumer with wealth W is induced to save
(that is, consumption C2 Q) by a positive interest rate 107
8.5 The social discount rate r approaches MEC for small
investment projects, and converges toward g as the project
becomes large and/or the time horizon lengthens 110
8.6 Hyperbolic discounting 115
8.7 Time inconsistency 116
8.8 An individual with a time-inconsistency problem with
donuts is able to deal consistently with periodic replacement
of consumer durables 116
11.1 The trinity of time, uncertainty and equity 164
List of tables
3.1 Annual profit per unit area (A\"!) for the three farming
systems pre-tax, assuming no productivity growth and
constant real prices 32
3.2 Investment analysis results for usual simple assumptions
(A\"1) 32
3.3 Investment analysis results for alternative assumptions about
the profit series (A\"1) 33
7.1 Risk reduction ratio (RR) at t = 30 years with r = 4 and
initial R = 100 88
7.2 Risk outcomes as a function of short-term (f T)
optimization (all potential cases) 92
7.3 How T* decreases with r whereas I*(T*) varies little 93
ix |
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| id | DE-604.BV035058840 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-02T21:59:43Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T21:21:15Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 9781843767558 1843767554 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-016727378 |
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| physical | XIII, 182 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 2006 |
| publishDateSearch | 2006 |
| publishDateSort | 2006 |
| publisher | Elgar |
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| spelling | Economics and the future time and discounting in private and public decision making ed. by David J. Pannell ... Cheltenham [u.a.] Elgar 2006 XIII, 182 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Entscheidungstheorie / Zeitpräferenz / Einnahmen / Kosten / Abzinsung / Nachhaltige Entwicklung / Wirtschaftsmodell Zukunft (DE-588)4068097-6 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidungsverhalten (DE-588)4113448-5 gnd rswk-swf Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 gnd rswk-swf Zeitfaktor (DE-588)4190602-0 gnd rswk-swf Zeitpräferenz (DE-588)4190616-0 gnd rswk-swf Abzinsung (DE-588)4205165-4 gnd rswk-swf Kosten-Nutzen-Analyse (DE-588)4032589-1 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4143413-4 Aufsatzsammlung gnd-content Aufsatzsammlung - Entscheidungstheorie - Zeitpräferenz - Abzinsung Kosten-Nutzen-Analyse (DE-588)4032589-1 s Zeitfaktor (DE-588)4190602-0 s Entscheidungsverhalten (DE-588)4113448-5 s DE-604 Zeitpräferenz (DE-588)4190616-0 s Zukunft (DE-588)4068097-6 s Abzinsung (DE-588)4205165-4 s Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 s 1\p DE-604 Pannell, David J. 1960- (DE-588)133340805 edt HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016727378&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Economics and the future time and discounting in private and public decision making Entscheidungstheorie / Zeitpräferenz / Einnahmen / Kosten / Abzinsung / Nachhaltige Entwicklung / Wirtschaftsmodell Zukunft (DE-588)4068097-6 gnd Entscheidungsverhalten (DE-588)4113448-5 gnd Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 gnd Zeitfaktor (DE-588)4190602-0 gnd Zeitpräferenz (DE-588)4190616-0 gnd Abzinsung (DE-588)4205165-4 gnd Kosten-Nutzen-Analyse (DE-588)4032589-1 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4068097-6 (DE-588)4113448-5 (DE-588)4138606-1 (DE-588)4190602-0 (DE-588)4190616-0 (DE-588)4205165-4 (DE-588)4032589-1 (DE-588)4143413-4 |
| title | Economics and the future time and discounting in private and public decision making |
| title_auth | Economics and the future time and discounting in private and public decision making |
| title_exact_search | Economics and the future time and discounting in private and public decision making |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Economics and the future time and discounting in private and public decision making |
| title_full | Economics and the future time and discounting in private and public decision making ed. by David J. Pannell ... |
| title_fullStr | Economics and the future time and discounting in private and public decision making ed. by David J. Pannell ... |
| title_full_unstemmed | Economics and the future time and discounting in private and public decision making ed. by David J. Pannell ... |
| title_short | Economics and the future |
| title_sort | economics and the future time and discounting in private and public decision making |
| title_sub | time and discounting in private and public decision making |
| topic | Entscheidungstheorie / Zeitpräferenz / Einnahmen / Kosten / Abzinsung / Nachhaltige Entwicklung / Wirtschaftsmodell Zukunft (DE-588)4068097-6 gnd Entscheidungsverhalten (DE-588)4113448-5 gnd Entscheidungstheorie (DE-588)4138606-1 gnd Zeitfaktor (DE-588)4190602-0 gnd Zeitpräferenz (DE-588)4190616-0 gnd Abzinsung (DE-588)4205165-4 gnd Kosten-Nutzen-Analyse (DE-588)4032589-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | Entscheidungstheorie / Zeitpräferenz / Einnahmen / Kosten / Abzinsung / Nachhaltige Entwicklung / Wirtschaftsmodell Zukunft Entscheidungsverhalten Entscheidungstheorie Zeitfaktor Zeitpräferenz Abzinsung Kosten-Nutzen-Analyse Aufsatzsammlung Aufsatzsammlung - Entscheidungstheorie - Zeitpräferenz - Abzinsung |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016727378&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT pannelldavidj economicsandthefuturetimeanddiscountinginprivateandpublicdecisionmaking |