Making social sciences more scientific: the need for predictive models
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Oxford [u.a.]
Oxford Univ. Press
2008
|
| Ausgabe: | 1. publ. |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | XV, 254 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 9780199534661 |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Contents
List of Figures
xiii
List of Tables
xv
Part I. The Limitations of Descriptive Methodology
1.
Why Social Sciences Are Not Scientific Enough
3
2.
Can Social Science Approaches Find the Law of Gravitation?
14
3.
How to Construct Predictive Models: Simplicity
and Nonabsurdity
23
4.
Example of Model Building: Electoral Volatility
34
5.
Physicists Multiply, Social Scientists Add
—
Even When It Does
Not Add Up
52
6.
All Hypotheses Are Not Created Equal
71
7.
Why Most Numbers Published in Social Sciences Are Dead
on Arrival
82
Part II. Quantitatively Predictive Logical Models
8.
Forbidden Areas and Anchor Points
95
9.
Geometric Means and Lognormal Distributions
120
10.
Example of Interlocking Models: Party Sizes and
Cabinet Duration
130
11.
Beyond Constraint-Based Models: Communication Channels
and Growth Rates
139
12.
Why We Should Shift to Symmetric Regression
154
13.
All Indices Are Not Created Equal
176
Contents
Part III. Synthesis of Predictive and Descriptive Approaches
14.
From Descriptive to Predictive Approaches
187
15.
Recommendations for Better Regression
199
16.
Converting from Descriptive Analysis to Predictive Models
215
17.
Are Electoral Studies
a Rosetta
Stone for Parts of
Social Sciences?
225
18.
Beyond Regression: The Need for Predictive Models
236
References
241
Index
249
|
| adam_txt |
Contents
List of Figures
xiii
List of Tables
xv
Part I. The Limitations of Descriptive Methodology
1.
Why Social Sciences Are Not Scientific Enough
3
2.
Can Social Science Approaches Find the Law of Gravitation?
14
3.
How to Construct Predictive Models: Simplicity
and Nonabsurdity
23
4.
Example of Model Building: Electoral Volatility
34
5.
Physicists Multiply, Social Scientists Add
—
Even When It Does
Not Add Up
52
6.
All Hypotheses Are Not Created Equal
71
7.
Why Most Numbers Published in Social Sciences Are Dead
on Arrival
82
Part II. Quantitatively Predictive Logical Models
8.
Forbidden Areas and Anchor Points
95
9.
Geometric Means and Lognormal Distributions
120
10.
Example of Interlocking Models: Party Sizes and
Cabinet Duration
130
11.
Beyond Constraint-Based Models: Communication Channels
and Growth Rates
139
12.
Why We Should Shift to Symmetric Regression
154
13.
All Indices Are Not Created Equal
176
Contents
Part III. Synthesis of Predictive and Descriptive Approaches
14.
From Descriptive to Predictive Approaches
187
15.
Recommendations for Better Regression
199
16.
Converting from Descriptive Analysis to Predictive Models
215
17.
Are Electoral Studies
a Rosetta
Stone for Parts of
Social Sciences?
225
18.
Beyond Regression: The Need for Predictive Models
236
References
241
Index
249 |
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| author | Taagepera, Rein 1933- |
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| bvnumber | BV035019191 |
| callnumber-first | H - Social Science |
| callnumber-label | H62 |
| callnumber-raw | H62 |
| callnumber-search | H62 |
| callnumber-sort | H 262 |
| callnumber-subject | H - Social Science |
| classification_rvk | MB 2300 MR 2000 MR 2100 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)216938520 (DE-599)BVBBV035019191 |
| dewey-full | 300.72 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-raw | 300.72 |
| dewey-search | 300.72 |
| dewey-sort | 3300.72 |
| dewey-tens | 300 - Social sciences |
| discipline | Soziologie Politologie |
| discipline_str_mv | Soziologie Politologie |
| edition | 1. publ. |
| format | Book |
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| spelling | Taagepera, Rein 1933- Verfasser (DE-588)142884804 aut Making social sciences more scientific the need for predictive models Rein Taagepera 1. publ. Oxford [u.a.] Oxford Univ. Press 2008 XV, 254 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Modellen (theorie) gtt Sociaal-wetenschappelijk onderzoek gtt Voorspellingen gtt Sozialwissenschaften Social sciences Fieldwork Social sciences Methodology Social sciences Research Sociology Methodology Sociology Research Quantitative Methode (DE-588)4232139-6 gnd rswk-swf Forschungsmethode (DE-588)4155046-8 gnd rswk-swf Methodologie (DE-588)4139716-2 gnd rswk-swf Sozialwissenschaften (DE-588)4055916-6 gnd rswk-swf Modellierung (DE-588)4170297-9 gnd rswk-swf Soziologie (DE-588)4077624-4 gnd rswk-swf Methode (DE-588)4038971-6 gnd rswk-swf Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd rswk-swf Sozialwissenschaften (DE-588)4055916-6 s Methode (DE-588)4038971-6 s DE-604 Forschungsmethode (DE-588)4155046-8 s DE-188 Soziologie (DE-588)4077624-4 s Modellierung (DE-588)4170297-9 s Quantitative Methode (DE-588)4232139-6 s Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 s Methodologie (DE-588)4139716-2 s Digitalisierung UB Regensburg application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=016688335&sequence=000004&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Taagepera, Rein 1933- Making social sciences more scientific the need for predictive models Modellen (theorie) gtt Sociaal-wetenschappelijk onderzoek gtt Voorspellingen gtt Sozialwissenschaften Social sciences Fieldwork Social sciences Methodology Social sciences Research Sociology Methodology Sociology Research Quantitative Methode (DE-588)4232139-6 gnd Forschungsmethode (DE-588)4155046-8 gnd Methodologie (DE-588)4139716-2 gnd Sozialwissenschaften (DE-588)4055916-6 gnd Modellierung (DE-588)4170297-9 gnd Soziologie (DE-588)4077624-4 gnd Methode (DE-588)4038971-6 gnd Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4232139-6 (DE-588)4155046-8 (DE-588)4139716-2 (DE-588)4055916-6 (DE-588)4170297-9 (DE-588)4077624-4 (DE-588)4038971-6 (DE-588)4047390-9 |
| title | Making social sciences more scientific the need for predictive models |
| title_auth | Making social sciences more scientific the need for predictive models |
| title_exact_search | Making social sciences more scientific the need for predictive models |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Making social sciences more scientific the need for predictive models |
| title_full | Making social sciences more scientific the need for predictive models Rein Taagepera |
| title_fullStr | Making social sciences more scientific the need for predictive models Rein Taagepera |
| title_full_unstemmed | Making social sciences more scientific the need for predictive models Rein Taagepera |
| title_short | Making social sciences more scientific |
| title_sort | making social sciences more scientific the need for predictive models |
| title_sub | the need for predictive models |
| topic | Modellen (theorie) gtt Sociaal-wetenschappelijk onderzoek gtt Voorspellingen gtt Sozialwissenschaften Social sciences Fieldwork Social sciences Methodology Social sciences Research Sociology Methodology Sociology Research Quantitative Methode (DE-588)4232139-6 gnd Forschungsmethode (DE-588)4155046-8 gnd Methodologie (DE-588)4139716-2 gnd Sozialwissenschaften (DE-588)4055916-6 gnd Modellierung (DE-588)4170297-9 gnd Soziologie (DE-588)4077624-4 gnd Methode (DE-588)4038971-6 gnd Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd |
| topic_facet | Modellen (theorie) Sociaal-wetenschappelijk onderzoek Voorspellingen Sozialwissenschaften Social sciences Fieldwork Social sciences Methodology Social sciences Research Sociology Methodology Sociology Research Quantitative Methode Forschungsmethode Methodologie Modellierung Soziologie Methode Prognose |
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