Predictability of weather and climate:
The topic of predictability in weather and climate has advanced significantly in recent years, both in understanding the phenomena that affect weather and climate and in techniques used to model and forecast them. This book, first published in 2006, brings together some of the world's leading e...
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| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
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Cambridge [u.a.]
Cambridge University Press
2008
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| Ausgabe: | Reprinted |
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| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Zusammenfassung: | The topic of predictability in weather and climate has advanced significantly in recent years, both in understanding the phenomena that affect weather and climate and in techniques used to model and forecast them. This book, first published in 2006, brings together some of the world's leading experts on predicting weather and climate. It addresses predictability from the theoretical to the practical, on timescales from days to decades. Topics such as the predictability of weather phenomena, coupled ocean-atmosphere systems and anthropogenic climate change are among those included. Ensemble systems for forecasting predictability are discussed extensively. Ed Lorenz, father of chaos theory, makes a contribution to theoretical analysis with a previously unpublished paper. This well-balanced volume will be a valuable resource for many years. High-calibre chapter authors and extensive subject coverage make it valuable to people with an interest in weather and climate forecasting and environmental science, from graduate students to researchers |
| Beschreibung: | XV, 702 S. Ill., zahlr. graph. Darst., Kt. |
| ISBN: | 0521848822 9780521848824 |
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| 505 | 8 | |a Ch. 1. Predictability of weather and climate : from theory to practice / T.N. Palmer -- Ch. 2. Predictability from a dynamical meteorological perspective / Brian Hoskins -- Ch. 3. Predictability -- a problem partly solved / Edward N. Lorenz -- Ch. 4. The Liouville equation and atmospheric predictability / Martin Ehrendorfer -- Ch. 5. Application of generalised stability theory to deterministic and statistical prediction / Petros J. Ioannou and Brian F. Farrell -- Ch. 6. Ensemble-based atmospheric data assimilation / Thomas M. Hamill -- Ch. 7. Ensemble forecasting and data assimilation : two problems with the same solution? / Eugenia Kalnay, Brian Hunt, Edward Ott and Isrvan Szunyogh -- Ch. 8. Approximating optimal state estimation / Brian F. Farrell and Petros J. Ioannou -- Ch. 9. Predictability past, predictability present / Leonard A. Smith -- Ch. 10. Predictability of coupled processes / Axel Timmermann and Fei-Fei Jin -- | |
| 505 | 8 | |a Ch. 11. Predictability of tropical intraseasonal variability / Duane E. Waliser -- Ch. 12. Predictability of seasonal climate variations : a pedagogical review / J. Shukla and J.L. Kinter III -- Ch. 13. Predictability of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation / Mojib Latif, Holger Pohlmann and Wonsun Park -- Ch. 14. On the predictability of flow-regime properties on interannual to interdecadal timescales / Franco Molteni, Fred Kucharski and Susanna Corti -- Ch. 15. Model error in weather and climate forecasting / Myles Allen, David Frame, Jamie Kettleborough and David Stainforth -- Ch. 16. Observations, assimilation and the improvement of global weather prediction -- some results from operational forecasting and ERA-40 / Adrian J. Simmons -- Ch. 17. The ECMWF ensemble prediction system / Roberto Buizza -- Ch. 18. Limited-area ensemble forecasting : the COSMO-LEPS system / Stefano Tibaldi, Tiziana Paccagnella, Chiara Marsigli, Andrea Montani and Fabrizio Nerozzi -- | |
| 505 | 8 | |a Ch. 19. Operational seasonal prediction / David L.T. Anderson -- Ch. 20. Weather and seasonal climate forecasts using the superensemble approach / T.N. Krishnamurti, T.S.V. Vijaya Kumar, Won-Tae Yun, Arun Chakraborty and Lydia Stefanova -- Ch. 21. Predictability and targeted observations / Alan Thorpe and Guorun Nina Petersen -- Ch. 22. The attributes of forecast systems : a general framework for the evaluation and calibration of weather forecasts / Zoltan Toth, Olivier Talagrand and Yuejian Zhu -- Ch. 23. Predictability from a forecast provider's perspective / Ken Mylne -- Ch. 24. Ensemble forecasts : can they provide useful early warnings? / Francois Lalaurette and Gerald van der Grijn -- Ch. 25. Predictability and economic value / David S. Richardson -- Ch. 26. A three-tier overlapping prediction scheme : tools for strategic and tactical decisions in the developing world / Peter J. Webster, T. Hopson, C. Hoyos, A. Subbiah, H.-R. Chang and R. Grossman -- | |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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IMAGE 1
PREDICTABILITY OF
WEATHER AND CLIMATE
EDITED BY TIM PALMER AND RENATE HAGEDORN EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR
MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS, READING, UK
CAMBRIDGE UNIVERSITY PRESS
IMAGE 2
CONTENTS
LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS VIII PREFACE XIII
CHAPTER 1 PREDICTABILITY OF WEATHER AND CLIMATE: FROM THEORY TO PRACTICE
1 T. N. PALMER
CHAPTER 2 PREDICTABILITY FROM A DYNAMICAL METEOROLOGICAL PERSPECTIVE 30
BRIAN HOSKINS
CHAPTER 3 PREDICTABILITY - A PROBLEM PARTLY SOLVED 40 EDWARD N. LORENZ
CHAPTER 4 THE LIOUVILLE EQUATION AND ATMOSPHERIC PREDICTABILITY 59
MARTIN EHRENDORFER
CHAPTER 5 APPLICATION OF GENERALISED STABILITY THEORY TO DETERMINISTIC
AND STATISTICAL PREDICTION 99 PETROS J. IOANNOU AND BRIAN F. FARRELL
CHAPTER 6 ENSEMBLE-BASED ATMOSPHERIC DATA ASSIMILATION 124 THOMAS M.
HAMILL
CHAPTER 7 ENSEMBLE FORECASTING AND DATA ASSIMILATION: TWO PROBLEMS WITH
THE SAME SOLUTION? 157 EUGENIA KALNAY, BRIAN HUNT, EDWARD OTT AND ISTVAN
SZUNYOGH
CHAPTERS APPROXIMATING OPTIMAL STATE ESTIMATION 181 BRIAN F. FARRELL AND
PETROS J. IOANNOU
CHAPTER 9 PREDICTABILITY PAST, PREDICTABILITY PRESENT 217 LEONARD A.
SMITH
IMAGE 3
CONTENTS
CHAPTER 10 PREDICTABILITY OF COUPLED PROCESSES 251 AXEL TIMMERMANN AND
FEI-FEI JIN
CHAPTER 11 PREDICTABILITY OF TROPICAL INTRASEASONAL VARIABILITY 275
DUANE E. WALISER
CHAPTER 12 PREDICTABILITY OF SEASONAL CLIMATE VARIATIONS: A PEDAGOGICAL
REVIEW 306 J. SHUKLA AND J. L. KINTER III
CHAPTER 13 PREDICTABILITY OF THE NORTH ATLANTIC THERMOHALINE CIRCULATION
342 MOJIB LATIF, HOLGER POHLMANN AND WONSUN PARK
CHAPTER 14 ON THE PREDICTABILITY OF FLOW-REGIME PROPERTIES ON
INTERANNUAL TO INTERDECADAL TIMESCALES 365 FRANCO MOLTENI, FRED
KUCHARSKI AND SUSANNA CORTI
CHAPTER 15 MODEL ERROR IN WEATHER AND CLIMATE FORECASTING 391 MYLES
ALLEN, DAVID FRAME, JAMIE KETTLEBOROUGH AND DAVID STAINFORTH 0 CHAPTER
16 OBSERVATIONS, ASSIMILATION AND THE IMPROVEMENT OF GLOBAL WEATHER
PREDICTION - SOME RESULTS FROM OPERATIONAL FORECASTING AND ERA-40 428
ADRIAN J. SIMMONS
CHAPTER 17 THE ECMWF ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM 459 ROBERTO BUIZZA
CHAPTER 18 LIMITED-AREA ENSEMBLE FORECASTING: THE COSMO-LEPS SYSTEM 489
STEFANO TIBALDI, TIZIANA PACCAGNELLA, CHIARA MARSIGLI, ANDREA MONTANI
AND FABRIZIO NEROZZI R
CHAPTER 19 OPERATIONAL SEASONAL PREDICTION 514 DAVID L. T. ANDERSON
CHAPTER 20 WEATHER AND SEASONAL CLIMATE FORECASTS USING THE
SUPERENSEMBLE APPROACH 532 T. N. KRISHNAMURTI, T. S. V VIJAYA KUMAR,
WON-TAE YUN, ARUN CHAKRABORTY AND LYDIA STEFANOVA
CHAPTER 21 PREDICTABILITY AND TARGETED OBSERVATIONS 561 ALAN THORPE AND
GU6NIN NINA PETERSEN
CHAPTER 22 THE ATTRIBUTES OF FORECAST SYSTEMS: A GENERAL FRAMEWORK FOR
THE EVALUATION AND CALIBRATION OF WEATHER FORECASTS 584 ZOLTAN TOTH,
OLIVIER TALAGRAND AND YUEJIAN ZHU
CHAPTER 23 PREDICTABILITY FROM A FORECAST PROVIDER'S PERSPECTIVE 596 KEN
MYLNE
IMAGE 4
CONTENTS
CHAPTER 24 ENSEMBLE FORECASTS: CAN THEY PROVIDE USEFUL EARLY WARNINGS?
614 FRANCOIS LALAURETTE AND GERALD VAN DER GRIJN
CHAPTER 25 PREDICTABILITY AND ECONOMIC VALUE 628 DAVID S. RICHARDSON
CHAPTER 26 A THREE-TIER OVERLAPPING PREDICTION SCHEME: TOOLS FOR
STRATEGIC AND TACTICAL DECISIONS IN THE DEVELOPING WORLD 645 PETER J.
WEBSTER, T. HOPSON, C. HOYOS, A. SUBBIAH, H.-R. CHANG AND R. GROSSMAN
CHAPTER 27 DEMETER AND THE APPLICATION OF SEASONAL FORECASTS 674 RENATE
HAGEDORN, FRANCISCO J. DOBLAS-REYES AND T. N. PALMER
INDEX 693 THE COLOUR PLATES ARE SITUATED BETWEEN PAGES 364 AND 365. |
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| contents | Ch. 1. Predictability of weather and climate : from theory to practice / T.N. Palmer -- Ch. 2. Predictability from a dynamical meteorological perspective / Brian Hoskins -- Ch. 3. Predictability -- a problem partly solved / Edward N. Lorenz -- Ch. 4. The Liouville equation and atmospheric predictability / Martin Ehrendorfer -- Ch. 5. Application of generalised stability theory to deterministic and statistical prediction / Petros J. Ioannou and Brian F. Farrell -- Ch. 6. Ensemble-based atmospheric data assimilation / Thomas M. Hamill -- Ch. 7. Ensemble forecasting and data assimilation : two problems with the same solution? / Eugenia Kalnay, Brian Hunt, Edward Ott and Isrvan Szunyogh -- Ch. 8. Approximating optimal state estimation / Brian F. Farrell and Petros J. Ioannou -- Ch. 9. Predictability past, predictability present / Leonard A. Smith -- Ch. 10. Predictability of coupled processes / Axel Timmermann and Fei-Fei Jin -- Ch. 11. Predictability of tropical intraseasonal variability / Duane E. Waliser -- Ch. 12. Predictability of seasonal climate variations : a pedagogical review / J. Shukla and J.L. Kinter III -- Ch. 13. Predictability of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation / Mojib Latif, Holger Pohlmann and Wonsun Park -- Ch. 14. On the predictability of flow-regime properties on interannual to interdecadal timescales / Franco Molteni, Fred Kucharski and Susanna Corti -- Ch. 15. Model error in weather and climate forecasting / Myles Allen, David Frame, Jamie Kettleborough and David Stainforth -- Ch. 16. Observations, assimilation and the improvement of global weather prediction -- some results from operational forecasting and ERA-40 / Adrian J. Simmons -- Ch. 17. The ECMWF ensemble prediction system / Roberto Buizza -- Ch. 18. Limited-area ensemble forecasting : the COSMO-LEPS system / Stefano Tibaldi, Tiziana Paccagnella, Chiara Marsigli, Andrea Montani and Fabrizio Nerozzi -- Ch. 19. Operational seasonal prediction / David L.T. Anderson -- Ch. 20. Weather and seasonal climate forecasts using the superensemble approach / T.N. Krishnamurti, T.S.V. Vijaya Kumar, Won-Tae Yun, Arun Chakraborty and Lydia Stefanova -- Ch. 21. Predictability and targeted observations / Alan Thorpe and Guorun Nina Petersen -- Ch. 22. The attributes of forecast systems : a general framework for the evaluation and calibration of weather forecasts / Zoltan Toth, Olivier Talagrand and Yuejian Zhu -- Ch. 23. Predictability from a forecast provider's perspective / Ken Mylne -- Ch. 24. Ensemble forecasts : can they provide useful early warnings? / Francois Lalaurette and Gerald van der Grijn -- Ch. 25. Predictability and economic value / David S. Richardson -- Ch. 26. A three-tier overlapping prediction scheme : tools for strategic and tactical decisions in the developing world / Peter J. Webster, T. Hopson, C. Hoyos, A. Subbiah, H.-R. Chang and R. Grossman -- |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)254564572 (DE-599)GBV560721838 |
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| dewey-search | 551.6365 |
| dewey-sort | 3551.6365 |
| dewey-tens | 550 - Earth sciences |
| discipline | Geologie / Paläontologie Geographie |
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| format | Book |
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| publisher | Cambridge University Press |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Predictability of weather and climate ed. by Tim Palmer ... Reprinted Cambridge [u.a.] Cambridge University Press 2008 XV, 702 S. Ill., zahlr. graph. Darst., Kt. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Ch. 1. Predictability of weather and climate : from theory to practice / T.N. Palmer -- Ch. 2. Predictability from a dynamical meteorological perspective / Brian Hoskins -- Ch. 3. Predictability -- a problem partly solved / Edward N. Lorenz -- Ch. 4. The Liouville equation and atmospheric predictability / Martin Ehrendorfer -- Ch. 5. Application of generalised stability theory to deterministic and statistical prediction / Petros J. Ioannou and Brian F. Farrell -- Ch. 6. Ensemble-based atmospheric data assimilation / Thomas M. Hamill -- Ch. 7. Ensemble forecasting and data assimilation : two problems with the same solution? / Eugenia Kalnay, Brian Hunt, Edward Ott and Isrvan Szunyogh -- Ch. 8. Approximating optimal state estimation / Brian F. Farrell and Petros J. Ioannou -- Ch. 9. Predictability past, predictability present / Leonard A. Smith -- Ch. 10. Predictability of coupled processes / Axel Timmermann and Fei-Fei Jin -- Ch. 11. Predictability of tropical intraseasonal variability / Duane E. Waliser -- Ch. 12. Predictability of seasonal climate variations : a pedagogical review / J. Shukla and J.L. Kinter III -- Ch. 13. Predictability of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation / Mojib Latif, Holger Pohlmann and Wonsun Park -- Ch. 14. On the predictability of flow-regime properties on interannual to interdecadal timescales / Franco Molteni, Fred Kucharski and Susanna Corti -- Ch. 15. Model error in weather and climate forecasting / Myles Allen, David Frame, Jamie Kettleborough and David Stainforth -- Ch. 16. Observations, assimilation and the improvement of global weather prediction -- some results from operational forecasting and ERA-40 / Adrian J. Simmons -- Ch. 17. The ECMWF ensemble prediction system / Roberto Buizza -- Ch. 18. Limited-area ensemble forecasting : the COSMO-LEPS system / Stefano Tibaldi, Tiziana Paccagnella, Chiara Marsigli, Andrea Montani and Fabrizio Nerozzi -- Ch. 19. Operational seasonal prediction / David L.T. Anderson -- Ch. 20. Weather and seasonal climate forecasts using the superensemble approach / T.N. Krishnamurti, T.S.V. Vijaya Kumar, Won-Tae Yun, Arun Chakraborty and Lydia Stefanova -- Ch. 21. Predictability and targeted observations / Alan Thorpe and Guorun Nina Petersen -- Ch. 22. The attributes of forecast systems : a general framework for the evaluation and calibration of weather forecasts / Zoltan Toth, Olivier Talagrand and Yuejian Zhu -- Ch. 23. Predictability from a forecast provider's perspective / Ken Mylne -- Ch. 24. Ensemble forecasts : can they provide useful early warnings? / Francois Lalaurette and Gerald van der Grijn -- Ch. 25. Predictability and economic value / David S. Richardson -- Ch. 26. A three-tier overlapping prediction scheme : tools for strategic and tactical decisions in the developing world / Peter J. Webster, T. Hopson, C. Hoyos, A. Subbiah, H.-R. Chang and R. Grossman -- The topic of predictability in weather and climate has advanced significantly in recent years, both in understanding the phenomena that affect weather and climate and in techniques used to model and forecast them. This book, first published in 2006, brings together some of the world's leading experts on predicting weather and climate. It addresses predictability from the theoretical to the practical, on timescales from days to decades. Topics such as the predictability of weather phenomena, coupled ocean-atmosphere systems and anthropogenic climate change are among those included. Ensemble systems for forecasting predictability are discussed extensively. Ed Lorenz, father of chaos theory, makes a contribution to theoretical analysis with a previously unpublished paper. This well-balanced volume will be a valuable resource for many years. High-calibre chapter authors and extensive subject coverage make it valuable to people with an interest in weather and climate forecasting and environmental science, from graduate students to researchers Weather forecasting Probability forecasts (Meteorology) Wettervorhersage (DE-588)4079256-0 gnd rswk-swf Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4143413-4 Aufsatzsammlung gnd-content Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 s Wettervorhersage (DE-588)4079256-0 s 1\p DE-604 Palmer, Tim N. (DE-588)141822384 edt http://www.gbv.de/dms/goettingen/515566438.pdf kostenfrei Inhaltsverzeichnis GBV Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=022454343&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Predictability of weather and climate Weather forecasting Probability forecasts (Meteorology) Wettervorhersage (DE-588)4079256-0 gnd Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 gnd Ch. 1. Predictability of weather and climate : from theory to practice / T.N. Palmer -- Ch. 2. Predictability from a dynamical meteorological perspective / Brian Hoskins -- Ch. 3. Predictability -- a problem partly solved / Edward N. Lorenz -- Ch. 4. The Liouville equation and atmospheric predictability / Martin Ehrendorfer -- Ch. 5. Application of generalised stability theory to deterministic and statistical prediction / Petros J. Ioannou and Brian F. Farrell -- Ch. 6. Ensemble-based atmospheric data assimilation / Thomas M. Hamill -- Ch. 7. Ensemble forecasting and data assimilation : two problems with the same solution? / Eugenia Kalnay, Brian Hunt, Edward Ott and Isrvan Szunyogh -- Ch. 8. Approximating optimal state estimation / Brian F. Farrell and Petros J. Ioannou -- Ch. 9. Predictability past, predictability present / Leonard A. Smith -- Ch. 10. Predictability of coupled processes / Axel Timmermann and Fei-Fei Jin -- Ch. 11. Predictability of tropical intraseasonal variability / Duane E. Waliser -- Ch. 12. Predictability of seasonal climate variations : a pedagogical review / J. Shukla and J.L. Kinter III -- Ch. 13. Predictability of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation / Mojib Latif, Holger Pohlmann and Wonsun Park -- Ch. 14. On the predictability of flow-regime properties on interannual to interdecadal timescales / Franco Molteni, Fred Kucharski and Susanna Corti -- Ch. 15. Model error in weather and climate forecasting / Myles Allen, David Frame, Jamie Kettleborough and David Stainforth -- Ch. 16. Observations, assimilation and the improvement of global weather prediction -- some results from operational forecasting and ERA-40 / Adrian J. Simmons -- Ch. 17. The ECMWF ensemble prediction system / Roberto Buizza -- Ch. 18. Limited-area ensemble forecasting : the COSMO-LEPS system / Stefano Tibaldi, Tiziana Paccagnella, Chiara Marsigli, Andrea Montani and Fabrizio Nerozzi -- Ch. 19. Operational seasonal prediction / David L.T. Anderson -- Ch. 20. Weather and seasonal climate forecasts using the superensemble approach / T.N. Krishnamurti, T.S.V. Vijaya Kumar, Won-Tae Yun, Arun Chakraborty and Lydia Stefanova -- Ch. 21. Predictability and targeted observations / Alan Thorpe and Guorun Nina Petersen -- Ch. 22. The attributes of forecast systems : a general framework for the evaluation and calibration of weather forecasts / Zoltan Toth, Olivier Talagrand and Yuejian Zhu -- Ch. 23. Predictability from a forecast provider's perspective / Ken Mylne -- Ch. 24. Ensemble forecasts : can they provide useful early warnings? / Francois Lalaurette and Gerald van der Grijn -- Ch. 25. Predictability and economic value / David S. Richardson -- Ch. 26. A three-tier overlapping prediction scheme : tools for strategic and tactical decisions in the developing world / Peter J. Webster, T. Hopson, C. Hoyos, A. Subbiah, H.-R. Chang and R. Grossman -- |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4079256-0 (DE-588)4031170-3 (DE-588)4143413-4 |
| title | Predictability of weather and climate |
| title_auth | Predictability of weather and climate |
| title_exact_search | Predictability of weather and climate |
| title_full | Predictability of weather and climate ed. by Tim Palmer ... |
| title_fullStr | Predictability of weather and climate ed. by Tim Palmer ... |
| title_full_unstemmed | Predictability of weather and climate ed. by Tim Palmer ... |
| title_short | Predictability of weather and climate |
| title_sort | predictability of weather and climate |
| topic | Weather forecasting Probability forecasts (Meteorology) Wettervorhersage (DE-588)4079256-0 gnd Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 gnd |
| topic_facet | Weather forecasting Probability forecasts (Meteorology) Wettervorhersage Klima Aufsatzsammlung |
| url | http://www.gbv.de/dms/goettingen/515566438.pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=022454343&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT palmertimn predictabilityofweatherandclimate |
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